New Ads: Obama Presses "Change"; McCain Spot Says Obama's "Star Is Fading"
With the race's final stretch set to be fought out on the rhetorical turf of who's promising real change, the Obama campaign is out two new ads that seek to refine and recapture his change message and further cast McCain as hidebound and out of touch with today's realities.
The first ad, a tough spot signaling a newly aggressive Obama campaign, batters McCain by recalling that he entered the Senate in 1982 -- "times have changed since then," the narrator notes -- and still can't use a computer:
The second features Obama himself directly addressing the camera and sharing his vision of real change...
Meanwhile, the McCain campaign is up with a new "celeb" sneer spot that says the Obama campaign "lashed out" at Sarah Palin and "dismissed her as good looking" because Obama's "star is fading."...
We don't have time to check this right now, but if memory serves, didn't Team McCain at some point dismiss Obama as good-looking? Rings a bell...















Thoughts on this:
1. I hate the first Obama ad. They really suck at the snide attacks, and this is just lame. Not only are half the accusations going to get no traction, the way they are presented is the same ridiculous low-budget sarcasm of McCain's ads.
2. The second Obama ad is great. I really do think he should do more of these "talking to the camera" ads. It tells people he's not afraid to tell them directly. I think he should do more of these, with a little more hard-hitting content.
3. The McCain ad is ridiculous. Far worse than the Obama ad I saw. For one thing... its all lies. Again. And its more of this ridiculous "any criticism of Palin is not fair" crap. They take great umbrage at the fact that they are calling them "liars" when virtually every news source has revealed them as liars? And the "how disrespectful" line... I'm flabbergasted.
My only hope is that -- except for the wingnuts for whom (lets face it) Bush/McCain/Palin could eat a baby on live TV and they'd still support it -- this will backfire hard.
It has that potential, as I think the fact of them lying is out there enough in the ether that taking fake outrage at being called liars may just make them look like buffoons. Also, the "poor widdle Sarah Palin" angle might be wearing thin for the media and the people. There's evidence that the media's patience is stretched thin for him, and if McCain loses the media, he's f-ed.
September 12, 2008 7:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, 2nd add is much better. But the first one does lay some ground work, it'll play at the margins. I think the 2nd woudl be stronger if it talked about a President who told the truth to the American people also.
September 12, 2008 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I actually kind of like the first ad. I just wish it were a little more aggressive and explicitly made the points, "How can McCain understand our economy when he's never used a computer? How can he understand the world when he's stuck in the past?" ...And maybe even include his line about his musical taste being frozen when his helicopter was hit by a rocket.
If the Obama campaign were willing to stoop to their level of derision, they would make explicit what we all know: that John McCain's foreign policy can be distilled to a desire to refight the Vietnam war over and over until we finally win. Looks like Iraq's not going to give him that satisfaction...maybe Iran?
September 12, 2008 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
In response to my own kibitzing here about Obama should say in his ads, I've set up a thread in the cafe for TPM-ers to post their own anti-McCain 527 commercial scripts (or videos) here:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/the-talkingpointsmemo-527-1.php
After all, Obama reads TPM (according to google). Instead of complaining about the ads he has already run, we should be giving him (and others) help creating the ads he should run. This is the DIY/change-from-the-bottom-up campaign isn't it?
September 12, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
To that point I would like to see an ad highlighting McCain's claim that he is somebody who "knows how to win a war"...Huh? The only war that he's been directly involved in happens to also be the only war this country has ever lost.
Also, a bit off topic, but it was nice to see Bob Schieffer hawking his book on CNN this morning. This is the man who will 'moderate' the last of the presidential debates this year. The first words out of his mouth were "John MCCain is a true American hero" Well, that sure sounds unbiased, huh?
That is why it is so important to fight back hard NOW. If it comes down to a close race at the time of that last debate, McCain's shill will cinch it for him.
September 12, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mornin' Joe thought it (the McCain spot) was great. He and several of his guest seem to think that the Obama campaign is whining and the McCain camp is winning with these types of ads. "just win baby", I think was his quote (or Chuck Todd's). I sent email and asked when is NOT ok for a candidate for POTUS to lie to the American people. I'll get back to you on any answer I receive.
September 12, 2008 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, keep in mind that it is Joe Scarborough. He is one of those wingnuts I mentioned. If it is Todd, that's more disturbing, but he's not a real analyst, just a bean counter -- and he's influenced by who he's with.
I'll take a look later to see if Sept 10th was a "one day epiphany" that has worn-off. It does worry me that Palin's pathetic performance is not being dismantled, and is being semi-praised by MSM. If so, either I'm taking crazy pills or the world has literally gone mad and nothing will work.
September 12, 2008 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everybody knows that the McCain ads are lies. But there is no penalty for lying and Obama doesn't seem to understand that. He thinks that if the media and factcheck.org points out that McCain is lying, people will vote for him because he's honest. That is beyond niave. I wish he would tar McCain and put him on defense.
That first ad is incredibly lame. It's supposed to be an attack but it's so nicey-nicey and completely forgettable. I've never seen such a smart team be completely feckless at ad-making. It's like these folks have never seen a scary movie in their lives!
September 12, 2008 9:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
First of all, Joe Scarborough is nothing but a Eddie Haskell-esque hairy bean bag - the king of the concern trolls who should be mercilessly beaten with a pillowcase full of sodas. The truly unsettling thing is that a lot of liberals have bought into the "he's fair for a conservative" horseshit. He's nothing but a Sean Hannity clone, only with the ugly vitriol and assholery being more subliminal.
September 12, 2008 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree second add is more effective. Now Obama needs to get in front of some hughe 20,000 crowd to show that is star isn't fading and to fire up the crowds with his overarching rhetoric and get the press ooing over Obama again.
I think the small venue is great for those voters who need the quality time ie. Hillary's white middle class supporters. But Obama needs to continue to generate the excitement that has been a hallmark of his success.
September 12, 2008 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Totally disagree. Anyone who isn't already convinced by 80,000 in Mile High Stadium isn't going to be convinced now.
Persuadable voters don't care about that stuff and these ads of McCain's will backfire. The undecideds in the center, left and right, want to hear the candidate speak for himself in a place where they can ask questions. Obama is where he is because of his ability to talk in those small venues, not the huge stadium events.
All this second guessing of each tactic is unbecoming in a party on their way up with a candidate of Obama's caliber. Good thing he has republican supporters as well or the whole choir would be in a fit.
Barack has proved to me that he has it covered.
September 12, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
It goes beyond "uppity Negro." It suggests that Obama is disrespecting white women. Couple this with the sex education smear ad, and McCain is clearly trying to position Obama as a latter-day Willie Horton. Sex . . . black guy . . . white women.
Disrespectful? McCain's campaign is DIShonest, DISgusting and DIShonorable.
September 12, 2008 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes. Wheover is producing Obama's satire ads on McCain should be replaced with one of John Stewart's producers. They are neither funny, catchy nor memorable.
The second Obama ad is excellent, and his campaign should unleash a series of similar face-to-the camera ads using well-known and influential Obama supporters like Warren Buffett, Wes Clark, Ed Koch, Hillary Clinton, Lincoln Chaffee (and other Republicans), Merill McPeak, Oprah Winfrey, etc.
September 12, 2008 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where is Oprah when we need her?
Really, what's going on with her?
Why isn't she going to bat for her man?
An ad with her standing by her man would probably go over big.
September 12, 2008 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I noticed that they didn't claim she wasn't lying, just that it was disrespectful to call her out on it.
September 12, 2008 7:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh come on now, she is a republican, she can't stop lying unless she stops breathing.
September 12, 2008 7:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not she'll stop even then...
September 12, 2008 8:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
One would think that this whole tone of, "How DARE they!", used to canonize Palin, would be seen by the masses as a jump-the-shark moment. It's so dripping with phony outrage, one is tempted to say wait just a minute... are we talking about a candidate, or the Blessed Virgin Mary? Gimme a break!
WE'RE the ones in a bubble, my friendssssh.
Listen to me. They wouldn't keep cranking 'em out, unless most people were dumber than we are. Unless they knew something we were too boneheaded to accept.
Look to your right... there ya go, right over there... see the pretty red and blue lines, on the Pollster.com graphs?
IT'S WORKING.
It's immoral. But it's working.
Somebody, please, tell me... why on Earth would the McCain campaign be motivated to "PBS it up" a tad... when it's working?
The Obama "attack" ad, above? Please. Too little... too late. And this is by design; it's the "high road" thing again, which I shockingly realized is Obama's personal moral code at work, when I heard him speaking last night on TV.
It's lovely to have an experimental laboratory, where a candidate is determined to prove that "ideas" and "good policies" can win the day over Rovian politics.
Didn't we get the results of that lab test, in 1988?
The R's are simply not bound by moral codes, restraint or the truth. If raping Grandma is what wins, bend over, Grandma, and remember, there's no crying in Rovain politics.
At a time when every man, woman and child should have been discussing Sarah Palin's baby, and John McCain's Alzheimer's, and the polls should have had Obama up by 20... the Republicans have already won this election. Go on, exhibit your disdain what I've said, spit on the floor, and hold your nose.
And send your disposable cash, if you have any, to Vegas... marked "McCain". At least get something out of this disaster.
And prepare for how you and your family are going to survive an America that's led, starting sometime in 2009, by a president who's a corrupt, crazy right-wing religious freak, whose name you didn't even know four weeks ago.
September 12, 2008 8:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh noes! We're doomed!
September 12, 2008 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, frankly, this sort of Democratic self-hatred is every bit as bad as the Republicans. Buck up, buddy, and try doing something.
September 12, 2008 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Alex39:
LIKE WHAT? Knocking on doors and wearing more Obama "flair"?
This is politics from "The Music Man" era, and does not take into account the psychological profiling of an entire population, by zip code and eye color, that the Republican machine has long mastered.
Go on, Alex. TELL me that before this year, you'd ever even heard of "vapor ads". You may not even know what I'm talking about now.
These people are deadly masters of psy-ops; they're the descendants of the OSS spook community which became CIA, if you will... and your political brain is still in whistle-stop mode. Not that I care about you, but the Democratic Party is maybe two notches removed from that, still. And they really still think they have an ice cube's Chinese prayer in Hell (to mix the ultimate metaphor).
Shit, man... a whole buncha brothers and sisters gonna arrive at the polls on November 4th, and find out they can't vote. Know what the reaction in the press will be? "ZZZZZZZZZ!" Why hasn't this been discussed on cable, every single fucking day since 2000? Or even, since 2004?
I'll tell you why. Because, in the words of Bill Cosby's "Little Ole Man": "I cannot believe... that it's happening!" Thus spake the Democrats, whose biggest challenges, like these, have been drowned-out in the media by blow jobs, hockey moms, lipstick, and any other fucking thing that Karl Rove decides he wants to see the MSM blather about... other than the track record of the Bush administration.
Because the Democrats are just such modern, a-go go guys.
Alex... we're gonna lose. Because "we're" lightweights, okay? Yeah, goddamned straight, I'd LIKE to "do something", but you know what?
Read every comment here on TPM... a good 90% of them are suggestions for Obama, for his operatives, for his ad people. They honestly think his CAMPAIGN is a democracy.
Well, it's not. It's a soft drink, a car, a fast-food sandwich, marketed by people who are paid handsomely to do so.
If they do a shitty job, or are out-punched by the competition's marketing team, the soft drink, the car, the fast-food sandwich ceases to exist.
And another one will come along later, and a new professional team will be paid handsomely to attempt to market that.
That is how it works. Karl Rove is Doyle Dane; the Obama campaign is Cooper-Sterling.
We lose. And so it goes.
September 12, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
A competent ballot design in Palm Beach County, FL in 2000 and everything you are talking about is a fiction. Maybe Karl and the guys at Langley did that. Maybe not. Frankly that guy's powers are the most marketed fiction going.
Pessimists are fine. Fatalists need not apply.
September 12, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope McCain spends a lot of money with this ad. The more the word "Palin" and "lie" are used together the better.
And she is lying, well, she is reading a script filled with lies. Every reputable news source has agreed on this.
By all means McCain, put this ad out everywhere.
September 12, 2008 7:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I can't believe the bit about "lying -- how disrespectful!"
That gets a 10 out of 10 on my cluelessness scale. I would almost donate money to get this McCain ad played more.
September 12, 2008 9:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
So how many smear ads have McCain put out now THIS WEEK? Five? Ten? Forty-seven? McCain seems to think that he can only win through a Coulter-smelling smear campaign - and the current electoral vote numbers is giving him the upper hand.
Amazing that Sarah Palin - on the anniversary of 9/11 - talks about bombing Russia as part of "God's plan", by the way.
September 12, 2008 7:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hate the first ad -- too snide, too jokey, doesn't come across as serious even though the issues are VERY serious.
Second ad is good.
September 12, 2008 7:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe the wolves are going to their head. I'm noticing a definite "300" graphic tone to the McCain ads lately. As bad as they are, it is visually effective by showing Obama against a dark, blood-red background in this stark black and white, with this 300-esque music playing.
September 12, 2008 7:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's face it. The Obama campaign is great at organizing, great at the ground game, great at putting together events, and really mediocre at TV ads.
When I heard "hard-hitting" ads on the cable news last night, I wasn't expecting weak crap like this. Unless the strategy is to talk a big game about negative ads so that the McCain camp overreacts and goes over the line, which they seem to sort of do in this ad.
September 12, 2008 7:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
You might have something there. I think the frustration observers feel with the Obama campaign is that you can't quite figure out their strategy. And nothing leaks!
September 12, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like the 1st Obama ad. "Liar, Krugman of NYT, blasts McCain With the Truth"
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/12/01115/6334/278/595686
Republicans Hijacked 911, by Keith Olberman, Courage to Speak Truth!
http://www.jedreport.com/2008/09/special-commen...
How many more Journalists & Reporters will show courage and begin to do their duty and Inform the public as to truth and falsity? We should never again be lied into a False & Phony war by a President you want to have a beer with! Republicans strong on National Security? I don't think so, after all 911 happened on their watch, but they have been allowed to distort the facts and public perception that it is the Democrats who are weak on national security! They have failed to properly enact the 911 Commissions recommendations which would make us a lot safer! Politicans who willfully and intentionally lie to the public are engaged in a betrayal of the public trust and such distortion should be deemed unethical and in some cases, criminal! We need a Media to be the third-wheel of democracy again and not a parrot of those who are corrupt, unless they are corrupt too!
Republicans are just as dismal on economics. It is an outrage or should be that the government can give millions of dollars to CEOโs from the failed Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac and yet, cannot give a second stimulus check to American citizens in these hard economic times? Republicans say No to a second stimulus while the Democrats say Yes to a second stimulus! Is the Republican Congress working for CEOโs or are they working for you, the people? We need a Government and a Congress to work for the People, not lie to the people, not bail out their own special interest groups and leave the people hanging. We need a government to put the burden of taxes on the rich where they belong and stop putting the tax burdens on the middle class and poor, those who can least afford it. We need a government who will put money into education and make that a national priority again, both lower and higher education and give more Pell Grants and less loans so that young people can once again achieve a higher education, get a good job and lift everybody up out of poverty. We need action and not more spin, talk and lies. We need a Congress who will vote Yes to bridges, roads, schools, health care. Who will invest in America and not in Iraq and in themselves and their special interest groups. America is dying. We need Change!
September 12, 2008 7:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
so that first ad is Obama's idea of a negative ad? We're so screwed.
September 12, 2008 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you. I am bothered also by the failure of Obama to go after Palin in a meaningful negative way. I understand there are risks. There are also benefits. But beyond that there is also the problem that if Dems do NOT go after her NOW, when there is a wealth of material...her lying, her use of state machinery for personal vendetta, her antagonism to basic due process, her disrespect for the separation of state and church, her use of office for personal gain, firing the librarian for not banning books, war with Russia, not knowing any foreign p[olicy without a two-week special preparation period (my God, the list goes on and on)...then after this election we are left with Palin the political star and all of this material is basically old and useless. I think we are being betrayed by Obama and company. The reason Democrats should be fighting hard and negative as well is that we have to live with the consequences of their refusal to do so. I do not like Schumer...but when he went against D'Amato he made sure he was not outslimed. What is the slime index with McCain-Palin versus Obama-Biden. We all know this; even the public knows this. And we will still be left with the baggage that is a consequence of not going after them. Obama not only screws his (and our) chances in this election but this approach will screw us down the road.
September 12, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with Josh- Obama needs to stop hiding from the crowds- let's fill a stadium. Obama's star isn't fading (perhaps it was momentarily eclipsed when the shooting ball of gaseous hot air and lies named Sarah Palin streaked through the political atmosphere -before burning up). Let's show people how "fired up" Democrats are. McCain can't fill a venue without Palin- Obama can't help but attract the crowds. Embrace the movement- if Obama's campaign is not about him- but about us- let US show up and change the narrative as well.
September 12, 2008 7:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
McLame's ad comes at a time when pundits have said that Obama's mistake is that he stopped holding large rallies, believing the McSame's propaganda that he's just a "celeb." (See Dionne piece on homepage here, and Alter said that same thing last night on Charlie Rose.) Obama's now ridiculed for NOT holding large rallies, and not being a celeb.
In effect, I think that McBush has set a damned if you do/damned if you don't trap. If Obama does start holding large, inspiring rallies again, the GOP meme will now be, see, he just wants to be a celeb, and can't stand being out of the limelight after Gov Moosillini grabbed it from him.
Honestly, I had hoped that the Obama camp could have come up with a less cutesy ad that shows just how out of touch McBush is. But, maybe they are just warming up....?
September 12, 2008 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look, Obama just isn't that great at assholery. Honestly, it is one of the reasons I like him for President (along with more substantive reasons). I will say, he could probably do with hiring Hillary's negative ad team. They were better at this particular task.
Overall, I'm not sure completely going hard negative is the best approach. George Lakhoff, over at Huffpo, actually has a pretty good article on why the original, non-Wonk Obama works and very specific reasoning and perscription:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/george-lakoff/dont-think-of-a-maverick_b_125850.html
Not saying he needs to replace what he's doing. But some of the idea in that article would be helpful to the campaign.
September 12, 2008 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to see a 527 or two go hard negative- and I mean, vicious (think, for example, North Vietnamese propaganda videos starring guess who). Then Obama can denounce them and stay above the fray. That's how the Rehugs used to play the game until McGigolo decided to insource the swiftboating to his campaign.
September 12, 2008 8:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I saw another new one in PA this morning. I think it was new - first time I'd seen it anyway. Tying McCain to all of his lobbyists in some detail. Pretty good.
Also, on the Obama and crowds thing. I saw him in Lancaster, PA a week ago yesterday - the day of McCain's acceptance speech. There were over 10,000 there. It was outdoors, so it didn't feel all that huge, but it was really big for a city the size of Lancaster.
September 12, 2008 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first ad is an indirect jab at McCain's old age.
The problem is that if he attacks him directly by calling him too old (what he really is) old voters will take it personal and that's something counterproductive. The ad is OK, I like the concept but the execution was not the best. The idea is not just calling him out of touch, but give the impression that McCain's age is a factor that voters should consider (specially young and middle age voters).
The second ad is better. The direct talk helps to create trust between Obama and the voters. But, for me, they should hire the best on this kind of work: Errol Morris.
The GOP ad doesn't even deserved to be mentioned. Slowly the MSM has starting to notice their lies (except you CNN) but the Obama camp should hit them harder on this.
September 12, 2008 8:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Funny thing, though. My mom (in her early sixties), who along with my Air Force Lt-Col dad has voted Republican with a double-size capital 'R' every election since 1968, is decidedly against McCain. The first thing out of her mouth every time the topic comes up: "He's just too *old*."
Granted, she's not 72, but she knows doddering when she sees it. "Old" to her isn't an issue of physical years, but mental health and vigor. McCain is decrepit by that standard. She loved Reagan when he was in office and wholeheartedly supported him in both elections. She realizes Reagan was older than McCain that second term, but, in her parlance, he wasn't *as old*. (Personally, I think histoy shows that he was, indeed, doddering and relying on his cadre of yes-men far too much, but this is a battle I fear I will never win with her).
We shouldn't avoid the "doddering" issue for fear of inciting old people, just as we shouldn't avoid the Palin corruption and inexperience issue for fear of inciting women. They are rational adults, generally more rational than the old-before-their-years middle-aged Republican base, and they can well separate themselves from the McCains.
September 12, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
these are Obama's sharper attacks? excuse my yawn.
September 12, 2008 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama attack ad looks like a trial balloon for going after McCain's age.
September 12, 2008 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
After Palin's remarks last night about going to war with Russia, it may be time for a rehash of Johnson's 1964 "Daisy" ad.
September 12, 2008 8:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do agree that McCain's willingness to commit our country to war against Russia over their former client states ought to be a major talking point.
I would show quotes from various wartime American Presidents, like Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, (and I'd throw in Reagan as well) about the value of peacemaking and the destructiveness of war, and I'd finish with something like "War should always be the option of last resort; not an 'talking point for the day'".
September 12, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
"THE ONE" is losing it quickly! Barry Hussein Obama and the far left loonies (KOS, TPM, ObamaPost, PMSNBC, NYT, LATimes, WashPost) are falling apart. We are entitled to have our savior! WE ARE ENTITLED AND SMARTER THAN AMERICA! Barry is not "THE ONE" but just another Chicago sleazeball politician (The Jesus of Chicago).
Dump Barry, have Hillary as the nominee.
Barry = another Dem loss.
September 12, 2008 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm unclear as to why we should take helpful political advice ("Dump Barry, have Hillary as the nominee") from someone who rails against "the far left loonies" and "PMSNBC"? :-P
September 12, 2008 8:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
This from a guy whose candidate can't even campaign on his own any more- he has to hide behind his running mate's skirts.
September 12, 2008 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did someboday say something?....
September 12, 2008 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
But you got nothing against Sarah Palin, who should be campaigning under the "Alaska First" slogan? Who talks about bombing Russia in the name of "God" in the anniversary of 9/11?
You're not a real Democrat - too bad Operation Chaos failed. Wait 'til the debates begin - John McBush will be reduced to shreds and all the corporate media props won't save Sarah Palin during the VP debate.
September 12, 2008 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I'd really like to see a series of ads on McCain's history of sexist quotes. This would be a kind of appropriate point to use them, too.
Start with an ad whose purpose is to get the Chelsea Clinton joke out and get in voters' minds that he's a classless asshole. McCain responds by saying he apologize; then have another entire media cycle of Chelsea, Senator Clinton, and Janet Reno saying they were never apologized to. He can't really respond in any way to that, so he'll try to change the conversation again. Doesn't matter what to.
Next ad, put in the gorilla rape joke. McCain camp responds with outrage; lots of smoke and fire, competing claims about whether he actually said it or not. After the Chelsea joke, though, voters will be inclined not to give him the benefit of the doubt, so McCain's just yelling at the wind.
Last ad, make McCain's impotent rage the point of attack. Referencing his campaign's current anger, throw in quotes by his Republican colleagues about his horrible temper. Top it off with the cunt bomb.
It'd be a series of ads that'd control the media for three weeks, and I can't see how it wouldn't destroy the McCain campaign. Then again, I'm not an ad guy.
...though the people making Obama's ads don't really deserve that title, either.
September 12, 2008 8:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kudos, Zeph! You get it. You get how to play chess.
See? It isn't impossible to have a Karl Rove On The Side Of The Angels.
The Democratic Party just has not yet come to the conclusion that we need one of those, yet.
Maybe by 2020, if we still have elections by then...
September 12, 2008 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think I like that !
By the way, I'd love to see a chart comparing the proportion of female narrators in McCain ads before and after August 29...
September 12, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't like the first Obama ad. Instead of going backwards, why not focus on how America is losing its technological edge (with the results this has on jobs and the economy), show hordes of busy, enterprising Chinese and Asian people, THEN drive home the point that McCain can't even use a computer, and has admitted to having no knowledge of economics.
September 12, 2008 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sen. Landrieu is doing an excellent job of staying on issues--which is PISSING off Morning Joe. Every time he tries to talk about the latest bs from McCain, she brings it right back to the issues. Finally!
September 12, 2008 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the Democrats need to "flood the zone" with surrogates who only talk about issues. If you don't engage the media's desire for the back and forth, they are going to be forced to talk about the issues again. Stop being complicit in your own murder.
September 12, 2008 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first ad is very weak. This does not strike me as being more aggressive. The truth is a McCain/Palin administration would be much, much worse than the last 8 years have been. Why not say this, it's obvious. Continuing the neocon policies of the last 8 years will weaken us further both internationally and domestically.
September 12, 2008 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Excuse me, but I don't recall the Obama campaign making any comment whatsoever in regard to Failin's looks. Did I just miss that?
September 12, 2008 8:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Biden, joking, said "she is better looking than me, that's for sure" or something along those lines.
September 12, 2008 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting narrative setting up this morning.
The press has come around to realizing that the McCain campaign is full of shit. However, they don't know what to do with this realization. They are waiting for instruction.
There is a messaging void right now - but it will close in 24 hours. Obama _must_ jump on the McCain is a liar message - - and fast.
These ads are a total waste of time. If the Obama campaign wants to win - they need to get aggresive. Now. These ads are weak.
September 12, 2008 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, they're hiding behind the scarecrow that Gibson was condescending. What the hell does that matter? The issue is her fitness, not how she was treated by a reporter (who came off as being more qualified for the job).
Pufferfish
September 12, 2008 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I hope that the Obama campaign recognizes that the offensive can't just come with ads but needs to be surrounded by a wall of sound bites coming from lots of surrogates. Goddamnit, but I--and lots of others--have long been shouting about the need to attack attack attack, and for weeks we've seen a fucking milquetoast campaign. Wake up already!
September 12, 2008 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have a bone to pick with the Obama campaign. Their media people insist on releasing their new ads in a non-youtube format. I am not a Windows user. I will have to wait a few hours until somebody puts them up on youtube to see the darn things.
September 12, 2008 8:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am a Linux user (which, frankly, has worse support for everything than Mac, which I assume you are using) and I can play BO's video's fine.
September 12, 2008 9:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is a free plug-in -Flip4Mac - that plays Windows media through Quicktime on Macs
September 12, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two-things:
1) First Obama ad sucks. Makes him seem petty and lame and launches NO effective attacks on McCain (you think people who are losing jobs and homes care that he can't use a computer?)
2) McCain's ad sucks too. It's entirely about the process and personalities. I can't remember the last time he launched an ad about the issues. Nobody gives a crap about Obama v. Palin inter-campaign remarks.
http://strategy08.wordpress.com
September 12, 2008 8:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't think I've ever seen an ad for the VICE-presidential candidate. Weird.
September 12, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Iโd like to see a 527 ad labeling McCain as the โpro-war presidentโ. Show how he wanted to attack Iraq immediately after 9/11, wants to keep fighting in Iraq, wants to bomb Iran, and is prepared to go to war with Russia. Attack his perceived strength and scare the crap out of the voters. It also disarms his POW excuse a little and reminds people of Palinโs national security weakness. Obama wins in a landslide.
September 12, 2008 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Forget Palin, all they need to show is this one
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdJUCU1UH2w
September 12, 2008 11:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't like the first ad. Too long, not much of a point.
Liked the second ad.
September 12, 2008 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds like Obama needs to get some new people working on this stuff. Not a lot of leeway to be making weak arguments at this point.
September 12, 2008 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps a new name for the show: "Mornin' Joke"
They (Wingnut panel) always skirt the issues... how can one expect these pundits to shift through lies, spin, and truth?
September 12, 2008 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, guys, can I just say two things about the first ad?
First of all, you're not supposed to like it. Negative ads don't make friends and influence people. They just remind people of bad things about the other side.
Secondly, I strongly suspect that it's not going to play a lot. The goal with that ad, I bet, is less to influence people directly than to *start a conversation* on the news about whether it's fair to complain about McCain's age and general out-of-it-ness. In other words, it's supposed to be a little over the top.
In other words, this is our version of the other side's "provocation" strategy. We're taking the initiative, as Josh frickin Marshall is constantly lecturing us to do. So stop complaining about the g*dd*m production values -- they're supposed to look out of date -- and enjoy the ride.
September 12, 2008 9:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first ad may seem lame but that might just be a perception of people who pay attention to this stuff everyday, like bloggers.
Think of the mass of people out there who in a way are just coming to the campaign. It looks like a way for THEM to say to THEMSELVES "we've" come all this way since 1982 but John McCain hasn't. How can he lead us if he's behind us?
I see some signs of effectiveness in the first ad.
"So...maybe we should leave John McCain behind, with disco balls and Rubik's cubes."
September 12, 2008 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
You guys are looking at the first ad through your own eyes. That's the problem. It's not targeted at you (us). It's actually very good, imho, for the right demographic.
This ad is not targeted at the intelligent, informed, concerned, thinking people who read TPM. It wouldn't work on this crowd, as many comments have suggested.
But for the modestly-informed, undecided voter in the right battleground state who is struggling financially, it reminds people that McCain is very old, and very out of touch, and technically inept--without calling him a doddering, drooling old rich man in diapers.
A lot of couples are going to relate to the family walking the grocery store aisle. It simplifies the issues for the LIVs. And it links McCain to Bush. That is, and should be, part of virtually every Obama ad.
So don't worry. The first ad is great--for the right voter.
Here's teh thing.
September 12, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hello:
Like Mostman, I think that the press/media is realizing that these folk are lying. But I think perhaps that another realization is dawning:
That in Palin the fringe is now Center. It has moved from the shadows of AM LOCAL radio/Pentagon basement to ABC news interviews.
I think that realization may be what is disturbing. The race cannot be covered anymore as Republicans vs Democrats, but as fringe/far-right vs what is empirically, verifiably true.
To khodges:
That's a shift...media have to really actually determine what is fact. (no "lens" stuff here. the stakes are too high).
Therefore the old ways of covering news won't do: "on-the-one-hand vs on-the-other hand" won't do when one hand is just not true (i.e.,Iraq was involved in 9/11).
BTW: I LOVED the first ad. Made me laugh, and reminded me that the election is really about the past vs the future. AND..
I could see it galvanizing Obama demographics (under 45).
And reminded me that McCain said he didn't know anything about the economy.
To Khodges: I agree that a more substantial ad would have been to connect McCain's "backwardness" with the US losing its global edge. Maybe future ads (speeches?) might make that connection explicit (again). I say "again" because sometimes we (I'm guilty of it too)who want Obama to win often forget that what "he should do" has already been done.
September 12, 2008 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, kind sir, for this excellent analysis. I too liked the first ad. I think Barack has to take the high road, because they are just waiting for a chance to call him an angry black man. We can't go there!
September 12, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sad that Obama has to walk on eggshells to not appear the Angry Black Man but McCain's team say whatever they want, true or not.
September 12, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
So what is the McSame camp going to do now? Put out an ad that says she's NOT good looking, she doesn't do what she is told, and in the face of insurmountable evidence she always tells the truth?
Obama was right, this stuff is silly.
It's just a damned shame that there seems to be such an appetite for this crap.
I was a little shocked with the amount of people here that actually watch Morning Joe. Talk about silly. Why would anyone want to start their day off listening to that jackass?
September 12, 2008 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
I hate to resurrect an old expression, but is the MSM treatment of Palin's really pathetic performance in the first interview with Charles Gibson another example of the "soft bigotry of low expectations?" I hope that history (Bush) is not repeating itself.....
September 12, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ads, interviews and debates always the demonstrate the truth of the theory of selective perception and retention. Only truly undecided voters know how effective any of the ads from either side are. For us, it's impossible for us to view them objectively. The polling tells the tale.
September 12, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, the polling tells the tale as dictated by the person who commissioned the poll and selected the questions. Polling is a propaganda technique and nothing more.
Polls tell us only what happened in the last two elections, because those are the only "likely voters" they call. Oh, and only the voters who voted in the last two presidential elections with a land line.
That is not a representative slice of the American electorate this year.
September 12, 2008 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lame. Obama's team just can't come up with creative ads no matter how much you pay them or how hard it tries. These ads need to be mean. They need to be snide. They don't need positive music playing in the background while you're making fun of your opponent. That produces a real problems with the way we process information.
September 12, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is also a new ad about McCain's lobbyist out this morning that I saw in Virginia.
September 12, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Krugman's got a great column out this morning:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/12/opinion/12krugman.html?ref=opinion
September 12, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
what a joke these McCain ads are becoming.
The "...lying..." on-screen quote was the hilarious. Of course, I'm sure they were careful as ever to put that quote in its proper context, interpreting the full statement fairly.
I imagine the next McCain ad will pull something along these lines, lifted from a 40 minute speech on the Iraq war --
NARRATOR: and Senator Barack Obama, our universe's biggest celebrity talks about
ON-SCREEN: "...I want to...kill American soldiers...that's what this campaign is all about..."
NARRATOR: Can we trust a celebrity that talks about killing American soldiers? How Disrespectful.
September 12, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Damn, the first ad (the attack ad) was really lame. I isn't funny, just lame.
The second ad (the positive ad) was fine.
The Obama campaign needs to let the 527s do the attack ads. Get MoveOn to do them.
The reason why the McCain ads are so effective is because the people who make them have no conscious whatsoever. They lie because they think people don't care. They will stick with the lies, even when the print media (Paul Krugman, Joe Klein) call them out on it.
One of the attractive traits about Obama is that you can tell he really hates this type of politics. I just hope this isn't a case of "nice guys finishing last."
September 12, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. I bet the McCain people are just trembling watching those new Obama ads!
September 12, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is there any information on where the ads are running?
September 12, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first ad is good. McCain is out of touch. He can't use a computer. He's old. He's inept. I want to see more attack ads against McCain. Bring back Keating Five. Maybe some scare ads. A vote for McCain is a vote for war with Russia or Iran.
September 12, 2008 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to see at least half of Obama's ads feature him talking straight to the camera.
September 12, 2008 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
As I expected in the wake of 9/11 commemoration, McCain had a huge 3-point jump overnight in Rasmussen's 3-day tracking poll to his biggest lead of the general election season in the Rasmussen tracker.
The convention bounce is over but McCain will be hitting a new high in the RCP average this weekend.
I think the first Obama ad is a decent attack ad but only because of McCain's appearance in 1982, not the substance. He looked older in 1982 than he does today.
September 12, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
factcheck.org has completely dimissed McPOW's new "disrespectful" ad as more dishonesty from the most dishonest and dishonorable campaign in modern political history.
Next we'll see if the MSM keeps playing lap dog to this baloney or calls them out on it like they did with the sex-ed web ad.
Based on MSNBC this AM, I doubt it. As always, they LOOOOOOOOOVED the GOP's ad.
September 12, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain's ad reminds me of Bush's in 2004 for he said at the end "I know exactly where I want to lead this country."
But he never told us where. McCain's ad says that Palin proves the those calling her a liar wrong every day. Yeah, how? In what way?
If Kerry had any stones he would have taken that add and finish it for him: "right down the toilet" or "a banana republic". Democrats are pussy willows. Really, FDR and Truman are rolling in their graves.
September 12, 2008 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
That Second Ad is great! I would like to see almost all of Obama's ads just like that one. No bs about age, etc., of the other candidate.
Just Obama talking straight at you about the REAL change.
Go Obama.
September 12, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
For what it's worth, I'm a Dem committee person in a small Philly 'burb town, responsible for getting my 850 voters to the polls, and convincing them that Obama is the best choice this year.
I've found that KISS works best. I point out (using a graph) where the tax cuts really go. I point out that Palin kept the bridge money for her own pet projects.
And the best argument that gains traction with so many is that the "prolife" people held the White House, both houses of congress and a 5-4 majority Supreme Court during a time when they could have overturned Roe v. Wade, but did not because they need to keep that wedge issue in place to stir up the base. Add in some quotes from David Kuo about the lack of promised funding for the Office of Faith Based Initiatives, and some very GOP eyes open for the first time.
One person at a time...
PEACE
September 12, 2008 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is only a matter of time (perhaps as little as four years at this rate) before the Republicans nominate a chimpanzee as their candidate and run on the platform that the democrat's criticism of the chimpanzee's obvious lack of intelligence (or rudimentary communication skills) shows what an out-of-touch elitist s/he is.
Godfrey Daniels, can this election get any more inane? Please, America, do not prove your critics wrong by voting for these nutcases and vindicating this sort of blithering nonsense.
September 12, 2008 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
So, it looks like Obama is going to dump at least 3 ads out there today, 2 negative, 1 positive. He's also going to feed the press a couple of biting quotes. If he does this every day until the election, he floods the field. He steals the initiative and blocks them out from regaining it. And, it puts Palin and McCain on the defensive every day for the forseeable future.
September 12, 2008 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's got to be careful that his quotable quips, and McCain's overblown reaction to them, do not dominate the news instead of the underlying point.
September 12, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Uh, McCain Camp? Maybe not the best time to be closing with a shot that so prominently features the teleprompters...
September 12, 2008 10:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am frightened.
September 12, 2008 10:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, your post incorrectly says McCain entered the Senate in 1982. He entered the House via the 1982 election, and only entered the Senate (to replace the retiring Barry Goldwater) in January 1987 after winning the 1986 election. Obama's ad is essentially correct, saying McCain came to Washington, not to the Senate, in 1982 (more precisely, he was elected to the House in 1982).
September 12, 2008 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
The chutzpah of the McCain campaign in calling Barack Obama disrespectful causes me extreme cognitive dissonance when juxtaposed against the contempt with which Palin treated Barack Obama during her convention acceptance speech.
In addition, saying Barack Obama is "disrespectful" is just another way of saying he is "uppity." The message is not even coded, it is right up front.
I find this even more disgraceful than the sex education ad.
September 12, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain's ad will be effective in the South and Rust Belt - the Rethugs, of course, have nothing to run on except BLACK GUY BEATS UP GOOD CHRISTIAN WHITE WOMAN! Check out the new "wolves" ad - the pic of Palin at the beginning, hands open and looking skyward? The Christian implication, remarkably unremarked upon, is unmistakable.
Any way they can get the BLACK GUY BEATS UP GOOD CHRISTIAN WHITE WOMAN! message out, sadly, is a winning move for them in many states.
September 12, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would like to see an ad with McCain singing "bomb, bomb, Iran". Then a cutaway to young people signing up for the draft. That would scare the shit out of many so-called moderates who believe that "war" only relates to other people's kids.
September 12, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find the third ad quite effective. On the upside, it just screams for another Bridge-to-Nowhere ad. After all, the media gave Obama plenty of ammunition in the past few days.
I'd love something along these lines :
Extra points if they manage to slip in a reference to the Straight Talk Express.
September 12, 2008 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm debating why so many of you don't like the first ad, but do like the second, whereas the first talks to me and I find the second "nothing new, but OK."
I remember 1982-our family looked like the one at the end of that ad. I remember that silly phone and the old Comodore computers. Times have changed a lot, but so has our family. My infant grandson sports an Obama onesie and our child who was in the first grade in 1982 now represents you and me on behalf of our government in a country that was closed to us in 1982. I participate on this blog. McCain is unclear on the concept of blogs. So's my 90 year old mom. I love her dearly, but I wouldn't put the country in her hands.
Maybe the ad appeals to the nostalgia, but we've moved on portion of the electorate - and many of them are evidently still sitting on the fence. Maybe it will talk to them too and give them a reason to tip over to the side of all that is good and right.
September 12, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that first Obama ad is an embarrassment, I'm sorry. Pathetic. If that's as "aggressive" as he gets, I'm going into the bomb shelter business, because we'll be needing them. The second one is OK.
Find the things that makes the Rethugs squeal, then squeeze it, squeeze it, squeeze it. "Liars." "Dishonorable." "Unfit to lead." Use the accumulating press quotes about how sleazy their campaign is, then say, "how a man campaigns tells you how he'll lead. Do we want four more years of scandals and other bullshit?" And, of course, lipstick, lipstick, lipstick on a pig, pig, PIG.
On the positive front, how about using some of his convention speech in an ad? Remind people of the passion and the crowds? Seems like it could be good.
September 12, 2008 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that first Obama ad is an embarrassment, I'm sorry. Pathetic. If that's as "aggressive" as he gets, I'm going into the bomb shelter business, because we'll be needing them. The second one is OK.
Find the things that makes the Rethugs squeal, then squeeze it, squeeze it, squeeze it. "Liars." "Dishonorable." "Unfit to lead." Use the accumulating press quotes about how sleazy their campaign is, then say, "how a man campaigns tells you how he'll lead. Do we want four more years of scandals and other bullshit?" And, of course, lipstick, lipstick, lipstick on a pig, pig, PIG.
On the positive front, how about using some of his convention speech in an ad? Remind people of the passion and the crowds? Seems like it could be good.
September 12, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I actually kind of like the first ad. I just wish it were a little more aggressive and explicitly made the points, "How can McCain understand our economy when he's never used a computer? How can he understand the world when he's stuck in the past?" ...And maybe even include his line about his musical taste being frozen when his helicopter was hit by a rocket.
If the Obama campaign were willing to stoop to their level of derision, they would make explicit what we all know: that John McCain's foreign policy can be distilled to a desire to refight the Vietnam war over and over until we finally win. Looks like Iraq's not going to give him that satisfaction...maybe Iran?
September 12, 2008 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that first Obama ad is an embarrassment, I'm sorry. Pathetic. If that's as "aggressive" as he gets, I'm going into the bomb shelter business, because we'll be needing them. The second one is OK.
Find the things that makes the Rethugs squeal, then squeeze it, squeeze it, squeeze it. "Liars." "Dishonorable." "Unfit to lead." Use the accumulating press quotes about how sleazy their campaign is, then say, "how a man campaigns tells you how he'll lead. Do we want four more years of scandals and other bullshit?" And, of course, lipstick, lipstick, lipstick on a pig, pig, PIG.
On the positive front, how about using some of his convention speech in an ad? Remind people of the passion and the crowds? Seems like it could be good.
September 12, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that first Obama ad is an embarrassment, I'm sorry. Pathetic. If that's as "aggressive" as he gets, I'm going into the bomb shelter business, because we'll be needing them. The second one is OK.
Find the things that makes the Rethugs squeal, then squeeze it, squeeze it, squeeze it. "Liars." "Dishonorable." "Unfit to lead." Use the accumulating press quotes about how sleazy their campaign is, then say, "how a man campaigns tells you how he'll lead. Do we want four more years of scandals and other bullshit?" And, of course, lipstick, lipstick, lipstick on a pig, pig, PIG.
On the positive front, how about using some of his convention speech in an ad? Remind people of the passion and the crowds? Seems like it could be good.
September 12, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ad 1. Not so great. I understand what they're after in the ad, but the message is that McCain is out of touch because he's old, not because he's indifferent. I could see some older people resenting the implication. The ad might cause Obama to gain points with younger people, and lose point with older people.
Ad 2. That's more like it. Obama comes off as genuine, sincere, confident, reassuring. You'd love to have him over to dinner with your family. "Fear of a Black Planet" is not a joke with the white middle class in Eastern and Midwestern swing states. Obama comes off as a really nice guy, who, by the way, is black.
Ad 3. I really hate this kind of ad because I know so many people that it will appeal to. It's a 30 second barrage of subliminal messages that effectively builds on the Obama-as-vain-shallow-celebrity meme that trivializes Obama's responses to Palin as being motivated by jealousy (that's how vain people are).
Then there's Leering Obama, which might as well show him whistling at Sarah Palin and saying "hey good lookin', what's cookin'".
Then there's there's Uppity Obama, disprespecting a white lady, which might as well show him telling her to sit down, shut-up, and do as she's told.
Then there's Doubtful Obama, with nothing but the word "lying" next to his face. Hmmm. I don't know about that guy...
How dare this shallow, leering, patronizing, uppity liar (did I mention he was black?) attack noble, virtuous "Governor Sarah Palin". At the end of the ad we see Gentleman John McCain ready to stand up and defend Sarah Palin, just as he'll defend (white)America (just look at the crowd) against the Barack Obama's of the world (he's not like us you know).
McCain is doing this in increments, with the goal being that by the end of October, he'll want older white people to see Barack Obama and think Willie Horton.
September 12, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm cool with Obama running low-key ads now that he's given 527s the go-ahead.
The new spots from Planned Parenthood and Defenders of Wildlife are just brutal.
September 12, 2008 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ad 1. Not so great. I understand what they're after in the ad, but the message is that McCain is out of touch because he's old, not because he's indifferent. I could see some older people resenting the implication. The ad might cause Obama to gain points with younger people, and lose point with older people.
Ad 2. That's more like it. Obama comes off as genuine, sincere, confident, reassuring. You'd love to have him over to dinner with your family. "Fear of a Black Planet" is not a joke with the white middle class in Eastern and Midwestern swing states. Obama comes off as a really nice guy, who, by the way, is black.
Ad 3. I really hate this kind of ad because I know so many people that it will appeal to. It's a 30 second barrage of subliminal messages that effectively builds on the Obama-as-vain-shallow-celebrity meme that trivializes Obama's responses to Palin as being motivated by jealousy (that's how vain people are).
Then there's Leering Obama, which might as well show him whistling at Sarah Palin and saying "hey good lookin', what's cookin'".
Then there's there's Uppity Obama, disprespecting a white lady, which might as well show him telling her to sit down, shut-up, and do as she's told.
Then there's Doubtful Obama, with nothing but the word "lying" next to his face. Hmmm. I don't know about that guy...
How dare this shallow, leering, patronizing, uppity liar (did I mention he was black?) attack noble, virtuous "Governor Sarah Palin". At the end of the ad we see Gentleman John McCain ready to stand up and defend Sarah Palin, just as he'll defend (white)America (just look at the crowd) against the Barack Obama's of the world (he's not like us you know).
McCain is doing this in increments, with the goal being that by the end of October, he'll want older white people to see Barack Obama and think Willie Horton.
September 12, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama needs an ad solely dedicated to McCain saying he knows nothing about the economy and the fact McCain wants us to be Iraq for the next 100 years
And another ad calling out Palin's total incompetence and lies she is telling. Itโs a story created in minds of the folks who brought you the 8 last years
September 12, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama needs an ad solely dedicated to McCain saying he knows nothing about the economy and the fact McCain wants us to be Iraq for the next 100 years
And another ad calling out Palin's total incompetence and lies she is telling. Itโs a story created in minds of the folks who brought you the 8 last years
September 12, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sadly McWar is winning on the ad again. I am disappointed. I was expecting that the Obama campaign was going to be tough...
What is happening?
September 12, 2008 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure what the problem with the first ad is. It's OK, maybe even better than OK. I do think that someone needs to go after Palin though.
McCain's hitched his wagon to that house of cards, let's blow it down.
September 12, 2008 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure what the problem with the first ad is. It's OK, maybe even better than OK. I do think that someone needs to go after Palin though.
McCain's hitched his wagon to that house of cards, let's blow it down.
September 12, 2008 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama needs an ad solely dedicated to McCain saying he knows nothing about the economy and the fact McCain wants us to be Iraq for the next 100 years
And another ad calling out Palin's total incompetence and lies she is telling. Itโs a story created in minds of the folks who brought you the 8 last years
September 12, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
That last ad by McCain is absolutely shameful. Check out factcheck.org's breakdown of it Here.
Everything about it is a complete fabrication. Why is he approving these ads? John McCain should be confronted about it.
September 12, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
No single ad will work for everyone. My 90 year old mom does send email, uses the internet for a variety of things, and now reads a blog or two. I live in Colorado, and think about my (few) Republican acquaintances. I think the issues for them have to do with fiscal concerns and liberty, more than support for the war and social dictates. They are part of the Bush disapproval majority that adored Ronald Reagan and now feel let down, and will hitch their vote to whomever might resurrect that, even if they lie during the campaign. I'd like to see Obama's campaign separate the average Reaganite from the fundamentalists, and ask them for their consideration. The ones I know are generally well-meaning and thoughtful. It's tough however to pull the lever for the party you did not grow up with. It's time for "we knew Ronald Reagan, and Senator McCain - you're no Ronald Reagan."
September 12, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
The McCain ad is the kind of thing that makes me nervous about Obama's pledge to hit the Republicans harder, because I think there's just no way we can outslime the other side. It's a great bit of campaign sleaze that doesn't just hit the "uppity Negro" note (are you just gonna stand there while he insults yer wimmin?) but also gets in the same "rude Yankee" charge that was used against John Kerry (Southern voters apparently being ready to turn on a dime from smiling conviviality to offended outrage).
September 12, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
The McCain ad is the kind of thing that makes me nervous about Obama's pledge to hit the Republicans harder, because I think there's just no way we can outslime the other side. It's a great bit of campaign sleaze that doesn't just hit the "uppity Negro" note (are you just gonna stand there while he insults yer wimmin?) but also gets in the same "rude Yankee" charge that was used against John Kerry (Southern voters apparently being ready to turn on a dime from smiling conviviality to offended outrage).
September 12, 2008 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
First wasn't as bad as it sounded in descriptions but the second is fantastic and even inspiring. He should do more like that, and do one speaking to the camera expressig sadness, remorse, whatever, over McCain's crazy talk and dirty tactics. Translation: young, in control, in charge candidate saddened by old fart's descent into madness and lashing out. Use the most unflatering picture of McCain possible - you know, any picture of him will do - and the visual contrasts will say a thousand words, while the actual words will be above reproach.
September 12, 2008 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first ad may be more effective than some here think - it pushes the idea that McCain is old and out of touch without being mean about it. Many seniors are not as computer illiterate as McC and those that are probably don't think that it's a good thing. How can he be expected to lead the country into the 21st Century when
he hasn't even caught up with the innovations of the 20th.
I actually find the second ad less effective - it's the kind of thing no one will remeber having seen at the end of the day.
As to McCain's ad - I see it geared towards weak or potential supporters who may be having second thoughts about Palin - much like their attack on the media - instead of challenging the substance of her negative press, they just complain about condescension and disrespect. Ultimately it is a defensive ad.
September 12, 2008 12:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the first Obama ad was fine. It basically pointed out both that McCain has been in Congress forever and that he's out of touch. Plus the images of disco balls and other uncool stuff is contemptuous, unlike the McCain ad which is sneeringly mean.
As any marriage counselor will tell you, contempt is the opposite of love - not hatred.
September 12, 2008 12:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "no change" ad is awful for a number of reasons. First, it ignores the fact that many people find sending email--or using a computer, in general--difficult. So, in a way, it belittles them. Second, by claiming McCain has not changed in 26 years in the Senate, it reinforces McCain's underlying message of him being a "maverick"--if he was a maverick back then, and he has not changed, there is no reason to doubt him now. Third, there has been an obvious decline in McCain's ability to be honest over the past eight years--if he has not changed, we are being asked to ignore this important fact. McCain's response should be, "Yeah, it's he same John McCain you've known for 26 years!"
McCain's ad echoes the fact that printed publications have not been accusing Palin of lying even if they might mention the fact that she's been twisting the truth. Technically, in political circles, a direct accusation of lying has been seen as disrespectful, especially at the national level. Republicans have recognized this for a long time and realized that it gave them a free hand to just make stuff up--if they can't be called liars directly, some of the lies are bound to stick. And if someone breaks the taboo and challenges them on this, they accuse him of breaking the decorum. How much better if they can stick that to an "uppity celebrity".
Dem groups should come out with an ad "What has John McCain learned in the last 8 years?". Forget the email. Nail him on the fact that the only lessons he's carried from the 2000 campaign are 1) that it's better to play dirty and 2) it easier to sell a dumb-ass W than an idea. So, instead of bucking the system that floated a deeply flawed administration at his expense, he decided to be more like them. The Palin selection seals the deal.
September 12, 2008 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
The email part is important. In all the years that he's been sitting in Washington, a US Senator has never learned how to email someone. That's almost as bad as Senator Tubes (and don't think that we've heard his name for the last time this cycle).
I see this point being driven home in places like the Triangle in North Carolina and in some of the younger and upwardly mobile tech-savvy areas of Virginia, Florida and maybe Pennsylvania, and in college towns across America.
Just remember, there's a thin line between being a "maverick" and a "dinosaur". This ad is targeting those who recognize that line.
September 12, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't shoot the messenger.
Rove's mentor, Leo Strauss, advocated that its OK for leaders to lie to people because only the leaders know what's really going on, so they need to do everything they can to get the people to support what the leader believes needs to be done.
So their lying is by design. They don't see it as bad. Winning is everything, no matter which way they win. The ends justify the means. And they've become really good at it. It doesn't matter that they are destroying the country, because they don't see it that way. They are getting the country they want and the power they want.
We can't win against them by taking the high road and poo-pooing their lies. We are the ones who lose against this every time. Until we decide that WINNING is what's important, and begin doing everything we can to WIN, we'll continue to lose.
That's the reality. Its terrible, but its true. What are you going to do about it?
September 12, 2008 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
In response to my own kibitzing here about Obama should say in his ads, I've set up a thread in the cafe for TPM-ers to post their own anti-McCain 527 commercial scripts (or videos) here:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/the-talkingpointsmemo-527-1.php
After all, Obama reads TPM (according to google). Instead of complaining about the ads he has already run, we should be giving him (and others) help creating the ads he should run. This is the DIY/change-from-the-bottom-up campaign isn't it?
September 12, 2008 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
My ad:
Open on an idyllic, suburban neighborhood.
ANNCR: John McCain and Sarah Palin will make sure you never have to worry about jobs, or healthcare, or education, or mortgages again. Ever.
CUT TO: Mushroom cloud
Then go to a black screen for several seconds, silent except for the faint sound of wind.
September 12, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you guys insane!!
I've spoken to several of the newly converted; McCain's ad is very effective.
September 12, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
One of the depressing things about this McCain campaign is that the voiceover is provided by Patricia Clarkson, up till now one of the classiest and most intelligent actors in American theater, film and TV. Guess that drive for a paycheck just never abates.
September 12, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about a series of ads called "Lies, lies, lies, we're so sick of lies--here's the truth." Then pick any issue and do a quick take on it. This does NOT include repeating the lies.
September 12, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
"In the 2000 republican presidential primary, Karl Rove helped George Bush win by smearing John McCain with vile personal attacks targeting him and his family. Accusations of treason while a POW, Accusations of fathering a black child. Accusations of John McCain's volatile temper and mental instability. Accusations of Cindy McCain's drug dependency.
"Did "the maverick" fight back and defend his honor and the honor of his family?"
"No, he embraced George Bush and the Bush/Cheney policies.
"And in 2008 he hired Karl Rove to smear Barack Obama.
"John McCain. Willing to say and do anything for John McCain."
September 12, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that the first ad is sub-par. This "More of the Same" mantra is getting tired in my opinion. It just doesn't have bite. As someone else commented, Obama should be saying that McCain won't be more of the same -- he'll be WORSE.
"Eight years ago, we couldn't have imagined how bad George Bush's leadership would be. On the war -- on disaster relief -- on housing, on the economy. And now, it's frightening to imagine that the next four years could be worse.
But John McCain wants MORE wars, MORE deficits, and MORE tax cuts for corporations while Americans lose jobs overseas. Think no one could be worse that Bush? Don't bet on it."
I'm not as doom and gloom about all this as I might be, though. I think the economy has more force in people's decision-making process than any ad will, and the economy says people will want a change.
September 12, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't like the first Obama ad mocking McCain for not being able to use a computer or send email-- it's pretty bad that he can't, but there are a lot of undecided voters who also don't use computers much, and they'll probably take offense at the "elitist" nature of the computer thing. There's so much out there to go after McCain about, there's no point in bothering with the computer thing. I'd rather see them hammer him for flat-out lying to the American public again and again and for just playing political games instead of talking about the issues. Undecided voters always claim that they are sick of that sort of thing, even though they always fall for it.
I'd like to see an Obama ad that flat-out says: "Senator McCain, when will your campaign stop playing the victim... stop playing games... and stop lying? Our future is at stake. Isn't it time for John McCain to finally grow up?"
The second Obama ad is very good. The McCain one is a total joke that will hopefully backfire. It's crazy how they act like poor victims and attack wildly all at the same time. Logic has nothing to do with people's perceptions, unfortunately.
September 12, 2008 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think ad #1 will backfire as the truth starts to come out. The link is to a Forbes article discussing the use of the Internet in the 2000 primaries. This quote should cause the Obama campaign to open up its mouth and insert foot. Nice going jackarses.
http://www.forbes.com/asap/2000/0529/053_print.html
"In certain ways, McCain was a natural Web candidate. Chairman of the Senate Telecommunications Subcommittee and regarded as the U.S. Senate's savviest technologist, McCain is an inveterate devotee of email. His nightly ritual is to read his email together with his wife, Cindy. The injuries he incurred as a Vietnam POW make it painful for McCain to type. Instead, he dictates responses that his wife types on a laptop. "She's a whiz on the keyboard, and I'm so laborious," McCain admits."
Not only does he know how to use a computer and the impact of the information revolution on our economy, he wants to create jobs based on that revolution. Obama wants to bring back low-skill manufacturing jobs (which by the way have been coming back because of the low dollar anyway).
September 13, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think ad #1 will backfire as the truth starts to come out. The link is to a Forbes article discussing the use of the Internet in the 2000 primaries. This quote should cause the Obama campaign to open up its mouth and insert foot. Nice going jackarses.
http://www.forbes.com/asap/2000/0529/053_print.html
"In certain ways, McCain was a natural Web candidate. Chairman of the Senate Telecommunications Subcommittee and regarded as the U.S. Senate's savviest technologist, McCain is an inveterate devotee of email. His nightly ritual is to read his email together with his wife, Cindy. The injuries he incurred as a Vietnam POW make it painful for McCain to type. Instead, he dictates responses that his wife types on a laptop. "She's a whiz on the keyboard, and I'm so laborious," McCain admits."
Not only does he know how to use a computer and the impact of the information revolution on our economy, he wants to create jobs based on that revolution. Obama wants to bring back low-skill manufacturing jobs (which by the way have been coming back because of the low dollar anyway).
September 13, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think ad #1 will backfire as the truth starts to come out. The link is to a Forbes article discussing the use of the Internet in the 2000 primaries. This quote should cause the Obama campaign to open up its mouth and insert foot. Nice going jackarses.
http://www.forbes.com/asap/2000/0529/053_print.html
"In certain ways, McCain was a natural Web candidate. Chairman of the Senate Telecommunications Subcommittee and regarded as the U.S. Senate's savviest technologist, McCain is an inveterate devotee of email. His nightly ritual is to read his email together with his wife, Cindy. The injuries he incurred as a Vietnam POW make it painful for McCain to type. Instead, he dictates responses that his wife types on a laptop. "She's a whiz on the keyboard, and I'm so laborious," McCain admits."
Not only does he know how to use a computer and the impact of the information revolution on our economy, he wants to create jobs based on that revolution. Obama wants to bring back low-skill manufacturing jobs (which by the way have been coming back because of the low dollar anyway).
September 13, 2008 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think ad #1 will backfire as the truth starts to come out. The link is to a Forbes article discussing the use of the Internet in the 2000 primaries. This quote should cause the Obama campaign to open up its mouth and insert foot. Nice going jackarses.
http://www.forbes.com/asap/2000/0529/053_print.html
"In certain ways, McCain was a natural Web candidate. Chairman of the Senate Telecommunications Subcommittee and regarded as the U.S. Senate's savviest technologist, McCain is an inveterate devotee of email. His nightly ritual is to read his email together with his wife, Cindy. The injuries he incurred as a Vietnam POW make it painful for McCain to type. Instead, he dictates responses that his wife types on a laptop. "She's a whiz on the keyboard, and I'm so laborious," McCain admits."
Not only does he know how to use a computer and the impact of the information revolution on our economy, he wants to create jobs based on that revolution. Obama wants to bring back low-skill manufacturing jobs (which by the way have been coming back because of the low dollar anyway).
September 13, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem I see here is that each of the two Obama ads above appeal to two different groups: the second ad appeals to nice polite Dems and left-leaners; the first ad is more likely to catch the eye of indies, Reagan Dems, and Faux news types. Now if Obama's ad people could just catch some footage of McCain's iguana neck showing as his black forked tongue flicks in and out....
September 23, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink