More Slippage In Arizona For McCain
CNN downgrades McCain's home state from "safe McCain" to "leans McCain."
The network also moves North Dakota from "leans McCain" into the "toss-up" category. The Obama camp announced today that he's going on the air in both states, plus Georgia.
Fun and telling footnote: After reporting that, CNN adds:
But there's some good news for McCain down south: Louisiana has moved from "lean McCain" to "safe McCain."
Take the good news where you can get it...
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A poll came out today in Louisiana with McCain +2. LA is not safe for McCain either.
October 31, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was looking at my sample ballot today and found out that Ron Paul is on it. He has a decent following here (I think he came in 2nd place in the caucuses), and his presence should help out at least a little.
October 31, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain and Palin have given us no details as to how they are going to put this country back on the right track. All I hear is country first, and Barack knows this person and Barack that... This is getting so tired, and for all of you morons that vote for McCain/Palin, I hope you've enjoyed the last 6 years, because we're going to get more of the same if they win; in competency, stay the course even though I'm going the wrong way, Brownie you're sure doing a heck of a job, birthday cake on the strip (BushMcCain) while a natural disaster is occurring, a VP that doesn't know their role Palin is just like Cheney in that way, rich get richer, poor get homeless, penniless, no healthcare, no jobs (they all go overseas, rising food costs, a bad education system, and maybe even another war.)
Get the booze ready...please and I don’t drink, bring me some tissue, cause here comes more sh!t rolling down hill if McCain/Palin win.
October 31, 2008 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a proud AZ democrat, I'm glad to see our normally red state go blue. I guess with a Dem Gov in AZ and the discord the McCain-Palin ticket (Mad McCain, anyone?) is sowing, it's no wonder!
----
Obama 2008
"Mad McCain" videos: http://tv1.com/playlists/show/11
October 31, 2008 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think I'm going to by Dean a case of champagne. Anyone know his favorite bubbly??
October 31, 2008 10:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
"buy"
October 31, 2008 10:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the Louisiana poll that has Obama and McCain statistically tied...
http://www.wwltv.com/topstories/stories/wwl103008tppoll.1644da2c1.html
Ridiculous.
October 31, 2008 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah I was surprised when CNN moved it into strong McCain state. I think it will go for mcCain but based on the latest polling it doesn't suggest it. I would love to see McCain and Palin be humiliated by having to campaign there though.
Watch: McCain Just Said Joe The Plumber is "My Role Model"
October 31, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let's get some straight talk into this:
McSame is an unlicensed plumber and doesn't pay his taxes?
October 31, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let's get some straight talk into this:
McSame is an unlicensed plumber and doesn't pay his taxes?
October 31, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
How on earth does anyone who lives in Louisiana vote for a Republican after Katrina?
November 1, 2008 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's the old "What's the Matter with Kansas" question. The real answer in Louisiana is the people that Katrina hit hardest and longest have moved out of the state.
That said, keep your eyes on the state election night. There's been a concerted effort to either get voters an absentee ballot or back to New Orleans to vote, so there may just be a surprise or two in store for some down ballot Republicans election night.
November 1, 2008 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's not how it works. If McCain is up by even one percentage point anywhere, that makes it safe (in some cases a virtual lock) in the eyes of pollsters . . . and the reporters who love them. If Obama is ahead by less than ten points, then it's a toss-up that could go either way.
October 31, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
As an Englishman would call it:
Dear O' Dear.
October 31, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
was Piglet an Englishman?
October 31, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yup.
Tigger too!
October 31, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL
October 31, 2008 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
We've got them just where we want them! Oh, wait...
October 31, 2008 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm beginning to believe Obama does walk on water.
October 31, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, he's certainly animated McScum...I think that comes under the heading of Raising The Dead...
October 31, 2008 6:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL!
And changes water into wine.
October 31, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Make that - changes water into a charming little pinot noir.
October 31, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
...and he's got Ken Adelman and Bill Weld and Colin Powell to vote for him, so that's Making The Blind To See covered...
October 31, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
...and I believe sharing the wealth comes under the heading of Dividing The Loaves And Fishes...
October 31, 2008 6:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
...and he got McCain and Palin to speak in tongues (forked)...well, maybe not something so difficult or miraculous.
October 31, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
...and no-one listens to Matt Drudge anymore. I think that counts as Healing A Leper.
October 31, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
You win!
October 31, 2008 7:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL You definitely win!!
October 31, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Word!
October 31, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
He panicked McLame into picking Palin, which should count as changing "What, her?" into "Whine."
October 31, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent. You win.
November 1, 2008 4:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
He panicked McLame into picking Palin, which should count as changing "What, her?" into "Whine."
October 31, 2008 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
He panicked McLame into picking Palin, which should count as changing "What, her?" into "Whine."
October 31, 2008 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
And no, I didn't post three times. The site did that all by itself.
October 31, 2008 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
HOW IRONIC...ANY OF YOU FAMILAR WITH THE BIBLE...READ REVELATION'S....OBAMA ACTUALLY FITS THE DESCRIPTION OF THE ANTI CHRIST...MAN SOUNDING IN PEACE DISMANTLING COUNTRIES WITH MIDDLE EAST TIES...VERY SCARY...FYI WALKS ON WATER WAS REFERRING TO JESUS CHRIST...SO YOU ARE COMPARING HIM TO JESUS AND THAT IS WRONG..
November 1, 2008 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Republicans used to be so brilliantly diabolical - mapping out all the contingencies well in advance - calling in terror alerts - carefully managing wedge issues and ballot initiatives - keeping everyone on strict message discipline - targeting just the right precincts for false propaganda and election fraud ...
Since Katrina and the implosion of the Iraq "rebuilding" effort, they just seem sluggish and stupid - as if no one is steering the ship. Maybe Plame and Abramoff rattled Rove so much that the big picture slipped away from him. I don't know, but this entire campaign, going way back to pre-Fred Thompson, has been consistently pathetic.
Not that I'm complaining ...
October 31, 2008 6:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
One of their big problems was that they were playing a game of trick-or-treat, with them the trick and Obama the treat. The Rovian stuff was effective when based on a trick and a treat, because it gave the Republicans a treat after the tricky election. This time, it seems an important faction of their party saw this game as all trick, backstopped by more lousy governance.
October 31, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't want to rewrite history, but I never considered them as unbeatable and diabolical as many think. There was always bad news and criticism of their methods, but Americans kept inexplicably voting them back in.
To me, this is because Americans are credulous, and it's hard to believe sometimes that someone or some party is lying to our faces. But we do eventually see through it. And then we get pissed.
October 31, 2008 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not that Rover et al., are invincible, it's that they're capable of anything.
While there are Republicans who are principled people (who just happen to have a different idea of proper governance), the party also has a stronger tradition of attracting mercenary sociopaths.
Those are the people I worry about.
October 31, 2008 7:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think part of the reason the Republicans are flailing about is Obama himself.
He never hits below the belt, never makes it personal, in fact he's generous to a fault towards the opposition. He doesn't exagerate, lie or dissemble and any mistakes he does make are immediately corrected.
Th Republicans have nothing to hit him with except his paasing association with a former radical and the ridiculous charge of Obama being a pinko.
McCain has nothing to offer but taking on earmarks and bombing Iran. A fairly hopeless and empty platform
October 31, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree --and that's what swung both my parents To obamas side -- both Republicans at that.
In my case --I was a Republican till they start the suck up crap to the christian right,And as long as they keep doing that they will not get my vote.
-- Savage
October 31, 2008 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree --and that's what swung both my parents To obamas side -- both Republicans at that.
In my case --I was a Republican till they start the suck up crap to the christian right,And as long as they keep doing that they will not get my vote.
-- Savage
October 31, 2008 7:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, I want to know if anyone has trick and treaters wearing Joe the Plumber masks......
October 31, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure that will get you too many treats but you'll be able to perform a few tricks...lol
October 31, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea that Louisiana is even an issue this close to the election is incredible.
http://pufferfish.typepad.com/
October 31, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
My brother went to his rally in Des Moines today. Festive atmosphere. Nice touch for him to come back to where it started before heading on to Chicago.
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20081031/NEWS/81031019
October 31, 2008 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
testing...
October 31, 2008 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shorter Obama:
I am in ur base, killin ur d00ds.
October 31, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
As best I can recall, I have never typed the letters "LOL" except to mock them.
This post, however, sorely tempts me. Well played, sir!
October 31, 2008 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! :-)
October 31, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
You win Teh Innernets.
October 31, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
... and a kiss from Airhead Bimbo and a handshake from d00d 0ne.
October 31, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain has made several mistakes;
His campaign has been less than perfect. His dirty tactics have worked against him. Obama's campaign has been almost infallible.
He nominated Sarah Palin for VP who's foreign affairs experience is that she can see Russia. 59% of people polled said they feel Palin is unqualified to be VP and question his wisdom based on his choice.
October 31, 2008 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Palin has more foreign policy experience than even McSame: He can't see Russia.
October 31, 2008 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Palin has more foreign policy experience than even McSame: He can't see Russia.
October 31, 2008 8:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Joe The Biden" just a moment ago in Lima, Ohio, after mentioning the Scum/GOP are calling Obama every name in the book...
We are almost there... four days to go.
October 31, 2008 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very odd Shields and Brooks segment on The Newshour,,,,, both spoke of the campaign in the past sense,,,, more past in McCain's case. Brooks even called EV in the 360s for Obama, and both called a popular vote percentage somewhere between LBJ's and FDR. Shields got the quip of the evening, describing the McCain campaign, again in the past tense, as a civil war in a leper colony.
October 31, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, dear God! The mental image I've got now!!!
LOL!
October 31, 2008 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone know if its true McCain is robocalling swing states that if McCain/Palin lose Real Americans will be turned into frogs on Nov. 5th at noon EST?
Another extreme fear/get out the vote tactic?
October 31, 2008 8:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Frogs? I heard it would be butterflies.
October 31, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Arizona!
It's a dry heat.
October 31, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a girl, my lord, in a flatbed Ford slowing down to take a look at me.
October 31, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
such a fine sight to see....
October 31, 2008 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
C'mon baby, don't say maybe. . .
October 31, 2008 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not running on empty!
November 1, 2008 8:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not running on empty!
November 1, 2008 8:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fact is it is Oilbama, who voted for the Bush Cheney Energy Bill, crafted in secret with Cheney and Oil Lobbyists, not McCain.
If you think Oilbama is going to get out of Iraq any sooner than McCain you are delusional, he will do what his Oil buddies tell him.
You are known by your friends” is a sturdy old saw with a lot of wisdom in it. It’s one thing to buddy up, only to quickly find out that this person violates your deeply-held values about right and wrong and quickly exit the relationship. It’s quite another to know exactly who such people are, and still keep them close by until it is no longer to one’s own advantage to hang on to them. We know about Oilbama’s long-term relationships with anti-white religious leaders, unrepentant home-grown terrorists, and a sleazy slumlord who was a major backer and fundraiser for Obama who now sits in prison on multiple sustained charges.
There are no clear cut great candidates. While Palin may be inexperienced, I feel we need more Washington Outsiders, and Biden would talk the Nation into ruin should he become President, he never knows when to shut up.
Fact is, both candidates suck. We should have had either Romney or Hillary to choose between. I trust McCain more so I am leaning that way.
I cannot help but think Oilbama is a smooth talking scumbag who will say anything to get elected.
October 31, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine Bill, John will get a chance to vote against President Obama's Bill!
October 31, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I cannot help but think Oilbama is a smooth talking scumbag who will say anything to get elected.
_____
I cannot help but conclude that "DemBillC" is a hardcord racist troll who will say anything in effort to get lowlifes like himself to vote against anyone not Republican.
"DemBillC" doesn't think; here merely lies that he thinks as excuse to smear by means of unfounded garbage.
Clue, "Superior" "DemBillC": lying is IMMORAL.
October 31, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't help but think you need no costume on Halloween. You're already dressed up as a Democrat.
October 31, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
When McCain loses this election, do you know what he has to look forward too? A caucus of two in the Senate...him and Libermann. Because no one, republican or democrat will want to have anything to do with either of them. And Palin has some serious issues with the people of Alaska to deal with who want their pound of bludder after her national performance.
November 1, 2008 12:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Congratulations.
You've gone from being completely wrong to being half-right.
Can you say "President-elect Obama" Dem BillC?
Don't worry, you'll get the hang of it.
November 1, 2008 1:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I just saw the vid of Rick Sanchez interviewing whackjob Ben Ferguson. It's fantastic. This guy is doing a very good job.
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/31/155729/23/639/648225
October 31, 2008 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
OT but it made me proud as hell!
On Campbell Brown (I was just surfing while KO was on commercial), they showed the thousands of people voting in GA and they had this group of young kids who just voted for the first time and they were _stoked_!
They are exactly why we go to all this trouble.
Brought tears to my eyes :-)
October 31, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't see the segment, but I think I know the group of kids that you're speaking about.
The turnout in the Atlanta area has been amazing. My husband waited 4.5 hrs to vote on Tuesday and the lines have been growing longer since. Some polls have had to stay open past midnight to accomodate the people in line and some people have started to line up as early as 3 a.m. to be there when the polls opened.
If anyone's interested, the AJC has some pretty amazing pictures of the scenes around town:
http://projects.ajc.com/gallery/view/metro/early-voting-1031/#homepage_tab_newstab#homepage_tab_newstab
October 31, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the link.
October 31, 2008 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm pretty sure McCain will win Utah and Oklahoma. Probably Alabama, Wyoming, and Idaho too. the rest are up for grabs (including Alaska!)
October 31, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
In between adorable trick-or-treaters, I've been looking at the numbers in 538, and I think that not only is it gonna be an EC landslide, but a popular vote landslide as well. just sayin'.....
mark my words, the weekly reader is hardly ever wrong....
October 31, 2008 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
So how many office parties have had multiple "Sarah Palin" costumes?
October 31, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only politically informed mask I saw was of Obama, worn by a friend nicknamed "Bubba"!
October 31, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
i work for the state, so no political costumes for us.
October 31, 2008 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still early yet her, I'm going to our local bar as a kohu lele!
October 31, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still early yet her, I'm going to our local bar as a kohu lele!
October 31, 2008 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
We had a Joe the Plumber and a couple of Palin's at work today.
One Obama showed up at my door (our buddy Nick). There was a W with a "70 Days to Go" t-shirt. Thought I saw a Cheney but it turned out to be a Mr. Freeze with a bunch of other old Bat Man characters (Joker, Riddler, Penguin).
October 31, 2008 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
My, oh my -- The Gipper's younger son, Ron Reagan, endorsed Obama this afternoon:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/31/215342/90/314/648542
October 31, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
What no avatar? Why Dem BillC, I'm shocked, simply shocked.
come on people, vote, vote, vote.
There is no better troll repelent than 375 EV's
Do I hear 360?
360..from the man from Virginia
375?
375 from the gentleman from North Carolina
Do I hear 385?
385 from the man from Arizona..
400, we have 400 from the lady from Georgia
Do I hear 405?
October 31, 2008 10:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seconded.
Encourage everyone to vote- vote early.
October 31, 2008 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay gang...what's this about? How can this be and by the way this is my first post...so be gentle.
ZOGBY SATURDAY: McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all...
October 31, 2008 10:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't take Zogby too seriously.
October 31, 2008 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here ya go.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/trick-or-treat.html
In short -- what kash said.
October 31, 2008 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you have a link?
October 31, 2008 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kash is correct. Zogby's track record is not too great.
October 31, 2008 11:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
"arftech = troll" alert. go away.
October 31, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not a troll and is a lifetime demo. Where do I take the test to prove my worthiness?
October 31, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not a troll and is a lifetime demo.
You just did that you aren't (a dem that is).
October 31, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zogby polls are a joke. Forget Zogby.
October 31, 2008 11:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I recall correctly, Zogby's day is split: so Friday's polling is a combination of Thursday night and Friday day polling. Plus he's using the 2004 party id figures. So he's going to see it tighter.
Take it with a grain of salt and expect ALL of the trackers to tighten over the weekend (it's just what they do).
October 31, 2008 11:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
1 poll?! That's not a trend!
Don't worry, it's a state by state fight for electoral votes. Also might want to consult Josh's front page post from earlier this evening.
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/241564.php
October 31, 2008 11:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do not take the Zogby poll seriously ... it's only a Friday night sample! Halloween night! You know, when many, many Obama supporters are out at parties or taking their kids trick or treating. Relax.
Zogby's an attention whore, and so is Drudge.
October 31, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do not take the Zogby poll seriously ... it's only a Friday night sample! Halloween night! You know, when many, many Obama supporters are out at parties or taking their kids trick or treating. Relax.
Zogby's an attention whore, and so is Drudge.
October 31, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do not take the Zogby poll seriously ... it's only a Friday night sample! Halloween night! You know, when many, many Obama supporters are out at parties or taking their kids trick or treating. Relax.
Zogby's an attention whore, and so is Drudge.
October 31, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Florida early voters at record 3.4 million
Early voting continues at a brisk pace: 3.4 million Floridians have already cast ballots by mail or in person -- 30 percent of the state's 11.2-million voter electorate.
Up to today, Democrats have a 242,000-voter lead over Republicans in overall balloting, the state Democratic Party said.
Democrats account for 45 percent (1.5 million) of early and absentee votes, while Republicans are at 38 percent (1.3 million). The rest are unaffiliated.
http://weblogs.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/dcblog/2008/10/florida_early_voters_at_record.html
October 31, 2008 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing beats hard numbers. Every early voting pattern suggests a landslide. if we can GOTV to vote equal number of registered dems as repugs on election day we win FL, OH, CO and more. Go figure. Don't panic people. If you can make sure you can urge 5,10,15, people vote and vote esrly if possible.
I'm tired of feeling afraid. Act.
October 31, 2008 11:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Trick-or-treaters are overwhelmingly for Obama in my usually republican town in CO. We've had an Obama banner out for months and the guy across the street went out and got a big McCain-Palin banner. Tonight, the kids are telling us the guy is a jerk and won't answer the door, even though they are clearly home. Halloween Scrooges!
October 31, 2008 11:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that's to be expected. Republicans don't have a sense of humor.
October 31, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, trick-or-treat is clearly just a front for Socialist Redistribution of the Snickers.
November 1, 2008 12:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm Maverick McScrooge, bitches!!
October 31, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL!
I was at a Halloween party earlier this evening where some dude was dressed as Rick James, and went around all night, a la Dave Chappelle, saying, "I'm Rick James, bitch, do something. Show me your titties, I'm Rick James, bitch." Really funny, but got irritating after about 15 minutes.
October 31, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, Jaysus. Zogby's coming out with a poll tomorrow that has McCain ahead by one percentage point. That's more than enough for the MSM to swing this into a 'McMomentum' narrative.
Somebody please explain why this poll is bogus. It has to be.
October 31, 2008 11:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apparently one night of polling in his tracking poll showed McCain ahead by 1. Keep in mind that Zogby has crap for a track record. I believe he pulls his numbers right out of his you-know-what.
I can't find the direct link to Nate Silver's discussion of how bad Zogby is, but here's a summary at Americablog that's in reference to a past crappy Zogby poll:
http://www.americablog.com/2008/10/before-obsessing-about-zogbys-latest.html
October 31, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I pasted this link above, but repost it here. Nate talks about this very poll (quick!)
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/trick-or-treat.html
October 31, 2008 11:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay . . . that's a teensy bit reassuring (and I hope to all the saints in heaven it's more than that). I'm continually amazed by how antsy and vaguely unsettled I get from these dopey Drudge headlines. I guess I'm not as jaded as I thought I was (but then, who is these days?).
October 31, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nate Silver is the Gold Standard. ;)
Zogby, more like Aluminum.
November 1, 2008 12:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look at it this way.
Just before the 2004 election, Zogby put out a poll or two showing very good numbers for Kerry. It helped to get a lot of people's hopes up.
It looks like turnabout is fair play.
Zogby's numbers here are literally crap, even for a one-day subsample. But they're being trumpeted by Drudge and his wingnut readers. What do you suppose that will do to their spirits come election day, when the "Zogby Effect" bites them this time?
This election is being saturated with polls, and this is the only poll right now showing McCain within the margin of error, much less ahead. What's more, early voting stats and thorough polling in the critical electoral college states are pointing to a very high likelihood of an Obama win.
So take this "poll" for what it's worth: It in no way indicates anything actually going on in the election, but it will serve to amplify the demoralization of the wingnuts many times over.
November 1, 2008 1:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
roll your mouse over the map to the left to see the national numbers. that's why the zogby number is crap.
relax for a minute. then go to www.barackobama.com and make some calls with neighbor-to-neighbor to GOTV. when you're done, go knock on doors to GOTV. then vote.
we're going to win this thing. note that i didn't say "obama's going to win this thing." WE'RE going to win this thing, WE'RE going to take OUR country back, and WE'RE going to have bubbly hangovers on november 5th.
if the redcoats couldn't kick our asses, neither can mccain/palin.
November 1, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
According to this on-the-ground report from AZ, the McCain robocall in AZ may be backfiring to some extent. They are inspiring the AZ Democrats to work even harder for Obama, people are donating more money.
There is some talk of Obama making an appearance, but it may be just a head fake to drive the McCain people nuts.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dawn-teo/tight-polls-and-rumors-of_b_139090.html
October 31, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hard to see from Obama's upcoming rally schedule where he's got the time to be in AZ, but he can do amazing things, so he could surprise Arizonans. Tomorrow would be the likely day since he'll be in nearby Nevada.
October 31, 2008 11:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
If only a 527 could put this ad together to play in Louisiana in light of recent close polling: Black screen, white type: August 29, 2005. No sound, just images of destruction along the Gulf Coast and New Orleans, people stranded on rooftops, the Superdome, etc. Cut to another black screen with white type: And where was George Bush? Cut to infamous picture of Bush smiling on tarmac in Arizona, zoom out slowly to reveal him having a grand old time, holding a birthday cake with John McCain.
October 31, 2008 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
all kidding aside, a zogby outlier which shows a McCain lead is excellent news for Obama. If Obama has anything to fear right now, it is his supporters getting the idea that this thing is over and they don't have to vote. Clearly, the vast majority in this country do not want a McCain/Palin presidency and they are voting in record numbers to stop it. And clearly a huge majority very much want an Obama/Biden administration and are voting to bring it about. Any poll which puts those results in doubt will only rejoin the Obama supporters efforts to win this thing.
They got the guns, but we got the numbers...
Yes I did, three weeks ago as an Oregon voter.
Onward to 400 my droogies
November 1, 2008 1:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you 100%. As Obama keeps saying, its not over with yet and things can change. I keep the Heidi Bowl scenario in the back of my mind cause something may happen on election day that skews the race to McCain before anyone realizes what happened and there won't be any time left to compensate for the swing.
November 1, 2008 1:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
The race crystalizes:
http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/?last_story=/politics/war_room/feature/2008/10/31/proxy_war/
November 1, 2008 1:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Polka!
November 1, 2008 1:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bush pulls out his October Surprise to help out McCain.
November 1, 2008 7:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
These people are seriously pathetic.
November 1, 2008 7:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am quite frustrated with this whole election...I can't help but notice everytime Obama has a "problem"it's put under the rug and McCains problems are blown up...for all you Obama fans here's some info you can look up...Obama is saying it's not a "black" THING but it's his side bringing it up...Obama's mother is white and his dad is 87% ARABIC and only 13% BLACK...OBAMA AND HIS WIFE HAVE PARTICIPATED IN FLAG BURNINGS..HE BELIEVES OUR FLAG IS A SIGN OF OPPRESSION AND OUR NATIONAL ANTHEM IS HORRIBLE AND SHOULD NOT MENTION GOD OR BOMBS AND BOTH SHOULD BE CHANGED...HE WANTS TO DISMANTLE OUR MILITARY...WHICH RUSSIA AND ALOT OF MIDDLE EAST COUNTRIES WOULD LOVE FOR BAD REASONS. WAKE UP! HE IS VERY UNAMERICAN AND HIS WIFE SPENDS ALOT TOO SHE CHARGES A DINNER FOR 2 AT THE WALDORF AND BEFORE TIP IT WAS 447.58 THEY SAY EVERYONE NEEDS TO GIVE UP A PIECE OF THE PIE BUT THEY AREN'T..AS FOR HEALTH CARE ALL THE DRS WOULD HAVE TO TAKE PAY CUTS AND IT WOULD TAKE DECADES TO ACHIEVE IT. I CANT SAY I LOVE McCAIN BUT AT LEAST HE WON'T CAUSE WAR AND DESTROY OUR COUNTRY LEAVE US DEFENSELESS..I WANT TO HAVE SOMETHING LEFT FOR OUR KIDS..HELLO...RESEARCH...OBAMA'S THE MEDIA SWEETHEART...BUT YOU DON'T KNOW THE WHOLE THING AND YOU WON'T HEAR IT ON THE NEWS..HE BANS ANYONE THAT IS "MEAN" TO HIS SIDE...
November 1, 2008 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Funny how Obama people, when faced with this info, have NOTHING to say...all you gotta do is research the internet to see it's true...I hope McCain wins but because of the above reasons...you talk about Obama but his track record in voting is against almost everything he stands for now...McCain put together a bill more than 5 years ago to stop the mortgage / banking situation...Obama voted against it...and supported the people that invested the most in the "subprime" You can't pick someone based on color or who seems more polished..you base it on experience...and he has none..if he was White, Italian and Arabic he would never even be where he is today and that is racism...I hope he doesn't win but if he does...it will be based on all the shallow people who voted for the wrong reason...and remember if you vote for him and he destroys our country you have no right to complain cause all the info was right there for you to find...you all should be scared...it's not a game....
November 2, 2008 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink