Poll: Obama Has Narrow Lead In Swing State Of Colorado
A new survey of Colorado by Public Policy Polling (D) shows Barack obama with a narrow lead in this swing state, which has been trending from red to blue very quickly in the last few years.
The numbers: Obama 47%, McCain 43%, with a margin of error of ±3%. Other recent polls have also shown Obama with a narrow lead in this state.
In this poll, McCain has a 46%-45% lead among white voters, but Obama dominates 58%-34% with Hispanics, a demographic where some had doubted he'd do well. The key to watch for in Colorado will be what percentage of the state's voters will be Hispanics. "The higher that number is, the more likely it will be that Barack Obama is victorious," the pollster concludes.
Also, some good news for Dems in the Senate race: Democratic candidate Mark Udall leads Republican Bob Schaffer by a 47%-39% margin, in the race for this open GOP-held seat.
As long as Obama keeps the lead here, in Iowa, New Mexico, and all the Kerry states, fear not the tightening of the National polls.
July 14, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yesterday it was Missouri, today Michigan and Colorado. It seems like the polls are bouncing all around of late, but today they are bouncing in our direction. Here's hoping that by November they will have settled down some in our favor.
July 14, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good thing we have Rasmussen's daily tracking numbers to remind us that this information is meaningless - provided they're close, that is.
July 14, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
i don't get it newsweek has obama up by only 3 but he still lead in swing states.........
July 14, 2008 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you alos look at some other polls, like Zogby which includes Barr and other candidates, Obama is ahead in
Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, Montana, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio,Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
It is also close in other North Dakota, Nevada, Tenessee and Mississipi where Barr is taking votes from McSameBush...
July 14, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of Mr. Barr -- Is there a web site out there that lists the states where he will be on the ballot in November?
Would love to, ahem, help him get on the ballot, as the GOP was so kind to do with Mr. Nader in 2004. >:-)
July 14, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
But, but, NPR told me this morning that Obama might have a problem with Hispanics!
And just last week, Cokie Roberts told me Obama would have a problem with Hispanics because, you know, he lost them in the primaries
Is it just me, or is this just plain inane?
July 14, 2008 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is inane.
The media, with increased competiton from the Internet tries to be analytical, and is groping for ways to be relevant and stand out.
On NPR, they realize that most of their listeners lean left, so they keep this type of false suspense up so you'll be sure to tune in to hear Cokie tomorrow for "late-breaking developments!"
Not only is it inane, it's pathetic.
July 14, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Echoing the other posts on the meaninglessness of national polls in Presidential elections.
What we actually have is 50 elections for President going on at the same time.
But the media and the pollsters are always enamored with "the pulse of the nation," hence the plethora of national polls and tracking polls.
July 14, 2008 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can you hear me now? Obama's missing 2 percent
By failing to survey cellphone-only voters, pollsters could be undercounting Barack Obama's support by millions of voters.
http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2008/07/14/cell_phone/?source=newsletter
July 14, 2008 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is dubious--so far there has been no evidence that poll data lacking cellphone-only users is skewed. In fact, quality pollsters make sure the demographics most likely to be represented by cellphone-only users are accurately sampled in their surveys.
July 14, 2008 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Correct. However, all young people who use land-lines instead of cell phones are republicans.
July 14, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
The key is "quality", is it not?
From the piece:
Hmmmmm. Which companies conduct polls using robo-calls?
July 14, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is good news for us today. Unless things go terribly wrong, Obama will carry Colorado, but it should stay close all the way to the end.
John McCain Opposed Health Insurance For Children
July 14, 2008 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
With Colorado having that whack job of a vote on a fertilized egg being a life and basically making IUD's illegal, etc., I hope the Dems will be out in force to vote no.
July 15, 2008 3:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
That wasn't recently was it? We have a Dem governor now, thankfully. The state is definitely trending democratic as Boulder politics are finally making inroads into Denver.
July 15, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama will carry Colorado and easily carry New Mexico.
the only question is will he carry nevada? i think he can.
July 14, 2008 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink