TPM Track Composite: Obama's Lead Edges Up
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. The recent tightening in the race appears to have stopped for today, with Obama's lead expanding slightly:
• Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 50%-47% Obama lead from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post: Obama 52%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.5% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.3% margin of error, compared to a 49%-42% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Research 2000: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 50%-44% Obama lead yesterday.
• Zogby: Obama 50%, McCain 43%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 49%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 50.5%-44.2%, a lead of 6.3 points, compared to the 50.2%-44.4% Obama lead from yesterday.
I watched the vid Josh produced on what the polls are doing right now and it helped.
We're all frazzled to the nth degree, Eric. I hope you know that - and I'm sure you do.
October 30, 2008 5:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
33.5 Millions saw the infomercial according to CBS.
By the way, the CBS latest poll will come up soon, with Obama up by 11 (lost 2 points from last poll). So the race is stable.
I can not wait to be Tuesday night enough.
October 30, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
HE LOST 2 POINTS?????!@?@?#$?$?@???
The race really is tightening, isn't it????@?#?$??!
/fed up snark.
October 30, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't make me get up and come over there, CT.
LOL!
October 30, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just have two words for you:
A--a-a-a-a-a--a-a-a-a-a-fternoon Delite!
October 30, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are the meanest thing on two legs!
LOL!!!
I'm going to have that running through my head from now on.
October 30, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean four legs.
October 30, 2008 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, starting the 26th, it tightens, but the past two days it looks like Obama's heading upward again and McCain's heading down again. That chart's small and my eyes are bad, but that's what it looks like to me.
October 30, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
How many times can a dead cat bounce? Reminds of the Monty Python sketch, "We spent four hours burying the cat".
October 30, 2008 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mrs. Conclusion : Hullo, Mrs. Premise.
Mrs. Premise : Hullo, Mrs. Conclusion.
Mrs. Conclusion: Busy Day?
Mrs. Premise: Busy? I just spent four hours burying the cat.
Mrs. Conclusion: Four hours to bury a cat?
Mrs. Premise: Yes - it wouldn't keep still.
Mrs. Conclusion: Oh - it wasn't dead, then?
Mrs. Premise: No, no - but it's not at all well, so as we were going to be on the safe side.
Mrs. Conclusion: Quite right - you don't want to come back from Sorrento to a dead cat. It'd be so anticlimactic. Yes, kill it now, that's what I say. We're going to have to have our budgie put down.
Mrs. Premise: Really - is it very old?
Mrs. Conclusion: No, we just don't like it. We're going to take it to the vet tomorrow.
Mrs. Premise: Tell me, how do they put budgies down, then?
Mrs. Conclusion: Well, it's funny you should ask that, because I've just been reading a great big book about how to put your budgie down, and apparently you can either hit them with the book, or you can shoot them just there, just above the beak.
Mrs. Premise: Just there? Well, well, well. 'Course, Mrs. Essence flushed hers down the loo.
Mrs. Conclusion: No, you shouldn't do that - no, that's dangerous. They breed in the sewers!
Monty Python
October 31, 2008 3:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
When I read that I almost kicked the dog -- but stopped myself just short of doing so when I remembered I don't have one.
November 3, 2008 4:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think I'm going to seriously have a damn heart attack before Tuesday at some point.
October 30, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I may beat you to it.
Either that or a complete nervous collapse.
October 30, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well iam on the verge of just renting a video game to distract me for 5 days, though i dont want to cause i have work i gotta do... but i cant concentrate on it with all this shit going on.
October 30, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
My REFS (Rapid-cycling Election Freakout Syndrome) is full blown today.
I'm going with the Weekly Reader poll. That's my story and I'm sticking with it.
Gonna dance the change I wanna see in the world tonight. Get a good sweat on, get a couple of carne asada burritos on the way home, and then check in with my comfort peeps (that's you guys).
Hang tough, all.
October 30, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Haha! I actually had a bunch of heart tests done today.
I fooled them by not drinking any coffee this morning. My problem lately is that as soon as my brain engages (even if it's in the middle of the night), I start worrying about the election. The only defense is to drag around half asleep.
October 30, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh Jeez...me too. I actually have started having political dreams, so there's just no escape for me now until Tuesday.
One really encouraging thing I noticed today is that the TPM composite poll shows a lead for Obama (6.3%) that's only one tenth of a point different than the Real Clear Politics composite (6.2%).
That must mean something significant, I'm sure. It's an omen, right? LOL How I'm going to survive until Tuesday, I just don't know...
Here's the link to the RCP polling composite, in case anyone wants to compare the two. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html They use some of the same polls as TPM, but some different ones too, so the fact that the two are so close suggests to me that the number may be pretty reliable. I've read that for a black candidate to be sure he/she is polling high enough to win, the spread has to be over 5%, so that's good news. (Yes, I know that the experts say the Bradley Effect shouldn't apply this year, but still...)
October 30, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Crap. Here I was reading through feeling all smug and superior at my comparative serenity and then you had to go and say you're having political dreams.
Yep. Same here. Shit. Guess I'm not as serene as I thought I was.
October 30, 2008 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's PeTSD. You know, like PTSD but the trauma is the election, and it's pre-, not post-.
Pre-election Trauma Stress Disorder.
October 31, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just like last week the polls are swinging back to Obama again.
October 30, 2008 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
BUT, BUT, REVERAND WRIGHT!!!!
[head explodes]
October 30, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
shhh!!!! Don't ruin a perfectly good thread! :)
October 30, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
haha, sorry.
October 30, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit ___________
October 30, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't even go there - I'm caught in a goddamn fall drought and I'm sitting here not high but dry and I'm so pissed!
October 30, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hehe. I was going to say "watching tracking polls" but figured ya'll could come up with something better. :)
October 30, 2008 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Me too, at the moment. But a dear friend has promised to restock my Happy Stashbag on Saturday. So I'll be nice and mellow through the final maddening days. ;)
October 31, 2008 1:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Me too, at the moment. But a dear friend has promised to restock my Happy Stashbag on Saturday. So I'll be nice and mellow through the final maddening days. ;)
October 31, 2008 2:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
to quit shooting moose? :)
October 30, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
"to quit shooting moose? :)'
To quit sniffing glue:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwyrGwM4a7M
October 30, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
SURGETASTIC!!!!!!
October 30, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK..I'm off for the day 'till later.
Everyone remember your pressure points....whooosaaaahhh....whoooosaaahhh
October 30, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has been above 50% for 11 days in a row and 19 of the past 21. Here's the 10-day numbers:
October 30, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Eric added a chart! Thanks, Eric. My work here is done.
October 30, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
NO, don't stop, you are doing a great job.
October 30, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
The top number is all that really matters when you think about it. For comparison Bush never hit 50% average in the national polls before the 2004 election. Being 50 or above means Obama will theoretically need 0 undecided voters and still win. Even though a certain percentage of undecideds will break for Obama. To me it looks like a 5-7 point national win for Obama right now.
October 30, 2008 9:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's gonna win. Yes, I said it.
http://pufferfish.typepad.com/
October 30, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know.
I can't let go until it's official. I wish to hell I could.
October 30, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
We at TPM could declare it official, then everyone could return to normal.
But I suppose the number of those who don't want to return to normal would win the declaration.
So, never mind.
October 31, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where do conservatives threaten to move to if their candidate is losing?
October 30, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
To McCains birthplace...Panama!
October 30, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually that's not a bad guess cause I know someone who bought some property down there and she's German - she grew up in the 3d Reich and her stepfather was an officer on the Eastern Front.
She told me after she bought the property that she feels really at home on Panama cause it's full of Germans.
She was just a child during the war and she's a US citizen now and a good liberal. But still -
October 30, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm dying to take my kids to Panama....Bocas del Toro to be exact...spensive to get there, though. once you are there, however, cheap cheap cheap......
October 30, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cheap is just what I hear, too.
But then, so is India. It just costs a fortune to get there, but god once you do I've been told it's astoundingly inexpensive.
India has been at the top of my list for years. I was supposed to go, finally, 2 years ago and then the trip didn't make.
October 30, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi tena,
Obama got an audience of 100k in Berlin.
He would have easily topped 500k in Mumbai, India.
October 30, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iraq?
October 30, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Touche. I hear they gots democracy over there!
October 30, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wondered about that too. I recall Stephen Baldwin saying he might move to Canada but I doubt he'd find that better for him. Besides, I believe they want people with marketable skills.
October 30, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
But but but = Canada is our refuse - the wingnuts cannot have Canada.
No way in hell.
October 30, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
refuge.
damn damn damn
October 30, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL!!! I read 'refuse' and thought you were making a snark. Like the land of reject Dems or something.
(kind of like the isle of misfit toys, if you've ever seen that claymation Rudolph..)
October 30, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, what did Canada do to deserve that?
October 30, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe they want people with marketable skills.
ouch
October 30, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I assumed they'd all move to Alaska and help Caribou Barbie form her own nation of Wingnutistan.
October 30, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Alaska -- I hear they want to secede! ;-)
October 30, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fair enough. They can live out the rest of their days hunting moose with Cessna airplanes while simultaneously wondering why we have an energy crisis.
October 30, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I vote Alaska. I already suggested that she take her supporters with her when she goes back. They'd love it - it's the whitest part of the country.
October 30, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Micronesia/Guam
October 30, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see -- Maine is 0.01% black. Can Alaska beat that?
October 30, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's about 4% in Alaska. We discussed this one night here and it was awhile back, but that's what I remember.
So are you saying we give 'em Maine? I'm not sure about that - if we're giving them states, Alaska is as far as I'm willing to go -
October 30, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
No way do they get Maine!!
October 30, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
True -- but we're also relatively liberal in Maine (as in, Obama +21 in the latest poll posted at 538).
October 30, 2008 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wish it was liberal enough to get Tom Allen elected. BTW, got a robocall from Bill Clinton today asking me to vote for Allen.
October 30, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yah, but ME has a high percentage of French. [Ducking.]
But no way: too close to the border of my state.
October 31, 2008 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anywhere without an extradition treaty. (Well, that's just for Republican officials, not the rank and file.)
October 30, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
maybe "joe" the "plumber" should pay his taxes, get licensed and join the plumbers' union. or would that be socialist?
October 30, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
o/t
According to Huffington Post, Norm Coleman is suing Al Franken for defamation.
I'm all for open access to the courts, but doesn't that strike you as an incredibly desperate thing to do at this stage of a campaign?
Forget about proving malice, the fact that Coleman is a politician, etc, it just strikes me a a cowardly way to move forward and one that is likely to blow up in his face.
What a pussy.
P.S. The case never survives a motion for summary judgment. Where is I trade when you need 'em.
October 30, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did you read that this is the 4th election Coleman has done this in and it's always near the end?
October 30, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow! What a douchenozzle! (I mean, even more than before...)
October 30, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah! Fourth time...and it is always an asshole republican that is screaming about the need for tort reform. Hell, we'd have a cure for AIDS if wasn't for the plaintiff's bar, to listen to them. Man, don't get me going (full disclosure...I'm NOT a plaintiff's lawyer).
I thought October was traditionally a month of harvest?
October 30, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's the fucking truth.
I remember when Tort Reform was in Congress and there were a whole shitload of Repugs fighting to put caps on tort judgments who had all at one time at least sued someone for a tort.
Fucking hell - Republican is synonymous with hypocrite.
October 30, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I don't kmow: Who knows more about the need for tort reform than those who sue and don't get enough; and those who got sued and had to pay out a one thin penny award?
Who knows more about the need for tort reform than Republicans?
October 31, 2008 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Summary of Eric's posts for the last few weeks.
It's up.
It's down.
It's up.
It's down.
It's up.
It's down.
October 30, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, it strikes me that Eric ought to be a stock market reporter.
LOL!
and to hell with your nodes, comments.
October 30, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been bringing my own nodes from home.
October 30, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've still got some rollover nodes from September.
October 30, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
OBAMA on CNN!
October 30, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rasmussen's final predictions!
I'll take it.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/the_last_word_almost
October 30, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm taking it too! Thanks a million! :)
October 30, 2008 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah baby!
Off to the Voter Protection training I go!
October 30, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
And scroll down on the Rasmussen page and you'll find the have BACHMANN LOSING HER SEAT (MN-06)
October 31, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
She'd already lot her mind.
October 31, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Really good deal.
Looks like McCain fell off.
Really loving CNN's coverage and a great special last night!
All the way to the WHITE HOUSE!!!
October 30, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is really interesting and very frustrating to watch the conservative sites attempt to justify a significant "tightening of the race" as they misinterpret the polls. On several segments of Fox News today (I only force myself to watch as a matter of professional interest) they even used erroneous figures to justify this claim. I see that that infamous site, NewsMax is now doing the same thing ... I wonder how many other right-wing sites out there just manufacture data to do their wishful thinking for their viewers?
