Dems Pick Up Five Senate Seats So Far, But Unlikely To Reach 60
Now that Obama has sewn up the presidency, let's swing over to the Senate races and the Dem quest for a filibuster-proof 60 seats. Here's the state of play: The Dems have so far picked up five Senate seats, with a few still up in the air -- but they probably won't reach that magic super-majority.
• In Colorado, a former Republican-leaning state, Democrat Mark Udall picked up the seat of retiring GOP Sen. Wayne Allard. With 49% reporting, Udall has 54% to Republican nominee Bob Schaffer's 42%.
• In New Hampshire, which has realigned from the Republicans to the Democrats over the last few years, former Dem Gov. Jeanne Shaheen defeated incumbent GOPer John Sununu, in a rematch from Sununu's win in 2002. With 54% reporting, Shaheen has 52% to Sununu's 45%.
• In North Carolina, atheist-baiting GOP Sen. Elizabeth Dole has gone down in crushing defeat. With 94% reporting, Democratic victor Kay Hagan has 53% to Dole's 44%.
• In New Mexico, Democrat Tom Udall -- a first cousin of Colorado's Sen.-Elect Mark Udall -- easily won the seat of retiring GOP Sen. Pete Domenici With 42% reporting, Udall has 59% to GOP Rep. Steve Pearce's 41%.
• In the newly-blue state of Virginia, former Dem Gov. Mark Warner easily dispatched former GOP Gov. Jim Gilmore for the seat of retiring GOP Sen. John Warner (no relation to Mark). With 93% reporting, Mark Warner has 64% to Gilmore's 35%.
The Republicans also missed out on their one true pickup opportunity, but by a much closer margin than anyone had expected. With 91% reporting, Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) has defeated Republican candidate John Kennedy by a margin of 50%-48%. The pre-election polls has given Landrieu double-digit leads -- making this race a real what-might-have-been for the NRSC, if they'd only invested more money in this race instead of some of the losing campaigns listed above.
A few more races are pending:
• In Minnesota, the early exit polls have given Al Franken an advantage over GOP Sen. Norm Coleman, but this one is going down to the wire. With 40% reporting, the two are tied at 42% each, with 15% to third-party candidate Dean Barkley.
• In Oregon, GOP Sen. Gordon Smith is trailing Dem challenger Jeff Merkley by a 50%-45% margin, with an estimated 31% of the total ballots counted under Oregon's mail-in voting system.
• The polls are still open in Alaska, where GOP Senator and convicted felon Ted Stevens is expected to lose to Democratic opponent Mark Begich, the mayor of Anchorage. A Begich win would be a major coup in this deep-red state.
• There still has not been a declared result in Georgia. With 87% reporting, Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) has 55% to Dem challenger Jim Martin's 41% -- but Chambliss' real opponent is the 50% threshold. If late returns put Chambliss under 50%, there will have to be a runoff held a month from now.
If the Dems can sweep Minnesota, Oregon and Alaska, the final tally for tonight will be a gain of eight seats -- for 59 Democratic Senators to 41 Republicans, assuming Joe Lieberman sticks with the Dem caucus. But that's another story.















Sorry but to me, that's a good thing.
November 4, 2008 11:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
All the other races in NC that i wanted to win have won but the big one is still to close to call.
November 5, 2008 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
They'll probably call Indiana and NC for Obama once they cut away from the stage. Both are pretty much done deals at this point, with more Obama vote left than McCain.
November 5, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
If the Dems can sweep Minnesota, Oregon and Alaska, the final tally for tonight will be a gain of eight seats -- for 59 Democratic Senators to 41 Republicans, assuming Joe Lieberman sticks with the Dem caucus. But that's another story.
Perhaps you haven't seen this Lieberman gem.
I'm ok with 58/42, or even 57/43. A solid Dem majority means Lieberman's presence is no longer required, leaving Harry Reid to kick him the hell out and take away his gavels.
November 5, 2008 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tribute video of Barack Obama the 44th President of the United States and the United State's first African American President.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lCuMLSCrxO4
November 5, 2008 12:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Final tally will be 364-174. 52% for Obama. That is a mandate.
November 5, 2008 12:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
This isn't gonna wipe the smile off my face.
November 5, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
This isn't gonna wipe the smile off my face.
November 5, 2008 12:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
What a great speech !
I don't know how many times I cried. It feels so good.
November 5, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
You think Todd is back at the hotel stealing the towels?
November 5, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
OK, when Obama said, "what if my daughters reach the age of that woman...?" I lost it.
I don't think I have ever seen such confidence in my life.
November 5, 2008 12:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Remember when Obama confronted Lieberman on the floor of the senate? I would love to know what he said to him.
November 5, 2008 12:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
He said.....say it ain't so Joe
November 5, 2008 12:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Great speech. I'm ready for the next day, where we actually do.
I'll venture this: it looks to my untrained eye like the youth vote came out tonight. Given demographics, that had the chance to make the difference for the first time in decades.
Thoughts?
November 5, 2008 12:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
It has been calculated that the youth vote was a significant factor for him.
November 5, 2008 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
What's happening at IN, NC, MO & MT ? Any chance they will turn blue ?
I want my prediction of 375 to come true.
November 5, 2008 12:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
We are winning in IN, NC, and MT.
WI think we lost MO.
November 5, 2008 12:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. Very happy to know that.
Whatever happened to that "MO has always elected a President ?"
November 5, 2008 12:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm elated that Obama won big, but all I had been reading and hearing was that the Democrats had a chance to pick up 25 House seats and 8 Senate seats. As I write this at 12:33 AM in MA, I hear 5 Senate seats, and what...14 House seats for the gain. Should I be disappointed, or have we been set up again by the high hoped for number of gains, to have it spun that we failed to achieve our goals?
November 5, 2008 12:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nate over at fivethirtyeight.com's projections were pretty damn close.
I can't believe Tinklenberg lost. That district should be ashamed of themselves.
November 5, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fuck you Chuck Schumer. Had you even a modicum of integrity, tonight's electoral map would have been unassailably Blue.
November 5, 2008 1:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Despite being down by about 2000 with 45% reporting, I think Merkley has a good chance to still pull it off in Oregon. Several of the relative heavily populated counties in Willamette Valley still have a lot of votes to count, and Merkley leads in most of them by a very large percentage. For example, in Multnomah County Merkley is ahead by 47,000 (69% - 27%) with still 73% of the votes to be tallied.
November 5, 2008 3:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Coleman Edges Franken in Minnesota Senate Race
November 05, 2008 Fox News
Republican Norm Coleman has won a second term in the U.S. Senate, barely surviving a stiff challenge from ex-comedian Al Franken.
MINNEAPOLIS -- Republican Norm Coleman has won a second term in the U.S. Senate, surviving a stiff challenge from former comedian Al Franken.
Coleman squeaked past Franken by the narrowest of margins: a few hundred votes with nearly 2.9 million cast. The margin appeared certain to trigger an automatic recount.
If the margin holds up, Coleman would be among the fortunate Republicans who survived big gains by Democrats nationwide.
November 5, 2008 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
From the memory crypt....
Jake D wrote on November 19, 2007 3:57 PM:
Mark my words: Gilmore will win this [John Warner's Senate] seat, and the GOP will regain control of at least one House of Congress.
November 5, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink