Election Central Morning Roundup
New McCain Ad Makes Appeal To Hispanic Voters
John McCain has a new ad set to air in Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, in which the candidate makes a direct appeal for Hispanic voters who have largely been alienated by the Republican Party's anti-immigrant wing. Note that the ad uses footage of McCain at a June 2007 debate, with McCain's defense of immigrants' patriotism in front of none other than Tom Tancredo:
Obama Talking About Energy Today In Ohio
Barack Obama is visiting Dayton, Ohio, where he will be holding a "Secure Energy Future Town Hall." Ohio has proven to be a pivotal swing state delivering Republican victories in recent elections, but Obama has taken a narrow lead in the most recent polls -- and you can bet he'll be working very hard in the coming months to sustain that.
McCain Visiting Wisconsin, Where Obama Is Polling Ahead
John McCain is making a visit today to Wisconsin, an attempt to win over a state that has narrowly voted Democratic in the past two elections. Meanwhile, a new Rasmussen poll gives Barack Obama a 50%-39% lead here, up from a 45%-43% lead a month ago.
Report: Obama Team Vetting Dodd For VP -- And Not Vetting Hillary
Former Hillary Clinton spokesman Howard Wolfson said on Fox News last night that the Obama campaign is not vetting Hillary for vice president, to the best of his knowledge. Meanwhile, the Associated Press reports that Chris Dodd is being vetted.
McCain Hits Obama For Missing Vote That He Missed, Too
Good work on CNN's part for spotting this: John McCain has been criticizing Barack Obama's national security credentials for missing the September 2007 vote on the Kyl-Lieberman amendment. But McCain, who has missed the vast majority of Senate votes since he began running for president, also skipped out on that vote.
Dem Chances Go Up In Red Florida Seat
Rep. Tom Feeney, a former Florida House Speaker who worked to pass legislation in 2000 to award the state's electoral votes to George W. Bush just in case the recounts didn't work out, might be in danger of a seriously-funded challenge from Democrat Suzanne Kosmas. The Rothenberg and Cook Reports, plus CQ, have all changed their ratings on this race to "Leans Republican," up from safer ratings for the GOP.
Poll: GOP Sen. Susan Collins Way Ahead Of Dem Opponent
A new poll from Maine by local pollster Pan Atlantic SMS shows two-term Republican Senator Susan Collins having a huge lead over Democratic Congressman Tom Allen: Collins 56%, Allen 31%. Barack Obama is heavily favored to win Maine's electoral votes, but Collins appears to be safe and getting more than her fair share of ticket-splitters.












Comments (37)
The big news is that Obama is only going to raise $30 million in June, far short of his $50 million goal.
People on the left need to wake the hell up and stop hand-wringing over one or two issues. There are millions of others who need help far more than most of us bloggers, and it's time for us to pony up to help elect Obama president.
https://donate.barackobama.com/page/contribute/standard?source=mainnav
July 11, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you have a source for the $30M total for June? There has been some rumblings that Obama is having difficult raising money for two people - himself and Hillary - but I haven't seen any hard dollar figures attached to his expected June fundraising results.
That said, yes, people need to contribute and, yes, the hand-wringing needs to end. He's our candidate folks, for better or for worse. The most important thing is to WIN. Once he's in the White House, you can pressure him all you want - in fact, you should. But holding back dollars now because of FISA or anything other perceived or actual shift to the center won't do any good if McCain's president, because he's far to the right of Obama on all the issues.
At this point, holding back donations you may have previously given to Obama because of his vote for the FISA "compromise" isn't much better than Hillary dead-enders holding back cash and/or saying they will vote for McCain because their candidate didn't get the nomination. Think about this - which guy would you rather have as a president with enhanced snooping powers - Obama or McCain. And yeah, I know the right answer is, "neither", but folks, we need to win this one. And the numbers McCain's camp released yesterday - bolstered by the power of the RNC - show that Obama and the DNC need all the cash they can get.
NOTE: I know TPM probably has fewer "I'm not giving him cash" commenters than the other lefty blogs out there - eg, Kos, MyDD, HuffPo - but there are some here as well.
July 11, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121574633182845195.html
July 11, 2008 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks...don't have a WSJ subscription, though.
July 11, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd rather have McCain have that power -- the Dems would watch him far more closely than they would watch Obama.
July 13, 2008 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
And yet 30% more than McStain's BEST MONTH. Clearly he is faltering. But the best way to resolve that is to place the bar on the ground like the GOP. Then EVERY RESULT is by definition an improvement.
July 11, 2008 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
From Obama campaign spokesperson Dan Pfeiffer:
July 11, 2008 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I always thought Dodd would be a great Veep for Obama--big head of white hair to add wisdom, clearly ready for the job, good national security and domestic policy cred and, most important, given the veep candidate's traditional role very good on the attack and able to do it without coming off like a complete asshole, which is a rare skill. (Most of the time, a campaign doesn't even care about the "not coming off like an asshole" part as long as the veeptobe is good on the attacking. But its a big bonus.)
The only down-sides are that he doesn't bring in any states we don't already have in the bag and, more seriously, that Countrywide thing.
So far, the Countrywide thing sounds like just another instance the MSM breathlessly reporting that a Democratic politician was caught shamelessly engaging in a normal everyday economic transaction, which, as we know is inherently suspect because Democrats aren't supposed to have personal economic lives. Still . . . well, that's why they vet.
July 11, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Picking a veep based on his or her ability to bring along a state we wouldn't otherwise have is probably not the best strategy, at least if you look at the last few decades of electoral returns.
July 11, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Latest Pew Poll asked people what religion they thought Obama practiced:
57% Christian
12% Muslim
25% don't know.
1% Jewish
http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/07/10/barack-obama-secret-jew.aspx
July 11, 2008 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dodd? The netroots are going to faint at this prospect. That's almost like vetting Feingold.
July 11, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
And unfortunately that is the problem with Dodd.
July 11, 2008 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I thought awhile ago Dodd might be a good pick. His stance on issues will make him embraced on the left, while his gravitas helps the overall ticket appear strong and sound. But most importantly, there is a ready candidate in the wings to fill Dodd's place should Dodd accept the spot, and that of course is Ned Lamont.
The problem with people like Webb and Warner is there aren't other candidates who could readily step in and successfully vie for those congressional seats. But in Dodd's case, the Senate wouldn't lose a Dem spot, and further that Dem spot would go to a reliable Dem rather than someone like a Lieberman.
For that reason I think Dodd would be preferable to Biden.
July 11, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh God, that would be epic. What's the law in Connecticut when it comes to replacing Senators, though? Their governor is Republican.
July 11, 2008 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think they'll have a special election to fill out the term if he is picked by Obama and accepts. In fact our VERY popular AG, Richard Blumenthal, said he would finally run for higher office (he has been criticized in CT for not running for Governor in the past) to fill the seat if Dodd is tabbed. So the seat should be safe either way.
July 12, 2008 12:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Folks, I know were not supposed to hyperventilate over polls this early but we always get crazy excited when they are good for our candidate. Talk a look to the right. What do y'all think about the tightening up of the race in Rasmussen's daily tracking. Say what you will about Rasmussen's polls - I know he's a winger - but his daily tracker has shown a remarkably stable race since early June, with Obama holding a 5-6 pt lead just about every day. That is until just recently - ie, the last 2-3 days. (during which Gallup has tightened up as well) It's 43-42 Obama w/out leaners and 47-45 Obama w/leaners. It's the first time Obama has dropped below 48 w/leaners since 6/5.
What is going on? I can't ignore this just because it's Rasmussen (who also showed significant shifts in the MO and NJ polls - not that I'm worried about NJ) or just because it's early...and it's not that early, November isn't that far off. Does Obama really have money issues? Is the 3:1 ad buy advantage claimed by McCain's campaign making a difference? Is the drilling/tax holiday BS working for McCain? Both candidates have had good and bad days/weeks since the end of the Dem primary but, in my opinion, they've pretty much balanced each other out. And the Rasmussen daily tracker proved that out - until this week.
July 11, 2008 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think McCain is getting more traction in casting the themes for the election.
Obama seems only to be working the McCain = Bush theme, despite so many opportunities to work in other powerful themes, such as "McCain the Flip-flopper", and "McCain = rich, elitist, and out of touch with mainstream America."
Meanwhile, McCain's team continues to push on all fronts, throwing anything that will stick and even things that don't. They're being relentless (and shameless) in their pursuit of casting Obama as unamerican, elitists, a flip-flopper, etc.
Playing defense, or playing to run out the clock won't work. Team Obama needs to remain on offense, pushing the themes they want out there, not just defending Obama against McCain's attacks.
Like I said yesterday, the 'Dr. Phill' line was a good ha-ha moment, but where did Obama tie it all into a theme? Obama needs to harp on Gramm and anything else related to the McCain campaign that smacks of being out-of-touch and elitist.
The media loves McCain and they won't do it for Obama. So team Obama must aggressively send out the surrogates and have them say it on the media outlets. Force the bobble-heads to talk about the issue - even if it is in defense of McCain, it doesn't matter, just get the bobble-heads to address the topic until the conversation takes on a life of its own. That's how it's done, but the Obama camp isn't doing it.
July 11, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2008/Story?id=5351864&page=1
Uh oh, looks like cut-and-run Obama might have some more nuancing ahead.
In light of his "information" that caused him to flip on FISA, who's going to believe he will actually do what he says on Iraq.
Obama is not to be trusted.
Words and deeds, words and deeds.
July 11, 2008 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
You obviously haven't been listening. Please read Gail Collins's column in the New York Times. The column captures the essence of the Obama candidacy.
July 11, 2008 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
ABC News reports that military officials under the command of George Bush during this election year say Obama's plan won't work?
Boy, now there's a shocker.
July 11, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama claimed he was going to listen to the people on the ground.
Will he or won't he?
You're suggesting he won't.
Words and deeds, words and deeds.
July 11, 2008 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nope. I'm not suggesting he won't.
I'm suggesting those commanders are being fed a script by BushCo to undermine Obama's campaign. Imagine that.
And ABC News? Please.
July 11, 2008 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dodd's been my VP choice from the beginning.
If he was from Virginia, Missouri, or Ohio, he'd be a complete slam dunk, but he's still a solid choice.
July 11, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
According to a new Zogby poll, Senator Obama is ahead in arizona, this is great news...
And I also would like to point out that Wolfson is not part of the Obama campaign, and i doubt he has any information about who is being vetted. There are no reports that Wolfson has been talking to Caroline Kennedy or any one else one for that matter...
July 11, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton does not need vetting.
BTW, her campaign is just on hold not ended.
Denver....Denver....
July 11, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, she has endorsed Obama, so any attempt to wrest the nomination from him now would bring with it major backlash.
Face it, she's done. She ran a good race but she lost. It happens.
July 11, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Clinton does not need vetting."
This is one the biggest untruths out there.
Yes, she's been active for years. But she has never been involved in a national campaign against Republicans on her own. She has always been the secondary target.
Which means we have no idea what kind of oppo the GOP may or may not have against her.
July 11, 2008 10:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the point is that vetting is a two-way street -- you don't dig into a potential VP's finances and other background looking for potential bombshells without their cooperation. So Wolfson's supposed source of information would be whether the Obama campaign has been talking to Clinton people about this, not because he has an "in" with the Obama campaign.
However, considering that he's a newly minted Fox News Democrat, I still wouldn't trust him any further than I could comfortably spit a live rat.
July 11, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Message of McCain Hispanic ad: Hispanics have often been fodder for America's misadventures abroad, and today they continue to be.
July 11, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like Chris Dodd and certainly won't object if he gets the nod. Worth noting that he won't help swing any battleground states. McCain minions would undoubtedly portray him as yet another elite Northeastern liberal.
July 11, 2008 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Former Hillary Clinton spokesman Howard Wolfson said on Fox News last night that the Obama campaign is not vetting Hillary for vice president, to the best of his knowledge.
I would bet that upon taking his job at Fox, Wolfson would have been effectively cutoff from any meaningful information from with the Hillary camp. I'm willing to guarantee that should Wolfson get the scoop that Hillary was close to getting the VP nod, she would instantly be removed from consideration.
McCain Hits Obama For Missing Vote That He Missed, Too Good work on CNN's part for spotting this: John McCain has been criticizing Barack Obama's national security credentials for missing the September 2007 vote on the Kyl-Lieberman amendment. But McCain, who has missed the vast majority of Senate votes since he began running for president, also skipped out on that vote.
Also, at the time of that vote it was reported that Obama in addition to being in NH, was way-layed with the flu or another stomach ailment, and wasn't really available to come to Washington - though I assume that his vote been crucial to passage he might have been able to make or they could have delayed the vote for him.
I find it puzzling that the MSM isn't making a bigger deal out of McCain taking weekends off from the campaign, and ALSO skipping important Senate votes. Obviously any candidate for President is going to miss some votes, but if it seems that they are missing the votes because they only want to work 5 days-a-week and they've decided that their Senate work will have to put on hold so those 5 days all fall during the work week, that is clearly short changing the citizens of Arizona.
July 11, 2008 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
If obama was doing 1/2 the things mcbush is doing he would be drawn and quartered by the right-wing media. It truly is amazing how mcbush is treated versus mcbush.
July 11, 2008 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
i'm putting my money on chet edwards.
rationale: geographic balance, record of winning in gop territory, strong military support, in line with obama on other issues, white male in his late 50s.
sebelius, richardson offer one too many firsts; webb, strickland and rendell have all pulled themselves from the process; warner is needed to gain a senate seat; control of the senate is critical, so dodd and biden, like webb, are staying put; hagel disagrees on every position obama holds besides the war, but he will pop up in the cabinet; powell is too tainted by iraq tho he will likely pop up in the cabinet; bayh is too young; j.edwards won't run a second time as vp, but shoudl get new cabinet level position on poverty; clinton brings too much bill baggage, will likely get debt relief and a first look at a supreme court slot. could be another sleeper out there with military experience that i've missed, but i think cats like clarke and zinni are already out the mix.
thoughts?
July 11, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
oh, and i should add his weaknesses: from the house, and not a governor or someone with extensive executive experience.
gkp
July 11, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Uh oh, conspiracy alert!
So who exactly is Obama going to talk to if these military leaders are Bush sock puppets? You are doubting military commander's honesty. You are calling them liars.
No. These are the guys who know exactly what is happening and they say it would be a disaster to pull out based on Obama's plans.
Obama cannot be trusted to do the right thing.
July 11, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
btw...that 12% had "Obama is a christian" tatooed on their forearms and still said Obama is a Muslim. It's the same 12% who don't care about the truth only their own opinion or the opinion of whatever authoritarian personality they are following. They are not mis-informed or ignorant. They are truth deniers and half of the 27%ers backing Bush...and yes Bush is running for a 3rd term according to them...so screw off.
I wondered which republican the neocons were willing to sacrifice along with Obama during his Iraq visit where they will be attacked by "terrorists". What the hell does Obama expect he will learn by visiting that dog and pony show where he can only go where they take him, only see what they show him, all the time being "protected" by those who want to see him destroyed. Look at how much good it did McCain and Graham...they said the same before as they did after their visit. Hell, he could talk to soldiers who just returned and learn as much. Pointless danger...but mustn't appear weak even if it kills him.
July 11, 2008 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
after barack's fisa flip-flop, dodd for veep would do more to sully my respect for dodd than it would to help me get past the soul-sucking pain and violent nausea of having to vote for obama to vote against mccain. but that doesn't mean it wouldn't help a little. since at this point barack has to win back my vote against mccain, picking dodd as his running mate would be a step in the right direction. (and even though the bill obama helped get passed does IRREPARABLE harm - to the country, not merely my opinion of obama which was only confirmed by his show of cowardice/capitulation/complicity wrt the bush administration - i'd hope dodd would attach some strings re the restoration of the bill of rights.) but i'd only believe it if i saw it.
July 13, 2008 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink