Final SurveyUSA Polls Show Obama Ahead In Pennsylvania, Florida
SurveyUSA has its final polls out in the big swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania, and both show Barack Obama ahead.
The numbers from Florida show a very narrow advantage for Barack Obama -- thanks in large part to the campaign's early-vote campaign. The numbers: Obama 50%, McCain 47%, a three-point lead with a ±3.8% margin of error. Two weeks ago, McCain had a 49%-47% edge.
The internals show Obama winning the early vote 58%-40%, with an estimated 58% of the total likely vote already cast. McCain wins the remaining likely voters 56%-38%, helping him to close the gap somewhat.
The ultimate result, then, depends on how many voters there really are left, and to what degree they break for McCain.
On top of that, their final poll from Pennsylvania doesn't show any good news for McCain. Obama has a lead of nine points, 52%-43%, compared to yesterday's poll that showed a 51%-44% Obama lead. If Obama picks up red states like Florida or other big gets like Virginia, and McCain can't poach Pennsylvania from the Democratic column, it will be a very bad night for the GOP.
This time tomorrow boys and girls...
November 3, 2008 11:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I second that emotion...
November 3, 2008 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I will be asleep by this time tommorow. Once they say IN has gone for Obama I am going to bed.
November 3, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think my nerves can handle tomorrow!
I wish tomorrow was today, and I was settled in bed with Obama ready to lead in January.
More importantly, boys and girls, is to vote. for obama!
--------------------------
Obama 2008
“Mad McCain” videos: http://tv1.com/playlists/show/11
November 3, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just finished watching Obama's rally in VA. The "Fired up, ready to go!" story/closing was fantastic. Any attendance estimates?
And folks, think about this...a Democratic presidential candidate, a black guy, held his closing rally in a state that was the home of the former of the Confederacy...at the site of two huge battles where the Confederacy kicked the Union's butt...twice.
Who da thunk it possible?
November 3, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I heard it was about 80,000!
November 3, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Campaign says 90,000. Obama himself said 100k in his speech. It was huge.
My wife and son are down there right now. He wanted to see Obama very badly. I feel for her because I know how long she's going to have to be on her feet, and then I don't expect they'll be home 'til very late. And we have to get up very early in the morning. She's a very good mother. I am glad she's giving that opportunity to our son.
November 3, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama looked completely exhausted in VA. But Biden is on fire right now in Phili! he's really hitting McCain.
November 3, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought he's looked off his game all day. Hardly surprising after today's news. Let's make tomorrow a better day for him.
November 3, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
He learned about his Grandmother's death this morning. The fact that he is even up there shows strength.
November 3, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is a devastating day for him personally and yet he didn't "suspend" (God, how I hate those fucktard airquotes) his campaign to score some cheap political points.
The turn-out was awesome for a red state that too late into the night.
"I have one word for you - Tomorrow, Tomorrow".
I love the way he breaks it down for the folks to get it.
November 3, 2008 11:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
The polls open in seven hours. Seven hours.
November 3, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't they start voting at midnight in Dickweed Notch, New Hampshire or some such thing?
November 3, 2008 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey you forgot Guam!
November 3, 2008 11:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dixville Notch: O 15 M 6
Hee Hee
November 4, 2008 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gotta love it, not since 58'
November 4, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have to say, I like Dickweed Notch much better 'cause it made me laugh. Although since they went for Obama this year I guess they don't deserve it.
November 4, 2008 12:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
SUSA has African-American making up 10% of the electorate in PA. In 2004, African-Americans made up 13% of PA's electorate.
November 3, 2008 11:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
And they are predicting McCain gets a health 16% of the African-American vote in Florida.
November 3, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
The fired up story was pretty cool. I don't recall him giving that lately. I noted the whole change the room, street, town, etc line was from the internet advertisement for the Democratic convention.
Fired up!
November 3, 2008 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
This time tomorrow night, I will be on my third champagne cocktail.
November 3, 2008 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since I got sober last year I'm hoping for a really good *flash*back*
November 3, 2008 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just take it one election day at a time.
November 4, 2008 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
This may sound kind of weird, but you could take a page from the book of some serious Deadheads(follower/fans of the Grateful Dead, in case that's not clear.)
The folks I am thinking of eschewed drugs and alcohol at the shows.
Instead, they'd find a space with some room, and commence spinning in place to the music.
Much like little kids on the playground have done since playgrounds were invented.
Spin, spin, spin - I'm dizzy! Wheeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!
A completely natural, self-induced buzz.
Just make sure you move the coffee table and the Ming vase to a safe place before you start.
That angular momentum can be tricky once you lose your balance.
:-)
Come to think of it, a helmet might not be a bad idea.
November 4, 2008 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
This may sound kind of weird, but you could take a page from the book of some serious Deadheads(follower/fans of the Grateful Dead, in case that's not clear.)
The folks I am thinking of eschewed drugs and alcohol at the shows.
Instead, they'd find a space with some room, and commence spinning in place to the music.
Much like little kids on the playground have done since playgrounds were invented.
Spin, spin, spin - I'm dizzy! Wheeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!
A completely natural, self-induced buzz.
Just make sure you move the coffee table and the Ming vase to a safe place before you start.
That angular momentum can be tricky once you lose your balance.
:-)
Come to think of it, a helmet might not be a bad idea.
November 4, 2008 9:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Being a bit superstitious, I'm afraid to put the old bottle of Dom on ice. Luckily I just happened to leave it in the garage earlier today, where its always wince cellar cool!
November 3, 2008 11:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
We are on the beach now...It is 7:00 pm our time..we have signed in and having a fishing tourney for the big O...depending on you all to keep us informed.
November 4, 2008 12:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Please take some time to share this video with your undecided friends on this election eve. Watch this explosive new video on John McCain.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0c_oI3eb2s
November 3, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
We canvassed in the rain again today. Heard as we got back in the car to return to HQ that Big O's grandma had died.
I lost my grandmother in September, an incredibly special woman. I'm not a religious person, but I think you'll know what I mean when I say we were praying for his grandma to make it to his inauguration. I feel like it's extra important to get him there now.
Canvassing in the rain again tomorrow--whatever it takes.
November 4, 2008 12:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Word.
November 4, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink