Snap Polls Give Debate Win To Obama
The post-debate snap polls are out, showing that Barack Obama won the debate.
In CNN's poll of debate-watchers, Obama won by a 54%-30% margin. In the CBS poll of uncommitted debate-watchers, Obama won 39%-27%.
The CNN poll's numbers were just read on TV, showing that Obama is seen as better on Iraq by 51%-47%, McCain has a 51%-46% edge on terrorism -- a subject where he's usually done much better than this -- and Obama wins 59%-37% on the economy. On the current financial crisis, Obama wins 57%-36%
Both the first presidential debate and the Veep debate showed the Dem winning -- and both were followed by the Democratic ticket gaining more and more in the polls.
Late Update: Some more numbers from the CNN poll were read just now on the air: Obama is seen as the stronger leader 54%-43%, and is more likable 65%-28%.















Pat Buchanan says Mccain won.
October 7, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wah! It's Pat Buchanan.
October 7, 2008 11:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course he says that. As long as McCain spoke in complete sentences, Buchanan would say that.
I really don't understand why MSNBC employs a known racist and Nazi sympathizer, but I guess that's why I'm not in management.
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course Pat thinks McCain won.
That's because, like McCain, when referring to a black guy, he tends to call him "that one" while pointing derisively.
October 7, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't either.
It's outrageous he is entitled to his views and polite society is entitled to shun him for his views.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
That was for scientific
October 7, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's because MSNBC is geared at left-leaning viewers, and nobody makes the right side of the spectrum look more idiotic than Pat Buchanan.
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Same reason Skeletor McFeeble (Alan Colmes) represents the left on Fox.
October 7, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is an excellent point and one that I hadn't paused to fully consider before.
October 7, 2008 11:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's good... Pat's been consistent so far. Whenever he says that McCain or Palin won, then the polls show that Obama and Biden actually won, and their poll numbers go up. Let's hope the trend continues!
October 7, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
And can I say I've never seen Pat look less convinced of his convictions.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rachel needs to give Buchanan the heave-ho and find another conservative talking head. He's an arrogant, rude blowhard.
October 7, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
No need to dispose of Pat yet. He's the perfect foil for Maddow. To put it another way, could you imagine Bugs Bunny without Elmer Fudd?
October 7, 2008 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I may be cwazy, but I'm not going to Alcatwaz!"
October 8, 2008 8:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Perfect analogy. Plus, conservatives flipping around the channels might pause at MSNBC when Pat is on -- potentially luring them into the winsome rationality that is Rachel. She trounces him every time, without resorting to the typical bellicose theatrics of TV.
October 8, 2008 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
@Doofus: "... and find another conservative talking head. He's an arrogant, rude blowhard."
My, my, my Doofus, but you are being redundant.
October 8, 2008 1:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I case you haven't noticed, Buchanan doesn't know his ass from his face.
October 8, 2008 12:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
In case you haven't noticed, Buchanan doesn't know his ass from his face.
October 8, 2008 12:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, because McLame didn't drool.
Or, speaking of drooling, is it because he now has the hots for Palin? Have you heard him gush over her? I mean, really... It's disgusting to behold.
At least he seems finally to be over his thing for Hillary. That became ever so tiring for the six or eight months he gushed over her and declared her infinite superiority over Obama.
Of course, there is a rather common thread there: None of them are THAT ONE.
October 8, 2008 2:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another step closer folks.
Heads down and pocket books open. It ain't over 'til its over.
October 7, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
"President Obama"
....
Just trying it out
October 7, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
according to david gergen on cnn we have to subtract 6 points because of Obama's "blackness"...no kidding...his "blackness"
October 7, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
"That one"?!?
McCain hath shot himself in the head and sustained himself a fatal injury.
October 7, 2008 11:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
CNN poll also has Obama winning "who showed better leadership".
October 7, 2008 11:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
indeed...but his "blackness"? who says that?
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
WHAT IS WITH THE MCCAIN WHISTLING NOISES? I didn't watch the debate, but my mom caught a bit of it and was immediately put off by the horror of all the whistling noises coming from McCain's teeth as he talks. After she told me, I watched a few moments, and I was similarly grossed out.
I spent my evening watching quality television--"Janice Dickinson's Modeling Agency"--but if I'd had nothing good to watch I still might not have watched the debate because of...THE HORROR...THE HORROR...OF THE WHISTLING TEETH!!!!
Is he Terry Thomas, or something???
October 7, 2008 11:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was fixated on that, too, it seemed more like he couldn't catch his breath. I began to wonder if he might drop dead before the "debate" was over...
October 7, 2008 11:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Towards the end McCain wasn;t even walking out to the audience, but holding back by his chair, or even walking back behind is chair away from the audience...
What's up with that?
Tired would explain his staying by his chair. But walking behind his own chair away from the audience? I don't think one needs to be an expert in body language or psychology to figure it out.
All you have to do is watch the audience and snap polls, and know what McCain saw, and why he wanted to run away. And did, right after the debate.
October 8, 2008 12:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that was bugging me too. I was like "Sit down, Gramps! You're in the picture!" as he meandered around during Obama's turns to speak. It was like was walking off a case of indigestion or a cramp in his leg.
October 8, 2008 7:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Most people with dentures sound that way. I hope by the time I have to get them someone figures out not to make all the surfaces so damn smooth.
October 7, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go for implants instead. God knows Cindy should have been able to afford them for McWheezy.
October 8, 2008 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
generation gap/knowledge gap:
the whistling may be due to an ill-fitting upper denture plate .... someone needs to send him some Fixodent?
October 8, 2008 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
No Surprise!!
One thing MSM and blogs to an extent are failing to convey: Obama will always have an upper hand going into these debates, because as Bill Clinton said he is on the right side of the history. On Iraq, On Economy, On Healthcare, On talking with Iran- he's with the American majority.
But he won not only on issues, but on style, substance, cohenrence and confidence. McCain, as Dave would say:"Someone mixed something in his Metamucil.
McCain managed to sink a little lower tonight with "that one." The hatred in his eyes was clearly visible.
Finally, again proud to be democrat and supporter of Barack Obama.
Another great night.
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't mind saying this, because it is well after family hour, but...
I am totally rock hard right now.
What a debate. Second only to the Clinton-Bush-Perot debate in 1992, when Clinton sealed the deal.
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
ROTFLMAO! I live for seeing your avatar. (but I'm not rock hard about it...)
October 7, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Sullivan says just as much. He calls it devastating for McCain. I agree.
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Death watch for McCain campaign on Charlie Rose.
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
what the fuck mccain meant by " that one "
October 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, to be charitable-he couldn't think of Obama's name but he knows that he's a candidate.
The other explanations are, well, not excellent news for McCain.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's hard to tell them black folks apart, let alone remember their names!
Remember questioner Oliver? Later in McCain's response he became "Alan".
So Senator Obama is "that one" and I guess Oliver is "this one".
PEACE
October 8, 2008 12:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now *that's* funny!
October 8, 2008 1:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, it is an anagram for "hate not", but I doubt that's what he meant, given his grumpy grampy affect...
October 8, 2008 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain is fortunate that there weren't a series townhall debates.
October 7, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess we won't hear anymore about that...(rolls eyes)
October 7, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama kicked ass. He is in control.
That said, lets drop this stupid "hand shake" thing. McCain and Obama shook hands immediately after the debate ended. That was clear. The thing with Cindy McCain was just an awkward moment of hand shaking confusion.
October 7, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
My immediate reaction upon the conclusion of the debate, as told to my wife, was, "Another tie". I was wrong on the first one when I said the same thing. Then I saw David Brooks (we were watching PBS) say that he thought Obama won. I thought, "Well, if Brooks says Obama won, it must be the opposite". It appears, based on both the polls and pundit reax, that Obama did, in fact, win.
Good for us. Although this was kind of boring.
October 7, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
"My immediate reaction upon the conclusion of the debate, as told to my wife, was, 'Another tie'."
I wouldn't argue with that. However, (pardon the sports metaphor please) it's like being in the 10th round of a championship boxing match and having the score for the round break even -- but one of the fighters is in the lead before that round started.
A tie = still being behind.
The championship rounds are still ahead and, while it looks like McLame is running out of steam, he can't continue to "tie" and win. He either has to knock out the champ, or return to some pretty cold halls in the Senate minority.
October 8, 2008 2:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
"That one" wow just saw that on highlights...not good sounded really snarky and demeaning
October 7, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also, the debate on healthcare cannot be overstated. While may not be fully captured in "punditry" and in polls- Obama sealed tonight on Healthcare.
October 7, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
His compelling story about his mother is what sealed the deal. I really believed that touched a lot of people.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I watched the vid 3 times and no he did not shake hands with Obama - no he didn't.
He directed Obama to Cindy, they shook hands and McLame had already withdrawn his hand. He is not going to touch "that one."
October 7, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. I think Obama and his commanding lead is waking up the racists in McLame, Cindy, Palin and their supporters.
Look at the chutzpah of the nigger, "that one", who not only wants to run for but also win the "White" House.
Many of these people don't think a black man deserves to be the President and now it's becoming a little more clear.
I love that one. I want that one to win. That one rules.
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's what I saw, my friend.
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tena,
They shook hands before that video clip, at the end of the debate while they were standing together and Brokaw whined about them being in front of his teleprompter.
October 7, 2008 11:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
If that's what you saw, I believe it and retract my criticism.
October 8, 2008 12:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
I noticed the "that one" thing right away and commented about it to my wife. He just couldn't hold the contempt in, not even for just 90 minutes.
October 7, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pat PukeCannon says McCain won.
On another note: Pat PukeCannon also thinks that the Confederacy won.
October 7, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
What does Gergen mean by subtracting 6 points for "blackness"?? Does he mean that we can't trust the polls because folks aren't saying what they really mean? (This is what I wake up in a cold sweat about in the middle of the night...)
October 7, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, I think Gergen was referring to the Bradley effect, though that was a very awkward way to put it. But cut Gergen a little slack -- he has been very quick to overrule skepticism of other pundits on whatever panel he is on at the time and point out the "dog whistles" to racist elements that the McCain campaign has been using. He's being a realist, not a racist.
October 8, 2008 1:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unless Obama wipes his rear end with the American flag during the final debate, I'm uh...cautiously optimistic.
October 7, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did anyone else have this impression of McCain.
It could not stop thinking that John McCain was hopped up on something. He just could not sit still, or stand still. His eyes look like squirrel piss holes in the snow.
They had him juiced to the max.
It looks like their internal tracking polls told them that their terrorist smears were backfiring, since he did not even hint at it tonight.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
At one point McCain was up wandering around while Obama was speaking. I think it was during the healthcare question. Obama was speaking and McCain was kind of hovering around in the background.
Very weird.
October 7, 2008 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I had the same thought. Is he beginning to "wander" as some old folks do?
October 7, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually McCain started jumping up in an agitated way when Obabam was hammering him on his past positions such as deregulation and flip flopping on Bush's tax cuts for CEOs. You could tell he was struggling to keep his cool.
It came off as weak. Like he couldn't hold his nerve or maintain.
If you watch Obama during McCain's answers, he's listening, smiling, comfortable and confident.
October 8, 2008 12:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I noticed that, too. My impression was that he was reluctant to let Obama have the spotlight all to himself, but it's also quite possible, as others here have said, that he was simply unable to completely contain himself when Obama was voicing criticism of him.
October 8, 2008 1:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
"his eyes looked like squirrel pissholes in the snow" LOL
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
On Gergan's take off six points for blackness,,,,, that jives with Willie Brown's observation that you take off seven to ten points for blackness and for a woman anytime in American politics.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And that is exactly why we must offer to carpool to polling centers, be willing to wait 12 hours in the pouring rain, make sure everybody but minors and dead people get to out there or, as they say in Chicago "vote early and vote often."
We can't leave this one as a tight race on 11/4. We can't trust recounts and people intimidated to admit their bigotry in public.
October 8, 2008 2:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama nailed it on all fronts. McCain came off as a bizarre mix of condescending, befuddled, mean, smarmy and doddering.
October 7, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
On Gergan's take off six points for blackness,,,,, that jives with Willie Brown's observation that you take off seven to ten points for blackness and for a woman anytime in American politics.
October 7, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
At the end of the day, McCain is kind of a dick. I really don't like to be that crass, but it is the only word that really fits.
McCain is a dick.
October 7, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like how you were tentative at first ("kind of...") but you talked yourself through it and became certain.
McCain is a dick.
October 7, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
"...McCain is kind of a dick. I really don't like to be that crass, but it is the only word that really fits"
I usually have to use two words. "Dick" and "Head"
October 8, 2008 12:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are being charitable and quite PG (PC)? That is about the nicest thing I've had to say about him for quite a while.
October 8, 2008 2:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Healthcare. One moment where I actually perked up. And yeah, on that topic, I think Obama killed.
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
ANd mucho apologies for using Peggy terminology.
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
More Peggy terminology: "It's over."
October 7, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a RIGHT, damnit.
October 7, 2008 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
YES, and that is a nod to Teddy...
October 7, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you guys get the sense that some of these CNN "Undecideds" are just not very bright or is it just me?
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thats why they are undecided
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
/That's the Bradley Effect Bullshit - based on one fucking election over 20 years ago -'
On the other hand, Debbie Wassermann-Schulz was saying last night on Rachel Maddow's show that the polls are way off - that Obama is ahead by at least 12 points - not 7.
You can believe the bad shit based on a mayoral race in the 80s or you can believe what's happening.
October 7, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Debbie was talking about the Florida polls yesterday.
October 7, 2008 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
the bradley effect is just something to keep racists from blowing their brains out.
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm telling you - I cannot believe that something that chimerical ever made it into the political lexicon.
That was never quantified - it was a fucking theory. In one mayoral race and a lot has happened in 20 some odd years.
October 7, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://election.princeton.edu/2008/09/27/the-disappearing-bradley-effect/
October 7, 2008 11:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
It wasn't just one election, Tena -- the same thing happened when Doug Wilder was running for governor of Virginia. Pre-election polls gave Wilder a 9 point lead; the actual vote count had Wilder and his Republican opponent separated by less than half a percent.
Maybe that's a thing of the past; I hope so. But it doesn't hurt to be wary of it.
By the way, with Bradley it wasn't a mayoral race, it was when he ran for governor of California. But I believe the same thing happened in when David Dinkins ran for NYC mayor against Rudy Giuliani in 1989, so maybe that's why you remember it as a mayoral race thing.
October 8, 2008 1:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
And if you look as the last census in 2000 in which people were allowed to list multiple races, that creates a demographic that's not being talked about. There's a significant part of the population that can identify with Obama just on the basis of biraciality (if that's a real word).
October 8, 2008 10:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two debates, and McCain still hasn't mentioned the middle class.
October 7, 2008 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why concern one's self with "the little people?"
October 8, 2008 1:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Gergen; Senator Obama had a white mother, so you must add back three points.
October 7, 2008 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL.
October 8, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! I was out canvassing again last weekend and hit upon my first true racist. After my shock wore off, I started talking about Obama's positions on issues. The man overall agreed that O's policies were better, but that he couldn't vote for a black president. I explained that O is only half black, so perhaps he could close one eye and vote for his white half.
After I got him to laugh, I said "After 8 years of Republicans running our country into the red, wouldn't it be refreshing and in our economic interest to start seeing some 'black' again in our government?"
He'll still probably vote for McStain, but at least I got him to talk.
PEACE
October 8, 2008 12:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks so much for doing this for our country. Sincerely.
October 8, 2008 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
BRAVO!
October 8, 2008 1:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey there SM-(he he). I just wanted to say thank you for being out there, canvassing for Obama. I live in such a conservative, rethuglican area, I'm too scared to put an Obama bumper sticker on my car, let alone actively campaign for him. So again, for having the courage to do what many of us cannot.
On another note, I was appalled to hear David Gergun talk about taking away points for Obama's "blackness." I suppose since he's of an "older" generation, he got a pass- but then again, kudos to him for having the nerve to say it. We all know race is a factor in this er, race.
October 8, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
The debate sucked. It was the same points, charges, falsehoods, etc from the first debate. Was there anything new here? I'm not looking forward to the next one. My prediction - the next one will be EXACTLY like the first two. I can't wait for this to be over.
Here's what the "punditry" should be talking about tomorrow: McCain walked out at the end while Barack and Michelle walked around the audience, shaking hands, taking pictures, CONNECTING to the voters there. What does that say about McCain? Did he have to get to his nap?
October 7, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I respect Gergen,and I'll not fully dismiss his point on Blackness. In fact, I see no other reason for Obama to loose at this point.
But Gergen relies a lot on history, and I'd like to think Blackness will not affect Obama as much as the conventional wisdom.
He'll win inspite of his "blackness."
October 7, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. Gergen's "expertise" is from four election cycles ago. Stuck in the past, dude.
October 8, 2008 7:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
The most important snap poll, for me, occurred before the debate. My elderly life-long republican parents (91 an 86) had already made up their mind that Obama is the one "to get us out of this mess."
This is huge!!! That means Obama has turned around folks who were totally taken in by Palin initially.
My 91 year old father is completely convinced Obama will win. And he's gonna vote for him!
So convinced are these two elderly voters that they were not even going to watch the debate. They assumed Obama would win!
October 7, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me say this too. My dad grew up in Cincinnati. I believe he's been somewhat a closet racist. That he has decided to vote for Obama presages something an amazing landslide! (I'm gonna get him a yard sign!)
October 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's a large percentage of people who only want to vote for who they think will win. I'm not saying your dad fits into that category, but it has an effect on most people, that momentum element. I think as we approach, assuming no huge surprise, that the independents will largely break to Obama simply because it's clear he'll win and they want to be on the winning side of history.
October 8, 2008 1:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
As some blogger pointed out, there is absolutely no reason to belive that the Bradley effect is real. It was a locL race 20 years ago. It never reared its head in the polls during the primaries. Heck, the Bradley effect is better off seen as the exception that confirms the rule that people will usually tell pollsters who they are really going to vote for even if they might lie about the reasons.
October 7, 2008 11:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure what you mean by "a locL race." Bradley had served as the mayor of Los Angeles, but the race he lost was for the governorship of California, hardly a local election. You wouldn't necessarily see a Bradley effect in the primaries, where California democrats are non-racist enough that it wouldn't show up. The effect in the general election, though, was profound, and dismissing it now seems (having lived through it then) really optimistic. I'll be ecstatically overjoyed to dismiss it Nov 5 if Obama's totals match the polls.
October 8, 2008 12:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
THAT ONE 08
http://flickr.com/photos/copelanda/2923600786/
October 7, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn! I want the t-shirt right now!
October 7, 2008 11:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain lost Florida tonight.
October 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Meh, I'm over hating on McCain for his "That one" or "maybe not shaking Obama's hand" moments. Of course I'll probably hate his guts tomorrow when he does or says something ridiculous, but I just saw an old man tonight - his wandering around because he couldn't get comfortable in the chair, having to lean on anything for support after standing for too long. And old man who's time has passed.
October 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
What the fuck happened to Mccain's gloves ? Did he forget and leave them at home ?
And Mccain left the building immediately ? Hello ?
Paging SFC Wallace. You still think the old guy is CIC material ?
October 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is McCain still white?
October 7, 2008 11:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't bother SFC Walace. He is busy banging his head against the wall.
October 7, 2008 11:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
With a head that hard, I feel sorry for the wall.
October 7, 2008 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Walked out and left the Obamas that room and by the time the Obamas left - after about 30 minutes - everyone in that room was in love.
Those white guys in that audience got downright starry-eyed after they shook hands with him and spoke with him.
