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Another Poll Gives Obama The National Lead

In yet another indication that John McCain's national bounce is over, a new Quinnipiac national poll gives Barack Obama a 49%-45% lead among likely voters, with a ±3.1% margin of error.

This number isn't drastically different from Quinnipiac's last poll from a month ago, when Obama led 47%-42%, suggesting that any bounce McCain may have enjoyed in the interim was gone by the time Quinnipiac began polling again.

The big question here is the economy, with 47% of voters naming it as their biggest issues, and an astonishing 85% saying the state of the economy right now is bad. Also, 51% say McCain's tax plan favors the rich, while 55% say Obama's plan favors the poor and middle class.


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Great. If he keeps hammering the economy while the voters are tuned in, I think there will be some a long lasting impression in voter minds that Obama can ride to a win in November. Waiting for the electoral projections to catch up in the next 4-10 days.

Seems like Obama's message is getting through. Nice posititive reinforcement for their stump speeches and ads.

It's amazing that there are still 30% of the population that approves of Bush's performance as President.

Boggles the mind. 3 out of 10. 3! The number is less dramatic for campaigning politicians though. Can't think of anyone that will admit they approve of him.

One person in five believes the sun revolves around the Earth. Where Bush picks up the other ten percent is unclear to me.

That's probably the Bush extended family, Halliburton, and oil execs.

we talk politics in football message boards which there are a lot of southern older white republicans. and they still support bush and think he is a great president. so there are people like that out there.

they are warped.. they defend Palin killing wolves in Alaska and see nothing wrong with it.

fortunately they are a SHRINKING MINORITY as they die off, and our side increases.

the long primary and the new voters has insured they continue to descend further into the minority

that's probably something like .5 out of 10 in parts of the country like the east and west coast and 7 out of 10 in places like Idaho, Texas and Wyoming.

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...and Georgia...Go Dawgs!

One of my co-workers is absolutely convinced Bush will go the way of Harry Truman and be revered once he's out of office.

Certainly that is the line that administration spokespersons take when asked. Lot of luck to him with that. To paraphrase the late Sen Lloyd Bentsen, "Mr President, I knew Harry Truman. Harry Truman was a friend of mine. Mr President, you're no Harry Truman."

(well, not really, but the father of a friend of mine worked with Harry Truman after he left office and returned to Missouri, so my friend's dad could say that...)

This and one of the previous polls that showed that most people thought McCain would continue Bush's agenda and they trust Obama more to change things show that Obama's message is getting across ... McCain is more Bush, tax cuts for the middle and lower class (McCain camp has been hitting it hard that Obama is going to raise taxes - and that is not getting through), and that Obama will bring more change.

Here's to hoping that the October surprise happened a few weeks early and that the race stays in this direction ... Okay, that's too much to ask for. We still have the debates to go.

okay we are back in front. now we have to stay that way.

nothing funny in the next 6 weeks and Obama will win the white house.

here, here!

(hear, hear, fyi)

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Maybe he was talking about drilling...

hehe

Anyone who thinks the economy is 'fundamentally sound' during a recession is not qualified to be President. Barack Obama understands people are suffering.

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Never mind that your comment is factually incorrect...Go O!

A Palin supporter calling someone else out for being "factually incorrect"? Thanks for the giggle...

Come on, Sergent First Class, you can do better than that. Semantics are the last defense of the uninformed or unprepared. The fact of the matter is that over the last 40 years, neoconservatives have presided over the biggest transfer of wealth in the history of our country.

That huge sucking sounds wasn't just our jobs going overseas. It was also the most trusted institutions and organizations run by the very rich and newly unregulated sucking the life's blood from this country. They turned middle class pensions and home equity and 401Ks into new vacation homes and yachts and $50,000 watches.

America's economy is in the shitter and the neoconservatives are mostly to blame since their corporate welfare is way more costly than helping out We The People. Social conservatives have enabled the unraveling of our social compact by voting for a marketing pitch instead of their actual performance in office.

The irony is painful.

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"It was also the most trusted institutions and organizations run by the very rich and newly unregulated sucking the life's blood from this country. They turned middle class pensions and home equity and 401Ks into new vacation homes and yachts and $50,000 watches."

You mean these "neocons?"

"The Clinton administration's White House Budget Director Franklin Raines ran Fannie and collected $50 million. Jamie Gorelick — Clinton Justice Department official — worked for Fannie and took home $26 million. Big Democrat Jim Johnson, recently on Obama's VP search committee, has hauled in millions from his Fannie Mae CEO job...Sen. Barack Obama: No. 2 on the Fannie/Freddie list of favored politicians after his short time in the Senate."

Clinton was the neolib side of the corporate-military social welfare state and Imperial Presidency that began under Nixon. Began under Ike, actually, but at least he had the decency to warn us on the way out the door.

Bush, et al. are the neoconservative side of that equation. Both parties have advanced an agenda that has wrecked our country over the last 40 years. I hold democrats no less accountable for our problems than the republican.

At least the democrats have seen the error of their ways. My party? Not so much, but some of us are waking up to a more classically conservative way of thinking.

Join the party.

Anyone who thinks the economy is 'fundamentally sound' during a recession is not qualified to be President. Barack Obama understands people are suffering.

mccain is back on the defensive. seltzer came out today with a poll from indiana which shows Obama leading. now i dont believe he will win Indiana, but atleast it puts McCain on the defensive and now he has to spend money there.

we all know if Obama merely ties or loses Indiana by a few points that it means he wins Ohio, Virginia.

i find it hard to imagine Obama doesn't manage to win just one of the big 3 OH, VA, FL.

I watched the video of David Plouffe talking about swing state investments a day or two ago. They are budgeting $39.3 million for the state of Florida alone. I don't think he gave an exact breakdown of how the money would be spent. I also don't know how much of it, if any, has already been spent. And as both sides claim, Florida is a very, very expensive state to work in, so the number by itself is larger, considering the size of the state and its media markets, than it might be for other states. But that's almost half of what McCain is getting from the federal government to spend on his campaign for the next two months. It's a very big number, and I doubt the campaign would be spending money like that if they felt they didn't gave a real shot at winning.

"The Real Scoop On Palin’s Staged Town Hall Meeting — Another Pretend Moment!

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/

So, what was the catch? Unlike most town-hall events, which are open to the public, include diverse crowds, and no one needs an advance invitation, this event was for ticket-holders only. And the only way to get a ticket was through the local Republican Party, after an advance RSVP. No wonder Palin was prepared to play “stump the candidate” — it was a very friendly crowd that had no interest in testing her.

It doesn’t exactly sound like a vote of confidence in the candidates’ ability to answer tough questions, does it?"

How long will the GOP continue to get away with lying, cheating and deceiving the American people?

Compare the money Barack has raised form lobbyists with that McCain has snagged.

John McCain $6,550 (Fannie Mae) $9,100 (Freddie Mac) $117,500 (Lehman Bros.) $36,875 (AIG) and $88,050 (Bear Stearns)

Barry Oilbama $137,950 (Fannie Mae) $68,750 (Freddie Mac) $370,524 (Lehman Bros.) $75,899 (AIG) and $570,614 (Bear Stearns)

Oilbama $1,223,737.00
McCain $ 258,075.00

I guess Oilbama, who voted for The Bush Cheney Energy Bill which gave away 8 Billion to Big Oil
is not only in the pocket of Big Oil but owes the American people another million he recieved from
Lobbyists.

so whats wrong with him taking money from employees of those companies?

he has outraised McCain in 45 of 50 US states.

so it is no surprise he outraised him among banks as well.

where were you in 2000 when Bush was outspending Gore 3 to 1?

I can pull numbers out of my ass too.

McCain: $1,239
Obama: $3,764

There you go. Maybe we could take you seriously if you linked those. Keep listening to Beck, Rush, Hannity and Oreilly. Think for yourself sometimes with real facts, it's a good feeling.

You know those numbers are based on EMPLOYEES right. Those numbers are not "The company gave the candidate money." Its EMPLOYEES. Either you know this and you like to lie. Or you _heard_ this somewhere and it sounds good - so, without thinking, you just repeat it.

I'll go with the latter. So ask yourself a hypothetical question genius -

Candidate A has 50 donors.
Candidate B has 5000 donors.

Sample "Large Company" X - one of the largest companies in the country. 10k+ employees. Wide diversity.

Which candidate, A or B, will receive more contributions from the employees of company X.

If you can figure this one out. We will move on to "Simple Logic 201" tomorrow.


Awesome. I didn't take algebra and I can get that one. Perhaps this will sink in. Pass it along to other dimwits.

DimBecile is beyond hope. He'll be back with essentially the same spew later today. Count on it.

I realize that the distinction might be rather too subtle for you, but while all lobbyists for companies are employees of those companies, not all employees of companies are lobbyists for them. Those figures were not the total amounts of money that Obama and McCain received from lobbyists for those companies but rather the totals they received from employees of those companies.

It should be noted how racist the black vote is turning out to be. Why is there no outcry from the media? If 95% of all white people voted for McCain it would be front page news and would be decried as Racism. That 95% of Blacks now say they are voting for Oilbama, who voted for the Bush Cheney Big Oil Energy Bill, strikes me as Racism personified.

I normally don't respond to you people, but I just have to say that is one of the most ignorant statements I have ever read on this site. You are certainly the standard bearer for your kind. Keep up the good work.

I actually think that we owe these guys (Bill C - Wallace) a hearty thanks and congratulations; after all they are like a blog equivalent of the "Why We Fight" Films of the WWII era - they help remind us all every day of the low-life kind of campaign they support and similarly the low-life people they choose to identify with and support (Hannity, Limbaugh, O'Reily et al)

I'd be willing to bet that they've actually generated donations to the Obama Campaign into the Thousands of Dollars by now...

So skip over their Avatars as you please or stop by for a good laugh at the local morons - but after all they are helpful reminders for us every day.

You are such a fool that I bet my 7 year old son (biracial which I guess makes him black) who is also my avatar can kick your wimpy butt all the way back to the hole in the ground you crawled out of.

Thank you for marginalizing yourself thusly.

Man, you truly are idiotic. Have you thought about the whole picture. 95% of black people vote democratic. Their candidate happens to be Black. Can you see the correlation, that's not racist because you say it is.

Now, what percentage of white people are voting for McCain. I would surmise that 90%+ of the voters for McCain/Republicans are white people. Where is the outcry there? That has to be racist doesn't it?

Or maybe it's not and people vote how they want. Get a life though. There are bigger battles to be fought.

Republican Senator, Chuck Hagel tells Omaha Herald that Palin/McCain are Insulting the American People.

Read the entire article at this link:

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/republican-senator-chuck-hagel.php


Be sure to recommend, so that other also get to see it, before it is buried under the usual blizzard of rubbish posts, that have nothing to do with this vital election contest.

I try to never give these polls to much weight, but damn I feel better when he's on top and moving in th right direction...

The campaign needs to continue to hit McCain in the mouth everyday until the election for us to win this thing.....

Obama campaign, "CAN YOU HEAR ME NOW?"

No more of these Ali rope-a-dope tactics; BUST THIS OLD MF IN THE MOUTH EVERYDAY!!!!!!!

Sorry not really an insightful comment just needed to get it out....

Can we see some more polls like the one out of Indiana, please? I know it's just one poll, but it shows Obama in the lead, even if it is inside the margin of error. That's fairly significant, if for no other reason than it has to make some people who were calling his plays for states like Indiana misguided. It's still far from certain that he'll win the state, but with the poll numbers looking close and his unprecedented and unmatched investment in the state, it's bound to be tight. At the very least, it seems we'll have built enough of an organization to make a run for it next time, regardless of what happens.

The same can be said about North Carolina, although I'd like to see at least one poll showing us in the lead there before I get more confident.

i'm glad to see those numbers about taxes, given mccain aggressive campaign to out and out lie about taxes, i'd expected them to be much worse.

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I wonder if the national media is going to pick up McCain's Spanish radio gaffe?

Compare the money Barack has raised form lobbyists with that McCain has snagged.
John McCain $6,550 (Fannie Mae) $9,100 (Freddie Mac) $117,500 (Lehman Bros.) $36,875 (AIG) and $88,050 (Bear Stearns)
Barry Oilbama $137,950 (Fannie Mae) $68,750 (Freddie Mac) $370,524 (Lehman Bros.) $75,899 (AIG) and $570,614 (Bear Stearns)
Oilbama $1,223,737.00
McCain $ 258,075.00

So why you ask does Barry Oilbama, a first term Senator, get more money from financial institutions who have helped produce the worse financial crisis in a century than the crusty old so-called Washington insider John McCain?
Because Barry played ball with these folks. If you start with his longtime fund raiser, Tony Rezko, you find a direct road to Nadhmi Auchi, a British-Iraqi billionaire who loaned Tony Rezko $3.5 million shortly before Rezko helped Oilbama buy a house he could not then afford. Oh yeah, almost forgot. Auchi is one of the largest shareholders in the bank that stands the most to lose from Lehman Brothers’ woes. Is it likely that one of the reasons Oilbama got so much dough in the first place from the Lehman folks was because of the Auchi ties?
When it comes to getting favorable loans that the average American cannot obtain, Barack hangs with the right folks. Franklin Raines and Jim Johnson both got sweetheart deals form Countrywide. So what? Well, both Raines and Johnson ran Fannie Mae and Raines paid almost $25 million dollars for his role in a Fannie Mae accounting scandal. As I noted in an earlier post, Oilbama initially named Johnson to head up his VP search team.
But wait, there is more. Penny Pritzker. In a nutshell, “one of the first subprime lenders to stick it to borrowers and have her bank seized is a woman named Penny Pritzker, who just happens to be Oilbama’s campaign Finance Chair (as confirmed on April 3, 2008) and a potential Secretary of the Treasury in an Obama administration.”
What does this say about Oilbama’s “judgment?” When it comes to losers and thieves he sure knows how to pick them. It is one thing to get yourself a sweetheart home loan with the help of a guy being investigated on federal corruption charges (and subsequently convicted). An isolated bad choice? Wait a minute. Then what about Raines, Johnson, and Pritzker?
Why is it that the major financial institutions in the toliet or heading there all wanted to give this first term kid a whole bunch of money? They were not tossing him dollars just because he cleans up well, looks good in a suit, flashes a nice smile, and speaks proper English. They wanted something.
I find it fascinating that John McCain has a clear record of opposing these financial special interests (he learned his lesson the hard way with the Keating five scandal) and it is Oilbama, who voted for the Bush Cheney Big Oil Energy Bill, who is up to his eyeballs in these sleazy money, who for now is being given a pass.
One final point. Take a look at this piece of investigative journalism documenting chapter and verse about Oilbama’s ties with the slumlords of Chicago. The meltdown on Wall Street started with these slumlords. It is all part of the same activity–an insiders club that pays those who go along while inflicting pain on the poor. That was Oilbama’s game, not McCain’s.

Ditto what I said above, moron.

I would add that 1.2m is 2% of last MONTH'S haul, hardly a big influence. But having 7 lobbyists managing your campaign and over 100 working on it, I'm sure they aren't just doing that out of the goodness of their hearts....

Ack!!!

Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them

Whiny little LOSER! Pbhffft!

I have spotted tin-foil-on-head-guy and it is DemBillC. Yes DBC, it IS one giant conspiracy.

Do you really want to have this battle and try to pull info out of nowhere? You make these claims with nothing backing it up. That may fly elsewhere, but if you are going to argue, back it up moron.

You are making issues where none exist. You are thinking there is a scandal where none exists. Get over it, move on, think what you want but make sure you are getting it from the source.

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I maintain national polls mean little. I love this news, don't get me wrong, but I think Obama's ground game is such that these polls are all wrong.

I may change my mind around Oct 15th, but until then it is important we keep working and contributing to Obama as best we can and ignore the temporary ups and downs of various polls.

Interestingly enough the most important poll around shows 100% of me thinks McCain is a punk ass chump sell out who is hiding behind Palin's bulletproof moose skin skirt. Now that is a poll we can all believe in!

Whats up with former Cokehead Oilbama, who voted for the Cheney Bush Energy Bill that contained 8 billion in a give away to Big Oil, dissing Linsey Lohan? Michael Lohan is biting back.
"For Barack Obama to condemn my daughter for past indiscretions when he admitted to the exact same himself is indicative of what kind of president he would be," Michael Lohan told Pop Tarts via e-mail on Wednesday night. "His visions of a positive future for this country should be representative of a positive future for people as well. It is looking beyond the difficult times and letting go of the past," Michael said. "Obviously, Obama can do this for himself and not others, when in fact a good president should have hope for all."

Oilbama should try and help every other Coke Adiict in the land.

Poor Rep BillC, he's in quite a panic today! And his feces are flying all across the TPM site as a result.

By all means Bill, continue these breathless gibberish postings and write more of them in ALL CAPS, that way we know how urgent it is for us to read them!

Yeah, boy that's some pursuasive shit there, dumbass. Notice how ad hominum attacks tend to make them reject your message out of hand, you shitkicking drooling imbecile?

That 527 Group(or whoever)that is paying you, sure is wasting its money.

The fact that you all are wasting bandwith responding to this shit proves that it's money well spent.

Maybe it is worth it-for the entertainment value.

Dem Bill C

First of all- Can you provide a link to your source for those figures on lobbyists contributions? If not STFU!

Secondly- As an African American I am voting for Barack because he earned my vote. I never voted for Jesse Jackson, Alan Keyes or Al Sharpton they were black too but their message and policies were wrong. So your question about the lack of media outcry over racism is just ridiculous....

Thirdly- Black people having been voting for White Democratic Presidential candidates in the high 80's low 90's for years this isnt a new trend, Barack is just getting a little more than Dems always get...

Lastly- I don't know what happened to the political I.Q. of trolls on the TPM site but you gotta come better than that weak shit you ignorant bastard, go back to Townhall and work on some game before you comeback....

Just in case you need more proof that Sarah Palin is an idiot, in her interview with Sean Hannity she repeated her past statement that ANWR is only the size of Los Angeles International Airport. In reality, ANWR is 20 million acres, while LAX is 3,500 acres.

I can't imagine that anyone who has ever seen LAX from the air would make such a ridiculous gaffe. Which leads me to wonder: It's bad enough that Sarah Palin hasn't traveled much overseas, but how much has she even traveled around the U.S.?

It's not a gaff, it's a lie.

A lie. Say it. Lie, lie lie. Not a gaff, which is a mistake. It is a lie, meant to deceive the uninformed.

It's a very calculated lie and a carefully crafted and artful abuse of the facts.

When you have oil equipment deployed, right, some of it but not all of it touches the ground. Picture a big oil rig on four small legs, surrounded by vehicles, workmen, semi-mobile trailers, and oil spilled everywhere ruining the groundwater, soil, and vegetation. The actual points where those metal legs are in contact with the ground, if you added together all those square inches across the 20 million acres, might add up to just 3,500 acres.

That's what these fraudsters mean. And they repeat it over and over again and they slap one another's backs for beings so clever and ahead of the game.

Who's Sarah Palin?

great news what was it that Bill Clinton campaign used to say every day to tell them where to go that day in the campaign

its the economy stupid

well same again because hate to say this but we all know there will be more bad news there soon the way the world economy is going

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