Isn't it remarkable how the working class are conditioned to commit electoral suicide and vote against their own economic interest, against unions, against health care, against social security, against tax fairness? Times are a-changing.. I believe.. however...

Posted at May 14, 2008 12:17 PM in response to Poll: McCain Beats Obama And Hillary By Equal Margin Among Working Class Whites

Smith, a moderate?? Come on, do your research. That's the image he cultivates. If you examine his record in the state of Oregon and in the Senate, he's no moderate. And he's been lock-step with Bush on nearly everything.

Posted at May 10, 2008 11:41 PM in response to Rasmussen: Oregon GOP Senator Only Narrowly Ahead Of Two Dems

The Democrats have taken the AA vote for granted for too long. AAs know it, the Rs know it. And the Clintons are toast right now. I'm not AA and in the stolen nomination scenario I will be outta here, especially now that Hillary has said she wants to nuke Iran.

Posted at April 23, 2008 4:28 PM in response to How the Dems Could Lose the Black Vote

Here's a pretty good breakdown by spreadsheet of the remaining delegate math:
Clinton's impossible destruction derby-

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=prPmm9XFdTjgHCLlXR8maHw

Posted at April 23, 2008 9:16 AM in response to The Latest Delegate And Popular Vote Breakdowns Out Of Pennsylvania

Looks like single digit victory and net 11 delegates for Hillary. Big deal! No game changer here!

From Daily Kos:

Single digits Hotlist
by kos
Tue Apr 22, 2008 at 10:07:17 PM PDT

98.91% precincts reporting.
Vote% Dels

Clinton 54.3 52
Obama 45.7 46

That's an 8.6 percent margin, which we can round up to 9 percent. If it drops a few points lower, then it can be rounded down to 8 percent which was the consensus results.

Not that it really changes much, but the semantics are clearly important. It's less impressive to brag about her 8-point victory than "double-digit" lead. And, given her Ohio results, it proves that Clinton is losing ground to Obama among her core constituencies while he holds on to his own.

Update: On the delegate front, Clinton has picked up just 11 delegates so far, not that anyone is counting anymore. Rieux called it a night before district 7 was updated, but that's coming in 50-50. Noting yet from district 6, which will probably break even or, best case for Clinton, net her a single delegate. So the delegate haul was marginal for Clinton.

Posted at April 23, 2008 1:38 AM in response to Obama: Hillary "Ran A Terrific Race"

George S. - no credibility. He's just doing the corporate bidding and paying off the Clintons. He's a poster **boy** for the corrupt political culture we're entrenched in. He's a good reason for any citizen to vote for Obama and begin cleaning out the beltway cess pool. George S. has been on the feeding tube for much too long.

Posted at April 17, 2008 9:57 PM in response to George Stephanopoulos Responds To Obama, Defends Handling Of Debate

Hillary will be miffed with this Ad. She has already endorsed McCain, since he has crossed that threshold and is patriotic unlike Obama.

Posted at April 14, 2008 7:15 PM in response to Big Third-Party Dem Group Airs First Ad Attacking McCain

Eighteen points is the marker. Anything less than that is a Clinton defeat.

Posted at April 9, 2008 9:18 AM in response to Poll: Hillary Ahead By Five Points In Pennsylvania Primary

Once again the Clinton Talking Points Memo seems to soft pedal any good news for Obama.

Electability, Obama ahead of McCain, Clinton behind McCain.

From Chuck Todd:
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/26/821438.aspx
"And he still sports a net-positive personal rating of 49-32, which is down only slightly from two weeks ago when it was 51-28. Again, the biggest shift in those negative numbers were among Republicans.

On one of the most critical questions we've been tracking for a few months, Obama showed resilience. When asked if the three presidential candidates could be successful in uniting the country if they were elected president, 60% of all voters believed Obama could be successful at doing this, 58% of all voters said McCain could unite the country while only 46% of voters said the same about Clinton. All three candidates saw dips on this issue, by the way. In January, 67% thought Obama could unite the country; 68% thought McCain could do it; and 55% said Clinton would be able to pull it off.

The fact they all three dropped equally in the last three months is a sign that the campaign is becoming more ideological and partisan.

In the head-to-head matchups, there weren't huge shifts in the numbers with Obama and Clinton dead even at 45% in the national Democratic primary matchup (a slight increase for Obama from early March). In the general-election matchups, Obama led McCain by 2 points and McCain led Clinton by 2 points; all margin of error results and nothing to get too excited over.
.....
Why? Because among Obama voters, Clinton has a net-negative personal rating (35-43) while Clinton voters have a net-positive view of Obama (50-29). Taken together, this appears to be evidence that Obama, intially, should have the easier time uniting the party than Clinton.

Considering the doom-and-gloom some predicted for Obama with regard to the Wright controversy, the overall tenor of the electorate appears to still be favorable for him."

Posted at March 26, 2008 7:18 PM in response to Poll Sheds Light On Impact Wright Is Having On Obama

Obamban,
I'm with Al. As one of Obama's mentors once said, "you can't put new wine into old wineskins."

Posted at March 21, 2008 3:15 AM in response to Edwards Didn't Endorse Anyone On Leno Tonight, NBC Flack Confirms