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Election Central Morning Roundup

Obama To Deliver "Closing Argument" Speech
Barack Obama is rolling out his "closing argument" speech today, with the rhetorical points he will stress for the remainder of the campaign. There won't be any great substantive change, but this line from the prepared remarks, condemning Republican culture-war politics, jumps out in the way it hearkens back to his 2004 convention speech: "In one week, you can put an end to the politics that would divide a nation just to win an election; that tries to pit region against region, city against town, Republican against Democrat; that asks us to fear at a time when we need hope."

Obama In Ohio And Pennsylvania; Biden In North Carolina And Florida
Barack Obama is holding a 12:30 p.m. ET rally in Canton, Ohio, at which he will roll out his "closing argument" stump speech, followed by a 3 p.m. ET rally in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Joe Biden is holding a 10 a.m. ET rally in Greenville, North Carolina, a 2:15 p.m. ET rally in Greensboro, North Carolina, and a 7:30 p.m. ET rally in New Port Richey, Florida.

Michelle Obama On The Tonight Show, And Rallying In Nevada
Michelle Obama is taping an appearance for tonight on The Tonight Show, and will then be holding a rally in Las Vegas, Nevada, beginning at at 9:15 p.m. local time (that is, a quarter after midnight ET).

McCain In Ohio And Pennsylvania; Palin In Virginia
John McCain is holding a 2:30 p.m. ET rally in Dayton, Ohio, and a 6:30 p.m. ET rally in Pottsville, Pennsylvania. Sarah Palin is touring through Virginia today, with a 10 a.m. ET rally in Leesburg, a 1 p.m. ET rally in Fredericksburg, and a 6:45 p.m. ET rally in Salem.

GOP Sen. Kyl: Unfortunately, McCain Will Probably Lose
Sen. Jon Kyl, John McCain's fellow Republican Senator from Arizona, is openly voicing pessimism about McCain's chances next Tuesday. "Unfortunately, I think John McCain might be added to that long list of Arizonans who ran for president but were never elected," Kyl told the Arizona Daily Star.

Poll: Obama Ahead By Eight In Virginia
A new Washington Post poll gives Barack Obama a 52%-44% lead in Virginia, up from a 49%-46% lead a month ago. There now seems to be a strong consensus in the polls that Obama has a solid lead in a state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1964 LBJ landslide.

Palin: The Clothes Are Like The Stage And Lighting
At a rally yesterday in Tampa, Sarah Palin explained that the story about her expensive campaign wardrobe was "ridiculous," saying the clothes are not her property and are like the stage and the lighting -- after the rally is over, it all goes back to the RNC to dispose of. This does invite an interesting question: How much else about Palin is just so much stagecraft?


94 Comments

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The McCain campaign folks must be grinding their teeth to tiny nubs over Palin's lack of political intuition. Her stretching the clothing thing out another news cycle is just another example of wet she is behind the ears. I can just imagine the giant STFU they're mouthing at her from behind the curtain.

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McCain is definitely grinding their teeth over Palin, but not because of her lack of political intuition. It's because she care more about 2012 than 2008.

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By 2012, she'll be fully vetted and not a viable candidate beyond the support of her fringe base. 4 years of the Perils of Palin will be enough to keep her out of national office.
After the election, expect some tell-all books or articles about the way the campaign was run and the maverickiness of Palin straying from the campaign to blow her own horn. The "diva" stores have already begun.

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Very good point. You don't hear Joe Biden explaining his "mark my words" comments at rallies.

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Oh, the McCain campaign is definitely grinding its teeth, but not because of Palin. They are grinding their teeth because there are 8 days left and they have nothing to lose, so everyone is doing as much cocaine as humanly possible. Just a guess.

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Coke's buzz usually doesn't last long enough to cause molar damage. Don't forget that Wasilla is the crank capital of Alaska.

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I thought real Americans did crystal meth. No?

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Real Americans do speed -- from caffeine (closet socialists who drink closet-caffeine lattes) to cocaine (suspected South American Commies and dental assistant-wannabes) to crystal methadrine/ampehtamine (war-mongering paranoid Republicans).

Fake-Americans relax. Anti-Americans meditate.

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Does anyone on this blog know if any other candidates (now or in the past) have worn clothing that was purchased using campaign funds? Just wonderin' . . .

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Well, actually, Norm Coleman's campaign is refusing to talk about whether his suits have been "subsidized." And ironically, Coleman is living in a sweetheart-deal D.C. apartment owned by the same GOP operative who authorized Palin's wardrobe malfunction.

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Al Sharpton had a somewhat famous incident involving 'borrowed suits'.

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How much else about Palin is just so much stagecraft ?
.

Ouch...

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The new name for our Alaskan Queen:

"Her Accidency"

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THIS

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REALLY IS PRETTY MUCH...

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THE END FOR JERK MCSLIME

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IS WHAT THE MEDIA WOULD HAVE YOU BELIEVE

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Yes, that vast liberal media conspiracy, reporting the truth! How dare them!

Clearly, they are in the tank for Obama.

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WHEN WE ALL KNOW THAT

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AND THAT IS EXCELLENT NEWS FOR US!!!

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That was the best one I have seen yet, good job guys.

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Well Palin has a point. She is just a stage prop.

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The clothes aren't her property? They're the property of the RNC?

What kind of a collectivist Commmie is she? The next thing she'll be telling us is that Alaska taxes oil profits and redistributes them to its citizens...

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Here's the funny thing. Last week Palin warned that if Obama is elected, we'll lose "our property" and "everything will be owned in common." Now she's saying she's already doing that with the clothes she wears - they belong to the RNC. Yup, she's initiated socialism right in the mcShame campaign. While pretending that's what Dems want under Barack!

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You realize, right, that they made up the story of "whose" clothes they gave to her after they got caught, of course?

There's no agreement written or otherwise that will reflect that they are not hers. Only ex post facto press releases. They may cook up some backdated agreement now to "paper" this, but only because they got nabbed. Otherwise, it's all her shit, and it has been so since they gave it to her.

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I wonder if any news outlet will be enterprising enough ask what charity they donated the clothes to after the election. Probably not; all the exciting stories will be on the Democratic side.

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Good morning everyone.

NYT has a decent article on PA. While nothing alarming or dramatic BO still has some work to do in PA. To be honest, PA makes me more uneasy than VA.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/27/us/politics/27pennsylvania.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Also, I hope Obama fires back a little harder this week. May it be McCain's "socialism" attacks or "tested in crisis" crap Obama ignored McNasty so far but I have a feeling those charges may be gaining some traction.

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Also, I hope Obama fires back a little harder this week. May it be McCain's "socialism" attacks or "tested in crisis" crap Obama ignored McNasty so far but I have a feeling those charges may be gaining some traction.

Couldn't disagree more. Obama should be done mentioning McCain. Just look into the camera, Barack, and tell us all that it will be okay.

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Absolutely, because the best possible rebuttal to that garbage is simply to let people see Obama as his adult, thoroughly Presidential, reassuring self.

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CHEELZZZ....

Obama is AHEAD BY DOUBLE DIGITS! even if it tightens, he's not going to lose the state.

enough with the chicken little-isms. this is what last week started like and everything is just fine.

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Kerry won PA my 2% over Bush in 2004. I know dems have more registered voters than GOP this year and Obama will have huge turnout from urban areas.

But PA needs special focus. It's the easiest path to victory. Even inthe primaries, PA has been very harsh on Obama. He couldn't get his message across at all.

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You have got to be kidding me, Obama closed a 20 point gap in PA to 9. Turnout was so high that Ed Rendell said if it wasn't for Obama's potent opertaion Hillary would have won by 16 points.

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I'm with kash. Carry all the Kerry states, then we have literally multiple paths. It's an uphill (=gamble) battle for the McScum camp in PA and it's true they are making a lot of visits there because they have any other option. But at the same time they are doing so for good reasons.

Personally, I do think support for Obama is indeed soft in western PA. Let's face it, it's a "racist" area. But I don't think those people are enthusiastic about McCain either. That's good. I don't care for what reason those people will vote for Obama, as long as they vote for him. "McCain is worse" is enough.

So, final push in that state would be nice (and I'm very glad Obama will do so today and tomorrow).

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I was driving through southwestern PA last night. It's a beautiful region of hillsides; unfortunately it was littered with McCain/Palin signs. When I stopped for lunch in a little town called Ohiopyle, I felt so far removed from civilization, I thought it was a good idea to remove my Obama/Biden car magnet.

Anyway, fortunately, the population density out there is like 10 people per square mile, so any decent turnout in the urban areas should counter this rural insurgency.

I really don't get it; I really doubt all of the woodsmen and farmers out there make more than 250k. Maybe they just hate the environment...

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The biggest coup the GOP has pulled off these past few decades is getting so many people to vote against their own financial best interests. I'm trying to get my employees to behave the same way but so far they're not buying it. I promised to be less tolerant about their personal lives and question their patriotism if they only take a pay cut but all I get is whinning about hungry kids and shit like that.

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There was a dark article in one of the major papers today about exactly this, I think WaPo or NYT about Western PA. One woman says she was "scared" of Obama. That's popular mumbo-jumbo for "I don't like blacks" (although her word was "coloreds"). It's similar to, "He's a Muslim." It's just racism.

I've been out there with the mountain folks BTW, and it's quite a crowd, I hear you.

This campaign has provided an informative tutorial as to some of the hatred and intolerance that are much more widespread than we necessarily realized.

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If you haven't been, you should check out Fallingwater while you're in the area. The setting is what really makes it. And you can only appreciate the setting in person.

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Beautiful design, absolutely terrible engineering. The builder made repeated unsuccessful appeals to Wright for design changes to address the inadequate structure and even up-sized some structural members on the sly but the thing still failed in spots.

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Actually, it was FallingWater that brought my wife and I to the backwaters of PA in the first place. She's an interior design student, and touring FallingWater and Kentuck Knob was part of this semester's curriculum.

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This kind of condescending ignorance is one of the things that keeps people in Appalachia from self-identifying as liberal or progressive. Ohiopyle, for your information, is a whitewater mecca and in the summers is bustling with young, environmentally aware and socially liberal cycling and rafting enthusiasts. Did you actually talk to any locals about their political affiliations? Your sneering and dismissive opinions are in no way helpful or illuminating.

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Hi Chris -

I was by no means sneering. It was just through my observation of hundreds of McCain/Palin signs in the area and not a one for Obama/Biden, combined with recent violence at McCain/Palin rallys (not to mention memories of the film Deliverance), that made me feel like it may have been best to roll under the radar.

I'm sure Ohiopyle does attract many nature lovers, but it was the natives that I was afraid of making restless...

-M

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You're right about the signs, although it's my understanding that the Obama campaign is not making yard signs a priority and it's hard to get them in this part of the country. I've had an Obama sticker on my car since the primaries and haven't had any trouble. I'm even hoping that my FDR-worshipping, Reagan Democratic state will surprise the world by voting for Obama next week. C

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CHEELZZZ....

Obama is AHEAD BY DOUBLE DIGITS! even if it tightens, he's not going to lose the state.

enough with the chicken little-isms. this is what last week started like and everything is just fine.

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I read that piece and frankly I'm less concerned that racism will give John McCain the opening he needs. As for Obama's approach over the next 8 days, I think after 22 months, he probably knows better than any of us how to approach them. As that web ad says, "Chill the Fuck Out, [He's] Got This!"

http://punditkitchen.com/2008/09/05/political-pictures-barack-obama-chill-out-got-this/

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I completely agree. Check out my video comments on the more likely possibility of a Reverse Bradley effect:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ok9Wr4NznM

The upshot of the video is that poll questions about specific issues put Obama ahead by 20-30 points in some issues and ahead in most; especially in regards to questions about the economy, which is by far the foremost concern on voters minds. If Obama is ahead so far when it comes to specifics, why are the horserace numbers so close? I think that there are some Republicans out there who are not yet willing to admit that they may pull the lever for a democrat on November 4th...

If that happens, historians could be talking about the "Obama Effect" in the future.

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That picture is one of my most fav Obama pictures.

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Frank Rich had an impressive piece on white racism in yesterday's Times. I think he may be a wee bit optimistic, but I couldn't fault his judgment or conclusions.

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I grew up in Ambridge and still have family roots there. Ambridge, Aliquippa, Beaver...rivalries run deep, but they're all abandoned steel towns that will never recover from the loss of the steel industry. The article is right, racial tensions run deep in the area, ethnic identification still runs strong.

But, there was a sense of hope during the Clinton administration that has been crushed over the past eight years. The area (southwestern PA, in general) has a dedicated Republican voter base due to hunting, racism, and pro-life, but the majority of people are life-long, die-hard democrats. They're older. They remember the suffering of the 80s when the mills shut down and Bush's administration has reopened those wounds. These folks decide the elections around here...and they're going to go for Obama.

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Obama starting his closing arguement in Canton is actually part of his larger effort vis a vis WVA,,,,, Akron-Canton is the end point of the 'Hillbilly Highway',,,, the internal immigration route from WVA to the NE Ohio factory jobs. Stark and Summit counties are the northernmost regions of the Moutain State,,,, and a large segment of those folks still commute "home" on weekends. US Rt 21 and its parallel I77 are moving parking lots of commutors every weekend.

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I've been in theater for a long time, and actors ALWAYS steal their costumes if they can. If it fits and can be worn as street clothes...you better keep close watch or it's gone gone gone.

Hell, we had Larry Hagman as a guest at the Dallas Theater Center for our fundraising gala...he did a couple songs from South Pacific...and he stole his costume! If the shoes and suits fit Sarah, ain't no way, no how that they're going to charity...like we'll have photos of the homeless women who sleep in Lafayette Park wearing Sarah's donated Chanel suits.

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Palin/McCain - Couture First!

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Why give them to charity? That sounds socialist!

Much better to auction them off on eBay to start funding the 2012 campaign...

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They'll need the cash, she's already back in third place in the 2012 republican polls.

As her Alaska troubles mount, it could be useful in a legal defense fund as well.

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Palin is on the up and up with the clothes. She left the tags on and still has the receipts.

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My sister did the same thing for a Bride's Maid's dress!

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It's a pretty said state of affairs when a blue candidate up by 12 in a traditionally blue state hasn't "closed the deal" while a red candidate is up by the margin of error +2 in his RED HOME STATE and nobody speaks of closing the deal.

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THANK YOU! democrats are psychologically unable to see victory even with all the evidence showing that a victory in PA is imminent.

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Exactly!

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C'mon..there is nothing sad about anything. Obama's easiest way to victory is PA and VA. Seal VA and PA.

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PA, VA, and NH, and the victory is sealed! Those combined with the almost certain MI, WI, MN, and IA as well as the completely uncontested states, mean not even having to win CO or NM. I'm not doing it yet, and I'll keep working on GOTV, but on Nov. 4 the east coast results alone will likely be enough to get me dancing in the streets.

To see a condensed look at what 538 has been saying over the last week and a half, see
this pretty summary.

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Sarah Palin explained that the story about her expensive campaign wardrobe was "ridiculous," saying the clothes are not her property and are like the stage and the lighting -- after the rally is over, it all goes back to the RNC to dispose of. This does invite an interesting question: How much else about Palin is just so much stagecraft?

"I'm not a vice president. I'm just auditioning to play one on TV."

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Didn't someone somewhere (at some national convention, maybe?) say something about having to deal with reality after the props were taken back to their studio backlot, or something like that? Maybe I'm just misremembering.

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McCAAAIIINNN!!! forgot the main rule in theater...he was supposed to suspend our disbelief.

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At the stroke of midnight on Nov 4, Palin's clothes will turn to rags and her transport into a pumpkin.

I'd like to see it happen on Halloween actually.

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She's already turning into a rat.

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All you need to do is put a rat's head on top of her body in the clothes.

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It doesn't matter if the clothes are returned, the RNC is in violation of the McCain-Feingold Campaign Finance Reform Act. Donations cannot be used for a candidate's clothing.

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Silly, those weren't donations, those were federal matching funds! Those clothes were paid by the taxpayers, fair and square! Er, wait a minute...

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They came from the RNC, not the matching funds. So, donations.

No ethics these folks.

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Well, I heard that the RNC is getting it's donations from Al Queda... :-p

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I'm looking at the CBS -Ways to Win- on which states are going which way and it starts out with Obama having 259 ev's already in the bag. If that were the case, all he would need to break the 270 barrier would be Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado for a total of 278. He's making this look too easy.

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Now that it looks good for a Dem takeover, I really hope there's a move to get rid of Pelosi, Reid, Leahy & Waxman. They have been a total dissapointment as leaders.

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I give them the benefit of doubt cause their majority was only guaranteed with the support of two independents, one of which was Lieberman. If they get a super majority, they get two years to prove their worth.

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Sarah Palin's latest swat at science

Fruit fly research is helping a booming new food industry in America -- not that the vice-presidential candidate is aware of it.

http://www.salon.com/env/feature/2008/10/27/sarah_palin_fruit_flies/index.html

This article from Solon explains where the dig about the French came from in Palin's "Freedom Flies" speech.

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This is just anti-French bigotry that so many Americans have embraced now that other groups are socially "off limits."

The base, being composed of oh so many bigots, loves this. It takes the edge of them losing their beloved "N" word.

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[AZ] GOP Sen. Kyl: Unfortunately, McCain Will Probably Lose

Kick the baby, Kyl!

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I just hope when the Diebold machines go all screwy, despite Laura Linney's warnings, and it comes down to one voter, Kevin Costner looks into his heart with the help of his daughter, and chooses Obama. Because we all know that we will need an African-American President in the White House when that comet the size of Texas comes at us.

Wait. This Palin costume prop thing is getting me all jumbled up.

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Relax, Lars. I was a chemical engineer in my first career (led me to industrial psychology, but that's another story). I have a band of leftists ready to loose their collective intellect and engineering prowress on the intertoobs on Nov. 4. We've got pumps, pipes, flowmeters, lysergic acid diethylamide, and enough bourbon to inebriate the state of Kentucky. Oh yeah. And bongs. Lots of bongs.

If our evil plan fails, we have back-up-evil plan-five-aye. We all sucked at nuclear reactor design (one reason we got out of the field; nuclear power is a totally fucking stupid way to make electricity; ping me if you want the straight story on that). So we're going to hook up the leaky old GE reactor down in Batavia, Illinois directly to the Diebold Central Control Program. A couple of us are ready to get tronned into nano people and pull this thing out for the Obamanator.

As soon as we secure the shipment of Stink Bombs for McSmelly's Victory Party in Tucson, we'll take it to status Demcon five. Over and out.

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On a serious note, I'm skittish about the Diebolds and have been pushing for a big lead and a hard run past the finish line as we head into election day; we nust have enough spare votes to take this thing.

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Dear Lars, I very much like your plan and want to know how to get in on the action. First, please tell me more about those bongs. . .

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nuclear power is a totally fucking stupid way to make electricity

My physics prof told the class during the height of the 3 Mile Island Bake Off that nuclear power was just a very dangerous way to boil water and that the only reason it was ever embarked on was because it would employ thousands of engineers. I just presumed he knew what he was talking about since he worked on the Manhattan Project.

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"that $150,000 wardrobe I've been wearin, well, it's not really mine also, cause I'm very frugal there, up there in Wasilla, I even make victims pay for their own rape kits."

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Ironic, isn't it, that $150,00 would have paid for 125 rape kits... if it hadn't bee squandered on designer clothes.

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"well that's cuz the women clearly deserved it, yeah, youbetcha. The bible says the man should rule over the women don'tchaknow; and any woman who would dress up all fancy-like and go struttin' around yammerin' her jaws like that, who could blame them menfolk? Er..."

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You know that if Al Quaida had endorsed Obama, we'd never hear the end of it out of McCain-Palin. But we never hear Obama-Biden baiting that angle with the "a vote for McCain is a vote for Al Quaida" line. This is one of the many examples of how much more integrity Obama has over McCain.

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It's also interesting how the McCain campaign didn't distance themselves very loudly from that endorsement. Clearly, they didn't want to promote news that's negative for them, but maybe, just maybe, things are so rough for the McCain campaign now they want to court that sleeper cell demographic... ;-)

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Look, you pinkos should just accept that the terrorists love your candidate, and just view everything the terrorists do in that light. If they endorse McCain, it's because they want Obama to be president. If they endorse Obama, it's because they want Obama to be president. If they blow something up, it's because they want Obama to be president. If they don't blow something up, it's because they want Obama to be president.

And in conclusion: POWPOWPOWOBAMAISOSAMAPOWPOW

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Absolutely correct. And our site would be filled with vile trolls "concerned" about the endorsement and wondering why we weren't more so.

But with the shoe on the other foot, the low vermin are less troubled over it.

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Last week I read that Obama had an office in Alamosa, I couldn't believe it.

Today in an op-ed by E.J. Dionne I came across this nugget -

"They have offices in places that have never seen a presidential campaign," she said in an interview, pointing to the campaign's work in Immokalee, a heavily Latino community in the Everglades area.

It doesn't get more "Real America" than Alamosa , and Immokalee.

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Palin is the personification of a Mayberry Machiavelli.

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Couldn't disagree more. Obama should be done mentioning McCain. Just look into the camera, Barack, and tell us all that it will be okay.
Amen to that call . . . One very winning point Obama has is the fact he did not resort to dirty politics . . . he defended when absolutely necessary. People are so tired of tit-for-tat dirty politics and out and out lies. Obama, just keep smiling and sending those reassuring messages of confidence that "YES,WE CAN"!
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Palin has gone back to wearing her own clothes and she isn't looking so impressive anymore. The clothes don't fit well, and some are too young looking. She looks now what she really is, "not ready for prime time." Too bad she won't listen to her advisers :)

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Post a pic, Deb! Many of us who follow the important issues who appreciate being better informed as to her frumpiness!

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Palin going "Rouge" -

John should dart her from a helicopter, and put some sort of tracking collar on her.

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