I'm going with statistical noise.

It's also encouraging to see how close it is in FL:  McSame leads BigO by 1 point in the R2k poll and by 2 in the M-H poll.

I wonder if there's been a bit of a demographic shift there since four years ago?

Are you trying to produce a self-parody, or are you really not understanding how polling works? Obama's suport changes by 0.5 percent, and McCain's by 0.3 percent, and you say it MIGHT be statistical noise? How can it be anything else?

Are you seriously suggesting that movement of less than a point in surveys with margins of error of two percent or more could somehow be indicative of a trend?

Good Lord, man. Do yourself a favor. Read a book on statistics.

It could just be statistical noise, or it might be something else.

Oilbama proved he is firmly in the pocket of Big Oil when he voted for the Bush Cheney Energy Bill McCain opposed. Now we find Oilbama is firmly in the pocket of the Wall Street firms and mortgage security companies that are at the center of the collapse of the real estate bubble. He is closely tied to at least two of the Fannie Mae principals. Let’s start with the numbers provided by data obtained from www.OpenSecrets.org

Why is a first term Senator pulling down almost $300,000 a year from Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, AIG, Countrywide Financial, and Washington Mutual? Oilbama has not even completed his fourth year in the Senate and has already received a total of $1,093,329.00 from these eight companies and their employees. For the period 1990-2008 (i.e., 18 years worth of data) McCain only collected $549,584.00. In other words, Oilbama is receiving $273,582.25 (and 2008 is not over) per year while McCain raised a paltry $30,532.44.
Oilbama has received more from one source–Goldman Sachs $542,252.00–than McCain has from all of the companies combined. Who the hell is more beholden to lobbyists? And why does a junior Senator from Illinois rate this kind of dough?
Why are these firms and their employees showering Barack with their cash? McCain’s hands are clean when it comes to this mess. That is not spin, that is a fact. He proposed legislation back in 2006 to start addressing the abuses of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac but the Democrats would have none of it. Oilbama IS the greediest man to run for President since his fellow Bush Cheney Energy Bill supporter GW himself.

Obama's ahead by 3 points instead of 3.8 -- that's probably just noise. Unless his numbers start shrinking drastically, it's just noise. Don't forget, he had a very good week. Or rather, McCain had a very bad week. This could simply be the numbers receding back to their normal place.

538's latest figures show continuing improvement for O.

Precipitous financial conditions leading up to the first debate is thoroughly novel. This election could not even have been dreamt up by Gore Vidal, ten years ago.

A high degree of 527-based racial baiting can be expected in the closing days of the campaign. What they would particularly wish for would be violence in the streets.

538's latest figures show continuing improvement for O.

Precipitous financial conditions leading up to the first debate is thoroughly novel. This election could not even have been dreamt up by Gore Vidal, ten years ago.

A high degree of 527-based racial baiting can be expected in the closing days of the campaign. What they would particularly wish for would be violence in the streets.

Well according to Intrade McCain went up a .8 and Obama went down .8, so we will see.

From:

Head of State

http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/09/palin-soft-preparedness-of-lowered.html

Monday, September 22, 2008

Palin: The Soft Preparedness of Lowered Expectations

In all seriousness, expect the following from Palin's "meetings" with leaders on Tuesday and Wednesday:

-A series of serious-sounding quotes, direct from her days of preparation, that cannot possibly indicate her actual knowledge on the issues, data and risks facing each and with regard to each nation. Quotes, not readiness, happen in days.

-A bevy of positive statements from each leader--after all, that's why they were chosen--all being nations seeking U.S. favor, and having nothing to lose and potentially much to gain by doing so.

-A rush of "surprised" reactions from media at "how seriously she was taken."

-An attempt by the McCain camp to drive through her supposed preparedness as a result, as quickly as possible, before the debates.

-Still no in-depth, free-form, extensive challenging interviews on the full range of foreign and domestic policy issues facing this nation from this prospective President.

Don't buy it.

Remember: A few days ago, she was ready to invade Russia (which she could see from her border).

A series of rehearsed quotes do not a President make.

Cite:

Head of State

http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/09/palin-soft-preparedness-of-lowered.html

intrade and hubdub both show Obama slipping and McCain's numbers improving. intrade has also shown a 20 point EV loss from Obama states.

Treasury Secretary Paulson is one of those Wall St. Vampires who made a killing a Goldman Sachs.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/wall-st-vampire-henry-paulson.php

Excerpt:

In the last annual report at Goldman that Paulson signed off on in November 2005, a year in which he received $38 million in compensation, investors were clearly told that the federal government wouldn't be there to save them from bad investments.

Paulson has also surrounded himself, at the Treasury Dept. With his Goldman Sachs cronies.

This is the Treasury version, of Rumsfeld, and the WMD scare.

Get on your Senators and Congress Reps. cases. Put the heat on them to not rush to authorize Bush/Paulson to wage war on our futures.