it's media backlash... just like when they went after hillary after obama started winning during the primaries. people freakin' hate the media. the media are obama's best friend and worst enemy at the same time.

"I'm fixin' a hole where the rain comes in, and stops my mind from wanderin' where it will go..."

- See Beatles, Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band

I've added a hardhat too.

Let's face a few little facts:

John McCain went out of his way to trample on the Democratic convention, the success of Obama's speech and distract the morning after to dilute whatever bounce Obama got.

Followed with the breathless reception of the media to Sarah "Mooseburger" Palin, and all of our overreaction to Water Breakgate, Teen Baby Mama and Redneck Teen Daddy-gate, Sarah Church-gate, Secede from Alaska-gate, Russia's Close to Alaska-gate, Pitbull With Lipstick Dance-Along, Noun-Verb 9-11 Spell-along with Rudy, And I-i-i-i-i-i-i-i-i-i-i-i Will Always Be a Pee-Oh-Double-You-hoo-hoo-hoo Tunes and Toe-tappin' Fest with John-boy McCain.

With all of that, what do you expect? This will fizzle when Palin gets more scrutiny. And she will.

In the meantime have some shingles, some tarp, a little roofing tar, a hammer and some nails. Go fix the hole in your roof. It stops your mind from wandering where it will go. Then register a few neighbors to vote for Barack and help him win your state. The media narrative will be what it is... it's the ground game.

Yes, many panic (self included) when the polls look this scary.

Please: keep those posts that just might make me unload the revolver (if you know what I mean) a'coming.

Robert

The average convention bounce is 6%

According to ABC, McCain had a 4% bounce.
According to CBS, McCain had a 4% bounce.
According to Hotline/Diageo McCain had a 4% bounce.

I believe Obama had 8%. By midweek Obama will be back on top.

Is it clear that McCain's bounce is bigger? Show me the average bounce for both to prove it.

Secondly, why do you point out the likely voter aspect of the ABC/Post poll and not the registered voter number as well? Is it because Obama leads in that one and it doesn't fit your story?

"Worth remembering before we all bite down on the cyanide capsules. So to speak."

Er, por moi that cyanide capsule might not be so figurative.

Seriously: people say this but rarely ever DO this, but as a British dual-national, I might just relocate.

Robert

P.S. Then again, as my roots are Irish, I hate losing fight--I might just stay. But if we lose in November, it'll mean three great candidates and three losses..... ?!?!? I might just have to rethink what I think of America, and that I compare to a root canal sans anaesthesia.

McCAin leads now with white women, 53-41%, revesing the previous Obama lead. I can't believe that this is the situation,absent a lamentable knowledge of what Palin stands for.
Some comes, I guess, from Evangelicals, but it's probably once again those working class women (though maybe some professionals too). Might be hard to get back, just gotta hope we can work on them. This is also something WE can all do, because I've already brought one back from the McCAin side. A Democrat too!!! WE all need to talk to whomever we can. Many of them did
not know her stands on abortion, on stem cell research, on work related issues, even on Creationism (though that's a tricky one to talk about, perhaps.) But we need to deflate the "reformer' tag and emphasize that she is a very conservative Republican and that McCain offers nothing concrete for the economy or anything else of interest to the average woman (and man).

I don't understand why there is so much emphasis -- or any at all -- on these national polls. The race isn't decided nationally, and if you look at either Nate's fivethirtyeight or realclearpolitics you can see Obama has a decent edge in EC votes. The people who are so ecstatic about Palin are in the "solid red" states anyway.

I'm so happy to live in a state that went for Gore, and Kerry, and most certainly will go for Obama, as we did in the primary... It makes me too complacent, I s'pose...

the way the media covered the hate fest in st.paul and these polls confirm that the media will choose our next president. i am very worried.

The bounce reflects the hard-right evangelical voters who now seems to have fully engaged with the McCain-Palin campaign. IMHO of course.

Let me make this clear; I'm am not a troll or Puma, I am an Obama supporter and is working in my State to help get him elected, but I'm afraid he has lost this election because he waited too late to fight back and most americans have made up thier minds. I don't mean to be negative but I'm a realist.

Ahhh, psmdsfc, you were just so, so, well, so lame.

I'm sure you've really hurt Eric's feelings now.
I'm sure that he's now as sad as you must feel.
I'm sure that you are one hurt and angry little puppy.

Stay well, little psmdsfc, you will heal these very deep wounds of your childhood.

Or not.

Peace.

Josh, Josh, Josh:

Please do not fret over Senator Obama's poll position. He is the real deal if you will, I've voted for him three times now, Dem primary, US Senate and Dem Presidential Primary, and each time he was the underdog. Well okay when he faced Jack Ryan and not Alan Keyes.

The guy will NOT crumble under pressure and like most candidates work best in chase mode anyways. He is NOT a sprinter but rather is very calculating in his approach which has become more strident recently if you've noticed. He is also teamed with David Axlerod who while not known outside of the beltway is very very good. Think of this more as a mile race and not a sprint. I will guarantee that Senator Obama will cross the finish line first come November 4th.

I know it seems like forever since President Bill but the time is ours he/we need to stick to the plan.

Jim
Chicago, IL