October 30, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am so nervous about Tuesday. If the results are what I am hoping and I what I believe in my heart, I might celebrate with some right-to-privacy man on man sex.
:)
October 30, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess this all means they'll need bigger prayer groups over the weekend. The ones they've got going now don't seem to be having the right effect. Unless of course you think that Palin's prayer buddies are secretly asking for McCain to lose. Or maybe all those Halloween vibes garbled the message somehow, like static on Palin's line to God.
October 30, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe it means all the other gods are bigger than their god.
:)
October 30, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean the god of stolen elections isn't the all-everything deity they thought he was?
October 30, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't y'all remember that opening invocation to the Palin rally by that religious right preacher who asked god to show his strength because all of us were going to be praying to our other gods - the gods of Buddhism and Islam and Judaism and Hinduism and you know, all the pagan deities as well.
October 30, 2008 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
They better be careful. I seem to remember a group broadcasting their prayer for rain during Obama's primary speech, and then they got a hurricane for their own primary....
October 30, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Payback for the vengeful is a bitch.
October 31, 2008 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
That Rassmussen poll is a joy to see. Am I right in thinking Rass is a right-wing leaning polling org.?
In which case, I find their results even more compelling...Roll on, Nov.4. I'm fucking drained already...
October 30, 2008 6:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. Nothing left.
It is nice to see the composite swing the other way--kind of makes our 'trend' back toward McCain seem really to be just manifestations of statistical noise. (Jeez, officially a dork: I used manifestation in a non-ghostlike context)
October 30, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I found out where the religious right is going after Obama wins. According to the incredible fear-mongering letter James Dobson has sent out, they will end up emigrating to Australia and New Zealand after the Liberal Apocalypse that Obama is bringing to good white American christians.
You know - forcing churches to marry teh gays, forcing doctors to perform abortions ( I know I regularly go and get abortions just to piss them off), muzzling rightwing broadcasts, blah blah blah.
I wish the religious right would move, en masse, all the way off the continent -that would suit me right down to the ground.
here's the link to the letter: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-wallis/james-dobsons-letter-from_b_139253.html
October 30, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
They can't go to Australia, they'd be too close to Ayers Rock.
October 30, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you very much for the chuckle I got from that comment.
October 31, 2008 7:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Whoever came up with the sobriquet Governor Moose Meat, here's to you!
October 30, 2008 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Geeze....the Maori in New Zealand are gonna be PISSED.
October 30, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
No shit.
I read some time ago now, in Granta - I used to take it - that there were serious discussions in New Zealand about giving it back to the Maori.
That'll be the day -
October 30, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I sorta wonder if McCain will serve out the remainder of his term, that he'd resign to pursue the playboy life. The recent profiles in The Phoenix News and Rolling Stone give us the picture of a craven individual bent on only one thing: the Oval Office.
Perhaps his pal Joe would also resign and they would then set sail for Rio. fab!
October 30, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
No no no...If his past is an indication it is the oval orifice!
October 30, 2008 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
In 2000, I vowed to move to France if Gore lost. Then, in '04, I started packing my bags for Puerto Rico. I won't believe it's safe to unpack until I see and hear McCain concede! Tell you what, though: If Obama heads to Arizona between now and next Monday, it will be a sure sign of one-of-two things -- (a) his internal polls back-up the most optimistic polls we've seen; or, (b) someone in that campaign has lost his or her mind. Even if it's the former, it seems simply nuts to divert time and resources trying to gild the lilly when there are bigger fish to fry. (It also seems that only a burn-out would throw so many bad metaphors around in one post.) 'Nuff said . . .
October 30, 2008 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, let me see if I have this right: You vowed to move to France if Gore lost and you didn't.
You vowed to move to Puerto Rico if Kerry lost, and you didn't.
You really think you'll move somewhere if McLame wins?
;)
October 30, 2008 7:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I DID take the packed back to PR for a month but, hey -- I missed the snow. Now, I need to chill . . . this stuff is making me too nuts. (Yup. There I go again with them dam metaphors . . .) Arrrghhhh . . .
October 30, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am afraid to hope. The polls have been wrong so often and this race is so close. No one can call it before early Wednesday morning.
