Gallup indicated that Obama got a sizable bump after Hillary conceded on Saturday. Up until now, they've been using a 5 day rolling average for the general election match up. They will now be moving to a 3 day average (like the primary matchup) so we should see a big bump for Obama in the next couple of days.

Oh, I'm sure Bammers (as I affectionately call him) has plenty up his sleeves to keep us all interested and McCain on the run.

Plouffe and co. are running a real, real smart campaign. Looking forward to the fall!!!

Don't forget to get out there and get your feet on the ground for Obama this fall. Change some minds!

Yes, we can!

People (i.e., media) who set the bar at double digits are smoking something (I'm looking at you, Chuck Todd). He cannot sustain a double digit lead, even if he were to touch it briefly. We'll be lucky to stay 4-6 pts ahead.

This isn't any kind of bump, it's a FIST bump.

It'll even out when the 527s swing into action, of course.

NPR resident political guru hizself David Brooks on Friday last predicted that Obama would climb and keep climbing vis a vis McCain until late October when things would tighten up. He called the general for Obama, in any event.

More importantly, McCain is polling in the low to mid 40s. This is significantly less than Bush's polling numbers during this same time in 2004 and is a major sign of weakness that will not show up in the polling data. Of course, this could all change between now and November, but it's still very good news for Obama.

The polls mean little, but they do vindicate those who called out the spin of the past few months for the bullshit that it was.

these tracking polls would be a bit more meaningful if we chose a president based on popular vote.

The state polls are more helpful to see where the swing states are leaning.

Don't take anything for granted. Call the Democratic Party in your area. Become a neighborhood leader and start RIGHT NOW canvassing folks identified as strong Democrats. Get these folks to give the Party--and Obama--a few hours every week. Take advantage of the good weather and Daylight Savings Time.

Organize them and get them out on the streets in your neighborhood. Talk, resiter voters, handle all questions and concerns. Talk to them about Obama and how he will be good for America and for their personal situation. Don't lie. Tell the truth always. If needed, pull in party hotshots to handle a voter's problem.

Afraid to do this? Team up with someone and just start talking to your neighbors. It's not hard and you'll meet some great folks and, best of all, they will live close to you.

Get crackin' folks. Best, cube.

I have been watching the polls for some time. McCain has a hard time getting about 45. I am not sure that his ceiling isn't around 45-46. If that is the case and given the expected low Republican turnout the election could be a blow out.

This poll doesn't even take into account the Bob Barr effect, does it? That should peel at least another 2-3 points off McSame's numbers.

Too early to mean much. Watch the battleground states.

Nice to be on top, tho...

if you thought iwas alone... you are wrong. we are a coalition of millions with one thing in common: NObama

this should not bother most here as you have all said we are not real democrats and you don't need us anyway.

Michelle-

It is true there have been nasty comments and there is NO EXCUSE for them to be directed at the mass of Hillary supporters as a whole. Ridiculous to generalize about the whole of Obama supporters as it is Clinton's. In fact, I wouldn't do it about most of the folks here either.

I'd also like to add-

I'm an Obama supporter but I've never held anything against those who supported Clinton and i suspect that most Obama supports (and Clinton in reverse)feel the same. It is the candidates that receive most of the pariase of criticism-not the supporters, IMO.

CT voter:

the gut who made that offer had better start saving lots of money because the grassroots battle for the democratic party has just begun.

I'm a Clinton supporter whw's undecided between Obama and McCain.

But everytime I read one of the smug Obama supporters ripping on Hillary with talk of trolls or a troll fund pushes me more towards McCain.

This psuedo-intellectual attitude that many Obama supporters have when it comes to Hillary or now McCain will push many Clinton people into McCains camp.

Instead of acting like Obama is so superior to anyone else only idiots and trolls would vote against him, why don't you try appealing to voters beyond the left wing of the Democratic party

Sorry LA, but its laughable to think it's not directed an Hillary.

The only time I've seen the term used on this forum is to denigrate some post by a Hillary supporter.

If I'm wrong, please show me where an Obama supporters has been termed an troll when going overboard on Hillary.

McCain had a really bad week last week, with his terrible speech the night when Obama won the nomination and then being contradicted by local press in New Orleans about whether or not he voted against aid packages to the city, among other things. You'd expect him to leak support if he was
doing this badly.

Alex

Folks; If you think the race is really close now, image how much better Senator McCain would be doing if he were still alive!

you are right. that Olive Stone film may do some damage to McCain's campaign. who knows, but the press will cover it because its about Bush and politics. and I like that 'Nick Fury' avatar of yours. i didnt like the end of Iron Man with Sam Jackson as the 'new' Nick Fury. cant they keep the characters the way they were written!

It's not a bump. It's a Dap.

Wait...

David Brooks knows as much about politics as my grandmother..and she's dead.

I'll get happy when it gets to double digits.

i am a hillary supporter who will vote for mccain most likely. i just think he best represents my way of thinking and personal values. i am just not sure that obama is ready enough for the pressure and responsibilities. if people don't talk real nicely to me i will never be able to embrace their candidate. we hillary supporters demand total subserviance in the face of our defeat. obama must apologise. i still won't vote for him though.

It seems as if the initial coverage of Obama's victory never began. The coverage went from who will be the nominee directly to what will Hillary do to the question of whether Obama would be forced to take Hillary as a running mate to who will Obama choose as his vice president. In large measure the coverage of Obama's historic victory was more of an afterthought.

the coverage of obama's victory was lost in hillary's defeat but guess what? she is over and out. and that is real, permanent, and total. and sport coaches always deplore premature celebrations. so we can wait til election night for the big one.

It's better to be ahead than behind, but at this point, the polls mean nothing. After every significant event, a candidate receives a bump or a hit. It's usually transient. The important thing is to look for long term trends in series of polls.

kaneblues, i am very confused it is true. but surely you agree obama must apologise.

Kevin, Please let's just look at the candidate and what he is saying and not what some of the people here are. I'm an Obama supporter and I can only imagine your disappointment. Many have succumbed to the "30-second sound bite" and there are a lot of flip remarks here. I hope that you will not attribute these views to Obama. Just look at the issues and the candidates positions on the issues and let that be your guide not the views of posters on these sites. Please don't let yourself be "pushed" by anyone into making a decision out of frustration or resentment. Too many times in the past people have voted without considering the issues and positions and have yielded to emotions and resentments. Just get the facts and if after that you decide to vote for John McCain then you will have made the right decision for you.