Election Central Morning Roundup
Report: McCain To Run For Re-Election In 2010
John McCain will reportedly run for re-election to the Senate in 2010. This could end up being a big race in the coming cycle, after polling from just before the 2008 election showed he could lose against Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano, though we could potentially see an upswing in McCain's positives now that the negativity of the 2008 race is over.
No Obama Or Biden Events Today
Barack Obama and Joe Biden are in Chicago today, again working in private meetings on the transition. No public events are scheduled.
Hillary Still Deep In Debt
CNN reports that Hillary Clinton is still carrying $7.6 million in debt from her presidential campaign, and that the Obama campaign only succeeded in raising about $800,000 to help her retire her debts. If Hillary were to become Secretary of State, it could become ethically impossible for her to actively raise money to deal with this problem.
Report: Bill Offers To Submit Business Activities To Ethics Reviews
The Wall St. Journal reports that Bill Clinton has offered to submit all of his future business and charitable activities to strict ethics reviews if it will help Hillary become Secretary of State. Bill's dealings with foreign businesses and governments have reportedly become a major roadblock to a potential Hillary nomination, due to the need to avoid conflicts of interest.
Bill Clinton Headed To Georgia For Jim Martin Today
Bill Clinton will be campaigning today in Atlanta for Jim Martin, the Democratic candidate in the high-stakes Senate runoff against Republican incumbent Saxby Chambliss. If the Dems were to pull off an upset win in this one and also win the Minnesota recount, on top of having already won the Alaska race, this would give them an even 60 seats in the U.S. Senate -- enough to overpower any Republican filibusters if all the Democrats were to vote together.
WSJ: Georgia Runoff Reveals Loophole In Fundraising Limits
The Wall St. Journal reports that the national parties are actively taking advantage of the ability to form joint fundraising committees in order to raise extraordinary amounts of money for just one race: The Georgia Senate runoff. These joint committees enable donors to give as much as $65,000, about 29 times the regular legal limits, for just this one election.
The Minnesota Recount Begins Today
Today is the first day of the manual recount of the Senate race in Minnesota, a process that will last for several weeks, following yesterday's preliminary certification of GOP Sen. Norm Coleman's 215-vote lead over Al Franken. That lead as a percentage is only about 0.007%, well within the margin of error of the voting equipment used in this country, and the Franken campaign will also be maneuvering in court and before canvassing boards to get rejected absentee ballots re-admitted.















On the heels of the AK senate victory it doesn't hurt congratulating Nate Silver again. He was almost spot on even when Stevens was leading nearly 3,000 votes.
That man is a genius.
November 19, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Pure genius. He has a bright future.
November 19, 2008 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
You should see Silver's interview with a GOP hack who commissioned a push poll from Zogby:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/interview-with-john-ziegler-on-zogby.html
Pure comic gold.
November 19, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's absolutely hilarious. If there's one person in this world I wouldn't call a "pinhead", it's Nate Silver.
November 19, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of polls, have y'all seen this one?
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.cfm?ID=1642
November 19, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's not surprising. There's a reason why negative campaigning is used so much. It works.
What do you think a similar survey among McCain voters would find?
November 19, 2008 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep. It's pure rubbish. Read Nate Silver's dissection at fivethirtyeight.com. Zogby's credibility just crashed permanently with this slanted "poll".
November 19, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually it looks like Mr. Silver got under his skin...I didn't see any "discection" of the poll. Do you think he'll take up the offer about running one for McCain voters? The guy did say if the results were anything like the Obama voters (or worse) he'd foot the bill.
November 19, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and the post you responded to was a response to the poll you posted, so you've formed a bit of a circular reference. (Not that there's anything wrong with that.)
November 19, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing in the Morning Roundup today about Lieberman? How refreshing.
November 19, 2008 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Indeed. Yesterday wasn't a great day for the liberal blogosphere. We were right to be angry, but so many (not as much here) threw childish temper tantrums about it.
