Pentagon-Linked Think Tank At Odds With McCain's Position On Terrorism
The McCain campaign has repeatedly attacked Barack Obama as weak on terror, accusing him of a "September 10th mind-set" and hitting him for favoring a law-enforcement approach to terrorists as "criminals," rather than seeing the campaign against terror as a war.
But a study released today by a think-tank that does research for the Pentagon concludes that a law-enforcement approach, rather than a "war on terror" framing, is precisely what's needed to effectively counter terrorism -- a position that's squarely at odds with that of the McCain campaign.
From a summary of the study by the Rand Corporation...
Current U.S. strategy against the terrorist group al Qaida has not been successful in significantly undermining the group's capabilities, according to a new RAND Corporation study issued today...In looking at how other terrorist groups have ended, the RAND study found that most terrorist groups end either because they join the political process, or because local police and intelligence efforts arrest or kill key members. Police and intelligence agencies, rather than the military, should be the tip of the spear against al Qaida in most of the world, and the United States should abandon the use of the phrase "war on terrorism," researchers concluded.
McCain, of course uses the phrase "war on terror" on the campaign trail almost as often as he giggles (though in fairness, Obama uses the phrase from time to time too).
And here's what the study's author has to say about how to confront terror groups: "In most cases, military force isn't the best instrument."
As Steve Benen, who flagged this earlier, notes: "In a sensible political environment, the Rand report's conclusion would be obvious and beyond question."
I would add that in a sensible political environment, this study would constitute a pretty strong blow to McCain's Obama-weak-on-terror hokum. But we aren't functioning in a sensible political environment, so one can only hope this study finds its way into the hands of as many media figures as possible.















Rand Corporation = Terrorist Appeasers
July 29, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's have a look at exactly what the "war" approach for fighting terrorists have accomplished. We went to war with Afghanistan, let Bin Laden escape and then he goes uncontested into the tribal areas of Afghanistan. We then shift the war from where the perp of 9-11 actually was holed up, over to Iraq where there was no evidence that Hussein had anything to do with 9/11. Now wityh billions spent and debt as far as the eye can see, this administration has accomplished allowing China to get enough paper for our debt that they do not need to spend anything to own us, we sold them the paper so willingly. Bush's VERY stupid war will be the means of transferring ownership of our country to China and other foreign countries, never before accomplished with such bumbling flury. So go ahead, analyze exactly where we are now. China never even needs to drop one bomb. They will end up owning us without a shot fired. Good old Bush 43 has accomplished this impossibility in 8 short years. God have mercy on America. We need all the help we can get from HIM.
July 29, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
OOOPS! tribal areas of Pakistan.
July 29, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice, thanks for sharing. It'll make good blog fodder.
July 29, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Alas! A typical voter doesn't care about detail or even issues for that matter. I'm afraid it has no legs.
July 29, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
no, it doesn't have any legs at all.
July 29, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dude, you're way off with your analysis this time. When the study refers to "local law enforcement" they're not talking about the Mayberry PD. They're refering to law enforcement in Pakistan. The only way we assist the local law enforcment that goes after Al Quiada is with CIA and Special Ops (well there's the rest of the Armed forces too). The study isn't talking about Andy and Barney breaking up a terrorist ring over in Mount Piolit.
July 30, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dude, can you read?
"Police and intelligence agencies, RATHER THAN THE MILITARY(emphasis mine), should be the tip of the spear against al Qaida in most of the world"
July 30, 2008 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
YES (emphasis mine).
July 30, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Who isn't at odds with McCain's positions on anything these days?
No, this analysis will get zippo coverage from the media, because they're too busy devoting coverage to a paper that Obama wrote in 1983 that he no longer has a copy of, so therefore he obviously must be hiding something, right?
Or, they could post the exams and course materials that he used for the years that he taught at the University of Chicago, and invite readers to weigh in on them....you think I'm joking? That's what the NY Times just did this afternoon.
July 29, 2008 6:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
And btw, thanks, Greg, for your consistently excellent work.
July 29, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes. Excellent work.
July 29, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why does Rand hate America?
July 29, 2008 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Rand Corp. is and has been the prime think tank of the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the US Air Force for years. These are not appeasers by any stretch of the imagination.
July 29, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rand Corporation: Reporting the Obvious, Months Behind Better Think Tanks.
July 29, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I recall, John Kerry suggested he would take the terrorism threat to a level where it becomes a law enforcement issue. We all know how that idea was accepted.
The military cannot defeat an idea, but using the military makes for a wonderful 30 second sound bite.
July 29, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
How Bush campaigned against McCain and Kerry should tell you everything you need to know about how the current White House really feels about the Military. Of course the same people that smeared McCain when they worked for Bush under Rove in 2000 and in 2004 when they against worked under Bush/Rove against Kerry all of a sudden think Military service is paramount and should be ran on and exploited.
July 29, 2008 7:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well duh . . . They want to do sometime about terrorism . . . Of course, they are choosing to do exact opposite of McCain . . . BUT next week McCain will change his position 180 degrees.
July 29, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
God this administration is so f*cking stupid. Of course its a law enforcement issue. They are criminals, treat them as such. Don't turn them into holy warriors. What a bunch of f'n idiots. God when will America wake the f*ck up! It's so sad and disgusting. Please wake up!
July 29, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unless this drifts to the top of "recommended" articles, I would no more expect the media to pay attention to this than TPM readers appear to...
July 29, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Imagine that! John McCain's pronouncements don't measure up with a think tank’s findings.
July 29, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to point out that since (and to some extent before) Barack Obama's big Iraq (or rather, foreign policy) speech, Obama has been using the phrase "war on terror" and regularly emphasizes Afghanistan in recent speeches and interviews.
This is done, I believe, in an effort to use the same phrasing that McCain has in an attempt to further cut back against his own foreign policy "inexperience." Regardless, he's using the same phrases, and increasingly so, that the Bush administration has been using recently.
That being said, I do believe that the "war on terror" can be interpreted through a police and intelligence viewpoint, and doesn't necessarily have to involve military means.
July 29, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not only the RAND Corporation but as Spencer Ackerman reports at Washington Independent, so does Condi Rice's counter-terror adviser
http://www.washingtonindependent.com/view/the-cricketers
July 29, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thats an irresponsible reply, actually from a historical and anecdotal standpoint, and any objectibve metric, what Rand reports is true.
Sadly by politicizing and using a hammer (the us militray) on a poorly defined mission we lost in more than one way.
The US militray can defeat any modern military in the field of battle, but the US militray is not a diplomatic tool, they are a hammer! And they are damn good at it, the best.
But any tool, not matter how well formed, used incorrectly doesn't work.
By using the US military to fight the GWOT for a detour of long-standing national security of goals of regime change, we have created more of what we sought to prevent, radical islamic extremists.
Has the military a role in GWOT? Yeah they do.. and they are good at dropping in some special forces, snatching a few bad guys, dropping them off at the Hague, and allowing them to be put on trial before the public.
But having US military be social workers, reconstruction workers, and the first tool of choice for diplomacy is foolish.
It is not fair to any party involved when you use the militray this way.
These people are trained to shoot first ask questions later.. that is their jobs. This was not the way to win a GWOT which was a battle of ideals.
So you don't like Rand telling the truth about veterans health care or tactics in fighting terrorism???
Difference is, that Rand cites facts and figures, they got paid for an objective analysis.. at least it is safe to offer one now. I call that progress in a real solution and I'm not emotionally tied to a bad idea, nor it seems is Rand.
July 29, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
So between the Rand Corp and D. Kilcullen (quoted above, thanks JohnMcCSF) why am I getting the impression that all of a sudden Shubs wonderful war to save america is all of a sudden not so wonderful. What is going on? We all have known for so long this administration is so flipping stupid. Don't tell me Shrub is going under the bus!!! Greg - you are so good at this stuff - where is this all coming from? Old guard republicains? Does any one else have this impression?
July 29, 2008 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for posting this. A good summary of the study was on NPR this morning. I was happy to hear John Kerry vindicated.
Of the three short-listers for VP, I think there's only one, Joe Biden, who has the pointed, passionate persuasiveness, experience, and name recognition to rebut the absurdities of the McCain campaign and speak convincingly to the public about national security and findings like those in the Rand study. Biden gets energized and righteously indignant which would complement Obama's even temperament. Bayh and Kaine are relative unknowns which wouldn't be helpful in bringing around the skeptics let alone inspiring people.
July 29, 2008 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
People who normally would never have considered joining an insurgency do so when members of their family are shot in cold blood or are incarcerated indefinitely or tortured or "disappeared." War incites people; it does not quell violence.
If another country sent its military here -- to steal our natural resources -- Americans would be up in arms fighting their soldiers and likewise the Iraqi people, but they are called "terrorists."
The authour is correct "terrorists" should be referred to as criminals not holy warriors. This is not a crusade nor a holy war. To suggest it as such exacerbates the situation. About a year or two ago PM Brown announced he would stop calling it a war on terror and Australia followed suit, not Bush.
The only reason Bush calls it a war on terror is to "justify" his unprecedented power grab. As a 'war' president Bush believes he can do anything with or without the consent of Congress. He cites national security to prevent the courts from hearing legitimate cases. Rarely do they rule against him, but when they do Bush ignores them, too. He literally has unfettered powers.
Bush controls the courts, congress and the media, too. Therein having control over the message Bush will never consent to changing the language nor tactics. To do so would be admitting he took the wrong approach. Furthermore Bush will not risk the chance of having to cede power.
Neither WMD nor terrorists existed in Iraq. Yet Bush knowingly took military action. Now over a million Iraqis are dead. Tens of thousands languish in jail without charge and no way to contact their family. Many have been tortured and/or "disappeared." None of which can be rectified muchless justified.
There will be repercussions somewhere, sometime, some day because Bush lied and people died. Until the root problem is addressed, the language is changed and tactics are adjusted this will never end.
Individuals will continue fighting against nations that wage war for, what they perceive to be, no apparent reason other than to steal their natural resources, occupy their land and support dictators.
July 29, 2008 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink