Rendell: Obama Is "Like Adlai Stevenson ... What The Heck Is Going On?"
As I've noted before, it's impossible to write an item about former Hillary supporter Ed Rendell without using the word "blunt," and this blunt assessment of Obama from Rendell certainly won't quiet the talk of tensions between the Hillary and Obama camps:
"He is a little like Adlai Stevenson," Rendell mused. "You ask him a question, and he gives you a six-minute answer. And the six-minute answer is smart as all get out. It's intellectual. It's well framed. It takes care of all the contingencies. But it's a lousy soundbite.""We've got to start smacking back in short understandable bites," he said, noting "Everybody is nervous as all get out. Everybody says we ought to be ahead by 10, 15 points. What the heck is going on?"
Coming from the rough-hewn Rendell, the Stevenson comparison is presumably not meant as a full-throated compliment.
Rendell also said some good things about Obama, however, saying that by the end of tonight Obama will have locked down 95 percent of Hillary's supporters and predicting that the selection of Joe Biden as veep will gain Obama two points in Pennsylvania.
Late Update: In retrospect, it really isn't fair to cast this as a sign of Hillary-Obama tensions. Rendell's just giving voice to sentiments some Dems are expressing privately, and for Rendell the line between private and public is a bit blurrier. My brain is addled with too much MSNBC.















Hi everyone
My name is Cindy McCain.
I am the wife of a POW.
I am here at the convention to introduce my husband,
the next Pow .. I mean president of the United states.
I met John not long after he was a POW, he was cheating on his wife at the time
because he had been a POW, and I just could not be prouder that he picked me.
It was a difficult time in the POW's ... I mean Johns life. You see he had to go home
to a wife who'd been badly injured in a car accident, now he had seen enough of these injuries when
he was a POW and felt it was his moral duty to divorce her. Oh sure he tried to work it out by having
sex with other women to save the marriage - but in the end it did not work because he was a POW.
I'd like to talk a little about myself and my accomplishments ....
I married a man who was a POW.
I was raised in a family with two sisters and I am an only child.
My father - who like John - the POW - cheated on and divorced his first wife,
he left me only one hundred million dollars when he died. Subsequently we have only been able to buy twelve houses,
Sadly it is not enough to keep John from feeling cooped up like a POW.
I lobby against mothers against drunk driving because I own a beer distributorship - those mothers should not threaten the
livelihood of a POW. Now you don't want to get John mad or he might call you a cunt - which he called me once in public.
Sadly it is because he was a POW, that may have been the low point of my life. But I bounced back and told people that
mother Teresa told me to adopt a child even though I just made that part up because John was a POW.
I could go on and on and on and on,
but just let me leave off tonight by saying thank you all, and thank God, that John was a POW.
August 26, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
How long's that been sitting on your computer?
August 26, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
He posts it in every thread.
August 26, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
You should add that he was released in 1973 but didn't get divorced until 1979, and after his initial return they were apparently fine for most of the six years in between, including when he and his first wife were palling around with the Reagans in California.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/washingtondc/la-na-divorce11-2008jul11,0,7377021.story
Nancy Reagan still hates McCain for leaving his first wife it appears.
August 26, 2008 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Certainly long enough to have fixed the line breaks by now.
August 26, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
While supposedly supporting Obama -- he's hurting him. Want to bet what his AIM is?
If I'm wrong and he's seriously worried -- then he needs to figure out what Obama supporters figured out long ago -- Obama is Obama. You aren't going to CHANGE him. He will CHANGE you!
August 26, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell is Right. Thing is, those long answers beat the Clinton Machine which he was a part of. Setting yourself up for a VP run in 2012 Rendell?
Rendell knows what he's doing so this is really inexcusable. That said, He is right.... about the fact that Obama should be up 10-15 points now. All polls recently are confirming that this is a close race. With the liabilities that Philandering, incoherent, war-mongering REPUBLICAN McCain has (in a year where the economy is #1 issue and BUSH is still president) we should be up 20. And McCain is not the brightest star in the constellation either. This should be a rout. And it is not.
Someone at Obama headquarters needs to be paying attention. Winning the Dem nomination is not like winning the General Election. Take the gloves off then knee him in the groin before breaking his nose. Too much is at Stake.
Oh... and Rendell is a punk.
August 26, 2008 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's right. Obama doesn't speak in sound bites. It's one of the things I like about him. But I understand its limitations.
August 26, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Someone, somewhere will find something about Obama to nitpick. It gets old sometimes.
August 26, 2008 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
He does have a point, and I agree with it. But saying Obama should be up 10-15 points? What planet is Ed from?
August 26, 2008 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
A little planet called Inside the Beltway. By most MSM accounts, it's very near the center of the universe.
August 26, 2008 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, even those he's an ass, he's got a point. Of course, hearing it expressed during the convention is moronic. Would you ever hear a Republican say something like this? Nope.
Still, there's a reason Obama picked Biden. That's the signal knives are about to be drawn.
http://pufferfish.typepad.com/
August 26, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for that.
You have framed this story exactly the same way that CNN, MSNBC, Fox, The New York Times, WaPost, LA Times, The New Republic, etc will describe.
Lead with Rendell's most damning cricism, and brush anything else aside.
Same with coverage of the "rift". There are, what, 17000 people inside the Pepsi Center at any given moment? Well, our intrepid reporters will find the two who viscerally dislike Obama, and that's all we'll know about.
What the heck is going on here?
August 26, 2008 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
oh come on. we've constantly downplayed the rift stuff and pushed back against it. but rendell's comments are clearly newsworthy.
August 26, 2008 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wouldn't even call this a "rift" story. It's not an unfair observation, and at least some Obama supporters are just as concerned as Rendell about the nominee's apparent under-performance in the polls.
Oh, and who uses the phrase "as all get out?"
August 26, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
People who look like used car salesmen.
August 26, 2008 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not saying his comments aren't newsworthy. I'm objecting to the emphasis placed on the negative aspects of the interview.
August 26, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, beyond the newsworthiness, they have a salience, as others have pointed out above. I don't think that the point is that he needs to do away with his thoughtful responses so much as he needs to employ the shorter, sharper version first.
August 26, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obviously, the sky is falling. Sounds like somebody needs a nap.
August 26, 2008 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
late update is exactly right.
thanks, greg.
August 26, 2008 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
So why bring up Adlai Stevenson in the first place? If there is one thing you have to know about Ed, it is that it is all about Ed. He has the ego the size of an airplane hangar. He's PO'ed because his horse lost the Kentucky Derby and is still bitter about it. He's a Philly guy and yet like Nutter, chose to back Hillary, knowing that Obama was going to win Philly huge(even with out the street money).
August 26, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
If we lose this election because of party infighting this will be the last year we will come close to getting a Democratic President for a long time or ever. This will fracture the party. Rendell, Bill, and Hillary would have the party wonder in the wilderness for the next 20 years because they can't accept the fact that Obama won the nomination.
I cannot believe we are letting the networks along with the GOP trash our convention. Who gives a crap what the GOP think of our Vice Presidential pick? Why are we listening to GOP pundits give commentary about our affairs? Shut up already.
Hillary lost because she did not run a good campaign. It was hers to lose and it is about time they realize it is not everyone else's fault.
.
August 26, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure what this really has to do with Hillary, but Rendell really is a smarmy bastard
August 26, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still like Rendell. Better to have your foot in your mouth than your head up your ass.
btw why does the part where he says that Obama will get 95% of Hillary supporters by the end of the convention only get a meager footnote on the post? I feel like I am reading Free Republic today with all this anti-Obama crap.
August 26, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey man, the last paragraph is generally second only to the first paragraph in memorable-ness. It's not a footnote.
August 26, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have the same problem....well I have been working on it for sometime, so it isnt the "same".
But I would give very long winded answers that also explained in future questions, hints and possible "out of context" meanings that someone can interpret, so I am fully understand.
Only, alot of folks would get lost. :(
I use to say "well you should start listening more" which is valid, but I also needed to cut my answers down. Barack should do so in SOME instances. Maybe morning Press briefings, but past that, he shouldnt change his style.
The repercussions could be much more than your thinking.
August 26, 2008 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell seems right to me (and I never supported Hillary).
August 26, 2008 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
to be honest i dont think his comments were all that bad.. hes got a wierd delivery but hes just explaining his concern from a position that believes only soundbites work and are necessary for the public in an over-mediated culture.. he might be right, he might not. but he didnt say anything negative about obama really..his surprise at the polls means he thinks obamas an amazing candidate, and he just feels soundibtes would better let the public know that.
in other news.. i like the mccain banner on the right margin and how the campaign likes to use very old pictures of a young mccain instead of pictures of who wed be voting for.
August 26, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right about the vintage McCain pics. A lot of naval-aviator era. War hero. Dare I say, POW. In case you didn't know about that.
August 26, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Same Ed who said the white folks in the middle of PA wouldn't vote for Barack. That's why he's not up 10, 15 points. Yet.
I think the Ambien thing on page 1 should/will get big play. Campaigning's hard, sure, but the President zips around the world, changes time zones, has to be up to the rigors of the job. McCain clearly ain't.
August 26, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
"it's a lousy soundbite."
well maybe we live in a world that's way too complicated to be explained away in a ten second soundbite.
after the presidency of gw bush, i figured we'd learned our lesson about taking the dumb guy over the smart guy.
when did smart become a liability?
August 26, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Succinct is smart.
Joe Biden home runs: "...a noun, a verb and 9/11."
"Yes."
August 26, 2008 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell does have a point. BO needs to be fluid in his speech. I get a little nervous watching him at times thinking his thoughts through.
August 26, 2008 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Ed has a point. We need to push out our message in some quick easy phrases. "Change we can believe in" was a good one for he primary.
But we need some quick phrases to use against McCain. "Third bush Term" is a good start,. Stuff that people can repeat and will gain currency.
Rendell is very blunt. But he's a successful pol in PA. I'd say listen to his advice.
August 26, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
The bigger issue is, as TPM noted:
We just need MORE ATTACKS. Along with better attacks, more pushing of the message.
August 26, 2008 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would not stress him being all that successful in PA
August 26, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Rendell, here is an idea for how we can attack McCain: STOP FUCKING ATTACKING OBAMA AND ATTACK McCAIN INSTEAD.
August 26, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Word!
August 26, 2008 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, that's a nice soundbite!
Well-done, Roo.
August 26, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
They're incapable of actually going after the actual enemy. Democrats would prefer to publicly quibble over their candidate.
August 26, 2008 3:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
You and roo nail it. You never, I mean NEVER, see these types of comments from a Republican about their own during a campaign.
This type of armchair qurterbacking is fine after the game is actually won or lost. But these asshole Dems, who love nothing more than the sound of their own voice and to have their comments repeated on the Sunday talk shows, are one of the main reasons Democrats are so unsuccessful nationally. It' infuriating, espcially because it leads one to believe they are more concerned with their own parochial interests than a true Democratic realignment.
August 26, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me just write this in on the growing list of things that don't worry me. "Comparisons . . . to . . . Adlai Stevenson."
Okay, so here's the complete list of things I'm not bothered by: "Polls, tracking polls, national polls, Bill Clinton's temper, James Carville, PUMAs, swiftboating 527s, racist voters, October presents from Al Qaeda, and comparisons to Adlai Stevenson."
God. Somebody give me a dose of Ambien. I want to wake up on November 6th.
August 26, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hear McCain can lend you some Ambien.
You know, he needs a sleeping aid because he was a POW.
August 26, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
What? And miss all the fun? If you weren't a political junkie, you probably wouldn't be here :-)
Also, with Ambien, when you wake up you won't remember having done a lot of sleepwalking (or sleep-eating, sleep-talking, or sleep-posting) while you thought you were asleep. It's a very naaasty drug.
Come to think of it, that does sound a lot like the incoherent pronouncements we've been hearing from McCindy lately!
August 26, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
God, I'm so completely sick of Ed Rendell.
I hope he's right about locking down Clinton supporters, though.
August 26, 2008 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Observer, I agreed with you. Its now "quick draw McGraw".
August 26, 2008 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
The deomocratic party needs and lacks disipline. These former and current Clinton/DLC folks believe they can say and do anything without feeling any pain. Obama is from Chicago and I know he has displine and is such a strong willed politician. He will not forget these clowns. I just hope that after November and he is in the White House there will be hell to pay to these bozos and fuck-ups. There is no execuse what they are saying and doing. They have lost their prima dona stage and I, for one, will shed no tear when these types fade away. Begala, Carville, Bubba, Rendell. et al...will become the PAST leaders and we will have new leadership and vision.
August 26, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
then why doesn't rendell go on every fucking channel to defend obama like he did with hillary?
he should stfu or campaign. jesus im sick of these whiny fools.
August 26, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Take it as constructive criticism. No more, no less.
It is not an attack on Barack or his policies or his character, rather it is a criticism of his campaign style. "Give shorter answers."
Barack should (and does) welcome such criticism.
August 26, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then Rendell should offer that criticism in private, and not to the national media.
This isn't a difficult concept to grasp, yet Democrats routinely fail to grasp it. Keep the dirty laundry inside, and don't flaunt it for the world to see.
August 26, 2008 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. Rendell is a tool.
August 26, 2008 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
A total tool. He could help, if he so chose. But this is SOP for this crowd. All they know is infighting. Coming together to win--unless it's their clique? Not so much.
This is not high school. Rendell needs to STFU.
August 26, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not helping.
August 26, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mission Accomplished.
You're with us or against us.
Mushroom Cloud.
Freedom Fries.
Stay the course.
The surge is working.
Drill here, drill now.
The point is, Ed, we've had eight long years of being ruled by the soundbite, and it hasn't worked out so well. I realize that it's difficult for some to understand, but some of us are looking forward to having an intellectual in the White House for a change. Go figure.
August 26, 2008 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
all, please see my update
August 26, 2008 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good on you. However, it is not unfair to notice that all these important people going to journalists to complain about Obama's supposed lack of connection to the white working class are all former Clinton supporters.
August 26, 2008 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Greg.
Really -- at this point, anyone watching the news is going to have jumpy nerves.
Think about that. Think about how the news feeds on that sense of you "Having to Know" what's coming next, what the next explosion is going to be. Not saying they're right or wrong in that, just that this seems to be a reoccurring point of coverage on both sides (see: Ron Paul).
Thanks for focusing on what's really going on, Greg.
August 26, 2008 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't care if he is blunt. The guy has a big mouth and he is only feeding the beasts that are ready to tear the convention apart. I hate to say it, Democratic leader are fucking idiots sometimes.
August 26, 2008 4:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pretty soon, we'll be at the point where the Democrats are simply rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The public criticism has to stop. What are these people thinking?
August 26, 2008 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since 1992, the Democratic party has lost because it has played the stupid game... Billary played it from 92-2000 and Dubya has played it from 2000-2008... we witnessed the same fools in the Billary camp througout the primary season and now they are talking about voting for McSame... when is this party going to come to grips with the reality of ignorance and embrace intelligence? Carter, Dukasis, Clinton, Gore, & Kerry lost because they played to the ignorant minority of the party....
August 26, 2008 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, joking aside, we've got some decent soundbites -- "more of the same," "just the same old politics." And the one they seem to be leaning toward lately: "we can't afford four more years of this."
I think a new one may be rolled out on Thurs.
We're going through a case of the jitters, but I really believe the next few days are going to help.
August 26, 2008 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with him.
Barack will have to tighten up his responses for the debates especially. He can do it. Being thoughtful and concise aren't mutually exclusive. The net for him is that he'll be perceived as more sure of himself.
Candidates and their styles evolve especially if they want to win.
August 26, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly right.
Talking to us like adults is fine for those of us who are receptive.
There are others (not just non-adults, but also fear-affected adults) who need to be spoken to in sound bites.
Doing one does not mean not doing the other.
August 26, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
So true. I can't watch any of the cable networks anymore. They are taking something that should be enjoyable--perhaps even a little educational--and making it thoroughly annoying with their incessant need to spin the goddamn Infighting storyline.
I would like to see Mayor Hickenlooper start locking up media whores in those cages had made so that viewers can enjoy the Convention.
August 26, 2008 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Watch PBS or CSPAN.
Life is much better now.
I still think "keeping it snappy" is good advice. Simple is good. It's easy to repeat.
Obama has done it before:
"Not this time"
"Yes we can"
This stuff works.
We just need more messages from Obama and more attack on Gigolo Kept-Man McCain.
(Anyone wanna bet he wouldn't blow his top if you had a commercial with the song "I'm just a gigolo" showing all of Cindy's houses. LOL)
August 26, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Steal a line from Dubya: We won't be fooled again!
August 26, 2008 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. The media has taken the conventions (which some still see as an exciting part of our democracy) and they have used it merely as a backdrop to continue their spin. What a contrast it was to see what the cable channels were showing and what C-SPAN was offering.
