PA-06

13 House Races Yet To Be Officially Decided

Though the Democrats have conclusively gained control of the House with a pick up of at least 27 seats, 13 races have yet to be officially called by at least two major news sources. Here's why:

Update: CNN and NBC have both called GA-08 for Dem Rep. Jim Marshall and PA-06 for GOP Rep. Jim Gerlach.

Update 2: In PA-08, GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick concedes.

* CT-02: Democrat Joe Courtney leads, but still too close to call, waiting for a recount. A Courtney victory would be another Dem pick up.

* FL-13: GOPer Vern Buchanan declared victory in this race to succeed GOP Rep. Katherine Harris, but Dem Christine Jennings won't concede until a recount, which won't be completed until Nov. 18. Voting problems are suspected to have occurred in the district.

* GA-08: Dem Rep. Jim Marshall leads GOPer Mac Collins by 2,048 votes — outside the 1% recount zone — but the race won't be certified until Friday. Called for Marshall.

* GA-12: Dem Rep. John Barrow declared victory, but it has not been confirmed by GA election officials due to server problems in one county.

* NC-08: GOP Rep. Robin Hayes declared victory, but a recount is expected as he only leads Dem Larry Kissell by 468 votes. A Kissell victory would be a surprise pick up for the Democrats.

* NM-01: No winner declared in this close race where provisional and absentee ballots are still waiting to be counted. A victory by Patricia Madrid would be another pick up for the Dems.

* OH-02: Dem Victoria Wulsin has refused to concede, but GOP Rep. Jean Schmidt leads by slim margin.

* OH-15: Fox News called it for GOP Rep. Deborah Pryce, but Dem Mary Jo Kilroy will not concede, waiting for absentee ballots to be counted.

* PA-06: The Philadelphia Inquirer has called it for GOP Rep. Jim Gerlach, but no other official source has followed suit. Called for Gerlach.

* PA-08: Dem Patrick Murphy declared victory, but GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick refuses to concede. A Murphy victory would be another Dem pick up. Fitzpatrick concedes.

* TX-23: There will be a run-off election between GOP Rep. Henry Bonilla and Dem Ciro Rodriguez because Bonilla failed to win more than 50% of the vote.

* WA-08: GOP Rep. David Reichert leads Dem Darcy Burner, but more than 10,000 absentee ballots still need to be counted.

* WY-AL: Race between GOP Rep. Barbar Cubin and Dem Gary Trauner is too close to call and a recount is expected. A Trauner victory would be another Dem pick up.

PA-06: Murphy Picks Up Endorsement Of Paper That Backed Gerlach Two Years Ago

Lois Murphy has picked up the endorsement of the Allentown Morning Call, in her race for Pennsylvania’s 6th district. The paper originally endorsed her opponent, and current incumbent Jim Gerlach in 2004, but has switched over to Murphy’s side this time around.According to the Morning Call,

“Two years ago, we recommended the candidacy of Mr. Gerlach, a congressional freshman who previously had an impressive record as a state representative. But this time, after watching the incumbent's performance in office for two more years, we must give the edge to Mrs. Murphy…Though Rep. Gerlach has tried to depict her as a liberal, Mrs. Murphy is a deficit hawk who believes Washington should be a pay-as-you-go government…The Morning Call recommends the election of Lois Murphy in the 6th Congressional District.”
The paper recommends her on the basis of her support for a wide range of government reforms from earmarks to the disclosure of lobbyist connections.


PA-04: CQ: GOPer Hart No Sure Thing, Suggesting Soft GOP Turf In Western PA

Eastern Pennsylvania has been a key battleground in the struggle for control of the House -- witness the DCCC's massive expenditure yesterday targeting GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick. But now the contested terrain is spreading to Western Pennsylvania, too, reports CQ Politics. As a result, CQ has just changed its rating of the race between GOP Rep. Melissa Hart and Dem challenger Jason Altmire from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican." More of CQ's analysis after the jump.

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PA-06: Race Between Murphy and Gerlach, "Going Down To The Wire"

In the hotly contested race for the House seat in Pennsylvania’s 6th district, a recent poll shows Republican incumbent Jim Gerlach maintaining a slight edge over his Democratic challenger Lois Murphy. However, according to G. Terry Madonna, who conducted the poll, the numbers show a distinct trend favoring change, as well as overall dissatisfaction with George W. Bush.

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PA-06, PA-07, PA-08: GOP Incumbents Desperate To Prove Disloyalty To Bush

This is kind of fun. The three most endangered GOP incumbents in Pennsylvania -- Mike Fitzpatrick, Jim Gerlach, and Curt Weldon -- are all competing with each other to prove their undying disloyalty to Bush. How? They're all pointing to what has become a bragging point in this campaign: their low scores in the party-loyalty ratings compiled by Congressional Quarterly. And the winner is...Fitzpatrick, who's apparently the third least loyal Republican among all 231 GOP House members.

PA-06, PA-07, PA-08: National Parties To Saturate Pennsylvania House Races With Ads

A massive ad war is about to begin in the races in three contested Pennsylvania Congressional districts -- including the nationally watched race between GOP Rep. Curt Weldon and Dem challenger Joe Sestak. The National Republican Campaign Committee and its Dem counterpart have bought up an astoundingly high combined total of $16.1 million in campaign advertising for the three districts during the month leading up to the Nov. 7 election. More details on their buys after the jump.

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CT, PA: GOP Plowing Huge Sums Into Northeast Races

PA-06, PA-07: Pennsylvania Dems Win Quarterly Cash Race

Democrats Joe Sestak and Lois Murphy are gaining on their opponents, campaign finance reports show. Sestak, challenging Rep. Curt Weldon (R), raised $700,000 in the past quarter. Weldon raised only $400,000. Weldon’s 2004 Democratic challenger raised $24,000. Sestak has “nearly $1 million” on hand, according to his spokesman. Weldon has $1.14 million. "For a first-time candidate, it is very unusual to raise that kind of money, particularly against a longtime incumbent," Amy Walter, senior editor at the Cook Political Report told the Inquirer.

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PA-SEN, PA-06: Santorum Beating Himself Up on Immigration?

Sen. Rick Santorum (R) might be damaging his relationship with senior Sen. Arlen Specter (R) with his tough immigration talk, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports today. They say he’s using his colleague as a “political piñata,” but Santorum’s the one who will get hurt if he loses Specter’s support.

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PA-06: Gerlach Tries to Have It Both Ways on War

Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) knows his constituents aren’t very happy with the war in Iraq, or with the president. When Bush held a fundraiser for him last month, his fellow Pennsylvania congressman Curt Weldon decided not to come, saying "there's nothing the president can do to help me." But Gerlach’s concerns about reelection weren’t enough to make him cross the aisle during this weekend’s vote on the war in Iraq. He voted for the GOP-backed resolution but pushed for more Congressional oversight of the war.

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