A Day At The Congressional Races
Here's today's run-down of the Congressional Races:
Dems Shell Out $7 Million In One Day On House Races
The DCCC latest FEC filings from last night show that the Dems put down over $7 million for ads in 39 races across the country, in a mix of offense and defense. The single most notable expenditure: The Dems are spending $777,000 to go after scandal-plagued Rep. Don Young (R-AK), an astonishing amount for a small and very red state.
Poll: Franken Ahead In Minnesota
A new University of Minnesota poll is giving Al Franken a narrow lead in his bid to unseat Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN). The numbers: Franken 41%, Coleman 37%, and Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley at 14%, within the ±5% margin of error.
GOP On Defense With Ad Buys
The NRCC has been playing defense with their media buys, compared to the Dems who have done mostly offense. The Hill reports that the GOP has now put down over $2 million on ads to defend Reps. Tim Walberg (R-MI) and Steve Chabot (R-OH). On top of that, Minnesota Public Radio reports that the NRCC has reserved $126,000 worth of ad time in defense of GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann.
Dole Not Accepting Debate Invitations
The News & Observer reports that Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) has been refusing to debate her Democratic opponent Kay Hagan. A Dole spokesman said that nobody has told them of Hagan accepting a debate -- but Hagan has already accepted a few invitations. So far, Dole has only accepted one invitation -- from a right-wing talk radio host.
Dem Chances Improve In A Few Seats, But Decline For One Incumbent
CQ has changed their ratings in five House races, with all but one of them being in the Democrats' direction. Reps. Marilyn Musgrave (R-CO) and Phil English (R-PA) have been changed from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite, Rep. Mark Souder (R-IN) has been changed from "Safe Republican" to "Republican Favored," and Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL) has been switched from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican." The only bad spot for Dems is Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-PA) who has been re-categorized from "Leans Democratic" to "No Clear Favorite."
Dem Ad: Dole Is The Senator For China
The DSCC is running this new ad on the economy in the North Carolina Senate race, featuring the two grumpy old men who have become the stars of their ads here. This one goes after Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) for rewarding companies that ship jobs to China, comedically warning that we might have to learn Chinese if we want a job:
"What, she the new Senator from China?" one man says. The other replies, "Might as well be."















http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ed-k1xOCsMs
Who was McCain's scary whisper warning about?
http://www.dogtownink.com/wp-content/themes/BlogTimes/images/thatoneBIG.jpg
October 8, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yup, ol' Sarah must not have received the "stop talking about Ayers" memo - she's blasting Obama in Ohio right now about it!
October 8, 2008 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
They're down to one issue: you can't vote for him, he's black for god's sake.
That's it from now til the 4th.
October 8, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
God it would be great to unseat Michele Bachmann.
October 8, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
+1
October 8, 2008 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Biden just took a sot at Gov Plain. He is speaking now on MSNBC.
October 8, 2008 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think they waited for McCain to show his hand before blasting Palin. Biden was supposed to speak earlier, but they waited for Palin to parrot her disgusting talkingpoints again this morning.
October 8, 2008 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think McCain has the balls to go on full racial - it would be the final nail if he did.
Then again, he also made a jab at Biden's hair plugs that the pundits didn't pick up on because they were so obsessed with the whole "That One!" gaffe.
October 8, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hm, I didn't catch "hair plugs" as being a jab at Biden, but I thought it was really funny in light of Josh's comment near the beginning of his live-blogging about the demographics of the audience being weighted toward bald men.
October 8, 2008 12:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
The GOP rolling out money to defend Walberg Chabot is great. Walberg's seat has been in GOP hand since the 1992 election. Chabot has held down his seat since 1994.
Driehaus is a pretty strong candidate against Chabot, so one can see the GOP getting worried there... especially if the OH tide turns strongly Obama down the stretch.
Walberg has been a target since 2006. Schauer has pulled 60%+ in all of his elections to the MI State Senate with the exception of 2002 (not exactly a good Dem election cycle post 9/11).
Chasing down Bachmann is a long shot. Heavy GOP district. Sure, Bachmann is nutty... but she already had the nutty rep when she won in 2006. She also had a nice war chest built up.
But the beauty here is making Bachman blow through her money. More than that, force the NRCC to allocate money for her that would come in handy in other close races that are tipping.
When the NRCC and RNC have to play defense on *these* seats, it means that shakier ones are in deep shit.
John
October 8, 2008 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh please. Oh please let's beat Norm Coleman.
1. He's a spineless worm
2. It is injustice that such a spineless worm is in Paul Wellstone's chair.
3. It would be a big step towards 60 in the Senate.
4. Did I mention he's a spineless worm?
October 8, 2008 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Think twice about calling him a spineless worm. If you read the linked article, Coleman is seen as being the more negative candidate, and 40% said they're inclined to vote against the more negative candidate. Al should keep hitting back against attacks, but I'm thinking at this point that negative campaigning will hurt more than help. Better for him to say what a bailout should consist of. Also, Al is hurting among Democrats, which is bad news obviously, but it means he can win just by shoring up the base, and they already don't like Coleman. Al should follow his instincts to run a Wellstone-like campaign, which is heavily positive.
October 8, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink