This race is making me thirsty.

Holy shit, I just noticed the Prop. 8 ad, way to go!!!

Also please note that Zogby is using the same number of the democrats ID as republicans, so I don't trust this poll...

He is also ahed in VA by +10 and +12 in CO...

9 more days...I can't wait for this to be over...

OK good, now we don't have to see the pic of LIEbersuckfuckwit.

FYI. Zogby just makes up numbers. I said it when he showed Obama +10 and I say it now.

Mr.Zogby wakes up every morning, brews his coffee, looks outside the window and makes up a number.

On one hand, I wish Ann Richards were still around. Oh how she'd make mincemeat out of those two Repugs.

And on the other hand, imagine Obama's first visit to Africa, to anywhere, after January 20th. I've long been very much of a Kennedy partisan, but I think that the electricity accompanying Obama's visits abroad will dwarf that of JFK.

Eric, if you're able to chart the TPM Track Composite, that would help people tell whether there's any trend beyond just the latest day's (usually small) change.

Obama is down a bit today, but yesterday was his biggest margin to date. The past 10 days have been very good for him. Here's what I found in the archives:

Date	Obama	McCain	Difference
10/6	50.5%	42.1%	8.4
10/7	50.6	42.8	7.8
10/8	49.7	43.2	6.5
10/9	49.9	42.6	7.3
10/10	50.0	42.2	7.8
10/11	50.8	42.5	8.3
10/12	50.7	43.2	7.5
10/13	50.6	43.1	7.5
10/14	50.6	43.1	7.5
10/15	50.3	43.3	7.0
10/16	50.3	43.7	6.6
10/17	50.4	43.9	6.5
10/18	49.5	44.3	5.2
10/19	49.9	43.9	6.0
10/20	50.1	43.7	6.4
10/21	50.5	43.1	7.4
10/22	51.3	43.1	8.2
10/23	51.5	43.1	8.4
10/24	51.6	43.1	8.5
10/25	51.6	42.8	8.8
10/26	51.2	43.1	8.1

Wait a minute --- didn't McCain say just this morning on Meet the Press that Zogby had him within three points?

McCombover's got him right where he wants him...erm...in the White House.

1. It is ironic that McCain did his Meet The Press interview today from Waterloo, Iowa -- a subconscious choice perhaps. Waterloo was a place of final defeat for a short military leader.

2. There are 8 national trackers and tpm's daily summary omits two of them. It is no coincidence that those two have the best numbers for McCain.

Battleground has Obama ahead by 3 points (but does not report on Saturdays or Sundays). It's a poll of average historical accuracy.

IBD/TIPP was the most accurate pollster in 2004, only about .4% off Dumbya's final winning margin. IBD/TIPP today has Obama ahead by 3.2 points.

To get a realistic average of the tracking polls, tpm should include the Battleground and TIPP trackers.

Shorter Eric:

+7  =>  +9  Gallup
+8  =>  +8  Rasmussen
+9  =>  +7  ABC-WaPo
+7  =>  +8  Hot-Dog
+12 => +11  R2K
+9  =>  +5  Zogby