Poll: Republicans On Track To Win Georgia Senate Runoff Tomorrow
The Democrats' lofty dream of reaching 60 Senate seats looks like it could end in tomorrow's Georgia Senate runoff, with the final survey from Public Policy Polling (D) giving incumbent GOP Sen. Saxby Chambliss a solid seven-point lead over Democrat Jim Martin.
The numbers: Chambliss 53%, Martin 46%, with a ±2.7% margin of error, not significantly changed from a 52%-46% lead in PPP's survey from a week ago, and in line with other polls taken over the last month. Martin doesn't seem to have done much to budge the numbers since Election Day, when Chambliss just barely missed the 50%-plus-one threshold to prevent a runoff.
A key number from the internals: PPP estimates that 35% of the total likely voters have already cast their ballots, and Chambliss is winning this group 58%-41%. So unless turnout from Democratic base voters skyrockets tomorrow beyond all expectations, Chambliss should end up the winner.
This one's never really looked that do-able. I don't think it it catastrophic not to make 60, but would have been nice!
I don't think Minnesota looks that great for a pick up either.
December 1, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
That kinda sucks. I was looking forward to another Al Frankin Decade too...
December 1, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Them geniuses in Georgia think Saxy Chambliss is a true patriot for being "tough" on defense by voting for war, not like those cowards and decorated Vietnam veterans Jim Martin and Max Cleland. What a bunch of inbred donkey butts.
December 1, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Would have loved some revenge for Max Cleland, but:
Good.
Fuck you, Traitor Joe. Go ahead and vote with your wingnut freakazoid BFFs. Your "Aye" on any Democratic bill is a smear of shit on the victory.
December 1, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
In many ways, Chambliss represents the majority in Georgia: narrow-minded, intolerant, cravenly dishonest, and not knowing when you have a good thing in the first place.
What he did to Cleland, ratified by the majority of the Georgia electorate tells you all you need to know about the prevailing intelligence of the their voters.
December 1, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Makes me wonder how Jimmy Carter ever got elected Governor there.
December 1, 2008 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I grew up in Georgia. It was a different place and time back when Jimmy Carter ran for President.
December 2, 2008 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Dems should have waited until this race (and the one in MN) was decided before voting on Lieberman's fate in the caucus. I agree that this doesn't look good for Martin (and never did) although I'm somewhat more sanguine about Al Franken's chances in Minnesota but consider... If Lieberman was the difference in making the 60-seat threshold, he would have had his best argument. Without either the GA or MN seats in the Dem's column, Lieberman wouldn't matter. In which case I say bounce him like a bad check. Of course, the Dems made nice anyway. Sigh...
December 1, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
It really doesn't matter. There are enough republicans that will come over on the most important issues and it will appear as bipartisan, which is a good thing for obama. Bottom line, this seat and minnesota really are irrelevant. You have blue dog dems to contend with as well, which makes this 60 seat bs meaningless.
December 1, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink