The final Zogby poll of the Florida primary gives John McCain an apparent lead in the Republican race, though like practically all other polls the race is still too close to call. Here are the numbers, compared to yesterday's release:

McCain 35% (+2)
Romney 31% (+1)
Giuliani 13% (-1)
Huckabee 13% (+2)
Paul 2% (+0)

The final SurveyUSA poll in the Florida primary shows that the Republican race is simply too close to call between John McCain and Mitt Romney. Here are the numbers, compared to the poll released earlier today:

McCain 32% (+1)
Romney 31% (-1)
Giuliani 15% (-1)
Huckabee 13% (+0)
Paul 6% (+1)

Analysis from SurveyUSA: "We can reveal that in the final totals it is McCain 31.6%, Romney 31.2%, but we will caution that those numbers are not materially different than the Romney 31.9%, McCain 31.3% numbers that SurveyUSA reported this morning. The movement is too small to be judged significant, and the best interpretation of the data and the trendlines is that the contest could go either way."

A new survey from Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling gives Mitt Romney a big lead over John McCain, and clear momentum. Here are the numbers, compared to their last poll from five days ago:

Romney 35% (+7)
McCain 28% (+3)
Huckabee 13% (-2)
Giuliani 12% (-7)
Paul 5% (+0)

The new SurveyUSA poll in Florida shows a dead heat in the Republican primary. In a possible sign of momentum, Mitt Romney leads by one point, whereas he was down in their previous poll released Friday:

Romney 32% (+4)
McCain 31% (+1)
Giuliani 16% (-2)
Huckabee 13% (-1)
Paul 5% (-1)

The poll was conducted entirely yesterday, after Gov. Charlie Crist endorsed McCain.

This morning's Quinnipiac poll shows the Republican primary in Florida to be a statistical dead heat. Here are the numbers, compared to the last poll from two weeks ago:

McCain 32% (+10)
Romney 31% (+12)
Giuliani 14% (-6)
Huckabee 13% (-6)
Paul 3% (-2)

Two new polls show John McCain getting an increase in Florida in the wake of Gov. Charlie Crist's endorsement, taking the lead or tying Mitt Romney after one new day of polling.

From Zogby:

McCain 33% (+3)
Romney 30% (+0)
Giuliani 14% (+1)
Huckabee 11% (-3)
Paul 2% (-1)

Commentary from John Zogby: “It is important to note that popular Florida Gov. Charlie Crist endorsed McCain Saturday and campaigned with him Sunday. Sunday alone, McCain had another big day, winning 38% support to Romney’s 31%."

And from Rasmussen, which also credited Crist's endorsement as one of several factors:

Romney 31% (-2)
McCain 31% (+4)
Giuliani 16% (-2)
Huckabee 11% (-1)
Paul 4% (-2)

We'll all find out tomorrow whether McCain is able to sustain his boost, or whether MItt Romney can pull off the big win, after all.

A new Mason-Dixon poll of Colorado shows Mitt Romney with a huge lead over John McCain — probably due in no small part to the illegal immigration issue — and Barack Obama edging Hillary Clinton in a statistical dead heat:

Democrats:
Obama 34%
Clinton 32%
Edwards 17%

Republicans:
Romney 43%
McCain 24%
Huckabee 17%
Paul 5%
Giuliani 4%

Colorado is holding its caucuses on Super Tuesday.

The new Rasmussen poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney pulling ahead of John McCain. Here are the numbers, compared to the last poll from three days ago:

Romney 33% (+6)
McCain 27% (+4)
Giuliani 18% (-2)
Huckabee 12% (-3)
Paul 2% (-2)

Today's Zogby tracking poll in Florida shows John McCain and Mitt Romney in a tie — a slight gain for Romney from yesterday. Here are the numbers, compared to yesterday's release:

McCain 30% (-1)
Romney 30% (+2)
Huckabee 14% (+4)
Giuliani 13% (-2)
Paul 3% (-2)

Romney wins among self-identified conservatives, while McCain wins among moderates. Interestingly, Romney wins voters over the age of 65 and under the age of 30, with McCain winning those in the middle range.

The new SurveyUSA poll in Florida, conducted the day after the South Carolina primary, shows John McCain maintaining his lead here — but without any noticeable bounce as of yet. Here are the new numbers, compared to the poll released a week ago:

McCain 25% (+0)
Giuliani 20% (-3)
Romney 19% (+1)
Huckabee 14% (-4)
Thompson 7% (-2)
Paul 7% (+3)

The final SurveyUSA poll before the South Carolina Republican primary gives John McCain a narrow lead over Mike Huckabee. Here are the numbers, as compared to yesterday's poll:

McCain 31% (+2)
Huckabee 27% (+1)
Romney 17% (+0)
Thompson 16% (-1)
Paul 5% (+0)
Giuliani 2% (-1)

This morning's Zogby poll of South Carolina shows John McCain still in the lead, but underneath the tracking numbers there might be some movement in the wrong direction for him:

McCain 29%
Huckabee 22%
Romney 15%
Thompson 13%
Paul 4%
Giuliani 2%

Some commentary from John Zogby: "There is movement afoot in the Palmetto State. The precise three-day rolling average is McCain 28.6%, Huckabee 22.3%, Romney 15.4%, and Thompson 13.2%. The very first day of polling McCain led by double digits. In the single day of polling on Thursday alone, Romney hit 19%, while McCain’s lead over Huckabee stood at only 3.2%. If Romney continues to gain after Michigan it will hurt McCain."

The new Mason-Dixon poll in South Carolina shows this Saturday's Republican race to be a dead between John McCain and Mike Huckabee, while Barack Obama currently has a decent lead for next Saturday's Democratic primary:

Democrats:
Obama 40%
Clinton 31%
Edwards 13%

Republicans:
McCain 27%
Huckabee 25%
Romney 15%
Thompson 13%
Paul 6%
Giuliani 5%

In the GOP race, a potentially good sign for Mike Huckabee: Evangelical voters are somewhat more likely to be undecided — and he's running ahead of McCain among them as it is.

This morning's Zogby poll in South Carolina shows John McCain still holding the lead in the key Southern primary, though not much of the data was collected after the Michigan primary. Here are the numbers, compared to yesterday's tracking poll:

McCain 29% (+0)
Huckabee 22% (-1)
Thompson 14% (+2)
Romney 12% (-1)
Paul 5% (+0)
Giuliani 5% (-1)

New poll numbers just released by USA Today/Gallup find that John McCain has taken a sizable national lead over second-place Mike Huckabee -- a suggestion that his New Hampshire victory, combined with all the media talk about his comeback, have provided him with a big national lift:

Republicans:

McCain: 33%, up from 19% a week ago.

Mike Huckabee: 19%, down from 25%.

Rudy Giuliani: 13%; down from 20%.

Mitt Romney: 11%; up from 9%.

Fred Thompson: 9%; down from 12%.

Rep. Ron Paul: 3%; down from 4%.

Meanwhile, the poll also finds that Hillary has jumped 12 points to regain a national lead comparable to the one she enjoyed in some polls before her Iowa loss:

Democrats:

Clinton: 45%; up from 33%.

Obama: 33%, unchanged.

John Edwards: 13%; down from 20%.

Rep. Dennis Kucinich: 1%; down from 3%.

A new Quinnipiac poll in Florida shows a four-way dead heat on the Republican side, much like the Rasmussen poll also out this morning. Here are the numbers, compared to the last Quinnipiac poll from mid-December:

McCain 22% (+9)
Giuliani 20% (-8)
Huckabee 19% (-2)
Romney 19% (-1)
Thompson 7% (-1)
Paul 5% (+3)

The Democrats are not seriously contesting this rogue primary, which for now has been stripped of all delegates by the Democratic National Committee. But there the numbers stand at Clinton 52% (+9), Obama 31% (+10), and Edwards 9% (-10).

The new Rasmussen poll in Florida shows the Florida Republican primary to be totally up in the air — four candidates are stuck in a dead heat. Here are the numbers, compared to Rasmussen's last Florida poll from a month ago:

McCain 19% (+13)
Romney 18% (-5)
Giuliani 18% (-1)
Huckabee 17% (-10)
Thompson 11% (+2)
Paul 5% (+1)

Today's Suffolk poll gives Mitt Romney a four-point lead over John McCain in the New Hampshire primary — but they are the last poll to do so. Here are the final numbers, compared to the ones from yesterday:

Romney 30% (+0)
McCain 26% (-1)
Huckabee 13% (+4)
Giuliani 11% (+1)
Paul 5% (-3)

We'll all find out tonight whether they were on to something or not.

The final Rasmussen tracking poll for the New Hampshire primary gives John McCain a one-point lead against Mitt Romney — a departure from most polls that give him a more substantial edge. Here are the numbers, compared to the ones released yesterday:

McCain 32% (+0)
Romney 31% (+0)
Huckabee 10% (-1)
Giuliani 8% (-2)
Paul 8% (+0)

Today's Zogby tracking poll in New Hampshire, the last one before the primary, shows John McCain well-positioned to win the Republican primary. Here are the numbers, compared to yesterday's:

McCain 36% (+2)
Romney 27% (-2)
Huckabee 10% (+0)
Giuliani (+0)
Paul 9% (+3)

Commentary from John Zogby:

McCain opens up his lead, though Romney had a good day. But the 3-day average favors McCain. He leads big among Independents, though Paul is beginning to draw some of the Indies’ support and is now polling double digits again in the North – taking votes away from McCain. Paul does very well among 18-29 year olds. McCain also leads among Republicans, men and women, Moderates, and Conservatives. Again, a good day for Romney, but will he have enough time?

The new CNN/University of New Hampshire poll gives John McCain a narrow but steady lead over Mitt Romney in the primary. Here are the numbers, compared to the preliminary figures released last night:

McCain 31% (-1)
Romney 26% (+0)
Huckabee 13% (-1)
Giuliani 10% (-1)
Paul 10% (+0)

Today's Suffolk University poll is the last survey out there to give Mitt Romney a lead in the New Hampshire Republican primary. Here are the numbers, compared to yesterday's poll:

Romney 30% (+0)
McCain 27% (+0)
Giuliani 10% (+0)
Huckabee 9% (+2)
Paul 8% (-1)

The new Marist poll gives John McCain a four-point lead in New Hampshire. While that's technically dead heat, the number is consistent with multiple other polls — and for some perspective, just compare it to where the candidates were in Marist's December poll:

McCain 35% (+17)
Romney 31% (+0)
Huckabee 13% (+2)
Paul 6% (+2)
Giuliani 5% (-13)

Romney hasn't actually lost any support. Instead, the problem is that he's apparently topped out, having failed to gain any new voters while McCain has solidified the opposition.