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Poll Suggests Obama Putting Deep-Red North Dakota In Play

A new Rasmussen poll suggests that Barack Obama may actually be putting North Dakota in play, a state that hasn't voted Democratic since 1964 but has found itself targeted by the Obama campaign's advertising.

The numbers: McCain 47%, Obama 46%, within the ±4.5% margin of error.

The state has only three electoral votes, but those are three votes that the Republican can usually count on winning very easily. In 2004, George W. Bush beat John Kerry here by a 63%-36% margin.

Election Central Morning Roundup

Obama Increases Big-Money Fundraising Events
The Obama campaign is stepping up its focus on big-money fundraisers, with the candidate set to go to a dozen events over the next two weeks -- many of them requiring a $30,000 per person donation to the joint fund set up by the Obama camp and the DNC. This greater focus comes from both the recent decision to opt out of public finance, and from the influx of Hillary Clinton's big-money donors.

Obama In Historically-Red North Dakota Today
Barack Obama will be holding a town hall meeting today in an unlikely place: Fargo, North Dakota. This state hasn't voted Democratic since the 1964 Lyndon Johnson landslide, but has been placed on the Obama camp's target list thanks to polls showing a close race. Obama will be joined by the state's top three Democrats: Senators Kent Conrad and Byron Dorgan, and Congressman Earl Pomeroy.

John McCain In Mexico Today
John McCain will be wrapping up his tour of Latin America today, meeting with Mexican President Felipe Calderon and stopping at the Basilica de Guadalupe, a Catholic holy site.

Obama Courts Military Times Editorial Board
Barack Obama met yesterday in Colorado with the editorial board of the Military Times, a part of his outreach to the traditionally Republican military constituency. This is a demographic where John McCain is counting on a big margin, thanks to his biography and hawkishness, but Obama has also done well in fundraising among this group.

Obama Camp Considering Shorter Convention
The Los Angeles Times reports that the Obama campaign is floating the idea of cutting the length of the Democratic convention by one day, due to the Republican convention being set to begin just a few days later. The hypothesis is that ending the convention a day early would given Obama an extra day of bounce in the polls, allowing him to build up a bigger lead before the GOP convention.

Poll: What Is Patriotic?
Ahead of Independence Day, a new USA Today/Gallup poll asks respondents what they consider to be patriotic. Supporting U.S. foreign policy is seen as patriotic by 80%, while protesting is also seen as patriotic by two thirds of respondents. The question of protest has a serious partisan divide -- Democrats are twice as likely as Republicans to view it as a sign of patriotism.


Negative Obama Mailer Hits Hillary On NAFTA

Obama goes negative on Hillary in a new mailer in North Dakota, charging that Hillary once supported NAFTA and flip-flopped to oppose such trade deals as a presidential candidate. It also claims she puts "Washington thinking and Washington interests first."

Click on the images below to enlarge:

In an extended rebuttal, the Hillary campaign rightly points out that the source cited for the NAFTA claim doesn't prove that Hillary was a "strong supporter" of the trade deal, though she was obviously a member of the Clinton administration when it passed. Full response here.

Late Update: The Obama campaign's fact-check on Hillary and NAFTA is here.

Hillary And Obama Ads Hitting More Super Tuesday States

The nationalization of the Democratic primary race continues. Hillary Clinton has a new ad running in various February 5 states, depicting a soft-voice Hillary speaking directly to the viewer — in emotional tones somewhat reminiscent of "The Tears" — about how hard she will work to help people:

Meanwhile, Barack Obama has a new ad in the Super Tuesday state of North Dakota, a heavily Republican state that also happens to have an all-Democratic delegation to Congress. The ad features senior Sen. Kent Conrad, who endorsed Obama back in December:

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