October 30, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm posting this one for you, Margie, cause you need to see it.
:)
October 30, 2008 6:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's called REFS: Rapid-cycling Election Freakout Syndrome. I, too, am self-diagnosed.
October 30, 2008 7:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
And just look at the new CBS poll:) Just wonderful news, especially on the early vote...
Yes we can, yes we can!!!!
Obama/Biden 08
October 30, 2008 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could you maybe post a link to the poll or the poll?
October 30, 2008 7:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tightening polls?
CBS/NYT (Nationwide)
Obama 52
McLamo 41
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/30/opinion/polls/main4559179.shtml
October 30, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Woo Hoo!
This is the biggest smile I've had all day.
October 30, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
%51 to %41...yes!...that's a lead we can believe in, my friends. You betcha, also, maverick...Joe the Bummer, stand up...Joe? He was supposed to be here, my friends...guess he read the polls...why does Joe the Bummer hate America, my friends?
October 30, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I come here just so I can find solace in the fact that I am not the only one who is suffering from anxiety, sleep deprivation and GURD because of this election.
I will probably start jumping out of my skin when the polls start closing in the East and the pundits start calling the states. I think I am going to load up on Xanax that day. It's the only way I am going to make it.
October 30, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the CBS/NYT poll story:
"An enthusiasm gap remains between the candidates: While roughly half of Obama's supporters are excited about their candidate being elected, just 22 percent of McCain voters feel the same."
duh
October 30, 2008 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry Tena, I forgot to copy the link...
I have been so sick hearing Gregory talking about Mason/Dixon PA poll, and bringing the narrative that it was a close race in PA and that McWar could win, and why he is no closing the deal...
This guy is so incompetent...It is beyond believe...
October 30, 2008 7:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is it with MSNBC's non-KO non-RM pundits and their love for the tightening meme? It's like these people don't even look at the numbers, they are just fed info by producers. Isn't Chuck Todd an ANALYST? Can't he ANALYZE the polls and the trends? The media driving the story bothers me even more than a new random poll with outlying funky numbers.
October 30, 2008 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is it with MSNBC's non-KO non-RM pundits and their love for the tightening meme? It's like these people don't even look at the numbers, they are just fed info by producers. Isn't Chuck Todd an ANALYST? Can't he ANALYZE the polls and the trends? The media driving the story bothers me even more than a new random poll with outlying funky numbers.
October 30, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I keep thinking I'm having a stroke.
October 30, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been having a stroke a day. If this keeps up, I won't have any brain left at all...then I guess I'll become a Palin fan..
October 30, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
We at TPM could declare it official, then everyone could return to normal.
But I suppose the number of those who don't want to return to normal would win the declaration.
So, never mind.
October 31, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
We at TPM could declare it official, then everyone could return to normal.
But I suppose the number of those who don't want to return to normal would win the declaration.
So, never mind.
October 31, 2008 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGF-HEd6XnA
McCain voter fraud. Check it out.
October 30, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
hey check this video out. Its pretty important to this upcoming election. "McCain Voter Fraud" on youtube.com. Heres the link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGF-HEd6XnA
October 30, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
is there a larger version of this image?
also ... the real reason why you should vote: (funny but true) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UQvw8rvcQxg
October 30, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Obama live on cnn in a minute...
October 30, 2008 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shorter Eric:
+07 => +07 Gallup
+03 => +05 Rasmussen
+08 => +08 ABC-WaPo
+07 => +06 Hot-Dog
+06 => +05 R2k
+05 => +07 Zogby
October 30, 2008 11:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
The morning Zogby -
O - 50.1% Y - ( 50.2 % )
M - 43.1 % Y - ( 43.3 % )
http://www.zogby.com/
Undecideds or those who support other candidates increased slightly to 6.8% of the sample
October 31, 2008 4:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
The morning Zogby -
O - 50.1% Y - ( 50.2 % )
M - 43.1 % Y - ( 43.3 % )
http://www.zogby.com/
Undecideds or those who support other candidates increased slightly to 6.8% of the sample
October 31, 2008 4:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Zogby sucks but thanks for the news
October 31, 2008 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Are you all telling me that this is going to end on Tuesday. Never!! I don't want to hear that. What am I going to do after Tuesday?
Okay - I hear you - take my life back. Got it.
Go Obama.
October 31, 2008 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink