Polls: Tight Races In Two Key Red States
The final polls coming in from Indiana and Virginia, two state that haven't voted Democratic since the 1964 LBJ landslide but where the Obama campaign has aggressively competed, show these states going down to the wire, with a better picture for Obama in Virginia:
• Indiana: Public Policy Polling (D) gives Obama a one-point lead, 49%-48%, compared to a 48%-46% Obama edge two weeks ago. Zogby has McCain up by five points, 49%-44%, compared to a 50%-44% McCain lead a week ago.
• Virginia: PPP has Obama up by six points, 52%-46%, compared to a 52%-43% Obama lead a week ago. Zogby has Obama up by six points, 51%-45%, compared to a 52%-45% Obama lead a week ago. And Rasmussen has Obama up 51%-47%, unchanged from a week ago.
If Obama picks up either of these states, which Republican have been able to count on winning for 44 years, it could potentially signal an Electoral College landslide.
Actually, I don't think I'd consider Virginia a "tight race".
Indiana, I'll grant.
November 3, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I bet Obama barely takes Virginia, and wins Indiana by 2-3 points.
With the GOTV in Indiana, coupled with the early lead Obama has been able to run up in the early voting in Indiana, Indiana should be the first sign of the deluge.
November 3, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The RNC is running that hateful Rev Wright ad in the Kansas City market.
November 3, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since when is 6 fucking points TIGHT?
What's going on here?
November 3, 2008 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
With uptight Eric, everything is tight. Thank God I don't have to read his "polls analysis" any more.
November 3, 2008 11:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even if Obama wins Virginia, I doubt that it's the sign of a landslide. It's more likely to reflect the demographic changes in Virginia that have made it closer to the demographics of other mid-Atlantic states like Pennsylvania.
If he wins in Indiana, on the other hand, we are getting into landslide territory.
November 4, 2008 7:31 AM | Reply | Permalink