A new Rasmussen poll of New Jersey shows that this Northeastern state could be a toss-up this cycle, with John McCain edging both Democrats within the margin of error:

McCain (R) 46%, Obama (D) 45%
McCain (R) 45%, Clinton (D) 42%

It's interesting to note that Hillary Clinton has a home-region advantage here, but is actually performing behind Barack Obama against McCain — potentially putting a dent in the Clinton camp's argument about being more electable in Democratic base states.

MSNBC and Fox call Jersey for Hillary. Between the victory over Obama supporters Ted Kennedy and John Kerry, and this victory in a state that the Obama camp had hoped to steal out from under her, it needs to be said that it's shaping up as a good night for Hilllary. For now, anyway.

Separately, it's worth noting that the Kennedy endorsement wasn't just about Massachusetts -- it was about winning over liberals and Latinos nationwide.

Also, MSNBC just projected that Obama won Alabama. So things are in flux.

Thanks for bearing with us during out technical difficulties today. Here's a roundup of the various state polls that came out today, and what sense of direction they give for the Democratic primaries tomorrow. The bottom line: Your guess is really as good as ours about what's going to happen.

Hillary Clinton appears to be on track for roughly 55% in the New York Primary:

Quinnipiac: Clinton 53%, Obama 39%

SurveyUSA: Clinton 56%, Obama 38%

PPP (D): Clinton 52%, Obama 32%

Barack Obama, meanwhile, looks to be on the verge of an even greater majority in his home state:

SurveyUSA: Obama 66%, Clinton 30%

More polls after the jump.

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In a sign that she may be losing ground in a state that should have been in the bag for her, Hillary Clinton is now polling under 50% in four different polls of New Jersey, a state that is right next door to her home base of New York, and shares a media market. The numbers:

Quinnipiac: Clinton 48%, Obama 43%

Strategic Vision (R): Clinton 47%, Obama 41%

Zogby: Clinton 43%, Obama 43%

Mason-Dixon: Clinton 47%, Obama 39%

New Jersey still has to be seen as leaning to Hillary, but Obama would pick up a fair share of delegates here if Hillary only has a narrow majority.

This morning's Zogby polls show John McCain on track for some big victories tomorrow, with California being the only real trouble spot:

California:
Romney 40% (+3)
McCain 32% (-2)
Huckabee 12%

Missouri:
McCain 35% (-1)
Huckabee 27%(+0)
Romney 24% (+2)

New Jersey:
McCain 52% (-2)
Romney 26% (+3)
Huckabee 7% (+0)

New York:
McCain 53% (+4)
Romney 19% (-4)
Huckabee 8% (+0)

This morning's set of Zogby tracking polls shows Barack Obama with clear momentum in the key primary states, with apparent leads in both California and Missouri, plus a big one in Georgia:

California:
Obama 46% (+1)
Clinton 40% (-1)

Georgia:
Obama 48% (+0)
Clinton 31% (+3)

Missouri:
Obama 47% (+4)
Clinton 42% (-2)

New Jersey:
Clinton 43% (+0)
Obama 43% (+1)

Zogby credits Obama's movement to a "big Sunday bounce," but we'll find out soon enough whether that keeps up into Monday and, most importantly, the Tuesday election itself.

A new Rasmussen poll shows the Democratic race to be tightening somewhat in New Jersey, though Hillary Clinton still has a good-sized lead. Here are the numbers, compared to Rasmussen's own poll from two weeks ago:

Clinton 49% (+4)
Obama 37% (+10)

While it is virtually impossible that Hillary Clinton could ever lose this state's primary, being a heavily suburban state right next door to New York, a potentially weak majority would rob her of what was hoped to be a huge delegate advantage.

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani with huge leads in their primaries. Hillary leads the Democratic field with 46%, followed by Barack Obama at 15%. Among Republicans, Rudy Giuliani has 45% to Fred Thompson's 12%. The general election match-ups show that Rudy or John McCain could make it a close race in the Democratic state, but that Fred Thompson or Mitt Romney would lose in landslides:

Giuliani (R) 45%, Clinton (D) 44%
Giuliani (R) 49%, Obama (D) 40%
Giuliani (R) 50%, Edwards (D) 39%
Clinton (D) 46%, McCain (R) 41%
Obama (D) 44%, McCain (R) 41%
Edwards (D) 44%, McCain (R) 40%
Clinton (D) 48%, Thompson (R) 36%
Obama (D) 49%, Thompson (R) 34%
Edwards (D) 48%, Thompson (R) 34%
Clinton (D) 52%, Romney (R) 33%
Obama (D) 51%, Romney (R) 31%
Edwards (D) 51%, Romney (R) 30%