More on that here:
http://strategy08.wordpress.com/2008/11/19/the-great-lieberman-temper-tantrum-of-2008/
November 19, 2008 9:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a wild guess. But which committee chairman in the Democratic Senate will travel to Arizona and throw his support to his colleague "from the other side of the aisle", John McCain?
November 19, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, there is some news: Lieberman, Given Second Chance, Immediately Betrays Obama Again!
http://satiricalpolitical.com/?p=4884
November 19, 2008 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm surprised that McCain has already announced but a lot could change between now and 2010.
I suppose if he is in good health being Senator is better gig than being a retired Senator.
Speaking of his health - there is still going to be a pretty macabre health watch on McCain until 2012.
November 19, 2008 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lincoln’s Kitchen Cabinet Addresses an ‘Obama Team of Rivals’
http://satiricalpolitical.com/?p=4875
November 19, 2008 9:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did y'all see that Zawahiri called Obama a "house nigra"? But I thought Obama was the Al Qaeda candidate?
November 19, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jeez, those terrorist types are just soooo fickle.
November 19, 2008 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you think that Bill Clinton is going to Atlanta to help insure that his wife gets the SOS job? And the fact that he will submit all of his business activity to an ethics panal. That is prudent of him.
November 19, 2008 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think that campaigning for Martin in GA. has anything to do with Hillary's potential position in the Obama Administration. Both he and Al Gore will be there shortly to help the underdog Martin campaign. If I remember correctly, Pres. Clinton campaigned for Martin a couple of weeks ago as well, before Sen. Clinton sat down with PE Obama.
That said, it obviously doesn't hurt her chances, with Pres. Clinton being a strong team player in the hopes for 60 Dem. votes in the Senate. Also, as you mentioned, it is prudent and necessary that he is organizing a structure to report any business dealings to the Administration to avoid any conflicts of interest. Though it may seem obvious, he has strenuously guarded against this previously.
November 19, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
David Broder against Hillary at State:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/18/AR2008111802882.html?hpid=opinionsbox1
I was already almost full behind Obama's decision to pick her to run Foggy Bottom. This Broder column sealed the deal for me. It would be shocking to see Broder against this very Broder-like move by Obama until you realize the one overriding reason why he's against it - he hates Bill Clinton.
November 19, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have no doubt what so ever that Broder voted for McCain after having overheard his comments a few months prior to the Election. Broder's time has past.
November 19, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm beginning to think he must know where the bodies are buried. There's no viable reason for not accelerating his retirement and replacing him with someone more firmly based in reality.
November 19, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder how Obama will handle the 2010 McCain senate race. McCain must realize that he's in real danger of losing it to Napolitano - I wonder if Obama left Napolitano is Arizona in order to keep that threat a real possibility and keep McCain in line. I mean if Napolitano was given a cabinet post, it would take her out of the McCain seat running right? This way McCain is forced to play nice with Obama or Napolitano will get a huge push in two years time - and if McCain proves valuable to Obama, Napolitano could then be given a role in the Obama administration to bridge the gap between her last year as Governor and waiting for Kyl's seat in two years time (four years from now).
November 19, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jonze: Excellent comment on the Arizona Senate race! It hadn't occurred to me that leaving Napolitano out of the administration served as a check on McCain. I really had hoped she might be offered and take DOJ. Your supposition is so much better. I also like your analysis of the future potential of an administration role for her later as a "bridge" until running against Kyl in 2012 (which is also a presidential re-election year). Again, excellent comment!
November 19, 2008 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
I had thought about that, too, but I'm not sure taking a cabinet role would negatively impact her chances. She'd still be an Arizonan, and still be in the news, and considering what the economy is going to be like for the next couple of years, it might be better to have her reputation as governor to be crystallized now, rather than potentially suffer between now and 2010.
(Speaking purely on the basis of senate electoral politics, of course. It might well be better for the people of Arizona for her to stay in place during these difficult times.)
