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Election Central Morning Roundup

New McCain Ad: Obama Worked With A Terrorist
The McCain campaign has a new TV ad hammering Barack Obama for his past associations with Bill Ayers. Check it out:

"When convenient, he worked with terrorist Bill Ayers. When discovered, he lied," the announcer says. Much like the Web ad from yesterday, the syntax here appears to suggest that the two of them worked together on terrorism, rather than an education foundation that Obama chaired and Ayers served on.

Obama In Ohio, Biden In Missouri
Barack Obama is in Ohio today, with a 9:40 a.m. ET rally in Chillicothe, and an early afternoon rally in Columbus. Joe Biden is in Missouri, with an 12:30 p.m. ET rally in Springfield.

McCain In Wisconsin And Minnesota, Palin In Ohio And Pennsylvania
John McCain is campaigning today in Wisconsin and Minnesota, two Dem-leaning swing states where he's fallen way behind in the recent polls. McCain has an 11 a.m. ET rally in La Crosse, Wisconsin, and a 5 p.m. ET rally in Lakeville, Minnesota. Sarah Palin is touring through Ohio and Pennsylvania, which are both slipping away from the GOP ticket, with events in Cincinnati, Cleveland and Pittsburgh.

Hillary Campaigning For Dem Ticket Today In Arkansas
Hillary Clinton is holding a rally today on behalf of Barack Obama in Little Rock, Arkansas, scheduled to begin at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Obama: I Assumed Ayers Was Rehabilitated
In an interview with Michael Smerconish, Barack Obama said that he had begun working Bill Ayers on the Annenberg education project under innocent circumstances. "Ultimately, I ended up learning about the fact that he had engaged in this reprehensible act 40 years ago," Obama said, "but I was eight years old at the time and I assumed that he had been rehabilitated."

GOP Pollster: Obama Up In Florida And Ohio
A new pair of polls from Strategic Vision (R) gives Barack Obama the lead in both Florida and Ohio. In Florida: Obama 52%, McCain 44%, outside of the ±3% margin of error. In Ohio: Obama 48%, McCain 46%, within the ±3% margin of error.

More Polls Put Obama Up In North Carolina
Two new polls are showing Obama ahead in North Carolina, which hasn't voted Democratic since Jimmy Carter was the South's favorite son in 1976. From North Carolina-based Civitas (R): Obama 48%, McCain 43%, with a ±4.2% margin of error. From Rasmussen: Obama 49%, McCain 48%, with a ±4% margin of error.

CREW Wants Probe Of McCain's Gambling Winnings
The Committee for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington is calling upon the Senate Ethics Committee to investigate John McCain's habit of gambling, and whether he has failed to reports winnings on his financial disclosure forms. "Given Sen. McCain's history of gambling on a regular basis over many years, it is nearly impossible to imagine that he never won over $200, the amount that triggers the reporting requirement," said CREW executive director Melanie Sloan.


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"Given Sen. McCain's history of gambling on a regular basis over many years, it is nearly impossible to imagine that he never won over $200, the amount that triggers the reporting requirement," said CREW executive director Melanie Sloan.

If this campaign is any indication, there's a better explanation: McCain is simply a terrible gambler.

Well played! Thanks for that one.

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Unless the rules have changed, you're allowed to offset your gambling wins with your gambling losses. And since McCain's game (craps) is one where the odds are against the player, he's probably never had a year where his gambling winnings exceeded his gambling losses.

I don't believe that CREW is bringing up tax reporting issues....I believe (although I could be wrong) that they're speaking of his Senate disclosure forms.

I think (I haven't researched it) that the way gambling income is supposed to work is that you declare your winnings, then deduct losses up to a maximum of your winnings. Based on that, I think the only ways it would be OK for gambling to not show up on his tax returns would be (a) he never ever walked away from a table while winning, or (b) he's not gambling with his money, but that it's a gambling allowance from Cindy, and should show up on her tax returns. I think casinos may even issue tax forms for anybody walking away with more than the reporting trigger of $200.

An even bigger question is whether the casinos where McShame gambled let him win, thereby getting around Senate ethics rules on gifts.

(For anyone who watched The Wire, think of the poker game with the mayor where everyone made a point of losing to him.)

Considering that the casinos were asking favors of McShame at the time, I think this is a huge potential scandal that needs to be investigated.

Reagan for Obama -- Must See TV!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IqfedYAAGEI

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Well Done! And that will grab some older viewers. I notice that about 1 in 10 individuals over 60 (based on the R2K internals) is now confused and undecided - having moved away from mcShame, but not yet convinced by Obama. Things like this might help that group.

Does it make ANY sense at all that McCain is campaigning in WI and MN? Shouldn't he be in FL or OH or VA or NC where the races are relatively close? I thought these guys were supposed to be "geniuses" at winning campaigns.

I found the answer to why McCain is going there and Iowa. The Giuliani team is running his ground game and directing his moves. You can't make this stuff up!

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-nickolas/will-giulianis-top-staff_b_133323.html

That would explain why they have no clue which states they should be campaigning in.

Wow. Just wow.

Oh no, McCain's now taking help from a campaign that spent $49 million and netted precisely one delegate. Might as well pack it in now, Obama's done.

Yes I totally forgot that this guy had worked for Giuliani. But now it all makes sense. This is why (per politico) the Nevada Republicans are calling the McCain ground game a joke. Maybe they will sink all their resources in one loser state? Let's figure out which one will be--my vote is that they have an obsession with Iowa.

If the Guiliani team is running his ground game, shouldn't he be spending all his time in Florida?

And, why is Hillary in AR?

Fair question. I'd rather see her in West Virginia to lock in what look like some real gains there.

The Republicans are conceding this campaign, and every move they make from here on is done strictly to solidify their base to enable them to wage a political guerilla war over the next four years. They're going back to the Gingrich game plan of securing local positions from the board of education level on up. Their target is Obama and the Democrats. Expect harsh propaganda with little basis in fact and lots of Leni Riefenstahl type productions to play on the web and in B.P.O.E. halls around the country for the foreseeable future.

It's going to get uglier out there and much of the ugliness will be an appeal to the baser nature of the "disenfranchised" right.

Also, they are making Pat Buchanan's 1992 cultural war speech look like it was soft. They will perish in their own hellfire.

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Other states can speak for themselves. But I feel like he came to WI to sully and tarnish it. Indeed, I feel dirty today because of what they did here yesterday.

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No, it makes no sense at all. Look at the poll averages at pollster.com and realclearpolitics.com and the implied strategy is clear: mccain needs to defend the Bush states if he has any chance at winning.

right now he is running a june/july campaign; you test the blue states to see if you can steal one or two, you try to attack your opponents character, you solidify your policy proposals, you get your base charged up and you try to season your vp nominee to be able to help in the fall. Of course we are 3 1/2 weeks away and all of this is 4+ months too late.

it isn't like election day was a mystery

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Obama is not alone in believeing that Ayers had been rehabilitated.

William C. Ibershof, the lead prosecutor for the Weatherman case, says in a LTE to the NY Times today:

As the lead federal prosecutor of the Weathermen in the 1970s (I was then chief of the criminal division in the Eastern District of Michigan and took over the Weathermen prosecution in 1972), I am amazed and outraged that Senator Barack Obama is being linked to William Ayers’s terrorist activities 40 years ago when Mr. Obama was, as he has noted, just a child.

Although I dearly wanted to obtain convictions against all the Weathermen, including Bill Ayers, I am very pleased to learn that he has become a responsible citizen.

Because Senator Obama recently served on a board of a charitable organization with Mr. Ayers cannot possibly link the senator to acts perpetrated by Mr. Ayers so many years ago.

This letter screams for wider dissemination.

Can someone get this guy in a commercial? A spot with talking directly to the camera about Ayers and why you can't possibly pin Obama to him would be pretty effective.

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No one cares about Ayers except the sheeple who wouldn't have given Obama a second look anyway.

The country is tanking, the markets are "cratering" and the only reason McCain is obsessed with Ayers is because he's still trying to win the Vietnam war.

PEACE

It's not Ayers. It's that Ayers is being used to slime Obama, and erode his favorability ratings, namely trustworthiness. So far, Obama has done a good job responding to McCain's attacks and keeping him off balance himself, but it would be dangerous to ignore this and just assume nobody cares about it. They'll need to slap McCain harder, and make his own negatives stick.

And what's this crap actually doing? Eroding MCCAIN's favorability ratings. Not to worry.

Maybe the Obama campaign will spread it around shortly before next week's debate to take the wind out of McCain's sails.

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Looking at the polls out this morning the trend away from McCain and toward Obama seems to be growing. I guess it is pretty clear that the Ayers story is stirring up the basest of the base but turning off independents.

And turning off a fair number of Republicans as well. I have a friend who is a Republican judge in Kansas. He writes that this Ayers stuff and Palin's hate language just pushed him to Obama. First time in his 54 years that he's voting for a D! McCain won't have any friends in DC after this is over.

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Same with my 91 year old dad. His comment: "I don't want to waste my vote."

I know the perfect soundtrack for these ads, "Scatterbrain" by Jeff Beck. (Although Jeff Beck might object).

Hey Josh...any word on what Ambinder has posted over on his blog that says McCain's economic plan may actually be illegal and the provision in TARP that says it may be illegal is something MCCAIN SAYS HE PUSHED FOR?

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/is_mccains_plan_legal_under_ta.php

Again...he is contradicting himself. Oh, that John McCain: what will he think of next that he already disagreed with previously.

McCain is literally all over the place. The most damning part of this is the fact that the very thing that would make his plan illegal is the last minute change he made that would force taxpayers to allow lending intuitions to profit from their bad actions. That's devastating, both because of the waste aspect, and because of how much erratic McCain's policy positions are when he's trying to pander and satisfy lobbyists at the same time.

We'll hear more about this one. Probably in a upcoming Obama ad.

Some conservatives must have jumped all over David Brooks for his remark earlier this week that Palin "is a cancer on the Republican party".

Today he reversed course and says in the NYT: "Palin is smart, politically skilled, courageous and likable."

Just like David. Oh so likable.

Likable cancer . . . yeah, that works.

Brooks' overlords allow him to write what he thinks about once a week, as long as he doesn't stray too far from the reservation. All other times, he dutifully and faithfully regurgitates the GOP talking points they deliver to him and does a decent job of pretending that he believes them.

Well, he can't let that courageousness of his get worn out.

What a tool...

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The man's sentences are so vapid. It's as if he writes them in air.

OT,,,,, check out this! Cook County sheriff refuses to anymore enforce eviction orders. http://video.msn.com/video.aspx?mkt=en-us&vid=a1ebf28f-c21a-4019-9c1a-9fb50ec30392&fg=rss

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It seems the number of evictions in Chicago has doubled this year many were tenants in buildings that had been foreclosed. The tenants had been paying rent to the previous owner. Many didn't even know there was a foreclosure until the eviction notice. Several mortgage companies have a policy of clearing buildings after taking them back in a foreclosure. They evict all the tenants even those who have been paying. The Sheriff thinks the policy rains pain down on the innocent. He is morally right, but he is also legally wrong.

Yes, legally I understand he's going to be in some trouble.

Good for him, though, for doing something that will hopefully bring some attention to some of the (often) unacknowledged victims of this crisis.

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Did you happen to attend the debates at the Ga Natl. Fair last night?

Nope, sure didn't.

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I wasn't sure...there was a gang bussed down from Atlanta for the Senate debate, but there was about 13 Democrats left for the 8th District one...thought you may have been one of them.

Palin turns out to be a total sham (as most on sites like this knew right away), the personal attacks will not work and McCain is just going to become more and more superfluous to solving the major problems facing this great country of ours. I've said it before and I'll say it again: This is a sad and pathetic end to an otherwise unremarkable political career.

I think there'll be some interesting post-mortem analysis of just how important Sarah Palin is in McCain's campaign meltdown. It's a perfect hoist-by-your-own-petard tale: they brought her in hoping to charm everybody else into forgetting how disastrous things would be in charge, and then the McCain people got charmed by her and remodeled the campaign in her image: a pit bull with lipstick.

Here's an interesting start on that post mortem: Palin's ascension shows GOP's lack of interest in governing. It looks like ambition and sloth are not mutually exclusive.

I don't often criticize Barack's reactions to right-wing smears, but he needs to stop reacting to the Ayers stuff.

"I thought he was rehabilitated" to many people equates to "I am naive."

He should ONLY say "reprehensible" and "no connection" a thousand times over. Don't engage the issue any further than that.

That was my reaction as well.

When convenient, he worked with terrorist Bill Ayers.

How does that even make sense. At what point was it "convenient" for Obama to work with Ayers?

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McCain's campaign is not being logical at all. Today he is once again in Wisconsin and later Minnesota and tomorrow he is going to Iowa where Obama has a lead.

Now they have embraced Ayers as 2008's boogie man.

i agree, very strange, but if he were to campaign in states that were up for grabs he would be in georgia, arkansas and montana...

I think what they're trying to do is now that they've chosen to go full hog at Ayers and the Boogieman Approach, they feel that states like Iowa, Wisconsin, and Minnesota are places that a culture war will pay dividends (or at least force Obama to defend himself there, taking him out of Virginia and Florida).

They've got 25 days to throw Obama off his game. They have way more leaks in their dam than they can plug right now, so they're trying to poke some holes in Obama's cool any way possible.

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WI, despite mcCarthy, has a long and proud tradition of civility. There may be some who felt happy about yesterday's rally footage in Waukesha, but I think the majority will shrink from tactics which leave the state sullied.

Obama yard signs are in very short supply here. And the placing of a new one is cause for general rejoicing. Yesterday, on the way back from the supermarket, one such sign was being placed on my street, with a small crowd watching. I honked as I went by. The lady placing the sign and I gave each other a thumbs up!

Change is coming. And the slime of a mcShame rally cannot dim the growing desire for change and unity here.

OT, but this is a must see speech. Richard Trumka on why you should vote for Obama no matter the color of his skin ... Very powerful, I actually got a little choked up.

http://www.usw.org/media_center/news_articles?id=0109

The dow went down 500 points in the 1st 5 minutes...Keep bringing up Ayers McCain, we dare you

The WSJ had a story on Indiana this week. Obama had 40 field offices, McCain had Zero.

Another story from Politico on Virginia had a similar theme. McCain hadn't been there since July.

McCain's entire campaign has been one rolling disaster to the next.

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How can McCain be expected to show up in Virginia and Indiana when he thinks he still has an ice cube's chance in Wisconsin and Minnesota?

One only need look at how the campaigns are being run to get a taste of how the administrations would be run.

Sorry, had to wipe the tears of laughter from my eyes!

PEACE

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I guess the McCain campaign's polling in Virginia and Indiana shows that McCain is in much worse shape than indicated in the public polls.

You know, that McCain ad is smarter than I would have thought. Yes, it's all horse pucky, but tying the congressional Dems to sub-prime could resonate with persuadable low info voters. Face it, this crisis is far too complicated for anyone to really understand, so blaming Dems is as good an angle as any, and if they pursued it steadily and intelligently, they might make some headway with it.

Fortunately, this is the least disciplined republican presidential campaign I can remember, and it's probably too late to make much headway anyway.

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but tying the congressional Dems to sub-prime could resonate with persuadable low info voters.

All 5 of them?

And no this crisis isn't "far too complicated for Americans to understand." They get it. And they blame the Repugs.

This Ayers ad coupled with the McCain "HATE" rallies are getting dangerously out of hand. Just this morning, former McCain strategist John Weaver said that McCain and Palin are making moral and tactical mistakes by allowing threatening hecklers free rein at their rallies:

"People need to understand, for moral reasons and the protection of our civil society, the differences with Senator Obama are ideological, based on clear differences on policy and a lack of experience compared to Senator McCain. And from a purely practical political vantage point, please find me a swing voter, an undecided independent, or a torn female voter that finds an angry mob mentality attractive."

SEE THE VIDEO:
http://okwassup.blogspot.com/2008/10/30-days-of-hate.html

...

McShame has made his pact with the devil and there's no going back. He's in the sewer until the end of the line, win or lose. Meanwhile, the're already preparing a "Tiger Cage" for him in Hell.

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That may be so but the adults need to step in now. It is past time for any republicans who retain a shred of integrity to stand up to this.

Agreed. This is beyond partisanship or electoral politics...

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The only light at the end of this long, dark tunnel is that soon we will have a new president who will assemble a team of experts, not "yes men", who will work tirelessly to get this country out of the ditch the GOP has been digging since Reagan.

The Republican party will be marginalized for the next 20 years, until the next swing of the pendulum.

PEACE

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I am hoping that Obama will use his half hour in a very presidential way, to call for calm, to call for sacrifice and civil discourse and working for the greater good within the nation and the world.

Not a doubt in the world he will, TheraP.

Everytime a crisis looms and I start to worry, Obama exceeds my expectations by an order of magnitude at least.

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McCain wants to fight the Vietnam war again. Ayers opposed the war with violent tactics--and if Obama has had any association whatsoever, standing in line a Starbucks to get a machiato, for instance--then he can associated Obama with Anti-Vietnam war protesters, who now have become conflated with terrorists in McCains mind, because both are engaged in resisting the policies of the US Government--in McCains worldview--if you push back on the government, you are a traitor. McCain is establishmentarian all the way--and anyone who protests is the enemy.


John McCain is a coward.

Sarah Palin is a c*nt.

****sigh**** I feel better saying it aloud.

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J. Sidney McStain is a tiny, limp d*ck.

SarDickah ChePaliney is a dangerous fraud.

***sigh*** I feel better inverting the sexism while making the exact same point!

;-)

PEACE

I don't think the Cook County Sheriff is necessarily on the wrong side of the law, either. According to the article, he has stopped evicting people until he gets certified documents indicating the tenants have had their due and proper 120 day notice of eviction period.

This was meant in reply to ronbyers's comment above.

To see real videos of real women discussing their reactions to Sarah Palin & the misuse of gender issues in this year's presidential race, please take a look at the following blog (& forward to all your friends, family & open-minded folk at large):
www.speakoutonpalin.blogspot.com

OT: On the DOJ's politically motivated attempts to punish the Palin hacker:


"Then there are the troublesome questions. Why does it mean nothing to the feds when Joe Six-Pack is the victim of Internet identity theft, but the house falls in when a prankster wants to embarrass Sarah Palin? Do you think there might be just a bit of politics lurking behind the scenes? In this Justice Department? And then there is the still-more menacing question: we now know that Palin was systematically violating the Open Records Act trying to keep her official dealings in the dark. By bringing down the hammer on a person who helped expose her misconduct, are the prosecutors actually attempting to cloak the official misconduct of a public servant?

The prosecutors in this case owe us some explanations. And they should start by disclosing who at the Justice Department concluded that a bigger manhunt should be launched against a University of Tennessee computer hacker out to embarrass a Republican political candidate than the Bush Administration sent out after Osama bin Laden at Tora Bora. At a minimum we’re looking at some seriously twisted priorities."

http://harpers.org/archive/2008/10/hbc-90003672

More corruption from the criminal Bush DOJ. Just like they "accidently" made errors to save their Republican Senator Stevens.


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Fucking Republicans are evil I swear. The world is crashing and they are doing their best to exploit this nightmare and divide us up worse.

This panic sell-off has got me panicked and the fucking Repugs are just adding to it - they are not helping anything or anyone right now.

Goddamn them!

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In the end I believe the current problems will so overwhelm the mcShame slime and vendetta tactics, that Obama's adult and presidential calm will carry the day.

No one likes chaos. And mcShame Squared is a chaos generator. I truly sense a sea change. The public may be upset, but the public does not want anarchy.

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I agree, Thera -

It's just that there is that small chunk of the public who is buying the Repugs' bullshit and I don't like to concentrate on them. But this has gotten way out of hand with the mob mentality they are stirring up - it's not helping anyone's state of mind. I can't believe they are fanning this fire right now. Now of all times! It proves beyond anything we've seen that they care nothing for the country or for us.

It's so damn blatant at this point!


I agree Tena. I actually couldn't sleep last night it has me so unnerved. Seeing these screaming skinheads in suburban disguise crowds makes me sick to my stomach. They need to be shamed, humiliated, and outed.

Heard on morning news radio that the sheriff in FLA who introduced Obama ("Hussein"), is not only being investigated for violating the Hatch Act but for County laws against campaigning in uniform and that his office has been inundated with calls.

Nothing like law enforcement that doesn't know the law...

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So are we supposed to use his name or not? When McCain said "that one" Axle said "he's got a name. You should use it." Now when we use his name y'all start whinning again...

Shouldn't you be digging a bunker to hide in for the next 8 years? President Barack Hussein Obama and his cronies will be looking for people like you.

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That's the difference between us and y'all. You never hear a Republican talking about moving to Canada or France if we lose (not that I'm surrendering...). We realize that even if we don't win, this is still the best place to be and we get ready for the next round.

Another difference: lots of jingoistic patriot bullcrap from your side of the isle...

Used to be the best place to be, till your guys got hold of it. We're gonna try to put it back on its wheels for y'all, and in exchange we ask that you just stay away from government for awhile.

Your reading comprehension skills need help. I was talking about a particular sheriff and his possible law-breaking activities. *I* don't give a rats ass if he calls him by his full name or not but don't tell me that it wasn't meant as red meat (a la Coulter)...

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As for "law enfocement that doesn't know the law" what's up with the crooked Secretary of State up in Ohio actively supporting voter fraud?

Tell me about Blackwell...

Oh, jeebus. Try to keep up. BLACKWELL. Ohio. Sect'ry of State. Republican. 2004.

Better trolls please who don't use the NY Post as a "reference". You'd fail as a librarian...

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I know meat...the point is it's a Democrat NOW! Why don't you try to keep up...it's 2008.

Only an idiot thinks their side is completely without fault and you underestimate the intelligence of most of the folks here if you think they wouldn't be aghast at voter fraud no matter where it comes from...

Having said that, since *you* brought it up, you can provide the evidence. Or are you going to make us figuratively pay for the gathering of evidence like your VP nominee did for rape victims in Wasilla?

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I read that a couple of days ago - I knew when I saw that vid of him that that was illegal - I started to say something at the time. You cannot use your uniform/position to try to effect the outcome of an election.

That fucking nazi better get fired.

WTF is Hillary doing in Arkansas? Head an hour north dear, and address a crown in a swing state. Better yet, close the deal in rural Virginia or North Carolina. How about South-Eastern Ohio? We're not winning Arkansas, and if we do we're in landslide territory anyway.

I trust her and Obama to make the right calls. Arkansas is her home, and it's close enough to other important states that I would expect some media bleed into the important markets. They might also be there to generate volunteers to travel into adjoining states. (I'm in Illinois, which is true blue Obama-land, but the campaign is tireless here in getting volunteers to visit Indiana, Iowa and beyond to spread the word about our Senator.) They know what they're doing.

Okay Sarah and John, Obama went on radio and answered your questions yesterday...which were already asked and answered, fyi.

Somehow I doubt that is going to stop them from inciting their violent, hateful mobs.

When you find the game where the odds work for the player, you let me know so I can go play that.

I know I'm not the audience but is that Ayers/economy ad really bad?

It seems really disjointed. I guess it is supposed to be about Obama's ambition and he'll do anything to win but it doesn't seem to hang together well.

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RE: Gambling

The other day McCain made a comment that the reason he wasn't rich was his inability to pick winners in Baseball - implying that he gambles on pro sports. What I want to know, is he travelling to vegas to bet on legal soprts books, or is he gambling on sports illegally? And If so, could he be a blackmail risk if his bookie got caught up in sting. Without full disclosure about his gambling I think McCain is just "too risky" to be commander in chief.


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Hmmm.  Hadn't thought about the blackmail angle.  But full disclosure is NOT gonna come.

The gambling-taxes thing is a non-starter, IMO.  McSame is a crap-shooter, and doubtless he's lost more than he's won.  A technical violation, maybe, but he's got so much more important shit hanging over him that it's hardly worth mentioning.

I, for one, am loving this Ayers meme! It's the Seinfeld of attack ads, an attack about absolutely nothing. And no matter how much they dress it up with ominous music and fancy graphics, anyone with average intelligence (or less) can see how utterly lacking in substance and meaning it all is. Kinda throws the time-honored institution of attack ads into disrepute.

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