It now looks like Democratic House candidate Paul Carmouche, who trails Republican John Fleming by a bare margin of 356 votes in Saturday's election in Northern Louisiana, is unlikely to ask for a recount, seemingly solidifying the GOP's hold on this open Republican seat.

When asked if Carmouche will concede if the certified totals end up being about where they are now, campaign spokesman Bert Kaufman told us: "Yeah I believe so, we're just waiting for the certification process to play out," later adding, "It's a very narrow margin, we just want to make sure that everything is counted and counted properly."

The vast majority of the votes here were cast on electronic machines, leaving only the mail-in votes and provisional ballots to be done with paper. And as we reported earlier, there are only about 50 provisional ballots left to sort through, which seem unlikely to shift the numbers very much. By state law, certification will be finished by Thursday at the latest.