Obama won't be posing with tanks. There, he'll keep Michael Dukakis' lead.

Whattya bet Bush stages some belligerent activity to try to change the math for McC. Iran anyone?
And it won't help McC, but it'll be another fish hook that will rip a big hole when it's pulled out. Bush always leaves big messes for others to clean up. He's got another 7 months to do it.

fivethirtyeight sez:
Newsweek's poll is the attention-getter, showing Barack Obama leading John McCain by 15 points. Is Barack Obama actually ahead by 15 points? Of course not. Newsweek's data tends to be fairly volatile, and we have a whole bunch of polling on both the state and national level that implies that Obama's real margin is closer to 5 points. Nevertheless, he has broken through a barrier of sorts. The last instance I can identify when a Democrat held a 15-point lead over a Republican nominee in any individual November trial heat poll is from November, 1996, when CBS News gave Bill Clinton an 18-point lead over Bob Dole on the eve of the election.

I don't like the Kennedyesque logo you have. Barack Walker McBama has demonstrated today that he is no agent of change. He certainly isn't a man of the people. He craps on the Constitution just like the rest of them.

I had hope until Barack Walker McBama had the audacity to support immunity.

You mean your "inner Obamamaniac."
I started with Edwards too, but I put Obama on the same level as John.
Let this play out before you let disappointment get the better of your feelings.
You know Obama's with us.

If you're disappointed, call him and let him know. This is the Obama headquarters office number:

1-866-675-2008

When the automated router comes on, press '6' to speak to a live person. (Note: you'll need to call during office hours to reach a live person.)

If you are voting for him, you must still think he's better than McCain (and you would be right). Why wouldn't you volunteer and donate to him? Beating McCain is absolutely vital. Obama is on the right side of that issue- he's just not willing to throw himself on the railroad tracks for it.

"BO is done now burning the constitution and single handedly ensuring passage of the telecom immunity, and new invasive, unlimited, unmonitored, and unaccountable state spying on the president's word."

Yeah, 'cause it was his idea. I want him to vote against it too, and I really hope he at minimum gets rid of the immunity provisions, but it takes 535 to tango. This is way more Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi than BHO.

He may not be who you think he was but I am seeing exactly what I expected. He is a winner. The best leader we have seen in over a generation. He said he will fight to get the immunity removed from the bill but if that fails he will vote for the bill. That is a pragmatic aproach that will get him elected. I have given before and will give again. He is exactly what we need and this one vote does not change that.

lol, yes, he singlehandedly did it all, no Republicans or corporate Democrats involved, it isn't Pelosi's fault or Reid's fault or anyone's fault but Obama, because he is still against amnesty and has only accepted that the rest of the bill is politically inevitable. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.

How ungrateful people are, the man makes the right decision 99.9% of the time, and on this he is still against the bad part of the bill and will try to get it removed, and yet everyone throws up their hands and say he can go to hell because he didn't say it strongly enough for their liking, and suddenly everything wrong in the world is Obama's fault. Nice

I am in total and complete agreement.

In the last 24 hours or sow, Obama just jumped the shark - at least for me.

Here at TPM they noted the day before that Obama cut an add supporting a blue dog house democrat from Georgia who is for continuing the war, for keeping bushes tax cuts, the whole Lieberman nine yards.

Then he forgoes public funding of campaigns, totally destroying the concept of it in my life time.

Then he endorses the FISA immunity bill - which creates a precedent where any president can do the same thing Bush did, and promise retroactive immunity at some future date. It totally destroys our constitutional protections.

To cap it all off there's this http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/opinion/20brooks.html?hp

Brooks NYTimes column provides a multidimensional bullseye (including timing of the column) on labeling Obama as just another quick change artist politician.

I'm done backing Obama. I'll vote for him, sure. But he's not "change we can believe in" he's "the same we can not believe in" kind of politician.

Just another lying sack in a suit with a nice turn of phrase.

Yeah, he's got my vote, but that's it.

And I doubt we'll see universal health care in our life times. If not now, its never.

Amen, brutha, amen!

I took it as a simple reminder that this is only June, and nothing is settled yet and there hasn't been a single vote cast thus far.

I didn't mind the reference to be honest. There's still a lot of work to do.

And what brilliant savior do the Republicans have in store for when he does? One of the candidates who could not even beat McCain? Rudy? Mittster? A different Bush? It would be un-Republican to do something so unusual, but if they did, I expect the replacement would get trounced even worse. (And consider how divided the party would likely be after a smoke-filled room replacement process, which would strike even Republicans as undemocratic.) I think they're stuck with McSame.

wow, that's actually a decent idea for them. (provided they could get a real conservative celebrity like condi as the candidate)

Let's hope they don't read Huffpo...

Nah, no worries. McCain is the best the Repubs have right now. No one with a brain wants to run as a Repub this year. At least McC has a slight chance because of his reputation. It is too bad for the republicans that he has been stupid enough to move to the right with an eye on the presidency. Had he stuck to his more moderate stance on issues, he would be doing a lot better now. It just goes to show that when you sell your soul for political ambition - you end up paying in the long run.

You could have made the same prediction about Bob Dole in 1996. The fact of the matter is, the Republicans have nothing this year and they know it. There is no savior for them.

Is this snark?

And about those poll results? The public supports wiretapping, and doesn't give a crap about immunity (to its detriment, of course), so Obama's stand on FISA isn't going to do a thing except prevent Republicans from calling him "soft on terror".

Calm down, you are acting like a complete idiot.

"Of course the poll was taken BEFORE Obama caved on FISA."

Give me a break with that bullshit..

My favorite red state where Obama is in the hunt is Alaska, even though it's obviously got fewer electoral votes than some of the others. I hope he goes up there, raises some money for Begich and Berkowitz, visits some melting permafrost, and shows the flag for the 50 state strategy.

May I say, I love your alliteration on a Friday night.