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Report: McCain To Announce VP Right After Dem Convention

In the latest veepstakes development, the Politico reports that John McCain is likely to announce his running-mate pick on August 29 -- the day immediately after Barack Obama officially accepts the Democratic nomination in Denver.

If this pans out, it could really cut one of two ways: McCain's pick could have to share media time with the post-game coverage of Obama's speech, and thus lose some of the bump that often comes with VP coverage. Or it could work to McCain's advantage and completely overshadow the post-Denver coverage, thus depriving Obama of his own post-convention bump.


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If McCain picks someone really intresting, it could get a lot of coverage. Jeb Bush (let's hope), Bobby Jindal, or Joe Lieberman would get a lot of press.

If it's Mitt Romney, or that guy from MN, less so.

He's picking that Orson Swindle guy.

Since he's trying to take the thunder out of Obama's sails, why not have Obama schedule his announcement for the day after McCain's? Two can play those stupid, demeaning of the process games.

Check out this article by Crowley that made it instantly clear what's up with McCain and his campaign.

http://www.tnr.com/story_print.html?id=bb70e50e-58fb-4893-ac00-62b92a515161

well I think Obama should fire his VP and pick a new one after the republican convention.
Seriously, I dont think it will be that big a deal.

http://sensico.wordpress.com

It's also McCain's birthday that day. No doubt he'll want the stadium to sing happy birthday to him. I don't know if putting focus on his age is a good idea.

Also I'm not sure if declaring a solid date is a good idea either because it gives no reason for the MSM to play guessing games for the time being and the Dems will get most of the coverage during their Convention.

But given that McCain wants to fill the 10,000 seat arena, I guess this was the only way he could go.

It's in Ohio but it doesn't mean it's Portman, because there is also plan to head to Pennsylvania shortly after with his VP, so basically it's just playing to the key swing state crowd.

And his people are busily working trying to fill all those 10,000 seats.

One won't be able to help but compare the Obama event to this one, and my guess is it will pale in comparison. None of the short list for McCain strike me as particularly dynamic speaker in and of themselves.

I can't imagine what McCain's campaign is thinking now: Where the hell we're going to find 10.000 people? Free beer? Free Gas? Wet T-Shirt Contest?

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Wet T-Shirt Contest?

Cindy?

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It's also McCain's birthday that day. . . .  I don't know if putting focus on his age is a good idea.

He turns 72.  That's really gross.  Well, at least half-gross :-)

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I think he's trying to cover up his bday with a "bigger" news story.

That's why we need to hit on whoever McCain's VP is, and hit McCain himself for being desperate.

McCain will try to control that whole week leading up to the RNC convention, though the convention and then the bump after the convention (which he is trying to block from the Dems Convention). Basically two weeks of solid Republican coverage 60 days out of the election...

I'm not convinced that either camp will get a sizeable bump from their conventions. Maybe 2 or 3%. And because McCain is going to be tied to the Republican brand, he might not get any bump at all.

And one reason I like Biden at this point is that he definitely knows how to grab air time, so coupled with Obama, the Repubs and McCain will have their hands full trying to suck up the air time.

Yep. One of the weakest nominees in the primaries, all he has to do is couple with Obama, grab some air time and open his big eloquent mouth.

Because someone is not a strong presidential candidate doesn't mean that they're a liability as a VP. Cheney comes to mind. Fired up the base, which based on what a lot of people around here are screaming for, the Obama campaign needs a little progressive fire and brimstone.

Progressive fire, for real? From Biden??

And I thought his firepower was in his ability to open his mouth and let out a giant, juicy, overpowering, nosebreaking gaffe, such as "Obama is so clean".

And Cheney ain't no religious rightwing fundamentalist. But they loved him. I don't think that Biden is a progressive, but he will go after McCain and company in a way that the progressives and hardcore liberals have been waiting for.

And the beauty of the VP is that they can throw out gaffes like the "clean" one, which you have to admit is about as mild as they come, without doing much damage. In fact, let McCain spend his time going after Biden on some kind of "clean" statement, while Obama talks economy and jobs.

They all get good bumps after their conventions. The question is how much and can they hold onto it? What could come into play is whether the opposing team can change expectations and set up a losing scenario if their opposite fails to achieve the bump they have convinced us he should get. In other words, if McCain surrogates spin that Obama should get a 9% point bump and he doesn't, then McCain will spin that he came out of the Democratic convention weakly.

What I'm uncomfortable with is the fact that the Rs are following the Ds. This gives them a chance to knock down Obama's bump and also keep their own because there's no convention following them. It's a little like a stock car drafting the leading car, then slingshotting by them at the last minute, leaving the leader no time to regain that lead.

Yeah I do have some fear that the press will be saying basically that since Obama only got a 5% bounce, he has somehow failed. Just like the spin that he not leading McCain in the polls by more than he should be right now.

But I also have a feeling that the Repub convention is going to fall flat this year. They're all running away from the president as fast as they can, but then have to somehow pretend that all is well in repub land. It's that kind of stuff that doesn't sit right with a lot of voters.

Stop worrying...we're creating a self fulfilling prophecy by giving them ammo to talk about the *problems*.

Look at the polls for all the states that matter for the last couple months and the national polls if you must. McCain has employed the Clinton sink and then some and neither candidate has moved up or down in any meaningful way. They've both jockeyed around in the same 4-5 point range with Obama still the higher of the two. It's the 10-15% that aren't reported in the polls...notice they all add up to 85-90% that we need to convince.

Knock on doors, make calls, don't stop now.

Not to mention that at least there's an interest on the Dem Convention (part on Hillary's role and part on Obama's speech). The GOP convention looks like David Bowie called "a saddening bore" (in fact many senators are not going and Bush & Cheney will talk).

On a more serious note, I think this could be tricky for Obama.

He has built up such frenzy with the never-ending VP guessing, he'll never be able to make everyone happy.

And if he picks someone perceived or pronounced another lightweight, three things will happen: some deflation at his base, a constasting VP pick by McCain and the Battle of Celebrities goes into Round Two.

All the hype around the VP is to get cell phone numbers and email addresses. But I do agree he's not going to please everybody no matter who he chooses.

Getting cell numbers now and texting people "GO VOTE RIGHT NOW" on that day in November is a great idea.

But I'd say let's keep the expectations as low as possible for the convention poll bump.

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Off topic and maybe this has been commented on earlier, but why am I still getting emails from the Clintons like the one I got today with Bill thoughtfully giving Obama 3rd billing:

"Enter before midnight tonight for a chance to see me, Hillary, and Barack Obama at the convention in Denver next week!"

Don't lie, bluebell.

"You'll get to see Hillary speak on Tuesday, and Barack Obama -- the next president of the United States -- on Thursday."

This is two lines above the quote you posted.

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Yeah, but my quote was in bold and yours wasn't.

You are such an idiot.

He calls Obama "the next president of the United States". And you are bitching about bold font?

Bump shmump.
The convention, veep, primary, whatever bump only matters if it lasts. Does anyone think that the Republican convention and McCains veep choice will over shadow Obama's choice and the Dem convention this year??
(the veep choice might but definitely not the convention)

What matters is how the conventions set the stage for the rest of the campaign and the quality of the veep pick.

The real reason he is announcing on Friday is because it is labor day weekend and people will still be talking about it Mon/Tues instead of Bush/Cheney's convention speech.

McCain isn't at all exciting. This transparent attempt to steal Obama's thunder is probably going to go over just as well as his cottage cheese and green jello salad speech when Obama declared victory in the primary.

But he is folksy and will no doubt beat the war drum, while trying to get sympathetic votes.

"Vote for this old war hero POW"

Also worth noting that it would be the 3rd anniversary of Katrina. We've all seen the picture of Bush and McCain with a birthday cake while New Orleans was under water.

Does McCain want to share coverage with Katrina:Three Years Later specials?

D'oh!

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I am still laughing that the night of McCain's acceptance speech is the opening night for NFL season.

Like who is going to watch his speech?

Really? That just made my night.

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Actually, the NFL moved up the start of the game to 7pm Eastern so that McCain will be able to wait until the conclusion of the game before going on. In fact that could work out well for him, since it could give him a good ratings lead-in. Especially in VA since it's a 'Skins game.


Somehow, I seriously doubt Eric Cantor or Rob Portman will cut into Obama's lead. I'm mean who? Exactly.

The Republican VP choices this year are especially dull. Unless McCain picks Fiorina or Palin.

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Please let it be fiorina, the woman who drove hp into the ground and off shored a ton of jobs. She spied on her board of directors and was almost charged with crimes. Please let it be fiorina.

I actually like palin, but I don't think that he will go there.

People in Ohio outside of Cincinnati say "who" to Portman.

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Palin is in the poo with some statehouse scandal in Alaska. I'm putting my money on Bobby "Anchor Baby" Jindal. He'll be performing an on-stage exorcism of Darth Cheney - can't wait to see the demons come flying out!

CParis ....


Great post... I burst out laughing ... Thanks I needed that !

August 29th was also the day that Hurricane Katrina hit in 2005, while John McCain and George W. Bush was laughing it up on the airport tarmac with a huge birthday cake in front of them.

An American city was lost on that day, and the Bush administration was slow in responding. So was John McCain. The only press release his Senate office released on that day was about how to make air travel more efficient.

http://mccain.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressOffice.PressReleases&ContentRecord_id=ff6cf905-aaea-46f7-a2f4-72f82dc96ccb&Region_id=&Issue_id=

And no speeches in that month of August as well:

http://mccain.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressOffice.Speeches&ContentRecordType_id=1eaaf04e-178c-488c-912e-38b50ac105b2&Region_id=&Issue_id=&MonthDisplay=8&YearDisplay=2005

And no articles about the victims of Hurricane Katrina in August or September either.

http://mccain.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressOffice.Speeches&ContentRecordType_id=1eaaf04e-178c-488c-912e-38b50ac105b2&Region_id=&Issue_id=&MonthDisplay=8&YearDisplay=2005

He finally comes out with an opinion editorial on September 16th, 22 days after Hurricane Katrina hit, about the need for first responders.

http://mccain.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressOffice.OpEds&ContentRecord_id=7c92e03f-cb1f-4739-b157-3b78762db7e9&Region_id=&Issue_id=

And there are no floor statements about the victims of Hurricane Katrina, except for one on September 13th, 19 days after Hurricane Katrina hit, about the need for first responders again.

http://mccain.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressOffice.FloorStatements&ContentRecord_id=1dda6819-6e75-4cb6-a363-a9d5c94540c4&Region_id=&Issue_id=

Senator Obama was there on September 5th, when Presidents Clinton and Bush announced their Hurricane Fund:

http://obama.senate.gov/news/050905-bush_clinton_an/

He went to visit the Katrina evacuees on September 5th at the Houston Astrodome:

http://obama.senate.gov/news/050905-obama_says_hurr/

He also spoke about the inequities suffered by the victims of Hurricane Katrina in a floor speech on September 8th:

http://obama.senate.gov/news/050908-katrinas_racial/

Obama also continued to address the need for addressing the urban poverty that stopped Katrina victims from evacuating:

http://obama.senate.gov/news/050912-judicious_obama/

On September 2nd, Obama held a press conference, asking his constituents to help out the victims of Hurricane Katrina:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050902-obama_to_hold_p/

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050905-obama_visits_hu/

He also created legislation to help keep families together in an event of national disaster:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050907-obama_introduce/

He introduced a bill to establish a national emergency volunteer corps to help the medical community in the wake of national disasters:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050908-obama_introduce_1/

He also demanded that society's most vulnerable, such as the disabled, children, and elderly, be taken care of in national disasters with proper emergency preparedness plans:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050912-obama_says_disa/

He also introduced Hurricane Katrina Oversight legislation with Senator Coburn:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050914-obama_coburn_to_1/

Senator Obama also responded to President Bush's speech in New Orleans:

http://obama.senate.gov/press/050915-obama_response/

It's clear that Senator Obama took action immediately after the disaster hit New Orleans and its residents in comparison to John McCain who ate cake on that day. Is McCain going to eat cake the next time a disaster hits on his birthday?

If they mush it up for him.

Excellent post. Hopefully, Obama will read this the next time when he checks out TPM.

Interesting to see this laid out like this. Thanks.

Nicely done, Flufferwink. You should blog this.

Great post, fluffer.

McCain starts leaking VP-announcement speculation every time he starts getting jealous of the rare moments of positive Obama press coverage. Remember he did the same thing during the first half of Obama's overseas trip.

This one will probably prove more or less true, since he has to pick a VP sometime. Will a crowd of 10,000 make him a celebrity?

The kicker is that he wants so badly to be a celebrity. He wants to be the adored, straight-talking maverick icon of American politics. His jealousy is definitely a liability between now and November.

My god, I hope they spend two weeks talking about McCain. He won't have a prayer.

I agree with earlier post-
McCain is going to announce VP in high profile event on his 72nd BIRTHDAY?

which will reinforce that 72 year old cancer survior McCain won't serve out his term.

what a horrible idea.

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So McInsane thinks he can pay 10,000 idiots to sit in a 'venue' to hear him say the name, "Mittens Romeny," then watch him play air guitar with the chimp-in-charge again.

It would appear so. Actually I think they're grasping for anything at this moment. They've made the election close but McCain can't get attract any new voters beyond 43 - 44%. So maybe they are going for the celebrity route.

With today's SurveyUSA poll showing Obama only 2 points ahead in Minnesota, confirming Quinnipiac's and Rasmussen's polls with Obama ahead 2 and 4 points, Pawlenty might swing the state.

And with Siena's poll today showing Obama collapsing even in NY (down to an 8 point lead in a state Kerry took by 18), Barack needs to start fighting back or he'll be finished off by mid-September like Dukakis was.

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While I don't like seeing a 2pt gap in MN - as I noted in the comments of another entry - Obama only had a 1pt lead in SUSA's last MN poll. Kerry only won the state by just 3% in 2004. Obama will win NY by 12-15 pts. Move along...nothing to see here.

UPDATE: McCain insists that he is not setting a timeline for August 29 to announce his VP, rather he is setting a time-horizon.

the freeper connection:

The blogosphere is also lighting up with questions about the story Mr. McCain told at the forum — and many times previously — about a moment when a guard in his prison camp in Hanoi etched a cross in the dirt in front of him on a Christmas day. Mr. McCain related the story movingly at the forum, almost choking up, and added a line that he had not used before publicly: "For a minute there, there was just two Christians, worshiping together.

But some in the blogosphere are noting that this scene is strikingly similar to one painted by Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, writing about his days in the gulag, and are questioning whether it actually happened to Mr. McCain. Mark Nicholas, a Democrat from Montana, has this. And over at the liberal DailyKos, they are noting that conservatives at Free Republic first raised doubts about the story in 2005.

NY Times, The Caucus

Eric,

Your headline is wrong. The McCain campaign has not confirmed their actually plans and said it could change.

New head:

Can't believe everything you read on Politico.

It doesn't matter what McCain does...he is not going to run away from George Bush. Most of the VP steam will be blown off by Obama's great speech. Trust me, McCain's VP pick will only matter in the State the VP hails from.

McCain had the last week for himself, yet, he can't seem to break beyond 45% in the poll. I just don’t see how he can get a bump after convention.

I think it will work to McCain's advantage. He'll take some of the spotlight from Obama and his sure to be amazing speech, and even if he loses a little of the traditional VP pick bump, he's heading into his own Convention, so he's only on the upswing. That sucks.

Fussing over the timing of press releases is really inside baseball. Obama's acceptance speech will be covered, as will McCain's veep pick. Nobody outside the beltway gaggle cares about the timing. The news consuming public can walk and chew gum at the same time.

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Amacus et al.,

Check-out http://www.progressivepunch.org :

Except of the Biden's home-state's BIG industry (banking), Biden is a crap-load more progressive/liberal than Obama. While Biden violates both the 'no Senator' and the 'no corporatist' rules, the biggest reason not to choose Biden is that Biden is a better fit for Office of the President than Obama is.

(Obama's actual voting record places him with such luminaries as MacCaskill, Lieberman and Landrieu.)

In truth, crap-weasels like Clinton and Bayh are better matches for Obama. They are far shittier choices for America BUT there is still time and opportunity for Obama to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Side Note: SurveyUSA has trended more towrads the Republicant in every race they poll. While never the outlier . . . They sre showing a bias. Start comparing their Senate polls to others . . . Secondly, corporate pollsters have a BIG incentive to turn this race into a horse-race. Poll question construction is polarized across the industry . . .

Veep and poll chasing are the pretend news-like things of slow news cycles. Dwelling will turn you into bat-shit crazy . . . Maybe even a farging Republican . . . BEWARE! That way lays sure insanity.

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McInsane & Mittens! Multiple-hundred millionaires that you all can relate to . . .

Almost as good as 'Tippecanoe and Tyler Too". Remember that Harrison and Tyler were the wealthy 'rugged' guys that crushed the 'elitist' shop-keeper's kid Van Buren in 1840. Perception is reality and history shows that America is screwed if we don't start thinking. The Whig's last hoorah shows that we can turn the fascist plutocrats into a footnote in history BUT they keep coming back.

A great example of McCain's followership.

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he's announcing in ohio, apparently. So im betting that means its Rob Portman, the guy no one in Ohio has ever heard of outside of his congressional district.

I'm betting on portman, just because it makes no sense to announce a non-ohio native from ohio unless it fits in with the theme or overall message of your campaign, and we all know McCain doesn't have one of those.

i could be (and probably am) wrong though...

I think it will work to McCain's advantage. He'll take some of the spotlight from Obama and his sure to be amazing speech, and even if he loses a little of the traditional VP pick bump, he's heading into his own Convention, so he's only on the upswing. That sucks.

Isn't that his birthday?

Also, isn't that the anniversary of Katrina?

Remember the birthday cake photo with Bush, while thousands were drowning to death.

This guy has remarkable timing.

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