More Polls Find Obama Vaulting Ahead In Key Battlegrounds
Wow. Hours after a set of polls showed Obama gaining in key battlegrounds, another batch of polls from CNN finds additional confirmation that the economic crisis has put Obama way up in other ones:
• Florida: Obama 51%, McCain 47%, with a ±3.5% margin of error.
• Minnesota: Obama 54%, McCain 43%, with a ±3.5% margin of error.
• Missouri: Obama 49%, McCain 48%, with a ±3.5% margin of error.
• Nevada: Obama 51%, McCain 47%, with a ±4% margin of error.
• Virginia: Obama 53%, McCain 44%, with a ±4% margin of error.
Four of these states were won by George W. Bush twice, with Minnesota being the only exception. All totaled, those four red states add up to 56 electoral votes -- and John McCain can barely afford to lose even one electoral vote from the Republican column.
Also, CNN has changed their map to favor Obama a little bit more -- Minnesota has moved from Toss-Up to Leans Obama, and Missouri from Leans McCain to Toss-Up.
O my god, Eric - he "vaulted"? You just undid your McLame Vaults headline.
Come here I want to give you a big kiss!
October 1, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Careful. He's a clinger.
October 1, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
DIGG THIS HERE:
DIgg link
October 1, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Poll vaulting. I like it.
October 1, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice. The trend continues. Watch that gap get increasingly wider...
http://thepajamapundit.com/
October 1, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hooray Missouri! I knew we would get there yet.
October 1, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know that Cube3u and BaristaBerry are hard at work in this state because I have run into them at the St Louis headquarters, so I tip my hat to you two.
October 1, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right back atcha, Greg. I know how long you've been out knocking on doors--over a year.
--d
October 1, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
You should of kept the faith my friend, since 1956 Missouri has NEVER voted incorrectly for President. They see what is going on and they want in.
October 1, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
They voted with the majority perhaps. But I'd say a case could be made that they voted incorrectly in 68,72,80,84,00 and 04.
October 2, 2008 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yay you!
If I can't get Texas, at least I get to share the joy y'all get!
Hooray! My sister in law and brother in law and nephew must be so happy!
October 1, 2008 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
In 4 years you will be working your ass off in Texas, it is QUICKLY beginning to trend blue.
October 1, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hat's off to all y'all working so hard in the swing states. Looks like it's definitely paying off!
October 1, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm in KC and people are out recruiting young people to vote. Signs and bumper stickers are ALL pro-Obama.
Now if we can just get those damn rural voters to understand their own interests...
October 1, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Up by 11 in Minnesota?
May Barack's coattails help Al Franken defeat that Dillweed Norm Coleman.
I would so love to see Al in the Senate on days like today.
October 1, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Holy shit, Batman! Obama up by nine points in VA!
And that 11-point lead in MN is nice to see. Al Franken could use some help from BigO's coattails.
October 1, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Beautiful.
October 1, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
We are going to turn that entire map blue, GET TO WORK FOLKS. We cannot get complacent, WE HAVE TO work as hard as we can.
Time to donate some more money...
October 1, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
We had better get ready for some nasty "October Surprise." The neocons are not going to go gently into the night, not after what they've done to our country. Some of them might face criminal charges if McCain-Palin doesn't win. And, in any event, without an empty suit like Palin, who are they going to manipulate to sustain their wars of imperial fantasy. Moreover, McCain has a penchant for the risky move, the "razzle dazzle." What do readers think the October Surprise is likely to be? Any guesses? We might as well talk about this now, so it's not such a "surprise" to the voters when it drops.
October 1, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't want to sound too cocky, but I think we'll have a big October surprise Thursday night.
C'mon. It's the best election day so far. Enjoy it for a minute.
October 1, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I"m sorry but I find that truly laughable.
Where would McLame get the money or the clout to pull off some kind of October Surprise? You can say what you will about the neo-cons - they don't like him. I don't think they trust him.
But mainly, I wonder if we'll ever get past this shit. That happened exactly once. One time. 30 years ago.
Everyone told me Rove would pull off an October Surprise for Cmmdr CooCoo Bananas in '04.
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the "October Surprise" is going to be how Obama closes the campaign. I have a feeling that the road to victory has been has been laid, now Obama is going to put the hammer down and leave McCain fumbling around in the dust.
October 1, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure. The way things are unraveling for McCain, it would have to something HUGE. And I don't think there could be anything that bad that's out there that we haven't already heard about.
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sure they will try something. But I'm equally sure it will backfire.
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know what - I don't think so. He's just going to fizzle right out. There's nothing.
They got nothing.
October 1, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, Republicans get blamed for everything now. It's hard to imagine any stunt they could pull now that would be positive for McCain without canceling that out by being negative for Republicans in general. Even if they pulled bin Laden out of their back pocket, the reaction from most voters would be "what took you so long?"
It's pretty clear their intended "October surprise" for Republicans in general was the kangaroo courts at Guantanamo. The fact that they thought they could ram those through and make a PR victory of it shows you just what a mickey mouse operation they are.
October 1, 2008 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't we already have it? Barack forgot his anniversary. HUGE October surprise, him sleeping on the couch in Air Obama ;-)
October 1, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS...
October 1, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
IS
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
EXCELLENT...
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
NEWS....
October 1, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
FOR...
October 1, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
CINDY MCCAIN!!!
October 1, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
FOR...
October 1, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
NEWS...
October 1, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
IS
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
IS...
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
this is the prize for hard work...........
October 1, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
this is the prize for hard work...........
October 1, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sweet Jesus. Things seem to be unraveling quickly for McCain.
October 1, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sarah "Cement Pumps" Palin.
She has scared most of the country to death.
October 1, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
IS
October 1, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn computers...meant for xantar
October 1, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
AP has Obama up by 7 nationally, just like new Time poll.
October 1, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kos/Research 2000 has Obama up 11.
October 2, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know it's still early, but I'm thinking we may a have a landslide by November 4.
What do the Republicans have left? The Palin pick is backfiring, the economy isn't going to miraculously fix itself in the next 34 days and McCain's constant and erratic bullshit becomes more and more transparent everyday.
Meanwhile, Obama has remained calm and steady throughout.
It's when, not if.
October 1, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to mention Americans, as we've been told, "like to vote for a winner."
Seeing these polls, things will just continue to get worse for McCain. His bullshit lying and ineptitude has finally caught up with him and he's not only not going to be President, he's going to walk away with his tail and his honor and dignity between his legs.
Serves the old coot right for running the campaign he did.
October 1, 2008 9:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
fogu2 just wants to remind us that Obama's down 30 in Oklahoma.
We're screwed, folks.
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Incidentally did you see his buy-bye post today?
October 1, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do tell!
What thread was it in? I'd go look at them all, but I've slammed today, work-wise.
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/10/its-been-fun.php
October 1, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. Very interesting.
We have been, I believe, 100% troll free today. I wonder if TPM is cracking down.
October 1, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, it seems so. Nice of TPM to cut him off on this, of all days. He never realized how much slack he got around here, IMO.
October 1, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Poor baby.
I knew that it was just a matter of time before he wore out his welcome.
I doubt I'll miss him, honestly.
October 1, 2008 5:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fuck him. I have no problem with honest debate and dissent. He provided neither. He was a troll.
October 1, 2008 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed
October 1, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
and a racist troll, at that.
I'm all for dissent, but the racist stuff was way over the line.
October 1, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. Major asshole racist pig.
October 1, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wondered why the threads were so much easier to read today. Mystery solved!
October 1, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
No!
O please do tell indeed
October 1, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
link above.. ; )
October 1, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't forget Idaho. As goes Idaho, so goes the nation.
October 1, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
And McCain's polling fantastically well in Utah, I hear.
October 1, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check this out about Sarah Palin being just a middle-class joe six pack:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/30/palin-says-shes-everyday_n_130711.html
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know Amelie, I've always had this thing for cartoon characters……..
October 1, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
:)
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
When she said six pack she meant Veuve Cliquot - That's French, by the way - and it gives her more international experience.
October 2, 2008 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
GREAT
October 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
lol... oh right...EXCELLENT!!!!!!
October 1, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course CNN has NC leaning McCain even though the RCP avg has Obama up, however CO and WI are tossups even though Obama is up by quite a bit in both.
October 1, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you about the incongruity of listing WI as a "toss-up," but to be very fair to CNN I think that it is right to list NC and CO as toss-ups, poll results notwithstanding. When a state has been as reliably red for as long as both of those have, it is quite reasonable to say "I will believe it when I see it."
October 1, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think NC should be listed Tossup but its listed as lean McCain right now which is what is ridiculous. Obama is ahead in NC atm and its listed as leaning McCain???
October 1, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I had missed that. I guess that I saw the orange in VA and neglected to notice the pink in NC. Well, what can I say but that I agree with you on that point as well. I could understand if they listed NC as "leans Obama," although I myself would list it as "toss-up," but there is no good way to arrive at the decision that it should be classed as "lean McCain." Even Nate Silver has it pure white right now.
October 1, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
New ad against Palin re: paying for rape kits
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/01/planned-parenthood-ad-tar_n_130821.html
October 1, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
And this for a laugh. Enjoy.
http://palinmania.wordpress.com/2008/09/03/can-we-quit-with-the-palineagleton-nonsense-already/
October 1, 2008 9:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Expect to see McCain/GOP Rezko/Wright/Ayers ads very soon.
They know that this election is slipping away unless they do something drastic.
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
And they should hit right back with Keating Five. In fact, there is an independent group's ad out about it today.
October 1, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean like this one?
October 1, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hopefully like this one:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/01/obama-ad-goes-after-mccai_n_130883.html
October 1, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was responding to Maritza's comment wondering about a Rezko-Wright-Ayers ad. I think I confused you by not including a quote from her comment.
October 1, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is predictable, i know Obama has a ready answer for that attack.
October 1, 2008 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't get me wrong, guys, I'm enjoy this just as much as anyone, but we've still got many miles to go before we sleep. Thirty-four days in an eternity in politics and I want my landslide. I won't let up. No doubt we'll have a few down days before this is over, but today . . . it does feel good! Let's celebrate, but let's remain vigilant against the "October Surprise." We know it's coming.
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
This seems like an appropriate place for this link to Jerry and Grisman doing "Friend of the Devil"
Enjoy... and chill.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5U67PVvO7WI
October 1, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thinking of emended electoral maps, has everyone seen Dick Morris' prediction. Needless to say, I am flattered that he has Missouri down alongside Virginia as "leaning Obama," but can we really take him seriously when he lists Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana and Arizona as toss-ups? Oh well, it would be lovely if it were real...
October 1, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dick Morris had to have been on some serious psychedelics when he put that map up. Serious. Neuron damaging kind of drugs.
October 1, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hello from Memphis.
There is ZERO chance TN is a toss-up state. If everything breaks in Obama's favor here, he will lose by only 10.
I hate my adopted state. A lot.
October 1, 2008 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS AWESOME!
Time to work harder than ever before!
October 1, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
The McCain campaign is in a terrible strategic place now. These new polls force McCain to dilute his $84M federal financing over an even wider area than the campaign managers' worst nightmares. Naturally the RNC, and 527s, will try to do their shares too. The RNC for its purposes may decide to bail out in those states where there is not also an endangered Republican senate seat.
On the other side, I hope Obama was able to duplicate his August fund raising numbers in September. He can force McCain to play defense in all of these states with Obama having financial superiority everywhere.
October 1, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
NEWS
October 1, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Boy I blew that!
LMAO at myself!
October 1, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
lightheaded I am, nice the wind of change is.
October 1, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hold on folks.
As had been said ad nauseam, the pollsters don't contact cell phone users.
So they're radically undercounting Palin's Helicopter Hunter demographic.
October 1, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, some pollsters do use cell phone contacts. I don't think that number is as strong as some hope.
October 1, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I've heard that some pollsters try to contact cellphones. But I tell ya, if they called my cellphone, I wouldn't be interested in pissing away my precious "anytime" minutes talking to them!
(Actually, I wouldn't be interested in pissing away my precious life minutes talking to those bozos, even on my home phone. But you probably could have guessed that!)
October 1, 2008 8:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. Likewise, I am sure that it happens that the pollsters reach a person and try to ask him or her questions, but the answers are so uselessly incoherent that they just end up hanging up and not counting those responses. Those incoherent voters, however, are likely Sarah Palin supporters, so it is a near certainty that these polls are underestimating her support.
;p
October 1, 2008 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
DO NOT get overexcited, these polls will tighten up once again as the election gets close and the bailout deal gets passed. We just have to............sorry to say this but.....keep on truckin until the 4th of Nov.
October 1, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your post card is tempting
October 1, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
OMG, run for the border, quick. This just in from Think Progress. We're doomed.
'In an interview this morning with NPR, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said that he has often turned to Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) for foreign policy advice:'
October 1, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you kidding me? O god that's pathetic.
October 1, 2008 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I heard it this morning. He said that "in the past" he's sought her advice. His dementia is acting up again. He forgets that he just met her. Yet he's sought her advice in the past. When pressed, he changed the subject. Shocker.
October 1, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"In the past"...like last August?
October 1, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
This doesn't surprise me at all.
McSame: Hey, Sarah. Take a look out your window. Watcha see happening over there in Russia?
October 1, 2008 8:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Lord, will wonders never cease? That's flabbergasting. It leaves me dumbstruck. Holy hell in a handbasket.
October 1, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
FOR....
October 1, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
From Fixnews,
"As Race Tightens Nationally, Battleground Polls Give Obama Wide Lead"
Where are they getting their info from?
This is a good one...
October 1, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
But what if Palin's performance so far has been a ruse? And she talks like a cross between Maggie Thatcher and Albert Einstein tomorrow night?
Seriously, as Han Solo said, "don't get cocky." Continue the battle. Make this a LANDSLIDE!
October 1, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Meanwhile, has anyone noticed since Obama moved into comfortable leads in all the tracking polls Drudge miracurously does not post them anymore?
October 1, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I expect all of these will tighten back up.
Why? It's not because I have any political insight, but just because I'm of Irish descent, and just always expect that the good times don't last forever.
But hey, who cares, at this point? It's a helluva lot better than the alternative.
October 1, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I expect all of these will tighten back up.
Why? It's not because I have any political insight, but just because I'm of Irish descent, and just always expect that the good times don't last forever.
But hey, who cares, at this point? It's a helluva lot better than the alternative.
October 1, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought something was up in MO. Living in Kansas I get KC media and I have been seeing a lot of adds lately.
October 1, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
They've both been advertising, all summer. I just haven't seen any of the new ones. Just the same old scary taxes ad(I live in KC).
October 1, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
What are the chances that the RNC just says screw this, and shifts its resources into saving as many House/Senate seats as possible, leaving McPalin twisting in the wind?
We're getting close to that point, no?
October 1, 2008 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Considering they're putting out ads attacking a bailout bill that he supports, I think that's a yes.
October 1, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iam sure its crossed the mind of a few RNC people, it would explain their ad attacking the bailout even though McCain is supporting it.
October 1, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
The chances are good. But McCain said in his convention speech that he will fight so its not over. And I think Palin will summon abilities yet unseen because she does not want to loose and go back to Alaska and be an unpopular governor.
October 1, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Texasa will be trending blue in 2012.
October 1, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Texas is trending blue now.
Noriega is within sight of replacing John Cornyn.
October 1, 2008 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll only get excited at about 10PM EST on November 4.
Never underestimate the gullibility of the American people.
October 1, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aryers, Rezko, and Rev Wright
VS
Rev Hagee, Rev Parsely, and The Witch Doctor.
Who would win that wrestling match?
October 1, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Oooh eee oooh ah ah ting tang
Walla walla bang bang"
that would be an awesome youtube ad
October 1, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, has Dick actually looked at any polling or election results in 2008, or did he see that map in a dream? It's surreal.
October 1, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was about to send an e-mail to the TPM folks yesterday b/c he was over the line with racist remarks.
Good riddance..
October 1, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jeez, meant in regards fogu...
Whats up with the innertubes today? Or is it me?
October 1, 2008 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Falling gas prices...we are all seeing that, yes?
I think that Repubs must have thought, early in the summer, that falling gas prices would change everything. Clearly, that isn't going to work out now. Beyond that, I don't know. I wonder if they know
October 1, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
they forgot about the mortgage mess, unemployment rate, diminished 401K's and rest of the economy
October 1, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not a ploy to boost McCain's chances.
Prices have fallen because the oil-futures speculators are starting to factor in the effect of the major recession that is coming, whether the bailout bill passes or not.
Recession will necessarily lower demand for oil, and oversupply will push down the price.
So that's the good news.
The bad news is we're in for a major recession.
But it will be cheaper to drive from the home you no longer have to the job you no longer have in the car you no longer have.
October 1, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds a lot more effective than having a Value Meal™.
October 1, 2008 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
The best part of this is seeing the rest of the country meet Obama and like him as much as I do. It's just great. Once they see and hear him, he's closed the deal. It's not just that McCain/Palin are incompetent idiots, it's also that Obama has run a brilliant campaign with integrity. He's the real deal and some people are seeing that for the first time. They just started paying attention.
October 1, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's hard to imagine after being so absorbed in this campaign since he announced he was running, but yeah people are starting to engage and like what they see. For right now, my faith in this country is on the rebound.
October 1, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, my brother in NJ called last night and said he is tuned in now and "understands now why I've been talking Obama up at every family gathering." And he's an independent.
October 1, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
McShame's new campaign song that Jackson Brown approved this morning. "RUNNING ON EMPTY"
October 1, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
With underinflated tires.
October 1, 2008 8:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$! Please.
October 1, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I sent two-fiddy last night.
October 1, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
A MAJOR geek fight has broken out between Sam Wang and Nate Silver
Dr. Wang throws the latest punch!
http://election.princeton.edu/2008/10/01/1427/#more-1427
October 1, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
One guy you dont mess with is NATE. Watch him come back with the statistical beat down very soon.
October 1, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
This one goes out to all "my friends" at the John McCain Campaign!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPsqhlRac1E
Joni Mitchell - It's All Over Now Baby Blue
October 1, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just looking at RCP today,
Four Florida Polls, Obama ahead +8, +4, +4, and +3. So it probably safe to say that Florida is leaning toward leaning Obama.
October 1, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
You really did pray for substantiating polls this morning when I said that, didn't you? : )
October 1, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Substantiation is a grand thing.
October 1, 2008 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
And Transsubstantiation is what Catholics call an everyday miracle.
October 1, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you haven't seen this, and you feel like laughing, here you go.
http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/palin_brushing_up_on
You know, given her recent interviews, it might not be such a bad idea ...
October 1, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Polls are cheap. Act like he's down 10 points.
October 1, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a nice trend, certainly much better than polls showing Obama behind, but after the last few presidential races, don't count your chickens before they hatch. We've been through this too many times to get complacent, now.
October 1, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
My hunch is that Obama's not going to change his Plan and that the plan doesn't call for playing it safe, rather looks to ratchet up the pressure on the old man
October 1, 2008 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed that TX is blue-able. Dont live there now, but grew up there. People I know who still live there are all Obama supporters. Big problem is the perception that their votes don't count b/c of course Texas will go red. I keep telling people to pay that no mind and vote! Still a long shot but hey, never know. And any progress puts a dent in that perception.
October 1, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just hope Obama and his folks don't sit on their hands. They need to hammer McCain mercilessly; whip on him like a stray dog; lay a million-pound shithammer on his head, as Hunter Thompson might've said.
I would love it if they started taking McCain to task for his claims on his record. I want Obama to start asking out loud, where's the record?
WHERE'S THE BEEF, JOHN?
I keep hearing about his great record on foreign policy, but I've never actually seen any evidence. That claim almost seems like a device the cable networks can use to make it look like the thing is close in order maintain ratings through election day. Can anyone out there tell me what the big deal is with John McCain and foreigh policy?
No mercy, no prisoners, in a nice way of course.
October 1, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
WHERE'S THE PORK, SARAH?
October 1, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Add AP-GFK poll to the joy: "Likely voters now back Obama 48-41 percent over McCain, a dramatic shift from an AP-GfK survey that gave the Republican a slight edge nearly three weeks ago, before Wall Street collapsed and sent ripples across worldwide markets."
And it notes, "On top of that, unrelated surveys [Quinnipiac and CNN//Time/Opinion Research Corp.] show Obama beating McCain in several battlegrounds, including Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania - three states critical in the state-by-state fight for the presidency."
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AP_POLL_PRESIDENTIAL_RACE?SITE=NEYOR&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
October 1, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is a new GOP Ad with ayers, wright, and rezko. These are the reasons i dont think the GOP will get much out of this strategy.
1. They are old. People have been closely watching this election from the primaries. Most already know about rezko, ayers, wright. the shock effect is very low now.
2.Mccain has his own problems. Palin with the independence party, him getting caught red handed in a lie about fannie mae and his advisors, palin scandal..troopergate, trying to prevent her ex brothr in law from recieving benefits....
3. The sleeping lion of keating 5.
obama issues will cancel out mccain issues and vise versa.
mccain has to do better than that, fear of Palin trumps fear of obama blackness.
October 1, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been wondering if his memoir is another sleeping lion awaiting to be unleashed.
October 1, 2008 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
CBS Poll: Obama Widens Lead Over McCain
CBS News Survey Shows Obama Opening Up Nine-Point Edge On Strength Of Debate Performance And Handling Of Financial Crisis
October 1, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has a five point lead among Independents in this poll. Last week, this group narrowly backed McCain.
October 1, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have a one-person anecdote on that. My wayward younger brother (now 42) is an independent. He voted for Nader in 2000 and Bush in 2004. He is way on board for Obama this year. Loves him and is really excited. He is happy to make his Big Sis happy for once.
October 1, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow I see everybody on here is rippin FOGU2,SFC WALLACE,LALO35 and DUMBASS BIL C,its 1 thing to have your own stances and difference but its another thing to b divisive and racist and that stem from their parents and their parents parents.
October 1, 2008 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come again? You wanna try being coherent?
October 1, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really think if Obama wanna bolstered his foreign policy experience he should take an overseas trip to alaska for 5 days.
October 1, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
When is McCain going to drop out?
October 1, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
He just did.
Senator from Arizona and former presidential candidate John McCain and Governor and former VP candidate Sarah Palin.
October 1, 2008 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, 527's are going after McCain. Some already up at TPM, but the one about Keating Five, I saw it the first time now.
October 1, 2008 11:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh and the one by California Nurses Association, I saw it just now. How long has it been aired?
October 1, 2008 11:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, here's a link.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/01/ads-go-on-the-attack/
October 1, 2008 11:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain's the old man.
Obama's the grown-up.
October 1, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
When McCain loses he's going to give you all a very stern lecture and refuse to shake your hand. So there.
October 2, 2008 1:50 AM | Reply | Permalink