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Poll: Obama Has Big Lead In New Hampshire
A new Rasmussen poll of New Hampshire gives Barack Obama a big lead in this swing state, which went narrowly to George W. Bush in 2000 and then switched to John Kerry in 2004.
The numbers: Obama 50%, McCain 39%. A month ago, Obama had only a 48%-43% edge.
Meanwhile, Rasmussen gives McCain a small lead in Nevada, which voted for Bush twice: McCain 45%, Obama 42%, within the ± 4.5% margin of error.
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It's been awhile since Obama really campaigned in Nevada. That's most certainly a battleground.
June 20, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
i think he could easily take both those state
http://sensico.wordpress.com/2008/06/20/dwc-checklist-4-change-part-2/
June 20, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've always rolled my eyes when people put NH as a likely McCain state or even a tossup on their little prediction maps. People need to pay a little less attention to polls, or what happened in 2004, and start using their heads a bit.
June 20, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know. If there is a blue state McCain can take, NH seems to be it.
June 20, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Buwahahaha, Ambinders just gave New Hampshire to McCain saying his people on the ground there tell him the liberal wave has crested.
June 20, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess the ratsmussen push polling didn't work this time in NH. I'd still add 5 to obama on this poll.
June 20, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
a) Whatever Rasmussen does they appear to be decently accurate most of the time.
b) This doesn't surprise me. Us here in VT have been influencing our neighbor for the past few years. Our liberal agendas seem to be working quite well. =)
June 20, 2008 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The economy was the topic when Obama met with just over half the nation's Democratic governors Friday morning in the city his campaign has made a center of national party politics this election year.
The 16 governors -- there are 28 Democratic governors nationwide -- hail from blue states, red states and swing states. In attendance were Dave Freudenthal (WY), John Baldacci (ME), David Paterson (NY), Joe Manchin, III (WV), Ted Strickland (OH), Kathleen Sebelius (KS), Edward Rendell (PA), Janet Napolitano (AZ), Jim Doyle (WI), Jennifer Granholm (MI), Bill Richardson (NM), Martin O'Malley (MD), Christine Gregoire (WA), Jon Corzine (NJ), Mike Easley (NC) and Ted Kulongoski (OR).
Obama said he brought the group together in part because the unique role of governors requires a focus on solutions rather than partisanship"
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/06/20/1157949.aspx
June 20, 2008 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I predict McCain will have inched ahead in the Gallup poll by next week. Obama's taken a beating (albeit temporary) over his opting out of public financinc, and McCain's offshore drilling folderol will appeal to some voters for a while until they (hopefully) can be turned on to what a load of crap it is.
June 20, 2008 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I predict that won't matter as this thing is starting to genuinely slip away from McCain. And McCain is probably the strongest candidate they could have run.
June 20, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
from my understanding all the PUMA voters are supposed to say they are voting OBAMA. our goal is to screw with the polling process. a very large PUMA population in new hampshire. i wonder if this has an impact on the polls?
June 20, 2008 10:09 PM | Reply | Permalink