Meh... Much Manu About Nothing
Although I was wrong about the Tuzla dealio and sincerely thought it was not going to turn into a big issue - I honestly think this 'Mucking Out The Barn' is just an absurd level of piling on. MSNBC is...more »
Posted on April 2, 2008 11:29 AM
TPMElection Central Page Not Loading?
Is anyone else having a problem today with the TPMElection Central page not loading fully?It hasn't loaded properly for me since they added the audio file as a late update to one of the articles today. The recommended reader posts...more »
Posted on March 31, 2008 7:18 PM
Clinton Campaign Pleads for Attorneys to Attend TX Caucuses
Really? And not lawyers with any specialty in say, constitutional law or anything.Here is the email via Politico: Dear Fellow Lawyer for Hillary,As many of you know, this Saturday, March 29th, close to three hundred County and State Senate conventions...more »
Posted on March 25, 2008 1:20 PM
Pundits, Polls and Perspective
Advance note: this isn't a burning platform on campaign issues - just a thought on perspective and the importance of staying balanced.Today, as I hung up the phone after talking my mother off the "Obama is doomed" ledge for the...more »
Posted on March 20, 2008 4:40 PM
Clinton on CiC threshold: I voted to start this war and I'm the one who will end it!
Seriously? Is this from the school of "I brought you into this world and I can take you out?"I honestly do not understand why she is continuing to push the CiC argument via her unprotected Iraq humvee. She certainly has other...more »
Posted on March 17, 2008 5:22 PM
Pelosi Dream Ticket Redux: Can you hear me now?
Just in case anyone thought she didn't really mean it, Pelosi reiterates her earlier position on the Clinton-Obama, Obama-Clinton ticket possibility. ..."Take it from me, that won't be the ticket." ...more »
Posted on March 13, 2008 1:57 PM
Ebony and Ivory - My Generation is "Post-Racial"
As I listen to yet another "talking head" try to figure out the psyche of Obama voters and supporters, I am ironically reminded of a line from the movie Independence Day: "Hey, old guys!"I am a 37 year old white female...more »
Posted on March 12, 2008 8:08 PM
Clinton Campaign Press Release: OBAMA IS BLACK!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SDHxaYhqAo(h/t) to Megan McArdle for this very funny video....more »
Posted on March 12, 2008 1:30 PM
Nancy Pelosi: Clinton Made Shared Ticket "Impossible"
The television interview is here: http://www.necn.com/category/32/4893When asked about the possibility of Senator's Clinton and Obama sharing the national democratic ticket, Pelosi responded "I think that the Clinton administration has fairly ruled that out by proclaiming that Senator McCain would be...more »
Posted on March 11, 2008 2:55 PM
Another Clinton Plant?
On Friday (02/29/08) the Clinton campaign aired new television ads including one that is now commonly referenced as the ‘3 a.m.’ ad. This 30 second spot shows a few shots of sleeping children and then a picture of the White House. The narrator...more »
Posted on March 6, 2008 3:15 PM
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Heyyyyy... Genghis - how'd you get your shirt to be all blinky?
It's sort of festive - I like it!
Posted at May 2, 2008 3:36 PM in response to OBAMA GETS ANOTHER SUPERDELEGATE
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Not to mention Beric Gleefeld?
Posted at April 29, 2008 4:26 PM in response to Is Hillary Behind My Brain Dysfunction?
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I was going to post the exact same thing. Given the amount of press coverage on HRC's campaign debts, I'm guessing the tee vee networks are requiring payment in advance these days.
Posted at April 23, 2008 2:28 PM in response to Hillary On Track To Raise $10 Million Since Polls Closed Yesterday
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For that matter - just name a state she has gained ground in period.
Posted at April 23, 2008 2:23 PM in response to Hillary On Track To Raise $10 Million Since Polls Closed Yesterday
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Thank you (once again) Deanie...
Posted at April 21, 2008 5:11 PM in response to "SOMETHING IS ROTTEN IN DENMARK"
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This seems particularly stupid to me given the existence of YouTube. Won't any person on the west coast who wants to watch the debate still be able to before it airs PST? Or does ABC have "internals" on YouTube that show they lose less people to YouTube than they lose by airing the debate at 5pm PST? I guess the math must be favorable or they wouldn't do it.
Posted at April 16, 2008 7:26 PM in response to Tonight's debate
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I was typing my post to you (above) and you just brought up something I hadn't even thought about. That reminded me of all the people who didn't know what super delegates were two or three months ago. Which puts a new light on my one concern about this whole popular vote dealio.
Thanks Greg - you are so good!
Posted at April 16, 2008 6:39 PM in response to Poll: Plurality Thinks Super-Delegates Should Back Winner Of Popular Vote
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I understand what you are saying but I have a different issue with all the "popular vote" talk. My concern is more that the Clinton campaign & traditional media essentially have invented and propagated this notion that the popular vote is a metric to consider at all.
Even when you leave FL & MI out of consideration, there are a number of caucus states that did not record the actual number of caucus votes. They only recorded and reported the number of delegates elected at the caucuses which is obviously a much smaller number than the number of people who voted in the caucus.
So in those caucus states where the total number of caucus voters were not recorded, we couldn't get a true number. The only option would be to extrapolate or some other such nonsense which could easily turn into it's own rabbit hole. All for a measurement that is not even a part of our party's nominating process.
I completely agree that we have no control in what the super delegates do and frankly, I have confidence that the outcome will be fair.
The larger concern I have is that the actual electorate, voters, Democrats - you know - the people are buying the popular vote meme. If it turns out that HRC wins the popular vote (however it ultimately gets defined) and BHO wins the delegates and the nomination, then this whole popular vote fantasy will just be one more thing to repair before November.
Posted at April 16, 2008 6:33 PM in response to Poll: Plurality Thinks Super-Delegates Should Back Winner Of Popular Vote
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I agree totally - I don't know how they will get an accurate count of the attendees for each candidate in those states that don't require them to be recorded. I was at my precinct for over five hours (it was a mess) and although we had over 300 people present, only 16 delegates were selected total (Obama won 70%).
That is why I worry about the popular vote metric - it leaves out the true number of voters for some of the caucus states. And in my state it gets even muddier. If they count caucus attendees here, each Dem who voted in TX and then caucused would be counted twice. I don't mind so much if they want to since my preferred candidate won the state caucuses. Heh.
Seriously though - that is why popular vote is just not an accurate metric in this contest. The system for our party nomination is currently structured around a delegate contest and the winner is determined by delegate majority. That is why the popular vote metric is nothing but a Clinton campaign/traditional media invention as it pertains to relevancy in the Democratic Party's nomination process.
Posted at April 16, 2008 4:50 PM in response to Poll: Plurality Thinks Super-Delegates Should Back Winner Of Popular Vote
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From what I have read, unfortunately there are a number of caucus states that don't have a clear record or defined rule/method for counting the number of caucus attendees (i.e. the caucus equivilent of popular vote). They use the percent of candidate support to apportion delegates and that is the number that is recorded.
It is quite complex but this is essentially true in my home state (TX) and in the state I lived in previously (WA).
Posted at April 16, 2008 4:01 PM in response to Poll: Plurality Thinks Super-Delegates Should Back Winner Of Popular Vote