November 19, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
So if Hillary takes SoS, she will face severe ethical issues about trying to raise money to pay off her campaign debt.
Does Bill Clinton face similar restrictions? Could he raise funds to pay off her debt if she takes SoS? I frankly do not understand the details of the problem, but it looks to me as though if she takes SoS it might cost her the money she loaned her campaign (about $5 million, wasn't it?)as well as costing those who loaned her funds.
November 19, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
It likely will. And Bill will not be able to earn money through foreign speeches either and might even have to temporarily step down from any active role in the Clinton Foundation.
However assuming Hillary serves four years, former SOS's are held in high regard - especially if she does some big things there, and both Hillary and Bill could then go back to the speech circuit.
November 19, 2008 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
And she will have to close down her political action committee, HillPAC, and end any fundraising she might be doing now for a possible re-election run for the Senate.
Taking the SoS job takes her out of partisan politics completely.
November 19, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I read somewhere she has already written off the loans she made to the campaign. The remaining $7 million or so includes ~ $5 million she still owes to Mark Penn. This is a major obstacle to fundraising. That plus the perception she and Bill still have 100's of millions of dollars. I don't know whether that part is true, but I can't conjure up much sympathy for the debt run up for a horrible consultant to a campaign that continued for weeks after it had lost.
November 19, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where are the PUMA's, Hillaryis44 members, and Lady De Rothschildwhatever? Hillary needs you!!!
November 19, 2008 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
They're all maxed out of course...
November 19, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you've got a $100 million and you owe $7.6 million, I feel like you'd be able to figure out a way to get rid of said debt.
November 19, 2008 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain To Run For Re-Election In 2010
Good. After the disgraceful campaign he ran, he deserves to get his ass kicked one more time for good measure.
November 19, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I expect McCain will lose in 2010. Things have changed in Arizona and after his dismal sleazy presidential campaign and pathetic judgment demonstration by picking Palin, the angry war cheerleader is done. The real John McCain has been exposed and can no longer get away with that "maverick" bullshit.
I have realized I've been duped once again into believing there would be accountability for the corruption of the Bush administration including putting people like Karl Rove in prison. The fact that their corruption will not continue is all the dems will do. The damage done by the politization of the DoJ (putting Siegelman in chains, approving torture and illegal spying, etc.) will not be addressed.
Nor will many of the changes promised be accomplished as the dems allow the treasury to pass out the tax payer money to enrich the wealthy. I have to keep in mind (as evidenced by AT&T paying for the dem convention) that our party leaders belong to a third party known as the Money Party and all legislation goes to protecting their holdings and their interests.
We voted in the dem party and a dem president and all they can say is they want to cater to republicans and promote bipartisanship when that is all they've done for the past 8yrs. Whatever Bush asked for, the dems agreed to. The only time Bush was ever challenged was by his own party.
The country has moved left and both parties spend all their time demonizing "the left". Now, once again, we are being told this is not what we really voted for. That we should have a smooth transition so as to not upset the boat or the established way of business ...when this is exactly what we voted to change and were expecting a complete disruption of the status quo. Instead we get Steny Hoyer and Nacy Pelosi claiming the people didn't really want a complete change they want us to continue doing what we've been doing, governing center right and not upsetting business as usual. These people are incapable of changing themselves much less envisioning a changed America. Sometimes wisdom comes with age but for most it's merely complacency. When we said "we are the change we are looking for" apparently it didn't include our leaders. At least we have a well motivated and honest leader now...I hope he continues to listen.
November 19, 2008 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
re: Minnesota recount.
Franken's lawyers won a round today with a favorable decision from a Ramsey County district court judge.
The judge's reasoning? Franken would suffer "irreparable harm" if not allowed to learn about rejected absentee ballots.
The phrase is taken directly from the USSC decision in Bush v. Gore. Whether or not it's good law I can't say, but it does sound like a little poetic justice.
November 19, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink