Nathan Avinbl
- : San Diego, CA
- : 27
- : Rules!
- : Time!
- : "I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have delighted in explaining to colleagues, which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives."
POLLING REPORT CARDS [Guide to pollster performance on 'Super Tuesday']
With ‘Super Tuesday’ behind us, we have a chance to take a look at how all the pollsters performed. Before throwing up numbers, I’d like to outline my approach to evaluating pollsters' performance. .<strong>#1: QUANTIFYING PERFORMANCE</strong>How do we represent how...more »
Posted on February 13, 2008 10:52 PM
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Cool. So we're looking at a 51+1 - 47+1 Senate for 2009.
Posted at June 13, 2008 12:17 PM in response to In More Grim News, GOP Writes Off Two Key Senate Seats
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Excuse me, but do you see anyone calling the cops or the military to shut down 527s? Can McCain appeal to his supporter's higher instincts? Last I checked, appealing to the better angels in people's nature wasn't a crime. Of course, I understand that for Clinton folk a campaign without sleaze and deceit isn't worth running.
p.s: Isn't it time you became a Republican already?
Posted at June 12, 2008 12:24 PM in response to McCain: I Can't Stop Outside Groups From Attacking Obama
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Given McCain attempts to paint himself with a reformist brush, the Dems should tie him to every sleazy 527 that is funded by one of this bundlers. Push this issue hard and force McCain to reject money from such groups engaged in swiftboating. That way, funds are choked off to the 527s or McCain's campaign.
Posted at June 12, 2008 11:32 AM in response to McCain: I Can't Stop Outside Groups From Attacking Obama
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"I have instructed all of our campaign's biggest contributors to refrain from funding 527 attack groups. I believe they are a blight on the election season and destructive to the political process in this country.
As Senator McCain is fond of saying, he intends to run an honorable campaign. If he is indeed serious about doing so, I ask that he, like myself, request his biggest donors to refrain from funding 527 attack groups.
Yes, its true that Senator McCain might not be able to control these groups. But how will he know until he tries? Is this how the McCain White House will operate? Let the special interests run roughshod over his agenda because he can't control them?
Senator McCain, as his campaign is fond of saying, is a candidate people can believe in. If this is true, what does it tell you when his biggest boosters don't believe in his campaign enough to follow Senator McCain's lead? A leader or someone who passes the buck when it suits him politically? We will find out soon enough."
Posted at June 12, 2008 11:28 AM in response to McCain: I Can't Stop Outside Groups From Attacking Obama
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This is one thing I'd like to see the Obama team and surrogates hammer McCain on. Its about leadership.
Posted at June 12, 2008 11:17 AM in response to McCain: I Can't Stop Outside Groups From Attacking Obama
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This is why party labels are useless. What is the breakdown in terms of pro-healthcare positions. Or pro-environment positions?
Clinton takes a lot of heat for the '94 mid term losses. But few people bother to note that the kinds of Democrats we lost were Dan Boren clones. It blows my mind that Clinton gets blamed for the Democrats losing those seats. We've re-fashioned our caucus in a more progressive mold and are finally in a position to achieve real progress.
Posted at June 10, 2008 4:08 PM in response to Another Red State Dem Refuses To Endorse Obama
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Calm down folks. Dan Boren is barely a Democrat.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dan_Boren
Read his wiki. This guy still supports the Bush's Iraq adventure. Hell, be glad he isn't supporting Obama.
Posted at June 10, 2008 3:57 PM in response to Another Red State Dem Refuses To Endorse Obama
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There also a drawback for McCain. Given Obama's internet fundraising prowess, he doesn't need to maintain an aggressive fundraising schedule. McCain does. Sure, McCain gets a boost in publicity now. But he'll be way behind in the money race by the time the townhalls are done.
Posted at June 4, 2008 12:31 PM in response to McCain Invites Obama To Series Of Weekly Town-Hall Meetings
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I agree but for different reasons.
1) Given McCain's dependence on RNC checks and maintaining a fundraising schedule, debates will keep him away from raising money.
2) Its a nice chance to expose McMaverick for the b.s that he spouts.
Wait till July, by when McCain will practically be begging for debates. Lower expectations and knock him out.
Posted at June 4, 2008 12:28 PM in response to McCain Invites Obama To Series Of Weekly Town-Hall Meetings
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I say do it. But not in June. Build an insurmountable cash advantage and drive things to the point where McCain is begging for a debates. Lower expectations and call him out on his bullshit policies.
p.s: Can Obama get a new debate prep team? Paging Ron Klain!
Posted at June 4, 2008 12:24 PM in response to McCain Invites Obama To Series Of Weekly Town-Hall Meetings



