"conducted March 28-30"

An old poll... The other polls in this time frame also showed about a 10 point difference. The more recent ones show it to be closer. More Clinton supporters have now moved into the undecided camp, but it remains to be seen where they go from there. The more people see of Obama, the more they like him.

Posted at April 4, 2008 1:50 AM in response to Poll: Hillary Ahead Of Obama By 8 In Pennsylvania, Obama Trails McCain For The General

"this is a huge outlier"
BS... The average of the last 3 PA polls is near +5 for Hillary. Finding a poll showing them nearly tied is not an "outlier" - it just confirms the Rasmussen poll.

Posted at April 2, 2008 10:44 AM in response to Poll Gives Obama The Lead In Pennsylvania

indiana is offset by north carolina
kentucky is offset by oregon
puerto rico is offset by montana/south dakota
rest is about even or small

and his numbers always improve with time

she's toast

Posted at April 1, 2008 5:42 PM in response to SurveyUSA: Hillary Ahead By 9 Points In Indiana Primary

The popular vote is irrelevant since there is no consistent way to compare it across different types of primaries and caucuses, and at different points/times in the campaign.

For example, suppose that high interest in the race at this late date causes massive turnout in PA, giving Clinton a bunch of votes, even if her win is by a small percentage. There is no fair way to compare that high turnout to the results, for example, from the early caucus in Nevada, the more recent one in Wyoming, or the primary in South Carolina (where level of interest and/or delegate selection methodology may have been very different).

Basing the count on delegates is an attempt to deal with this problem by giving each state a fair relative weighting, dependent (mostly) on total democratic population, not turnout. Each state can then decide on how those delegate counts are determined. Texas chose to use both a primary and caucus, the result of which was a win for Obama.

Posted at March 30, 2008 8:40 PM in response to Obama Camp Declares Victory In Texas Conventions And Overall State Contest

Wow, last night's numbers must have had her below 40% for first time. Game over!

Posted at March 28, 2008 12:24 PM in response to Gallup: Obama Takes Eight-Point Lead Over Hillary

Okay Hillary, let's talk instead about the whopper you told about Chelsea and the World Trade Center:

http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/2008/03/26/hillarys-other-fabrication/

Posted at March 27, 2008 9:21 AM in response to Hillary: Bosnia Sniper Flap Not What Voters Want To Be Talking About

Wake up Hillary. You're now unelectable...
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/26/93119/1241/595/484508

Posted at March 26, 2008 5:35 PM in response to Hillary Campaign Calls For Party-Run Primary In Michigan

Today's Rasmussen 4-day tracking shows Obama closing yesterday's 3-point deficit, probably indicating effect of Bosnia story on Clinton. Obama will likely regain his former lead, with Wright news offset by Bosnia news.

Posted at March 26, 2008 11:22 AM in response to Hillary: Obama Campaign Wants To "Shut This Race Down"

One lie after another! Now she's saying that she misspoke because she was tired (contrary to video evidence), and that she only misspoke once (a brand new whopper). She's toast, or the electorate is stupid - the choice is yours.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/25/105346/318/335/483775

Posted at March 25, 2008 4:07 PM in response to Hillary On Bosnia Screw-Up: "It Proves I'm Human, Which For Some Is A Revelation"

The joke going around is that "you can't spell Hillary without L-I-A-R".

About the time of the Iowa primary, I switched to Obama based on a list I had begun accumulating of unethical conduct by Hillary. Since that time, I've lost count of the number of times she's screwed up like this. Obama, by comparison, makes her look petty and incompetent. And there's no need to attack her - all we have to do is keep pointing to her self-inflicted wounds.

CHARACTER MATTERS

Posted at March 24, 2008 2:58 PM in response to Hillary Campaign: She "Misspoke" About Bosnia Sniper Incident