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A Night At The Congressional Races

Here's tonight's run-down on the Congressional races:

Coleman Suspends Negative Ads, Sort Of
Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN), who has fallen behind in the polls against Al Franken thanks to the economic crisis and voter backlash against the negative turn that the campaign has taken, has announced that he is pulling all of his negative ads, and will only run positive spots. There is a loophole here, though: The Coleman campaign can cancel its own negative advertising, but the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee and outside groups will still be able to run as many attacks against Al Franken as they want.

Franken Camp: Our Ads Against Coleman's Record Are Staying
In a statement released to the media, Al Franken's campaign declared that they'll keep their attack ads against Norm Coleman running: "Given that this week's polls are clearly showing that Minnesotans are sick of Norm Coleman's campaign of character assassination, today's stunt rings as a cynical ploy designed to change the subject and avoid scrutiny of his own record. It's like an arsonist burning down every house in the village and then asking to be named fire chief."

GOP Senator Does Ad Using Footage Of Democratic Co-Senator
Sen. Gordon Smith (R-OR) has come up with a response ad to Dem candidate Jeff Merkley's spot that featured the endorsement of Ron Wyden, the state's other Senator. Smith is running his own ad in which Wyden appears to be supporting Smith:

To put it mildly, this is a pretty risky gambit. Wyden can simply come back and do another ad for Merkley if he wants, specifically telling voters not to trust that other spot -- indeed, the exact same thing happened in the Montana Senate race in 2006, after GOP Sen. Conrad Burns did an ad that boasted of his cooperation with Dem Sen. Max Baucus. Democrat Jon Tester's campaign just had Baucus do an ad reminding voters who he actually supported, and Tester went on to narrowly win the election.

Another Poll Shows Dole Losing In North Carolina
A new poll from North Carolina-based Civitas (R) shows GOP Sen. Elizabeth Dole trailing Dem candidate Kay Hagan in a 45%-42% race, within the ±4.2% margin of error. Dole trails in almost all the recent polls, with the only bright spot being a recent SurveyUSA poll that gave her a bare lead of 44%-43%.

Poll: Georgia Senate Race A Tie
A new InsiderAdvantage poll shows Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) tied 45%-45% with Democratic challenger Jim Martin. Chambliss was viewed as absolutely safe until just the past couple weeks, when the economic crisis caused his lead over Martin to drop down to just a point or two in other recent polls.

Poll: House GOPer On Ahead For Re-Election
A new Research 2000 poll shows Rep. Dave Reichert (R-WA) leading his 2006 Dem opponent Darcy Burner by a 49%-41% margin. Reichert only narrowly fended off Burner last time around in this swing district, but at the current rate he could end up winning by a better margin.

Retiring GOP To Constituents: Stop E-Mailing For Help
Sen. Wayne Allard (R-CO), who is retiring after 12 years, has announced that his office will no longer respond to e-mails from constituents, though they will answer phone calls and snail-mail. Allard says constituents should instead ask for help form his successor, who won't be elected for a few more weeks -- though in practice they could still ask for help from the state's other Senator, Democrat Ken Salazar.

GOP Attacks Dem Candidates Performance As A Doctor
Check out this attack ad from the NRCC, running against Democratic candidate Parker Griffith in an open Dem-held House seat in Alabama. The ad goes after Griffith's work as a cancer doctor, publicizing accusations of improper care from the late 80s:

"His approach caused unwarranted pain and suffering," the announcer says grimly. "But it meant more money for him."


14 Comments

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The Coleman campaign can cancel its own negative advertising, but the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee and outside groups will still be able to run as many attacks against Al Franken as they want.

Of there is a loophole. There's always a loophole with Republicans.

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I'm listening to the local news. It reports that Coleman is going to cease the negative ads. Then it goes to a commercial break which consists of Coleman's negative ads.

I can't wait to vote that creep out of office.

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... Coleman is going to cease the negative ads.

That means he's suspending his campaign... 'cuz that's all he's got left.

Holy crap, look at those GA numbers! Didn't Obama pull out of Georgia awhile back?

I saw that too. Pretty amazing.

Nate Silver had a post on Monday arguing that Georgia was probably a lot closer than it looked:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/in-georgia-small-improvements-in-black.html

That sound you hear is the sound of SFC Wallace's head exploding....

I can't wait to vote against Saxby Chambliss. I wasn't old enough to vote against him in the Max Cleland election, but I'll never forget those ads. Here's hoping Martin can pull it out and that Georgia will be too close to call at 7pm on November 4th.

Chambliss is the clown I want voted out the most.

Chambliss is my number two clown.
Number one is Miss McConnell, at least until he's gone.

Finally, revenge is near for for Sonny Bono and Gopher!

Finally, revenge for Sonny Bono and Gopher!

There was a Franken/Coleman/Barkley debate at 7:00 PM central time on TV here and it just ended so I'll give you my version of a summary.

Franken did a very good job of highlighting what are essentially mainstream Democratic positions (in my view); he showed a lot of restraint (I'm guessing that was planned) and while he was mostly serious, he got off a few clever lines.

Barkley continued the theme he has had in all of his campaigns since 1992 - centrism, deficit reduction, moderation on social issues, etc, coupled with support for withdrawal from Iraq (note that Barkley actually held this Senate seat for a few weeks in late 2002).

Norm was his usually insincere, sleazy self (sorry if this offends you - I live here and I've known Norm for a really, really long time). He spent almost the entire debate trying to convince us that he spends most of his time in DC reaching out across the aisle to work with Democrats to achieve bipartisan results.

........which brings me to what was my favorite part of the debate - after listening to this for an hour and a half, Franken pointed out in his closing statement that Norm is really running for two jobs right now - re-election, and also to be the head of the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee - the very group that is funding and airing the worst attack ads right now, not only against Franken, but against Democrats all over the country. Apparently Norm wants to be in charge of this for the next few years - and, asks Al, if so how is going to be able to reach out to these Democratic senators that he is so busy smearing and defeating?

It was a good point and one that I think will make Minnesotans think.

Don Jorovsky

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