For weeks the media was telling us what Obama and the democrats had to do at this convention to reach middle America, but how can the conventions be effective and how can there be any kind of bump from the conventions if the media wont show what is happening at the conventions?
August 26, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/08/lets-preempt-the-msm-bounce-sp.php
August 26, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
btw, for anybody who's been moping about McGoo being ahead in that Gallup poll (yawn), I'd direct your attention to the one just below it showing Obama within the margin of error in North Carolina.
Interesting...
August 26, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps, someone shpuld tell rendell to shut they fuck up. This is why i get sick of being a Democrats sometime.
August 26, 2008 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are too many negative vibes on this site.
August 26, 2008 4:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Given the implications of this election, you can't blame people for being nervous as hell: especially when key surrogates of the now former party leaders seem to be using the convention to lay the foundation for a 2012 run.
August 26, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell touches on the classic electoral question that has bedeviled Democrats since Hubert Humphrey: How is it that the outwardly more intelligent candidate tends to lose a general election to the candidate who is perceived as more simple-minded? I'm not a Rendell fan, but rather than freaking out, I see the value in what he is saying. Obama's style is not prone to the punchy soundbite; and often when I read a statement he has made here at TPM and then see it on the Youtube, it is more effective in writing.
As for the crap that he should be up 15 points, is silly. There is nothing rational that indicates Obama (or Hillary) would've been up double digits.
August 26, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think there are several things that need to be accomplished at the convention and some of them are not consistent in tone with a bash-the-crap-out-of-Republicans-all-day-every-day effort. Great fun though it may be to bash the crap out of Republicans, and well deserved, too. But, last night, was the time for Michelle to be re-introduced to the voting public and I think the first day of the convention was probably the best time to do that.
If you can just be patient for one day, I'm pretty sure that Hillary is not going to give McCain and the rethugs the kid glove treatment. I'm pretty sure Bill won't either. Joe Biden? Not bloody likely.
And, Ed Rendell should know better than that. So should Paul Begala. The gloves come off tonight and from here on out. Barack will probably have to walk a tightrope with his speech, but I think he's up to it.
The Dems have plenty of ammo for McCain and I don't think they're going to waste it.
August 26, 2008 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
It matters little what Rendell's motives or intentions are with these comments. What counts is that he is right and on this he most certainly is right. And yes, Obama should be 10-15 points ahead at this time. There are many reasons why he isn't. One of them is that his campaign has been assuming the posture of a deer in the headlights for weeks instead of fighting back. Obama's low-key style (which the enemy casts as aloof and out of touch) and his overall manner is actually providing grist for the other side's mill. Yes, it's unfair and untrue, but if Obama doesn't forcefully defend himself he's going to be relegated to the ash heap of history like Dukakis, Gore, Kerry and yes the late, great Adlai Stevenson... of Illinois.
Whatever else he is, Rendell is a seasoned and successful political fighter against Republicans: something Obama has not proved in any way that he is. He has never run against a viable Republican opponent for any office until now. It seems self evident that Obama needs some tutoring on how to win a fight against a Republican given his ineffective and long delayed responses to the smears and lies the McCain people have been heaping on him the past two months.
God willing, the Obama people and the candidate himself will wake up and smell the coffee before it's too late: a la Kerry 2004.
August 26, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
It matters little what Rendell's motives or intentions are with these comments. What counts is that he is right and on this he most certainly is right. And yes, Obama should be 10-15 points ahead at this time. There are many reasons why he isn't. One of them is that his campaign has been assuming the posture of a deer in the headlights for weeks instead of fighting back. Obama's low-key style (which the enemy casts as aloof and out of touch) and his overall manner is actually providing grist for the other side's mill. Yes, it's unfair and untrue, but if Obama doesn't forcefully defend himself he's going to be relegated to the ash heap of history like Dukakis, Gore, Kerry and yes the late, great Adlai Stevenson... of Illinois.
Whatever else he is, Rendell is a seasoned and successful political fighter against Republicans: something Obama has not proved in any way that he is. He has never run against a viable Republican opponent for any office until now. It seems self evident that Obama needs some tutoring on how to win a fight against a Republican given his ineffective and long delayed responses to the smears and lies the McCain people have been heaping on him the past two months.
God willing, the Obama people and the candidate himself will wake up and smell the coffee before it's too late: a la Kerry 2004.
August 26, 2008 4:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
sorry for the double post!
August 26, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
10-15% ahead, based on what? And why?
A national poll, which is what I assume you're talking about, is practically meaningless at this time anyway.
Here's the reality of it. We're stuck with the kind of campaigning that the GOP does until we have a massive overhaul of the way elections are funded and run. In the meantime, the Republicans will throw all of the lying trash they possibly can at our candidate and we're stuck with having to a) take it and look weak, b) answer back in kind and risk driving down voter turnout, which is what the GOP is hoping for, or c) and I don't know what the hell "c" is but I hope it works.
But, enough of the hand-wringing and thinking this is deja vu all over again. There might be a damn good reason that Obama won the nomination and has even been ahead at all most of the time. Consider the possibility that he knows what he's doing. If you seriously think that a black man is going to win the presidency in a blowout, you're giving the electorate a lot more credit for enlightened thinking than it deserves.
August 26, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Based on what? How about historical data of how far ahead the Democrats always are at this point in time no matter who the nominee is? You seem uninformed about history on this point. Dukakis was 22 points ahead coming out of his convention and he lost. Kerry was waaaay ahead, etc... Obama is now behind according to some polls. His campaign is tepid in terms of message and the entire enterprise has been downright sluggish since the beginning of June--for which there is no excuse.
Your option A has been repeatedly tried and failed. The conclusion on your option B has no basis in fact. Indeed, it is the only viable option. The Republicans would tremble in fear if the Democrats were actually to fight for the Presidency and they would tremble because they know it would mean their doom. Obama's campaign of limp wristed passivity is the only thing that keeps McCain in the game at this point. And your option C doesn't exist.
August 26, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with Rendell, and I'm especially worried about this in the debates. I recently commented on another blog that when Obama's debate-prep team drills him, they need to hit him over the head with a nerf bat and yell "sound bite" every time he gives one of those long policy-wonk answers.
August 26, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Americans want change from eight years of Bush, then a change from "smoke 'em from their holes" soundbites to intelligent answers sounds like the way to go. Also, when Obama uses three word sentences he's attacked for saying "yes we can" so this is another case of those "didn't visit the troops=bad/visited the troops=bad" lose/lose situations which we love creating for Democratic presidential candidates. The poster above is right-- if Rendell wants to help, attack McCain not Obama. Sorry for the long reply.
August 26, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
"If Americans want change from eight years of Bush, then a change from "smoke 'em from their holes" soundbites to intelligent answers sounds like the way to go."
Unfortunately American's want change, they just don't want to change the way they get it.
Republican's supply American's with brain candy. When you try to get a child to eat spinach instead of candy what happens?
Reality sucks.
August 26, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Something to consider.
One of the reasons Obama speaks slowly, thinks out his words, and takes so long to explain himself is, quite simply, he is being held to a higher standard than McGoo and as such, any misstatement has the potential to destroy his campaign.
August 26, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, and it's unfair. But it is what it is. If in a debate he give those somewhat meandering, carefully parsed answers and McLame gets off a couple of ignorant but sound-bite-worthy zingers, McLame will be proclaimed to have "won". Reality has to be dealt with, even though it sucks.
If Obama works hard enough in his debate preparation I'm confident he can tighten things up sufficiently without risking being misconstrued. A guy of his ability level can do whatever needs to be done, as long as he is made aware of it.
August 26, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Democrats ought to be careful to read between the lines for the next few months as far as what Clinton surrogates have to say. Senator Clinton may say all the right things to help Obama win but then have Paul Begala, James Carville, Ed Rendell and others go out and try to make Obama lose. If it looks like Clinton caused the loss her chances in 2012 would be damaged. Yet she can speak glowingly of Obama-- while Ed Rendell compares him to Adlai Stevenson.
August 26, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell has always been a loose cannon. He should have kept his mouth shut, but in his case I really believe he was trying to give helpful advice. He's not a snake like some of the other Clinton partisans.
August 26, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would be mindful of that insinuation if I were you. We don't need to look for ulterior motives on Clintons part when it stands that Begala, Carville, and Rendell are toxic in their own right.
August 26, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The most strange thing is that, even with Rendell's "honesty", Pennsylvania is the safest swing state this year so far. The Quinnipac poll just confirms that Obama has a bigger lead there that in Ohio, Virginia or Florida.
August 26, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Everybody put the crackpipes down please.
10-15% ahead? Yeah, right. Obama is a Black man and you guys can sit up here and pretend we've all reached a kumbaya moment but we haven't, not yet anyway. What this means is that Obama has his work cut out for him. No doubt he knows this, but it is increasingly clear that many of his supporters do not
As for Rendel, I call b.s. on his comment. Rather than point out how the nominee of his party has been right about a whole host of issues, Rendel gets his panties in a bunch because he like so many Democrats is afraid of the big bad Republicans.
Barack Obama didn't get where he is today listening to what the likes of Ed Rendel had say about anything.
August 26, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, C.J.
Great!
Super!
August 26, 2008 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am simply amazed at the lack of message discipline among professional Democrats (i.e., Begala, Carville, Rendell, MacAuliffe, etc.). This is not to say they have to praise Obama uniformly, all the time. But the reason they're on TV is not really to offer expert commentary. They're already identified as party hacks, so they should talk up the Democrats at the same time that they talk down the Republicans. Amy Holmes, Lori Sanchez, Alex Castellanos have no problem doing this on the Rebublican side. At this point, I believe Begala and company are pursuing another strategy. Out of loyalty to the Clinton brand (and in the case of Carville and Begala Bill in particular), they are working to damage Obama's campaign to prepare the way for Hillary in 2012. The problem is they're destroying the Democratic Party in the process.
P.S. Someone answer me: why hasn't Hillary released her email list to Obama so he can write her supporters? She should have done this weeks ago.
August 26, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Word.
August 26, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dead on.
August 26, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
James Carville is wearing Pumas while at the convention.
http://gawker.com/5042170/james-carvilles-kicks-reveal-party-split
August 26, 2008 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Carville = sleeping with the enemy.
August 26, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes. We see this over and over and over and over. These individuals consistently put their own political fortunes ahead of the Democratic Party and ahead of what's better for the country.
August 26, 2008 5:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right. today is supposed to be a day of congratulating Michelle on last night's performance, but the drama squad can't seem to let that happen. I would like to see some more muscle from Obama, but these guys are idiots. They should either shut the fuck up or get their own avatar and do their worrying anonymously on TPM.
August 26, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillbots realize that if Obama wins in November, Hillary will never be President. She'll be 68 in 2016. 2012 is her last chance.
August 26, 2008 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do Hillbots also realize that if the Clintons try to kneecap Barack in this election, win or lose, Hillary will never be president (and maybe not senator)?
August 26, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean she'll be one whole presidential term younger than a guy who currently has a 50-50 shot of winning the presidency?
August 26, 2008 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm dubious that there should be a 15-point lead in the polls. It's easy for Generic, Hypothetical Candidate A to do better than Generic, Hypohetical Candidate B. After all, before he actually started running, and thus pissing voters off -- or putting them to sleep -- wasn't Fred Thompson the savior of the Republican party?
That being said, I had hoped Obama's candidacy offered us an opportunity to break free of that ugly Illinois Presidential Candidate as Egghead stereotype (see Stevenson, Adlai; Simon, Paul).
August 26, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Two years ago, you'd be considered certifiably insane if you suggested that a 48-year-old black man freshman US Senator with a weird non-American-sounding name would compete for (much less win) a major party nomination.
Now everybody wonders why he isn't leading the war-hero white guy by at least 15 points.
August 26, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why did you downplay it? I thought the MSM was overplaying it. It is truly sad if the Clinton's and their allies are willing to risk this election.
August 26, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Adlai Stevenson last ran for President more than half a century ago. What % of voters have even seen Stevenson speak, let alone were eligible to vote in 1956, let alone were alive in 1956?
Why is Rendell making a riff only the Beltway would get? It's one thing for Pat Buchanan to toss around Stevenson and HHH. But why Rendell?
It's embarassing to what our Party compared to the Republican Party powers and voters circle the wagons around a candidate that they don't even like very much.
August 26, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, Democratic candidates are supposed to be the ones who give thoughtful, detailed responses instead of knee-jerk, black-and-white Bushisms.
Rather than grousing that Obama doesn't speak in soundbites, Rendell should say that it's a complicated world full of complicated questions that can't honestly be answered in catch phrases like "Bring 'em on!"
Instead of bemoaning Obama's detailed answers, Rendell should be praising them and criticizing the McCains and Bushes of the world for their simplistic pandering.
August 26, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am beginning to understand why a huge chuck of America is registering as independents. This crap is starting to get disgusting. I'm beginning to realize that they have been prepared to sabotage the partyall along.
August 26, 2008 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, the Democrats love to lose. Their only function is opposition to the Republicans, no actual platform of their own.
August 26, 2008 6:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cleavermeat wrote: Rather than grousing that Obama doesn't speak in soundbites, Rendell should say that it's a complicated world full of complicated questions that can't honestly be answered in catch phrases like "Bring 'em on!"
You are so right, Cleavermeat. I fear they don't turn Obama's penchant for nuance into a strength since they would end up condemning themselves. Carville's the king of soundbites. The real gambit of this election is if America is prepared to elect someone who thinks. If they don't, this probably means we will return to retail politics, i.e., the slicing and dicing of the population into various interest groups that are pandered to. I'll still be a dem but not with the passion I've been this election season.
August 26, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ed doesn't seem to understand that Obama's party is a ball and chain around his neck. If Harry Reid had managed to accomplish something in the last 2 years Obama would have something besides hope to sell to the American public.
August 26, 2008 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
There isn't much for Reid to accomplish with Republican's holding enough senate seats to filibuster.
August 26, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do believe there's a concerted effort by Clinton supporters to bring down Obama so Hillary can run against McCain in 2012. This ain't part of it, however.
The only people who appreciate Obama's long-winded, nuanced responses to every question are TPMers, Kossacks and the like. These aren't the people he needs to win over in the days ahead. It's the ones shifting to undecided/McCain and few know them better than Ed Rendell. That's all he's dealt with for most of his life in PA politics.
You folks who ignore this shit on some "Obama didn't win the nom listening to folks like Ed Rendell" sound foolish. That was a completely different ballgame. I still can't believe so many TPMers don't understand the stark differences between a nomination run and a general election. For the GE, Obama would be wise to start listening to guys like Ed Rendell. He and the rest of the Pennsylvania Democratic machine are fully behind him and want to help. They are party guys and gals all the way, it's much bigger than the Clintons to them.
August 26, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, if you're not worried, you should be. Please, people, stop the reflexive defense of Obama. We should be putting this one away. Hell, it should already be put away.
The signs are all there for an overwhelming victory. Why hasn't this materialized yet?
August 26, 2008 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea that Barack Obama should "dumb-down" to suit Ed Rendel or anybody else is ludicrous. Remember that it was Barack Obama being Barack Obama that electrified the country. His intellect was/is a breath of fresh air after 8 years of GWB, leader of the Western World, who could not, try as he might, string a simple declarative sentence together that made sense on so many occasions that he became the Global Laughingstock.
Barack Obama didn't fall off a fruit-truck and if we wanted another one of those, we'd have nominated Ed Rendel. Barack needs to stay Barack. He is as close to perfect a presidential candidate as he can be. Michelle is the same. America needs both of them. Just as they are.
August 26, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why isn't he putting this away? Um, Obama is Black. And it takes a lot of work to get a great deal of white people comfortable with a Black person leading the country. I know it is fashionable to pretend otherwise but we all know that's just pretend.
August 26, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm so fucking tired of stupid Americans like Ed Rendell disparaging intelligence. I guess Republicans aren't the only ones who take pride in being ignorant.
August 26, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
--Still, there's a reason Obama picked Biden. That's the signal knives are about to be drawn.
Lord, I hope so. I think Obama could potentially be one of the best presidents this country has ever had, if he gets the chance. But Americans want to see a fight, and Barack won't give it to them; he's just not made that way. I hope he chooses Biden to do just that - go after the GOP the way they consistently go after Dems, even when they're wrong. Especially when they're wrong.
August 26, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
Suggestion for less brain addling. Try PBS or Cspan.
Being an older Obama supporter, I want to see it all, but I can't stand the noise in the background at MSNBC. So, in the evening I tune into PBS and get sensible analysis and comments. Lehrer is having a great time making tiny jokes and smiling, Judy's interviewing people who matter, Gwen is doing floor duty and seems to giggle more than usual, Margaret has the historians, and you get hours of Mark Shields and David Brooks, who could ask for more?
I miss Keith, Rachael, Gene Robinson, but the days of loving the "noise" are over for me, and I just can't stand it.
August 27, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink