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Election Central Morning Roundup

New McCain Ad: He's For "Workin' Joes"
The new McCain ad, set to air in targeted states, contrasts the two candidates and attacks Obama on the McCain campaign's apparent closing issue of wealth redistribution:

"For higher taxes," the announcer says of Obama, then declaring that McCain is "for workin' Joes." That's right -- the McCain campaign is dropping the G's in its slogans, including in the on-screen text.

The GOP's Bizarre Spending
The Huffington Post does a comprehensive review of the RNC and McCain campaign's finance reports and finds a bunch of expenditures every bit as odd as the spending on Sarah Palin's wardrobe. The GOP laid out for everything from art restoration to elephant-shaped shrubbery to lunches for Karl Rove.

Obama In Pennsylvania and Virginia; Biden In Florida; Michelle In Colorado
Barack Obama is holding a morning rally in Chester, Pennsylvania, a 5:15 p.m. ET rally in Harrisonburg, Virginia, and a 9:30 p.m. ET rally in Norfolk, Virginia. Joe Biden is campaigning in Florida, with an 11 a.m. ET rally in Ocala and a 4:30 p.m. ET rally in Melbourne. Michelle Obama is holding a 6:30 p.m. ET rally in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

GOP Ticket Focused On Pennsylvania Today; McCain Also In North Carolina
John McCain and Sarah Palin are spending a lot of time today in Pennsylvania, the state that has become the linchpin of their new strategy -- but where the polls still show them far behind. The two of them have a joint rally at 10 a.m. ET in Hershey, then a joint rally at 1:15 p.m. ET in Quakertown, followed by Palin solo rallies at 5:15 p.m. ET in Shippensburg and at 9 p.m. ET in University Park. John McCain also has a solo rally at 5:30 p.m. ET in Fayetteville, North Carolina.

Poll: Obama Ahead in Ohio, Way Up On Early Votes
A new SurveyUSA poll gives Barack Obama a 49%-45% lead in Ohio, with a ±3.9% margin of error. The key number from the internals is that 22% of the likely electorate has already voted, and they've gone for Obama by a 56%-39% margin, with the two candidates tied 47%-47% among the remaining 78%.

Obama Ad: In A Crisis, "He's Got Steel In His Spine"
The Obama campaign has this new ad running under the radar, firing back on the controversy surrounding Joe Biden's remarks that the next president will be tested in a crisis, and accusing the McCain campaign of selectively editing the tape:

"But here's what Biden actually said about Barack Obama," the announcer said, followed by audio of Biden: "They're gonna find out this guy's got steel in his spine."

New NRA Ad Stars Chuck Norris
This new NRA ad, targeted at ten battleground states, features the one and only Chuck Norris warning voters that certain politicians just say they're for gun rights, but they're really just protecting criminals:

"If some thug breaks into my home, I could use my roundhouse kick," the World's Greatest Human says. "But I'd prefer he look down the barrel of my gun."


94 Comments

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Hanging href there, Eric

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damn yer quick!

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Chuck Norris' tears cure cancer...too bad he never cries (until next Wednesday morning).

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Chuck Norris can do a wheelie on a unicycle.

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OMG, thanks for the great morning laughs.

After last night's phone banking (I think we're pretty much scraping the bottom of the barrel, now, this close to the election), during which I took some serious abuse, the laughs are welcome medicine.

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Lamont, you've been gone too long! Love the oxymoron!

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Lamont, you've been gone too long! Love the oxymoron!

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Helpful Hint For Posting On TPM #368:

Do NOT hit Recycle (F5) when you get the "no nodes" message. Close the browser and open a new one instead.

We now return you to your TPM blog already in progress.

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Typical Republican, always relying on a celebrity endorsement and movie-star spokesman to talk up the campaign.

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Elephant shaped shrubbery? Art restoration?

Seriously. Is the GOP laundering money?

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What's Chuck's point?

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Hmm. Actor Chuck Norris or combat veteran Jim Webb. Who's got the most credibility on protecting our constitutional rights?

I'm going with Webb.

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Chuck's in good company. During the McCarthy era, John Wayne called people who had served in WWII un-American communists. Perception over reality, perception over reality.

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To Counter Obama's National Airtime, Palin to Appear on Home Shopping Network
http://satiricalpolitical.com/?p=4376

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OMG--for a minute there, I thought you were serious. Have mercy, this campaign has gone on for far too long!

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I hate to say it but I see nothing out of the ordinary in that list. The art repair was most likely the result of damage caused during an event or by a staffer to private property at someone's estate. The yacht rental, event crap (swag), candy, starbucks, car washes all legit.

What's the story here? The Obama campaign for sure has a nearly identical list of expenses.

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Paraphrasing the Chuck: "What the world needs now is more kung fu cowboy patriot vigilantes. You can be one too, all you need is a gun."

I've noted for a long time now that right wingers live in a constant state of fear. In their minds, the world is full of people out to rape their daughters, steal their posessions, and murder their sons. There's a boogyman in the backyard just waiting to sneak into your house, so you better be armed to the gills. It's ridiculous.

Recently, there was some scientific evidence to support this--essentially, people who are liberal are physiologically less prone to fear.

This is why the republicans use fearmongering all the time---because it works for their base.

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After a trainwreck, three things always get investigated: The brakes, the signals, and the conductor's blood-alcohol level.

This is basic politics, freshman year, second semester. The pre-/post-mortems always cast the expenditures of the campaigns that are behind/have lost in an unfavorable light. If you win, a $400 starbucks bill is no big deal. (Hell, if you win, you could have brought in Juan Valdez to brew each cup individually, and nobody would complain.) If you lose, you would've been better off going to Target, buying a coffee maker and brewing your own. That's the way it goes. McCain's campaign has been a trainwreck, thus the scrutiny, the finger pointing, the gnashing of teeth, the rending of garments...

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The GOP will be going down with the ship...anyone have an extra life jacket to throw them?

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No--but I do have an anvil.

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Wow. That early vote in Ohio is insane. If that's right McCain, will have to win the remaining vote by a solid margin - at least five points - to come back and win. And there's nothing out there indicating he has that kind of momentum.

http://pufferfish.typepad.com/

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I sure hope Ohio is in the bag. I'm sick and tired of being embarrassed after Presidential elections. I'd like to be able to hold my head up among people from sane states!

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Don't feel too bad. I live in UT. . .

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CTR!

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Aaggghhhhhhh!!!

:-)

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I live in Utah too, but I grew up in Ohio. I've certainly taken the 2000 and 2004 Ohio votes personally, even from a distance.

I will say one thing for Utah. Even though McLame will win the state by a 2-1 margin, a couple days ago it was announced that Utahans (if that's a real word) have given more money to Obama than to McCain. Utah Democrats: the few but the proud.

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Utahns. (I'm not from Utah, but I have relatives there.)

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And I heard on KUER (local NPR for you out-of-staters) yesterday that over 100,000 people have already voted here (compared to 75,000 in 2004) and the early voting goes till 10/31. How much you want to bet that if we counted the votes then Obama would carry the state?

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Didn't chuck norris get the s..t beat out of him by Bruce Lee in some movie ?

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Yeah, but everyone knows Bruce Lee was an illegal Asian immigrant and that particular fight was during a time when a Lib was in office and had taken Chuck's gun away.

Had the Righty won that election, Chuck would have had his trusty 12 gauge and we wouldn't be so enamored with Bruce Lee's legacy.

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That movie was also filmed in Hong Kong which is really, really close to Hanoi, so Chuck was fighting at a signficant POW-like disadvantage. He's since been liberated and can now kick the shit out of Bruce Lee, Mr. Lee's vital signs notwithstanding.

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And meanwhile in Massachusetts, they had to pry a little boy's warm dead hands from around the Uzi he accidentally shot himself with.
Chuck Norris, you can go to hell.

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Agree whole-heartedly.

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Oh, boy. The repugs are really tone deaf, aren't they ? Don't they know anything at all about timing ?

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Look on the bright side of life (Life of Brian music in the background starts playing).

Let them have their guns and allow their kids to play with them as much as them want. Eventually, all those NRA members will become childless and the NRA will disappear.

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I once had a bumper sticker roughly to that effect:

"If guns are outlawed, only outlaws will kill their children by accident"

I got rid of it finally because so many people didn't get it, and/or found it offensive.

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You know what I don't get? I grew up in rural MI. For my 5th birthday I got a .22 rifle. I grew up around LOTS of guns, and so did all of my elementary school classmates. But not one of us ever got into a shooting accident. Same deal with my husband. So are parents more stupid or inattentive now? This is something that I've been pondering for years.

And the answer to the poor kid with the Uzi: that instructor or whatever he is should be sued. Anyone who's ever fired an Uzi (military training for me) knows that it pulls up and to the left and is *very* hard to control the first time you pull the trigger.

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There was no instructor, just a licensed adult who "supervised" the pumpkin shoot. The kid's father had already given permission for the kid to shoot, thinking that the kid could handle a gun that he had never shot before and was never trained to shoot. This was one adrenalin soaked shootemup hoedown where not a lot of attention was paid to gun safety for children.

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I guess that answers my question about stupid vs. inattentive. Stupid is as stupid does. . .

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I know it's OT, but this is just such a sad case. More mind-boggling facts: the kid's father was standing right there and gave permission for him to fire; the dad is a doctor (!); and none of this was against state law....yet: this morning a state rep floated a bill to limit automatic weapon firing at gun expos to 21+. I place it in the "You'd think you wouldn't NEED a law for this sort of thing..." file...sigh.

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So why did they let an 8 year old fire the weapon? I would think anyone with an ounce of intelligence about automatic weapons would know what would happen if the weapon were in the hands of an inexperienced person. If an inexperienced adult would have trouble controlling the firing characteristics of the weapon, what chance would an 8 year old have?

Personally, the boy should become the poster child for why we need to have a serious, adult discussion concerning weapons in the hands of private citizens. I have no problem with people who own guns that are responsible, however, there are too many out there who lack the common sense to shoot one and even less to own one.

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WORD!

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Did dyou ACTUALLY just say "the world's greatest human says"??? He is a Republican, that takes him down a peg.

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Chuck Norris once punched a man in the soul.

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OK, knock it off. I have to get back to work!

God, that sh*t's funny.

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Chuck Norris? Really? THat's the best they have to offer? Oy.

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Clueless to the end. Thankfully.

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I never did like Chuck Norris. Im shocked at those Ohio numbers. I honestly thought Obama couldn't win there.

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Not sure who's tougher...Chuck Norris or his hairpiece!

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Well, he hasn't won yet. Remember the wave of GOP voters who turned up on election day last time around, pushing GWB comfortably over the top.

Still, it's heartening to know that those early Obama votes are already in the bank.

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In case people are tired of reading about politics, thought this would be a nice change of pace...and, if you have high blood pressure, it could save your life! :-)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20081023/sc_livescience/thestinkinfartscontrolsbloodpressure;_ylt=AtpDzD1SiwWp.Ef0j3Wf8ris0NUE

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So if you have high blood pressure eat more beans to keep it under control? If that gets out, we'll need a prescriptions when we go to the market.

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Three thoughts:

(1) Why even bring up the Biden issue? JUST TALK INTO THE CAMERA, BARACK!

(2) That Chuck Norris ad has to be the cheesiest political ad ever. I mean, they should just start sending swing voters plaster silver-star badges, cap guns, and bandanas.

(3) The early voting numbers in Ohio are incredible. Even if the remaining potential voters favored McCain (and they don't), they're just potential; the early votes are banked. That is excellent news . . . for [INSERT IRONIC BUT NOT OBVIOUS NAME HERE]!

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...Marcel Proust!!!

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nice.

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There's a good reason for the comeback ad. McCain and the press were out-and-out misrepresenting what was said, as they are on the "redistributive" quote, and the public needs to understand when that happens. Obama has been giving the public a good-sized dose of something that's been in short supply the past forty years or so:

CONTEXT

I hope it continues for the next eight years. Maybe we'll emerge with better critical thinking skills.

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I agree with you that Obama should have just ignored the ad. But maybe their polling shows the gaffe having an effect somewhere, such as PA where Obama is once again campaigning, after last week saying they wouldn't be there.

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Those Ohio numbers are very interesting and indicative of what we have seen come out of Florida as well. Obama with a huge lead in the early voting numbers and close to tied with the remaining voters.

There are many scenarios that can explain why that isn't as huge for Obama as I'd like it to be. And many blogs will point them out. So I'm going to be the one to go nuts...

The real numbers in this race are going to be close to the results most pollsters get for all registered voters than they are going to be for likely voter models. The enthusiasm lead for Obama is coming from African Americans, Latinos and Young folks who are normally in the tank for Democrats but don't show up to vote. This time they are going to do it.

If I smoked I'd want a cig real bad after posting that....

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What worried me last night was when Rachel Maddow talked about Obama's rallies of 100,000 people or more - the organizers would have early voting polling places all set up expecting a huge rush of people, but NOBODY would vote even after Obama told them to in his speech. They just attended, cheered and left without voting.

WTF???

Now either these people already voted OR they're waiting for some ungodly reason.

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ChicagoJoe:

I love Rachel, but she is bordering on concern trolling nightly right now. Howard Dean looked genuinely surprised at her concern, and said the numbers in Colorado and everywhere else for early voting were superb. I sure didn't get the sense from watching that exchange that he was spinning anything.

My suggestion for Rachel would not be to base "concern" on an anecdotal report in the Denver Post but look overall at the hard numbers. Those numbers are our friend right now, the first steps of many that will be taken toward Obama's win next Tuesday night.

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But doesn't she have that 1 segment a night called "Talk me Down"? Isn't that the whole idea of it?

I haven't watched lately so maybe her concern has spilled over to other parts of the show.

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She does, but even in that segment, it has gotten a bit over the top. And it is bleeding over into other segments.

Again, I love her show, my wife and I watch her daily, but she needs to relax a tad at this point, and not be so eager to try and find bad news everywhere she looks.

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Gotcha.

Like I said, I hadn't watched in a while.

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I have to disagree with you - she's not trolling, she's being cautious...and caution is very, very smart! There is NO SUCH THING as a sure thing.

I'm not a worrier, but I'm cautious and there's still plenty of time for anything to happen to change course of things. That's all Maddow is doing as well.

The California Angels and the Chicago Cubs had the best records in baseball...every sports writer predicted they'd both be in the World Series this year...EVERY WRITER! Are either one of them in the World Series? NO!

I don't believe in sure things. I definitely believe in Obama and I fully and without a doubt believe he can be our next President, but you also have (a) a week left, and (b) a desperate Republican Party that has no morals or any problem going to every extreme of crazy to make sure they win next week.

Don't worry - just be cautious!! AND VOTE!!!

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Who said anything about a sure thing? But there comes a point where you work so hard to describe unlikely and nightmare scenarios that it hurts the show. And I think she is coming within shouting distance of that.

To borrow from Pushing Daisies, the facts are these:

1. Obama has a very real and very static national lead.

2. Obama has a very real and very static lead in enough states to be over 270 EVs right now.

3. There is no real sign of any change to those above two facts.

Now, all that said, do I understand why we are progressives worry? Of course. I was a poll watcher attorney volunteer in Ohio in 2004. I was there when it all slipped away. I know precisely the stakes. But I just don't see any comparison between where this race is now and where the Kerry race was four years go. None.

Stronger candidate, better organization, far more motivated base, it's all better now.

That can all be acknowledged, and should be, whether it be by Maddow, or us in here, or whomever. All that said, McCain could still pull an upset, but it is clear that we are on the high ground here. It is possibe to acknowlege all that without jinxing anything.

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Big difference between today's election and 2004 is that McCain isn't Bu$h. Bu$h drew people in while McCain repells them. The only way McCain could possibly win would be if there are enough rats deserting the sinking ship to barely push him over the top. And that doesn't seem too likely at this point in the game.

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Yes, we are definitely on the high ground and I agree with you completely. I just put caution first before thinking we have this in the bag.

Yes, we have the lead, but some voters, even some I know, are planning not to vote because they think Obama has it made. It's those people I scream at on a daily basis to vote.

All of my rantings about caution stem from that sole fact - assumption. With Obama's lead, his ground team, his organization and his unbridled ability to do the things he does to inspire, I know he can win! But too many supporters are taking that for granted and planning not to vote because they feel they don't have to.

That's why some of the people at Obama's rallies aren't voting early. And when you have Obama himself telling people not to get cocky and assume we've won already, then that tells you something.

But you and I (and all of us here) agree that he could very well be #44 - and I'll be jumping for joy along with the rest of everyone else when he does win next week.

But to get that far he needs for all of us to take FIVE MINUTES out of our lives to vote. The lines are short in Chicago, long in other places...but they'll be even longer next Tuesday.

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"But too many supporters are taking that for granted and planning not to vote because they feel they don't have to."

really? Is there any evidence of this? Not in my neck of the woods. I haven't he4ard even anecdotal evidence that O's supporters are going to stay home. Quite the opposite, in fact.

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I was thinking the same thing watching last night's show.

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More than bordering. I love Rachel, but she was an endless concern troll on the radio during the primaries and the aftermath (the Rules Committee fiasco), constantly spinning scenarios where we might lose. Her saving grace on it is that she frequently admits she's unreasonably worried.

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Thanks for confirming, redshift. I love her, but she's got to chill.

The Pew poll is an eye-opener.

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But some pollsters (like DKos/R2K) are already trying to factor that into their likely-voter weighting, aren't they?

Zogby is kind of a stand-out because they are using 2004 turnout numbers to generate their 2008 likely-voter profile. Nate Silver and others have called them on this, but they're sticking to their methodology.

Other pollsters, I think, are trying to be more flexible and realistic -- but nobody will really know who's going to vote until election day. Who knows? Maybe Zogby will come out looking brilliant.

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McCain and Palin, tag-teaming it in my hometown of Quakertown, PA! The papers report a crowd of 10,000. They'll be lucky to pull in 2,000; and the weather sucks for them today. My father got a call from the campaign inviting him to the rally and his response was, "Is this a joke?" They hung up on him.

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They've cancelled it due to "weather".

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They hung up on him

Now *that's* a way to win over voters!

HA!!!

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co-sign the ad comment. why do anything that invites a comeback on an unwinable argument in the closing days?? bloody absurd tactic.

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Truth, maybe?

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McCain was not only one taking Biden's quote out of context; the media also lead the charge. Once again just another example of the msm globs onto to every piece of shit, make believe controversy McCain throws up on the wall. By the not playing the entire quote it allows the msm to shape this story the way they want. “Obama not ready.” Its good for the constant false debate for the daily cable news talk shows. Funny how they never throw Palin’s qualifications into the mix of conservations

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McCain was not only one taking Biden's quote out of context; the media also lead the charge. Once again just another example of the msm globs onto to every piece of shit, make believe controversy McCain throws up on the wall. By the not playing the entire quote it allows the msm to shape this story the way they want. “Obama not ready.” Its good for the constant false debate for the daily cable news talk shows. Funny how they never throw Palin’s qualifications into the mix of conservations

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"Some Thug"? Is Chuck Norris playing the race card here? WHy not just "If somebody breaks into my house" or "If some criminal breaks into my home"...

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In the alternate "College Republicans Remix" version of the ad, Chuck has a black eye and a backwards "B" carved into his face.

I just wish they'd used the theme from the Delta Force soundtrack behind the ad.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vmlQB_jzMs

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The Chuck Norris ad is a waste of money...any gun zealot is already going to vote Republican. Again, John McCain's strategy is one who is running for his party's nomination. Incompetence.

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Thankx, ChicagoJoe for maintaining a clear voice of reason and sanity for us.

Bye the way, in my day, the only question in Chicago electoral politics was when and how much the cemetary vote would turn out. Things have gotten more complicated since then.

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Or Norris could just snatch that appalling rug of his head and smack the bad guy with it...

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Obama's surrogates need to hit McCain's seven homes and say his scare tactics on the distribution of wealth just isn't selling from someone who owns seven homes. McCain's numbers fell when the talk was about his personal wealth.

Republican party = greed.

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In Georgia, in early voting people waited in line for 12 hrs. to vote yesterday because of a computer glitch. But the point is no one left from 1:00 pm until 1:00 am. Everyone stood in line until they cast their vote. Volunters are working really hard to GOTV. I hope we can turn this state blue, if not we will definatly send a message. Everyone VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!

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Thank you Georgia!
Keep it up.
Send Governor Palin back home to Alaska. We'll take it from there.

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If you have already voted, go to your polling place take a folding chair and water with you for the elderly that are waiting to vote. We have to do everything we can to put Obama over the top.

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Have you taken a good look at Chuck? How the hell is he going to do a roundhouse kick? He's in his early hundreds!!

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Have you taken a good look at Chuck? How the hell is he going to do a roundhouse kick? He's in his early hundreds!!

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Oh no! They cancelled the Q-Town event in PA! I suppose the hung up on too many people. Well, that makes me happy, as I'm sure it does my dad, that they won't be showing their faces in northern Bucks County!

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McCain is asking Stevens to step down. Palin gave a luke warm negative comment. She wants to stand up to corruption, but she needs to keep her Alaskan base happy. Alaskans love their Uncle Ted.

So realizing she will be coming home soon she is looking out for her political future.

I look forward to her throwing McCain under the bus on November 5th.

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The Biden ad is a *strong* one in the closing week. It's just another reminder to people of how the McCain campaign is full of shit in their attack ads. The ad repositions Biden's comments to out over Obama strongly, and smack McCain's bullshit.

Well done.


John

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During the GOP primaries, Chuck Norris was a Huckabee supporter. I guess that tells us everything we need to know.

Also:

"for workin' Joes." That's right -- the McCain campaign is dropping the G's in its slogans, including in the on-screen text.

Now, considering that this is the McCain campaign, is workin' an adjective or a verb?

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