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Obama Campaign Buying Half-Hour Blocs Of Primetime On The Networks

The Obama campaign confirms to us that Obama is buying up half-hour primetime blocs on the networks, for unspecified programming, later this month.

The campaign declined to elaborate. But Obama has closed a deal for a half-hour of time on CBS on Wednesday, Oct. 29th, at 8 P.M., a source familiar with the discussions confirms.

Obama's bids for the airtime were first reported by The Hollywood Reporter.

It's unclear yet whether Obama has closed the deal with NBC, and we're told that the bid for time on Fox has run into a potential complication: Game six of the World Series is set to air on that network on the 29th, should it be necessary.

So what is Obama planning to run? "It could be a long commercial, it could be a speech," the source said.

That should be interesting. October 29th is less than a week before Election Day.


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You know what this means. Those September fundraising numbers will scare the hell out of every one.

I was thinking the same thing. Whatever he's paying, it has to be more than they would have expected to normally get for advertising during that time. So...yeah, they have to be absolutely flush with cash to be doing this. :)

Rumor on The Hill is that the number could be close to $150 million. $100 million for sure. Absolutely insane.

http://pufferfish.typepad.com/

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What? Holy shit!

Yeah Baby!!!!

That's what I was thinking kash79.

Obviously.

If Obama was low on money, all he had to do in this very optimistic context was ask. Also, those are good days to get rid of bad news. But the good news, it's better to keep them stacked for the rainy days.

In this good/bad news setup, it is important to note that the RNC announced their September numbers just before the 2nd debate last week, thus making sure it wasn't a subject for too long.


Great point.

John

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Gee whiz. Maybe Fox might get shut out of broadcasting it. What a damn shame.

Any idea on how much this would cost? I mean CBS is supposed to be a done deal, they're close with NBC and reached out to Fox.

I assume it will be a live "fireside chat" type of deal, I don't think there is any chance it would be a canned commercial.

Figure 22 minutes of actual programming, unless he's bought up all the ad time as well. If only bought 22 minutes, then CBS gets the ad revenue and could be reasonable. If he bought the full thirty minutes, it could be pricey . . . very pricey.

My guess is that he wants time on different nights on different channels. Even if folks don't watch, they are definitely going to hear about it.

Figure 22 minutes of actual programming, unless he's bought up all the ad time as well. If only bought 22 minutes, then CBS gets the ad revenue and could be reasonable. If he bought the full thirty minutes, it could be pricey . . . very pricey.

My guess is that he wants time on different nights on different channels. Even if folks don't watch, they are definitely going to hear about it.

I'm almost sure he's bought the whole half-hour slot.

Ronald Reagan did this. In fact I've been thinking about this very thing and hoping Obama would do it.

The Reagan campaign ran a half-hour biographical documentary, very well done, chronicling their man's rise to governor of California. It was effective because it raised the comfort level of people who were inclined to vote for the outsider/change candidate, but were having trouble getting past the "movie star" thing. This short film led them to think of the guy as GOVERNOR Reagan.

This could work big-time for Barack, this generation's outsider/change candidate. It can tell his story in an inspiring (and also reassuring), leading voters who are still having trouble with the "black" thing, or the "Muslim name" thing, to think of the guy as an all-American success story. The mixed-race kid who, against all odds, went all the way from Hawaii to Harvard, thence to teaching constitutional law in Chicago, finally to the U.S. Senate -- and look at him now! Cue the cheers.

Buying popcorn now.

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Odd thought. . .

This could be genius.
If he only bought 22 minutes, leaving time for commercials -- can you imagine what those commercials would be worth?

Seriously, that will get some eyes I'm thinking.

Figure 22 minutes of actual programming, unless he's bought up all the ad time as well. If only bought 22 minutes, then CBS gets the ad revenue and could be reasonable. If he bought the full thirty minutes, it could be pricey . . . very pricey.

My guess is that he wants time on different nights on different channels. Even if folks don't watch, they are definitely going to hear about it.

If McCain had the money, buying the half-hour time slot right after would be a coup. I assume Obama probably blocked that possibility in negotiations for his purchase.

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McCain does not have the money. Neither, apparently, does the RNC.

Speaking of which - why is Wachovia lending the RNC $8 million despite being semi-dead in the water?

Wachovia Corp., a once-thriving financial giant now teetering on the brink of collapse, confirmed today that it was extending an $8 million loan to the cash-strapped National Republican Congressional Committee for last-minute activites to support GOP House candidates.

Wachovia's decision to lend money to the NRCC -- itself reeling from a damaging financial scandal earlier this year -- is sure to draw charges of favoritism, as Wachovia denies credit and freezes assets for thousands of other customers.

Allegations of favoritism are especially delicate for Wachovia, given the disproportionate support of Republican campaigns and organizations by the company's leadership.

What's more, Wachovia's loan to the NRCC comes as Wachovia awaits the outcome of precarious buyout negotations which have relied on federal backing -- inviting questions over the political activities of companies whose survival depend on public support.

http://southernstudies.org/facingsouth/2008/10/investigation-how-did-republicans-get-8.asp

What's more - why is Wachovia lending the RNC money while freezing college students' money?

An investment fund that serves about 1,000 colleges and private schools partially froze withdrawals this week amid the credit crunch, forcing colleges to develop new plans to pay bills.

Wachovia Bank, trustee for the $9.3 billion Short Term Fund offered by CommonFund, said Monday it was terminating the fund and establishing a process to ensure the orderly liquidation and distribution of the fund's assets. Wachovia initially told investors Monday that they could only withdraw 10 percent of their money, but that figure was increased to 34 percent by Wednesday.

http://www.boston.com/news/education/higher/articles/2008/10/02/colleges_scramble_as_investment_fund_is_frozen

What is up with Wachovia and the RNC? Inquiring minds want to know...

I doubt if it could be blocked. By law, don't media outlets have to make time availability to any candidate who can pay for it?

The problem is, no money for McCain. So sad.

I dunno. Remember the night of the "green wall"? When McCain thought he was so smart getting a speech of his own the night that Hillary (we thought) was going to concede and Obama clinched the nomination? He suffered badly in contrast. I'm not sure a half-hour of awkward McCain immediately following a carefully scripted Obama appearance would be worth what he would have to pay.

Brings back another memory - 1984 Democratic convention. Speeches on successive nights by Jesse Jackson - a real barnburner, then the Mario Cuomo,(in a speech ranked as one of the best in the country's history) and - then - the nominee, Walter Mondale. Let's just say Mondale did not benefit by going last.

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Woo Hoo!

the Alaska court just refused the GOP's attempt to shut down the troopergate investigation.

All this love from the little baby jebus is freaking me out! LOL!

I was a few seconds too late, but I'm not late in sharing your elation. Biden get ready. Carpe diem.

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O you had the link - you were all authentic and everything.

LOL!

Great!

Potentially during game 6 of the World Series? WTF?!? Doesn't seem to be the smartest scheduling...

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Well, thanks to the geniuses at MLB, those games don't typically start until 9 PM.

Also, it's only gone to Game 6 once in the last ten years. Whatever. I am never going to second guess this campaign again.

October 29th is the anniversary of the last wall street crash of 1929, ain't it ?

From wikipedia

Three phrases--Black Thursday, Black Monday, and Black Tuesday—are used to describe this collapse of stock values. All three are appropriate, for the crash was not a one-day affair. The initial crash occurred on Black Thursday (October 24, 1929), but it was the catastrophic downturn of Black Monday and Tuesday (October 28 and 29, 1929) that precipitated widespread panic and the onset of unprecedented and long-lasting consequences for the United States. The collapse continued for a month.

So kind of sort of I guess

The campaign is probably betting that the World Series won't go to Game 6.

I imagine Oct. 29th is the closest the campaign could get to the election without going into November sweeps. The ad prices go up during a sweeps month, and the networks would be less likely to want to give up that air time, even if it is paid for. (Although, from what I've been hearing about Gary Unmarried, I think CBS just got the better end of that deal.) After the writer's strike last year, I'm sure the networks want the first sweeps of this tv season to go as smoothly as possible.

Game 6 or not, most people will get the soundbites from the event. There will be a day of media buzz leading up to it, what will he say?, and a day (or more) of media buzz afterwards. At the very least, he'll get two newscycles.

Don't worry. The Red Sox will take care of whomever the NL throws at them well before Game 6.

Phily fans flame in 3...2...1...

Man, I'm hoping it's the Phillies...

Only it the Rays are in it could it have any effect of people not watching....in Florida.
The rest of the areas/cities potentially in the WS are going blue anyway.

Good point. Thank god it wasn't a Cincinnati vs Cleveland WS. :P

I'm going to let that pass -- but you must never thank God Cleveland is not in the World Series again!

They need to win one in my lifetime!

I was also wondering about the game 6 conflict... !!!

It's a state of the union/fireside chat, just a little early. He's stepping into the presidency so people can see him in this role. If we weren't in a worldwide financial freefall with a dry drunk CinC that's worthless as a bucket of piss, it would be presumptuous. As it is, I think it actually may help reassure people that a depression may be averted. McCain may be an afterthought by Nov. 4.

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It can't come fast enough.

Mr Tena just told me that he sacrificed his bonus this year so the lower tier employees could get one. This is why I love him, but boy does that make a dent.

Couldn't imagine a time when we needed leadership more than now.

I'll say it now, President Obama. I look forward to hearing President Obama speak to us.

By the way, my favorite breaking news of the day:

Alaska supreme court dismiss GOP appeal to stall the trooper gate investigation.

Josh Marshall, staying true to his wit, reports "YOU BETCHA."

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/court_throws_out_gop_effort_to.php

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Dad gum it! I just posted that upthread.

;)

I posted a response in tribute

Both of you express my sentiments. And it something definitely worth getting posted twice. A country ruled by the letter of the law, not intimidation and coercion.

Sarah is the Dick with Bush's brian.

I don't know who I'm insulting more- Bush, Cheney or Palin.

I think you're insulting the words "is" "the" and "with."

I forgot "brain." That word should never appear with those three.

LOL

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I posted one back atcha


LOLOL

LOL!!!

Fox plans to only air the opening credits, then will mysteriously have "transmission issues", but then suddenly come back on the second the end credits start.

And keep the money!

One of the interns will mistakenly load a segment on Ayres bio. Trying to correct mistake, a Rezko segment will air accidently.

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LOL!

Well, that should burn off the rest of the campaign money. It was either that or sponsor a fifty dollar bill fight in Time Square.

They might be anticipating another Osama tape being released a few days before the election just like 4 yrs ago and they want to have to means of dealing with it if necessary. And if there's not, they will try to close the deal and bury McCain once and for all and give it time to sink in by election day.

I am SO EXCITED about this media buy! Wow! McCain must be really nervous now.

Hey, wait a minute... Do we want to make him that nervous? He's already a sleaze machine the way things are now.

I sure hope he or his campaign or the Bush administration or his redneck supporters don't do anything REALLY vile, if you know what I mean.

One thing is for certain: there will be not be one second of reprieve for McNasty.

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Word!

The first thing this tells us is that Obama hauled in a whole lot of dough last month. I seriously doubt they would do it if it had to have commercials. Obama being all serious, cut to Preparation H commercial.

My opinion, based on nothing in particular, is that he will announce his administration team. Buffet as Treasurer, Clark as SOD, etc. If there was anyone feeling still a little hesitant about voting about someone "green behind the ears," this will assure them that the country is good hands.

"Just like President Obama, Preparation H controls inflamed rectal tissues on Wall Street and in Congress!"

Only way Buffett takes Treasury is if he contributes his VAST stock holdings to a blind trust. Ain't happening. And he's not going to sell, so count him out. Maybe an informal advisor, but definitely not TS.

No way Buffet takes that job and Clark isn't even close enough with Obama to speak at the convention, methinks he will just be a national security advisor.

Oh yeah, and it will be Dodd and Hagel/Lugar.

McCain's too busy to be nervous by this tv buy - he's too busy working up the spin about Obama's "physical threat" to him with the "Say it to my face." comment with Charlie Gibson.

Who wants to bet no later than Saturday there will be ads cut and being aired about Obama's "angry side"?

No one, who matters, will buy the argument. Let them waste the money on the ad. Just about every pundit I saw was talking right after the debate about how he "didn't say it to his face."

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LOL - that makes me laugh really loud - that would be the epitome of projection - McLame calling Obama angry? Obama?

The entire press has bent over backwards to remark that he's too calm - whatever that means [rolls eyes]

Honest to god I hope he does. That would be funny as shit and it would the open the door to his temperament issues.

No offense, Joe. But you're starting to make Jonzey sound like a stoned beatnik.

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I so totally second this.

As I said in another thread, the timing of the 29th is strategic - by airing on the 29th, that allows 3 or 4 more days for the clips to saturate YouTube and spread across the internet like wildfire before the election.

The ONLY downfall to the 29th is that allows McCain plenty of time to relatiate with more speeches, spins and ads about anything Obama says in whatever he's going to do.

If it gets tied up with the Game 6 of the WS, then that's a chance Obama needs to take. WS only airs on one station anyway...Obama will be on 3 or 4.

Baseball doesn't start until 9pm, at least the game portion. There would be the pre-game show that Obama would have to compete with, but I'm not worried about that in the least.

Most people will have made up their mind by that date. Obama is looking at the 3 or 4% of undecideds out there, as well as motivating people to go to vote. In places like Ohio, it could make the difference.

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You're right.
That's just what it does. I couldn't see what it did at first -but you're right.


In the 48 hours after the WS, the highlights and discussion take up very little news time (outside of ESPN). MSNBC and CNN will loop Obama's "chat" constantly. FOX, who knows.

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Next GOP smear in the pipeline: Obama's drug use.

Oklahoma Gov. Frank Keating, a McCain campaign co-chairman, edged up to an explicitly racial attack on Barack Obama on Thursday, describing the Illinois Senator as a "guy of the street" before raising his youthful drug use.

Appearing on Dennis Miller's radio show, Keating charged that the Democratic nominee was covering up his "very extreme" record, and urged Obama to be more honest with Americans. "He ought to admit," Keating said, "'You know, I've got to be honest with you. I was a guy of the street. I was way to the left. I used cocaine. I voted liberally, but I'm back at the center.'"

Keating began to address Obama's former pastor Jeremiah Wright -- a topic that John McCain himself has said should be off-limits -- but Miller interrupted him to return to the discussion of cocaine.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/09/mccain-co-chair-calls-oba_n_133369.html

No low is too low for these suckers.

More old news. I mean, he wrote about his drug use in his fucking book. How much more open do you want him to be?

Also, is there really a guy named "Keating" going on the attack for McCain?

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It's pretty amusing that all of these smears are being brought up in what are exclusively wingnut venues - Miller's radio show, Fox News, and McPalin's rallies.

They're obviously hoping to stovepipe these stories into the MSM, but i get the feeling that the media doesn't want to play that game with a guy who pretty much told them to go screw themselves.

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Noticed that too.

They won't send Palin anyplace that isn't deep deep red, either.

Blitzer, Matthews, et al. are all watching their retirement investment get wiped away.

Yeah...the more we can get "Keating" and "McCain" in the same sentence, the better off we are.

LOL

Drug use in his youth. Ah, an oldie but a goodie. These guys are pathetic. And does anyone listen to Dennis Miller. There's a royal a-hole.

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You mean to tell me that Dennis Miller hasn't totally washed out yet? He's still allowed on the air somewhere? His last show was cancelled so fast it left friction burns.

Why is he even allowed to open his mouth in public anymore? Nobody can stand him because he's a shallow, obnoxious jerk.

Two things I have learned from this thread:

People still watch baseball on TV.

People still listen to Dennis Miller on radio.

Amazing.

Dennis Miller?? I think he does the morning trafffic reports in Brownsville, Texas.

I suppose if I said the McCains were a lying whoring repulsive pair who deserve each other, then I'd be wrong, right?

This is gonna be a long month. Klanpaign rallies and smears galore.

They are desperate. They have finally come face-to-face with the fact that they could lose it all.

Everybody hold on.

Oh God you made my night!! ROTFLMAO!!
"You know, I've got to be honest with you. I was a guy of the street. I was way to the left. I used cocaine. I voted liberally, but I'm back at the center."
I just LOVE (kicking feet in the air) the equating cocaine use with voting liberally! And being a "guy of the street". Oh christ, say that out loud!!
Where is TenaX?

Hype,

If you're referring to my being "too late" with my comments, I was the one who originally posted that comment about McCain making a big deal out of Obama's "Say it to my face." comment in a different thread.

I also like to repeat myself.

I also like to repeat myself.

Damn, there I go again...

Damn, there I go again...

No. I was just making a joke about the level of worry in some of your posts.

World Series? No problem. Red Sox in 4.

Now there's someone who knows what he/she is talking about...

FUCK the Red Sox. I detest them even more than I do Sarah Palin, and that is saying alot.

Acamus & Tena,

Agreed, too! It could also be a counter-punch to any last minute "circling wolves" ad or a Bin Laden video that will be brought out by the GOP the final week as well.

Good point. If we've learned anything, it's that these guys and gals of the Obama team have considered and accounted for all the possible scenarios.

Hyper,

I was jackin' with ya! I agree with you and you're right. I balance celebration and caution so both spectrums and scenarios are covered.

I'm thinking Obama should be releasing some of his cash if this is the point he's at. I can't see that being a real good use of money. This baby is liable to be put to sleep by then.

Can money donated for the campaign be redirected to other campaigns before the election is over?

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I'd just as soon see the money I've sent get him elected before there's talk of distribution for different reasons.

The ticker on MSNBC just now said, "McCain admits campaign is in trouble at rally today."


Does anyone know what he said?

No, but if you find out, please let us know.

It's not a surprised. Those poll numbers are falling on them like a ton of bricks day after day.

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What?


I don't know. I can't find anything.

How demoralizing could it be for the GOP to disenfranchise thousands and thousands of voters and still lose?

Watching the classy Michelle Obama last night confirmed this move of buying huge time slots. They want to be running across the finish line. Republicans are under the assumption that all they need to do is win the election and campaign some more when needed then do their jobs after all that. It's obvious Obama is different. He wants everyone to vote so it can be a change that can go all the way from the top down. We need every ones support to redirect our country in the correct direction.

It's gonna freak out the republicans when there is unity and direction in our country. That may be their socialism, fascism, communism or whatever degrading -ism they throw out to create fear. People coming together for the greater good is one of the most patriotic things we can do.

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McLame - Painful has turned into a more divisive ticket than Bush Cheney.

The only difference is the divide now is something like 70-30 -

:)

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Will Ross Perot be there to provide pie charts?

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Don't look past the Rays, boys...

Though it would almost be worth it to this Tampa Boy to see you all pwned by Torre, Lowe and Manny.

I'm definitely not. The Rays are going to be real tough.

I wouldn't worry too much about being opposite the Series. As people are pointing out, the series won't start immediately at 8 PM EST.

If I were the Obama Campaign, I would do at least the *last* one of these as a live speach at a good sized arena/venue. We all know how good Obama is in speaking to a crowd, and a large setting seems to bring out the best in him. Use it as his "take home" speach. I frankly would get it closer to Tuesday than Wed the week before.

On the other ones...

A faux Town Hall wouldn't be a bad idea for one, getting people to ask questions and Obama connecting. Limit it so that there is time to talk about it, and some follow up... possibly even Obama wisely asking people what their concerns are, and then how he would address them. Perhaps "4 Key Issues" since each would them get about 5 minutes to be talked about.

Perhaps in a closely related formar, a "Round Table" with Obama, Biden... and perhaps 2-3 other key Dems who can hit the talking points and Obama/Biden can go back and forth with. Perhaps Webb on Iraq. Perhaps Debbie Wasserman Schultz on Social Security/Medicare... I know there are more senior members of Congress who might be better wonks, but she is a young up & comer and the party needs it. Plus she's FLA, and that's a good time to push it to haul that state into the Blue column. And economic speaker... don't know who our best speaker is beyond Obama.

Healthcare? Of course bring in the heavy hitter in HRC. Find the common ground between her and Obama to talk Big Picture on the extreme need for a health care fix *now*, and don't worry too much about the details. Key things to hit would be that (i) this could have been fixed back in the 90s, (ii) the Republicans blocked it, (iii) healthcare cost have grown X% while wages have grown Y%, while (iv) Z% of adults have lost healthcare since then along with A% of children. There's a lot of ground to cover getting across The Problem that exists and the Committment the Dems have to solve it without getting into the Details.

I think I would open with the Economy, then hit Iraq and Foreign Policy, then hit Social Security/Medicre in the briefest segment, which leads naturally into health care as the closer. The Economy is Issue #1 for people, so it should lead off. But Obama and HRC sitting down to talk Healthcare is the "top draw" to hook people into sticking around. Webb, with Biden piling on, going fire & brimstone on how the Republicans have screwed things up is good Red Meat in the second segment. SS/Medicare is a bridge, expressing Dem committment to a key issue to a specific target group (not just retirees but *near* retirees who are seeing their 401K's tank) at a critical iss.

Anyway... an idea. ;) Plus this late in the game, if we're playing for Landslide & Coat Tails, we need to get over the Dem Brand and not just Obama. That the Dems have a *team* of leaders like Webb and HRC joining hands with Obama to build to the future, and not just "The One" that the wingnuts like to throw at him.

I'm not a huge fan of "profiles" and "canned" infomercials. I think they will invite people to flip away. I would avoid doing something like that. I would stick to "Live"... for whatever reason, that's what our country has become a junky of.

Stay away from the old Perot "I'm Doing A Show With A Lot Of Charts!" format. I'm a wonk, but am honest enough to know that the rest of the country isn't and that would sink.

I think those would be the formats I would stick with. Obama is great in speaches. I think he's perfectly fine answering questions from people. He also is good in give and take with his peers as we saw in some of the primary debates, and in this case it wouldn't be hostile.

Anyway... throwing shit out. ;)


John

Obama is ramping up advertising in a big way.

Here in Missouri I have seen 3 different Obama ads in the past half hour during local news.

The 30 sec "hanging by a thread" healthcare ad
The 1 minutes biography ad
and the 2 minute economic plan

Good stuff.

Just saw the 4th... heathcare again.

this is axelrod, 110%. beautiful.

i've said this elsewhere, but read david mendell's biography of obama. he gets into axelrod's strategy: laying down massive cash for ads weeks or months out from an election is a waste (that was in the case of a US senate primary -- this is a MUCH bigger deal, so you have to quadruple the time periods, i think). then, according to Axelrodian Theory, you absolutely FLOOD the airwaves in the week or two up to voting day. you blow the wad on advertising down the homestretch.

this is blowing the wad, right in the homestretch, presidential election style.

i fucking LOVE david axelrod.

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You're right - Axelrod is a genius.

They all are - up to and including Michelle Obama - smartest damn bunch of people I've seen campaign.

ahhh, the genius of adlai stevenson. its time has finally come!

maybe mccain will hire some out of work jingle writers for his counter attack.

LOL.

Joe Scarborough just said that "erratic" is an accurate label of McCain's behavior the last few weeks.

Holy shit... we've got a talking point that's sunk in even with Morning Blow.


John

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Oy vey! I was over at HuffPo - there's a slide show from the stock exchanges around the world today - reactions of traders and brokers and I wish I hadn't looked at it. You want to see a bunch of totally devastated guys? Jebus - especially in the pictures where you see their computer screens with line crashing through the earth's crust -

Since we're all going down at once, why can't we all just bottom it out, wipe it off and say OK, let's start over?

I mean, we all end up in the same place - they had a picture of a totally distraught Saudi Arabian stock trader - the whole world is in the same boat.

*sigh*

Frankly, I am surprised at some of posts here crying about some clash with a baseball game. Really, really ??

Your world is collapsing all around you and you are cribbing about a fucking baseball game ?

'cribbing'??

he misspelled "mccain is an unhinged sack of putrid shit"

honest mistake, anyone could make it.

This is America, after all.

I remember back in the 80s being at a queer party one night when the Academy Awards, the last episode of "Brideshead Revisited," AND the NCAA final were all on TV at the same time. Fortunately there were three televisions in the house. I was the only guy who wanted to watch basketball. They almost took my gay ID card, I had to do some fast talking.

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"Brideshead Revisited"? O I bet you did have to talk fast.

LOL!

With a British accent.

That's not exactly what people are saying, I think. We're more worried about it conflicting with the World Series for the only vaguely interested populace, who then have to make a choice as to what to watch. We'd prefer for the spot to reach as many people as possible, after all.

The Obama campaign must have a lot of money.

Holy BatShit Batman!

Pow!
Ka-BOOM!!
ZinG*

Klanpaign.
Classic.

Stylin' avatar!

The Obama campaign has lots of money. I've received two donation requests from "Joe Biden" since the VP debate.

Oprah's hosting a $28,500 per plate fund raiser this month.

I don't really know if this is all necessary, but overkill in this campaign can't be a bad thing.

This is what the LA Times said in an opinion piece today:

What McCain doesn't seem to know -- yet -- is that he's a dead man walking. He'll learn it definitively on Nov. 4, when he's going to lose the election -- and the polls increasingly suggest that he'll lose big. The GOP as a whole will also lose big. We're in the middle of an epochal shift in U.S. politics. A global economic crisis, two wars and an ongoing nuclear and terrorist threat have left most Americans disgusted by the recklessness of free marketeers and by unilateralist, militarist approaches to foreign policy.

The era of GOP dominance of U.S. politics is over. McCain, the son and grandson of Navy admirals, wanted to be the Republican Party's "steady hand at the tiller." Now he's going down with the ship.

God, I hope you're right with the 70/30! I'd like to think that that aren't THAT many ignorant people in this country.

That was for Tena. Why doesn't the "reply" feature work all the time?

Reply works best if you LogOn before attempting to Reply. It gets screwed up when logging on and replying in 1 step.

i know it would drive a lot of people here nuts, but do you think that, in addition to obama making his case, there will be interviews/vignettes with lots of influential, revered people, about why they are supporting obama? like maybe ... colin powell?

powell's too busy testifying as a character witness for ted stevens...

Speaking of being flush with cash, has anyone else started to see astroturf-like letters in their local newspapers from the right wing, claiming that most of the online donations coming to the Obama campaign are from Saudi Arabia and the middle east? And I thought inciting riots at their pep rallies was as low as McCain/Palin were stooping. I SO want it to be November 5!

They are going so deep into the ground they are going to come up with fossils. They can bring it on, they won't be able to stop this EPIC, GENERATIONAL LANDSLIDE.

Maybe he has to spend it to avoid giving it to Hillary?

Saturation baby, saturation. Endorsements would be really really fun also.

Kind of like how you know Bush has used TV to read his lies to us for like 8 years? I'm pretty sure he hasn't had to pay for any of it.

I can't wait to see Obama on my TV instead of Bush. Only McCain is worse than Bush to listen to, (I'm not his fucking 'friend' and I wish he'd quit saying it).

Not to mention the buyout of depressed mortgages to help 'Americans' - like who the fuck else are we helping - Canadian mortgages - British mortgages?

Even if Obama is totally full of shit AND a Manchurian Candidate, he's better than Bush and McCain to listen to or watch - I'd rather be lied to by someone charming and socially gifted, like Bill Clinton.

As I sit here at home in Wasilla, Alaska I'm hoping that Palin comes home and doesn't say a fucking word until the end of her term - I can't stand her 'accent' (as a lifelong Alaskan I don't know anyone who talks that way) not to mention her butchery of basic grammar - it gives me a headache - I can't believe her parents, (who are teachers) raised her to speak that way - like you know where else would she learn to talk strange in such a way - doggonit *wink - wink*... blech!

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