you got something against rasmussen? Much more detatiled information.

State polls for the Obama-McCain match-up have recently been released for Virginia, North Carolina, Oregon and Michigan (see summary of recent state-by-state results). The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189.

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:45 PM in response to Is Hillary Outperforming Obama Against McCain Among Working Class Voters In Key Swing States?

Excuse me---but are you not refuting the q-poll from yesterday listed in your post below this one---with a much older poll?

for what reason?

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:40 PM in response to Is Hillary Outperforming Obama Against McCain Among Working Class Voters In Key Swing States?

Those white stats are pretty damned good for this stage of the race----there is actually a chance democrats could win the white vote for the first time since 1964.

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:31 PM in response to Poll: McCain Beats Obama And Hillary By Equal Margin Among Working Class Whites

If you don't get what I am saying, then it's obvious you don't get politics.

Posted by DownriverDem

Yes, I get it. If Hillary is not on the ticket, the sixty percent of hillary's voters who are female are going to look at McCain and say---that's the guy I want choosing the next two supreme court judges, and his trophy wife is really cute. I like the experience he demonstrates as he explains how long we need to stay in iraq. His healthcare plan is truly inspirational to me. He's the man.

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:27 PM in response to Poll: McCain Beats Obama And Hillary By Equal Margin Among Working Class Whites

1. Here is your choice, people: McCain vs. obama (or nader, or Barr.)

2. Here is your choice, people: McCain vs. Hillary. We do not kinow how that happened, but it did, so don't worry about the details, just decide between them.

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:18 PM in response to Quinnipiac: Both Dems Beating McCain

1. It is not possible to do comparisons between obama and Hillary regarding how they might do against mcCain. Obama will be nominated by a relatively predictable set of circumstances, a predictable convention and traditional presentations of unity. In order for Hillary to be nominated, the sequence of events would be....?, but it would be a process dripping with bitterness and a fractured party.

2. Turnout will be a factor. Any guess regarding how the turnout among parts of obama's constituency would be affected by the nomination of hillary?

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:07 PM in response to Poll: McCain Beats Obama And Hillary By Equal Margin Among Working Class Whites

Why are all those Tammy Wynette fans in w va voting for hillary today? And I have never understood feminists blindness to the abusive enabling of Bill treatment she visited upon several of his victims.

Posted at May 13, 2008 11:41 AM in response to Hillary is NOW Damaging Feminism

I knew generally what it was---I remember the schoolmarmish voice of senator clinton scolding Obama for being naive and inexperienced---I googled and this guy's account seems as good as any.

This scenario is once again running is course in Pakistan even as we speak. The Musharraf regime is on the brink of going the way of its predecessors. There is nothing new about this in the compass of Pakistan's past history. Like his predecessors, Musharraf is flailing about trying to retain his mandate by tampering with the country's judiciary, pursuing 'Great Game' stratagems in Waziristan, Afghanistan and Kashmir, and seeking ways either to rig the impending national elections or, if that fails, employing the gimmick of 'emergency rule' to prevent them from taking place.

The last resort of this latest attempt to govern Pakistan in the same old manner, unfortunately with the United State government, as usual, acting as an enabler, seems to be what Obama senses must come to an end.

His declaration that the Pakistani junta will no longer be given carte blanche to stonewall further on dislodging Al Qaeda from Waziristan cannot, therefore, be dismissed as the ranting of a politically immature novice, as his detractors aver; it is the right thing to say and should be seen as another instance of Obama once again getting ahead of the pack, as he did when he voted from the outset against the Bush administration's Iraq fiasco.

It indicates that Obama has thought more deeply about the Pakistan conundrum than have his fellow candidates in both political camps.

One hopes that he sticks to his guns and does not allow his detractors to erode his resolve. A sane political solution for Pakistan hangs in the balance.

Harold A Gould is a visiting scholar in the Centre for South Asian Studies at the University of Virginia, United States.

Other issues are more important to me---but this was the one that sold me on Obama. The rest fell into place.

Posted at May 11, 2008 10:15 PM in response to How did you choose your favoured candidate?

The polls regarding Hillary against McCain have no basis in reality. The ones with mcCain and Obama do.

There will be no real bombshells of implications if Obama is nominated---it is what is expected.

But if Hillary is nominated---after losing in the yada yada yada---it would be such a shock to the democrats, that there is no way to compute how how it would affect a McCain Clinton poll.

One matchup is with what is expected---the other is a matchup which would occur after the political equivalent of a nuclear explosion.

Posted at May 10, 2008 9:04 PM in response to Updated Electability Snapshot

If nothing else, Obama's campaign---and the Clintons' response will give historians a more accurate perspective---in fact---maybe someone will connect the dots all the way back to Ricky Rector---a black man in Arkansas, who had blown away one third of the physical matter of his brain, who said he was going to vote for Clinton to be president, and who saved half his sandwich for later-----after he helped the Arkansas executioners get the needle into his arm correctly, the same weekend that the Clintons appeared on 60 minutes and we first learned that Hillary was not some sort of lower class trailer trash figure like Tammy Wynette just standing by her man.

Posted at May 10, 2008 1:08 PM in response to The Ballad of Billy Glad