This is great news for McCain!

Rumor has it Obama is up +12 in the new Gallup tracking poll.

It's all thanks to Sarah Silverman's Great Schlep, I'm sure of it.

http://www.thegreatschlep.com

If this is true, what levels of desperation are we going to see from McCain? I feel he is going to start lobbing more and more bombs, and truly, Obama shields those bombs amazingly well and will hurt McCain bringing forth an historic landslide victory to Dems. The Republicans are splitting at the seams.

The implosion of the housing market in Florida has got to make the state more populist than in 2004. All those people that thought they were going to be rich and so voted as if they were already rich are reevaluating their position.

Retired people don't like seeing their savings vanish in market meltdowns.

The Republican "Ownership Society" has created a lot more people who perceive themselves to have a stake in financial markets than there used to be. It's sweet irony to see this coming back to bite the Repugs.

I am, of course, delighted to think that Obama would win Florida. That said, I am a little bit hard pressed to understand why one particular PPP result showing Obama ahead is trumpeted as big news. Mason-Dixon and ARG both showed him ahead in FL last week, so it is not as if this is the first poll to show him ahead. Meanwhile, SurveyUSA showed McCain ahead just yesterday, so it is not as if this PPP poll becomes the confirmation of a trend which began earlier. Needless to say, I hope that PPP is right, but I am a bit confused as to why we are supposed to receive this result as "big news."

From now on to election day, is clear from leasining to Mr. Rove on FoxNews that Mac is going with three arguments:

1. Things are bad now, but Obama will make them worse;

2. Obama will raise taxes, taxes, taxes, liberal, liberal.....

3. Democrats are to blame for this Wall Street Crisis (scapegoting poor and minority people)

That is all his campaign has been reduced to. really sad.

Obama needs to run like he is behind.

yeah much respect to sara silverman but lets not forget about former mayor of new york GOP Ed kochs who is also jewish,he being out there in florida stumpin for barack and campaignin as well for him!!!

Florida is the state where Obama has a much better chance of turning blue than Ohio.

Obama needs to win all the Kerry-won states from '04 and one of three to win:

FL

or

OH

or

CO + NH

Up until the last week or so, I thought option 3 was the most likely. We'll see.

Re: Sarah Silverman and Ed Koch:

I think people always overestimate the electoral importance of the Jewish vote in Florida. Of course, we can take no demographic for granted, but Florida is only 3% Jewish, and most of those will have voted Democratic regardless of any campaigning. At most, anything the O campaign or its helpers could do is shift 1%. By contrast, Florida is about 15% Hispanic and 15% African-American -- moving the Hispanic vote by 5% would affect the total Florida vote by more than moving the Jewish vote by 25%.

Echo Jonze and others --- no relaxing until Nov. 5th (I'm having to remind myself to breathe, in fact).

After 2004 I don't think I can ever trust the American voters (or Republican-controlled voting machines) again. The reason things are looking so positive right now is that Obama and his well-run campaign haven't slacked off AT ALL or stumbled badly in 20 straight months. We supporters, who've had it comparatively easy during that time, can't be the ones to let it slip now as a result of our inaction. It's **our** turn up at the plate now.

I, also, fear that there will be at least one more awful cycle of disbelieving, stomach-turning certainty that he's going to lose. At least we've learned to ride them out a bit more calmly. (HAH! Who am I kidding? This close to the election it will be a whole new ball game.)

Don't trust either of them relating to illegal immigration. We know Obama is a straight talker and he has already stated, he will enact another AMNESTY. Simply reduce illegal immigration that is feeding like a leech of the US taxpayer. You just have to look at the draining financial coffers of every state. California is one hell of an example, where their crippled budget was a meltdown of $11 billion dollars in welfare payments. The Democratic-Socialist-Reconquista assembly has generously allowed the millions of illegal aliens squatting in this state, to extract dollars meant for taxpayers.

With the bailout of mega investment business and banks on the front burner. Nobody dare mention, that illegal immigration is implicated in this financial catastrophe?

www.michellemalkin.com/2008/09/24/illegal-immigration-and-the-mortgage-mess/ /

www.vdare.com/sailer/080928_rove.htm

HELP YOUR POLICE!

Illegal Immigration is rapidly becoming a urgent flash-point issue, because the this lawbreaking population is out of control. Cities and communities have become violators of immigration law, getting duly labeled as 'Sanctuary cities or even states'? This is no longer isolated communities whose Governors, Mayors and elected officials, who have sold America to the Special interest lobby.

The majority of Politicians have refused to approach this issues, because it has become a grave concern to hard-hit taxpayers. When uncensored it shows the spread of illegal immigrant crime, devastating economic damage to our welfare programs. Tom Fitton, President of the Watchdog legal group www.judicialwatch.org has adopted a PETITION to stop propagation of 'Sanctuary cities' where death has become an everyday day occurence at the hands of criminal foreign nationals.

So please sign this petition. www.sanctuarybusters.org/Index.asp?source.

www.numbersusa.com for more true facts.

Hey People its way to early. You know The Republicans will attack Russia orsomething here pretty soon I'd give it a week - something big will happen - watch be prepared to crap on the media uz they will surely be trying to build up McCain.

In fact the memo's are probably going right now as we speak to all the networks -- We must build up and kiss MCain's ass" Immediately starting with NBC's Republican shill Tom Brokaw just watch!

Or amybe they'll dump on Biden but I do prdict this will happen cuz they can't have the polls get too out of line

Someone mentioned "first North Carolina now Florida" -- I'd expect to see Florida turn toward Obama before North Carolina. In fact, if he gets NC, a tsunami is going to sweep from the Atlantic across the Rocky Mountains before sweeping every Republican in sight into the Pacific.

But Florida? Well, a housing sinkhole has opened up in Florida. All those rednecks and snowbirds down there sitting on a housing disaster, probably multiplied by ARMs going up for subprime borrowers. Not good. And all those retirees watching as their 401(k)s melt away? You can only save so much on early bird specials before its time to put in an application at WalMart. They're going to vote for four more years of this? I don't think so.

So, I'm cautiously optimistic on Florida.

The CQ battle ground summary about N.C. :

Despite Obama's statistically insignificant lead, PPP's Tom Debnam says, "Things are getting out of control for Republicans ... pretty fast. They somehow have to shift the conversation back to the issues that voters trust them more on, because if this continues to be an election about the economy , Democrats are going to win." The poll also found Sarah Palin going from net favorable to net negative.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/09/latest-statebystate-general-el-66.html#more

Intrade is still moving away from McCain over 5 points today

OOps, S/B Koch.