October 7, 2008 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
My wife said the same thing!
October 7, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
They even took a big group picture together, that's what I call working a crowd.
October 8, 2008 12:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I knew it would never happen.
1) he wouldn't have been telegraphing it if he actually planned to do anything.
2) Obama would clean McCain's clock and not only demolish his Presidential can'tpaign, but also his Senate career and legacy if McCain asks for it badly enough. Keating Five? Palin's wingnut secessionist husband? McCain's flip flops on tax cuts and the Evangelical base?
Like I keep saying, McCain is happy Obama is allowing him to lose gracefully. McCain will pander to the base a bit and run sleazy ads, but he won't dare go toe to toe with Obama. If he did, all the skeletons in McCain's closet would be fair game. Then whole failed Republican ideology would be put up in a fight to the death and would lose, without question. McCain and the country should be should be thankful Obama isn't as vicious or petty as McCain would surely be.
October 8, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know where the networks find all those so called undecided jerks, for their panels, don't you.
You find them at every Starbucks, or fast food joint, holding up the lines, because when it is their turn to order, they still have not decided what the fuck they want. Those clueless morons are the last ones that should be paid any attention to.
If you don't know what the hell you stood in line to get, then stay home on election day, you bunch of clueless imbeciles.
October 7, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, if they vote for Obama, then they are our bunch of clueless imbeciles. ;)
Kinda sad innit, to be still undecided even at this stage ?
October 7, 2008 11:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like the people in the grocery line who wait until the whole order is rung up and bagged and then dip into their purse to grab their check book (who pays by checks anymore anyway?) and it takes them forever to fill it out! Don't even know today's date!
Talk about being unable to anticipate what will come next!
PEACE
October 8, 2008 12:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, they're the ones using change instead of MetroCards on NYC buses...and counting it out instead of having it in hand.
October 8, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
the fox news website's poll currently gives the debate to obama 61% to 39%
October 7, 2008 11:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think as liberals (or progressives, or whatever the fuck you want to call yourself) we're WAY too cautious. I felt that way while following Josh's live blog during the debate. He was indicating that Obama was winning, but only cautiously so.
I'll say this: I think it was a slaughter. There are no bullets left in McCain's gun. He repeated things from the last debate ("I looked into his eyes and saw three letters k-g-b") that just made him sound like he had nothing to offer. He even did damage to his own base by offering to, in their eyes, socialize mortgages.
It was a fucking wipe-out, folks. Don't believe the hype that would pretend things are still close.
October 7, 2008 11:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Co-sign - I almost emailed Josh about that and said- o come on!
McCain was creepy - he was creepier than ever tonight. He scared that audience a couple of times, I think.
October 7, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. And he got so close to some women, that they seemed to cringe and back away!
October 7, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Creepy-crawly. It looked weirdly disrespectful, at least on camera.
But everyone know that the camera adds 10 pounds of creep.
October 8, 2008 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah I saw that. When he walked around the side of the seating platform the women in front had to lean away he was so close.
I got the feeling towards the end he knew he was losing and was really grasping, hoping to connect. The backslapping with the Navy guy was a little sad. I almost expected him to have a Sally Fields moment and say "he liiiiikes meeeee!!!"
Overall he came off as rather awkward and a step or three behind.
October 8, 2008 2:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
The questioner who was a retired Navy Chief seemed quite pleased with Obama's answer.
October 8, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Pat 'Nazi' Buchanan is a cynic and its clear from the scientific and snap polls ' That One ' won the debate.
October 7, 2008 11:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey TheraP, God(dess) bless your old folks.
October 7, 2008 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain was creepy - he was creepier than ever tonight.
Yeah, but after 9-11 everybody thought the creepy guys could save us. But maybe it's really going to come to an end. I thought I would go first.
October 7, 2008 11:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Update the CBS:
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/10/07/politics/horserace/entry4508356.shtml
"Forty percent of the 516 uncommitted voters surveyed identified Barack Obama as tonight's winner; 26 percent said John McCain won, while 34 percent saw the debate as a draw."
The earlier 39-27 was from around 400 uncommitted voters, at least when I heard it on KO's show. Basically when getting more in, 1% flipped to Obama.
John
October 8, 2008 12:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
On substance, McCain's answers were just plain awful.
Watch his answer on Pakistan and Osama bin Laden again, and tell me how his position is different from Obama's, and how he's not hinting that he would do exactly what Obama has said, only while trying to attack Obama for saying so... huh??? It's ridiculous.
He's completely pretzeled himself while trying to attack on the issue.
And sorry to Hillary supports, no offense please, but that didn't work for her on the exact same subject and exact same attack. So why is McCain repeating it? Way to unlearn obvious lessons and make the same mistakes.
October 8, 2008 12:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
In fact, McScum very often repeated what Obama said... with some insults added for a flavor of difference, of course.
October 8, 2008 12:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did I hear McCain say at one point that he 'knew where bin Laden was' and that 'we'll get him' like that was just no big deal and we'll get around to it. Maybe he should tell the US military where he thinks bin Laden is...
October 8, 2008 12:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Buchanan ought to know that the "Bradley Effect" turns out not to be about respondents saying one thing to pollsters but voting differently when no one is looking. Better analysis of that wrong forecast found that the contacts who REFUSE TO BE INTERVIEWED are more likely to be suspicious of "others", and conservative at the polls, ie: those who answer polls are not representative of the whole electorate. Similar miscalculations during the early primaries underestimated the strength of Obama support. One could have posited a "Hillary Effect" where voters who SAID they would vote for a woman wouldn't follow through, or a "Barack Effect", where voters were MORE likely to support a black candidate than they let on. But the answer was more prosaic polss underestimated the number of younger voters, and missed those with only cell phones. Buchanan knows this. His 6% comment is meant to legitimize racism to those still uncertain whether to let it go and vote for Barack..
October 8, 2008 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
this was a mauling.
October 8, 2008 12:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am so sick of hearing McCain say "I know how to (fill in the blank)." He doesn't actually say how he's going to win wars, solve social security, or whatever. He just says he knows how to do it, with this attitude that we're idiots for even asking the question.
If he knows how to do this stuff, why hasn't he done it yet? I'm sick of people acting like solving these problems are easy. (And he did say social security was easy to fix!)
October 8, 2008 12:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe he was channeling Anthont Perkins:
"I understand the needs of a woman."
October 8, 2008 12:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course he said Social Security was easy to fix -- his solution is to dismantle it entirely. See? That's real easy.
October 8, 2008 1:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah. And the audience wasn't buying McCain's Experienced Maveriky routine tonight. As they say: "don't tell me, show me."
I was watching the audience, especially a few guys who looked like possible Republicans. Every time McCain started up his maverick/experience routine they started to smile and look reassured. But each time, when it became clear McCain had no specifics or anything more than slogans and tired Republican free market talking points, or when Obama rebutted McCain on taxes, growth, small businesses, etc, those smiles faded and were replaced with puzzled and disappointed looks in McCain's direction.
Which seems to be how a lot of Republicans are feeling these days, with good reason. Obama is wise not to gleefully dance on the grave of the failed ideology many Republicans have embraced since Reagan. They're coming around, but it's going to be painful to admit.
October 8, 2008 4:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Watching the re-broadcast now.
WTF was up with McCain when asked who he'd appoint to handle the economic crisis? He was obviously taken off guard and paused. He compensated for that moment of insecurity by answering "not you Tom." yuk yuk yuk.
Who does that remind of? What recent US President feels the need to make dicky jokes whenever he feels insecure?
And best of all, who does he mention first off as a possible choice? "Warren Buffett, who is supporting Obama."
Ugh.
October 8, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
If anyone had "My Friends" in their drinking game, they would be headed for the hospital right now with alcohol poisoning.
Damn, he sucks.
October 8, 2008 12:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, a drinking game for "Petraeus" would've gotten you pretty plastered as well!
October 8, 2008 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tena,
In the clip TPM showed, McCain clearly did not shake and directed Obama to Cindy. But they DID shake - rather heartily - right after the debate before brokaw told them to get out of his way.
October 8, 2008 12:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain sounded desperate, especially during the first half of the debate. He was trying to really convince people that he was the one with the solutions. But his tone of voice was plaintive, as if were he to sound passionate enough, the audience would be convinced. But instead he sounded desperate. And unconvincing.
Part of the problem is that his policy solutions are not well grounded. He really does not seem to understand the ramifications of his health care plan, for example. So he talks in platitudes of consumer choice. And all he had really was that odd tone of voice where he was trying to convince people that he would be the savior. He sounded desperate. And he will lose.
And he deserves to lose.
Thank you John Marshall for your work.
October 8, 2008 12:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
My next T-shirt:
"I'm voting for THAT ONE"
October 8, 2008 12:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Time for a new "that one" avatar
October 8, 2008 12:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have this odd sense that neither Obama nor McCain is going to get elected. Like maybe by some strange twist of fate it will end up being Mr. Belvedere. Just sayin'.
October 8, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
What struck me watching the debate was McCain's age. And yikes, we'd have Palin as his successor!!!
October 8, 2008 12:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama was great. He had substantive answers and he was clever about how he framed them, with genuine and pitch-perfect language that will draw in the voters he's had the most trouble with, working class middle America.
McCain is running on fumes with no useful initiatives to promote and at a time when more and more Americans are being turned off by Culture War flame-throwers.
But, my favorite (least favorite?) McCainism is the answer that basically goes "We should do this and that and this other gee-whiz thing because we're Americans and we're the greatest people that ever lived." He used that crap formula at least 4 times and I'm already tired of it from previous appearances. My response to McCain is, stopping telling me how great I am you ass kisser and give me some specifics about what you're going to do.
October 8, 2008 12:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS . . FOR THIS ONE!!!!!
I love me some demonstrative adjectives.
October 8, 2008 12:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Still watching the rebroadcast... Reminded that McCain really stank.
McCain on bipartisanship? "I'm not that popular in my own party."
McCain on the environment? "I supported legislation on the environment, the bad news, it failed."
His answer on nuclear power? "I was on Navy nuclear ships" ... and "Obama wants nuclear to be clean, or safe, or something"
What's the message there?
Vote McCain cause he's unpopular, ineffective, and neither clean nor safe? WTF?
It's an embarrassment our media is so equivocating that despite all the polls making it clear Obama won overwhelmingly with everyone but the Republican base, none of the MSM has the guts to admit McCain bombed. Badly.
October 8, 2008 12:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain would appoint Phil Gramm as Secretary of the Treasury. He's just to scared or too smart to say so in public.
October 8, 2008 1:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
You got that right!
October 8, 2008 1:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
You mean the same Phill Gramm that in 1999 got rid of the Glass Steagall Act and accelerated the DE-regulation of Wall Street financial transactions that is now causing our very own Depression? That Phill Gramm???!!??
October 8, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I couldn't believe when CNN's undecided voters agreed that Obama had won but then said, 14 to 11, that if they had to vote today it would be for McCain. They should have asked them to explain. Racism or what?
October 8, 2008 1:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
They are "undecided" for a reason.
October 8, 2008 1:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Idiots. Who else could be undecided at this point?
October 8, 2008 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you're STILL undecided after all the disastrous years of Bush/Chaney, either you've been trekking the the Gobi Desert (unlikely) or still living in your moms basement (more likely).
October 8, 2008 9:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another thing I noticed on the rebroadcast: Obama speaks clearly and persuasively, and does so in adult tones. McCain, and especially Palin, speak in whispery baby-talk voices. It's very condescending and annoying.
October 8, 2008 1:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
PS, Palin's folksy talk, the winks, etc, and McCain's "my friends" shtick is all part of that condescendingly folky routine.
October 8, 2008 1:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clarence Page in a Chicago Tribune editorial talked about the 6 points factor, that he had noticed that if Obama didn't lead Clinton by more than 6 points going in, Clinton won. That may be Gergen's source. Page called it the "Bubba Factor."
October 8, 2008 1:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone notice McCain said "we need a cool hand on the tiller" then ended with "need a steady hand on the tiller" as if it was such a great line it needed repeating. What's a tiller? Why can't a warm hand work? Should McCain be handling his tiller in public?
October 8, 2008 1:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Assuming that your question is not rhetorical: a tiller is the "stick" you use on a sailboat to control the rudder and steer the boat.
As to why you need a "cool" hand:
"Rapid or excessive movement of the tiller results in an increase in drag and will result in braking or slowing the boat. All steering movements should be smooth and moderate." (Wikipedia)
October 8, 2008 2:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
But one's movements are less controlled if the muscles are not warm.
Really, this figure of speech made no sense ;)
October 8, 2008 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unless of course you are tacking or jibbing in which case you need to move the tiller very quickly or it don't work so well...
More than a cool hand on the tiller, we need a cool head that can read the winds and currents and avoid those rocks up ahead.
Go Obama!!
( Everyone is still donating , right?)
((It was great to see Michelle also last night))
October 8, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Final comment: McCain, even in his closing comments, is just imitation Obama.
He's for change now, too. (despite going with the Republicans on every major issue over the last 26 years.)
He's for regulation now, too. (despite being continually for deregulation for his entire political career.)
He had it tough growing up, now, too. (despite being the 3rd generation of Navy 4 star Admirals that was on the Washington cocktail circuit, attending a $40K/year boarding school, and having his entire Navy career greased despite multiple failures, academic and literally multiple plane crashes due to negligence on training flights which would end the career of any other Navy pilot.)
And best of all... in his closing speech, after Obama talked about being raised by a single mother and grandparents of modest means, McCain says he was also raised by his mother.
:rolleyes:
McPhoney, McLame, McFraud.
October 8, 2008 1:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just ordered my "I'm voting for That One" T-shirt at cafepress:http://t-shirts.cafepress.com/design/30621153
October 8, 2008 2:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
I acted as the troll pre debate, now let me function as the giddy democrat:
WE WON, that is it, where is my inauguration ticket
................................................
I personally think we are going to see the full ugliness of years of repressed racist hatred, it will not be beautiful and it will reflect badly on McCain and Ms Congeniality.
October 8, 2008 2:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Know what I found a little odd? I watched again, too. After the debate Cindy McCain slowly follows her husband around the circle and he finally realizes she's there and gives her this half-armed half-hug before turning his back on her to shake a few more hands. Meanwhile Obama plants a nice smooch on his wife, then she joins him in the walk. Cindy was sort of left standing there for a bit before the much discussed not quite a handshake moment (though the two men had done so earlier).
Course when Cindy shook his hand I had a Monk moment and imagined in her head a voice screaming, "Wipe! Wipe!"
I suppose that's not fair. But since she jumped on the "do it, deny it, then accuse the other guy of doing it" smear bandwagon today, I'm not disposed to be fair.
October 8, 2008 3:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain is pathological .
The part of his pathology that creeps me out is his "little boy" voice. The voice he's used all his life when he's crashed a plane, or been caught at something, and needs to display remorse, without being remorseful.
October 8, 2008 3:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
This the second debate where McCain hasn't worn his flag pin. He clearly hates America.
October 8, 2008 4:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
MCCAIN AND "THAT ONE."
I've never liked McCain and my distaste has expanded to loathing over the course of this campaign, but the "That One" comment isn't much to get worked up about. I've heard parents and spouses use this phrase about their kids and mates. It's used in an accusatory manner about someone you know, and is meant to convey criticism and function as a semi-humorous shield for rancor. As in, "I work all day long while THAT ONE lies on the couch watching TV." Or "I slaved making a nice dinner and THAT ONE stops at McDonalds and ruins his appetite."
This isn't racial and it's not worth perseverating over. Makes Obama-ites look petty.
October 8, 2008 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that there's nothing racist about McCain's use of "that one". My grandmother and mother both used the phrase exactly as you suggest. However, it is condescending and dismissive, and illustrative of the generational difference between the candidates. Its use certainly didn't work in McCain's favor.
October 8, 2008 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's actually a perfectly acceptable emblematic take-away that has absolutely nothing to do with racism (and frankly I don't Obama's team making that claim at all--it's a total red herring and the attempt to spin it into "he's unfairly playing the race card" is exactly what the McCFlailin' team is trying to do with it.). It bespeaks a condescending, angry man who thinks he's entitled to be president because it's his turn goddamit, and who's this upstart who's taking it away from him?
And since these things are completely artificial events that are ultimately ONLY about the symbolic take-aways, I think this one is good as any. Though I thought McCain's stalking about the stage in the background while Obama was talking, versus Obama's cool, relaxed posture when it was McCain's turn was at least as powerful a persuader on the subliminal level as this overt bit of casual disrespect. Not only did it convey lack of consideration but also a kind of jittery, panicky energy, at a time when we're looking for a Steady Hand. But it's harder to get that one into a sound bite.
October 8, 2008 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
This was the knockout blow, if you ask me.
October 8, 2008 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
"That One" T-shirt at http://www.thatone08.com.
I have nothing to do with the company that is selling them.
October 8, 2008 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's all over for McSame. He looked every day of his 72 years last night.
October 8, 2008 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
October 8, 2008 11:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Spencers Mom, thanks for 'walking the walk'. AND I think you've hit on a great campaign slogan with the "8 years in the red, time for some black", line. I know I paraphrased, but there's a great bumper sticker in there somewhere.
And talking about standing there in shock, I've had the same experience when talking to someone, that I thought I knew well enough, suddenly throw out the veiled excuses for not voting for Obama. I stood there, gaping for a minute. It's as if they were suddenly possessed by uni-browed space aliens.
Closet bigots unnerve me.
But then, I can't pass judgment because I'm a closeted bigot towards bigots.
October 8, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Livia, Tony Soprano's mom used to refer to others as "this one" and "that one", rather than use proper names. I don't know if this means that McCain is as balanced as a fictional scheming sociopath, or what. I'm only saying.
October 8, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is a new meme going around re: the "that one" comment. In this reading, McCain really wanted to say "that n....." but saved himself in time, and said "that one."
I did not make this up, read in on another blog.
October 8, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to agree with Zod. I'm not convinced that there will be an election. As it looks like McCain will fail to secure a third Bush term, then a literal third Bush term could be forced on us from the barrel of a gun wielded by own military.
Watch this interview withNaomi Wolf. Sure, she's excitable and comes off as a wingnut, but she makes some great points and connects the dots.
October 8, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ohhh... my naked avatar!)
October 8, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Strange that McCain chose to praise the "Afghan freedom fighters" (now known as al Qaeda) in last night's debate.
Mccain has been in congress forever, it seems; and he claims himself to be a foreign policy expert who "bucks" his own party. I don't remember hearing a peep out of him, during all those years when our government was creating the monsters we are now finding it necessary to waste "blood and treasure" fighting. What was McCain's judgment, when we were propping up Saaddam Hussein in Iraq's war against Iran? Where did he stand when we were sending weapons and support to the Arab known as Osama bin Laden who was so bravely leading those brave "afghan freedom fighters" against Russia, in Afghanistan? And, he was certainly a party-liner when it came to Nicaragua, Chile and the rest of Latin America.
October 8, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
This website, PollTrack has a really interesting post about snap polls: http://www.polltrack.com/post/226-those-pesky-snap-polls. You have to be really careful with snap polls. Since they only sample TV debate viewers, respondents tend to be older, have higher income and more education than the general public.
October 8, 2008 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Our bestest ever ally is intensly interested in this election -and aren't partisans. Not to mention they have a passion for crochity old dodgers.
The last I checked the debate score was 93% -OBAMA.
It was just slight less for the VP debate.
87% -Biden.
We all are blessed with the heavens being in sync and bringing the world the two most ideally suited parners for this moment in time.
I'm in tears over this, it's so friggin glorious!
October 9, 2008 12:00 AM | Reply | Permalink