I would view this poll with deep hesitiation. Zogby's one day numbers were all over the place all weekend. The one day numbers were:

For Friday: C+ 9
Saturday: O +3
Sunday: C: +15
Monday: C +5

There is no pattern here, just movement. Todays number is high (as everyone should have predicted) because Saturdays very good day for Obama dropped out, but Sundays very good day for Clinton remained.

Had the race gone one more day, Zogbys numbers would have dropped down. Ironically, while the poll seems to show movement to Clinton, the one day internal result (Monday) actually showed movement to Obama. (From Clinton +15 to Clinton +5)

Posted at April 22, 2008 9:03 AM in response to In Final Zogby Tracking Poll, Hillary Leads By 10 In Pennsylvania

I think the primary reasons are:

1.) To get people (including supers) to think of this as a two for one.

2.) She knows that if she gets the nod over Obama on the strength of supers Obama's supporters will revolt. She will actually need him on the ticket to prevent large scale defections.

I think Obama should repeat what he said the other day "I will not be a candidate for VP." I think he should say plainly "I will not be Vice President"

Let the party take it away from him, they can deal with the mess than ensues, he is under no obligation to cover for the party.

Posted at March 9, 2008 3:37 PM in response to Why the Clinton campaign is pushing "Obama as VP" so hard (and the best way for him to respond)

That scenerio has McCain winning PA. and NJ.

No way he wins NJ

Posted at March 6, 2008 1:58 PM in response to SurveyUSA: Hillary And Obama Win Electoral College In Distinct Ways

Greg:

Not sure I would classify Clyburn's comments the same way you do.

It seems to me that there are two (somewhat) conflicting theories as to how a superdelegate should "submit to the will of the people."

One theory is that they should vote for the candidate that their district voted for. Under this theory Kennedy and Kerry should vote for Hillary. This is the theory Clyburn seems to be rejecting.

The second theory is more macro: that superdelegates should vote for whomever wins the overall pledged delegate total regardless of how a candidate does is the supers own district. This is Obama's official position, and the one that Pelosi has come out to support. I dont think Clyburn is addressing this theory at all. At least not from the partial quote you posted.

Posted at February 15, 2008 9:15 PM in response to Clyburn Dissents: Says Super-Dels Shouldn't Necessarily Follow Popular Vote