Told you he would rock. ;)

Tena? Can Texas be far behind?

I know one poll doesn't mean much this early out. But when pretty much every poll is saying the same thing, then it starts to carry significance.

So on Nov. 4 will we be singing:

Tonight I'm gonna party
Like it's Nine-teen Six-ty four!

Top 10 songs of 1964:

10. Last Kiss, Frankie Wilson
9. We'll Sing in the Sunshine, Gale Garnett
8. My Guy, Mary Wells
7. Everybody Loves Somebody Sometime, Dean Martin
6. I Get Around, Beach Boys
5. Pretty Woman, Roy Orbison
4. Hello Dolly, Louis Armstrong
3. She Loves You, Beatles
2. I Wanna Hold Your Hand, Beatles
1. Needles and Pins, Searchers

As a former Hoosier, I am amazed. But what I really want for Christmas is Arizona.

I always said Indiana was in the running, so this really doesn't surprise me that much. But glad to hear it, nonetheless. =)

As much as news like this makes me want to clap my hands and jump around like a dork - I don't want to get too wrapped up in these polls. Surely things look good now but polls aren't elections and 4 months is a long time in politics. (Think of what happened in the space of time from Iowa to Pennsylvania).

We need to donate and volunteer and be noisy supporters. Even if Obama is less than perfect, it shouldn't diminish efforts to get him elected because McCain really is a 3rd Bush term and if you can't get excited about Obama - then get excited about getting the freaking Republicans out of office.

Good news, this.

Whether he ultimately can win the state or not, Obama is once again going to force McCain to waste resources playing frenzied defense in a red state. A deep red state this time around, at that.

That, in a nutshell, is how you win. Get your oppontent playing defense deep in their own territory. Sooooo enjoyable to watch.

C'mon McCain, get those ad buys up in Indy. Heh.

Yeah, I'm surprised nobody else has deconstructed those Oregon numbers. The cross tabs stink like dead Klamath salmon. Three points back?! PLZ.

If Barry doesn't whoop up by at least six points in OR, I will eat a good shoe.

I'll drink to that.

Landslide coming.

There are a lot of older Mark Hatfield/Tom McCall Republicans in Oregon who haven't voted that way for president since Reagan, but still vote for the likes of Gordon Smith in the Senate. McCain's reputation and record appeals to this group enough that this poll doesn't surprise me.

I do believe that as they get to know more about both candidates that the movement will be in Obama's direction and that the he'll carry the state handily. Can we win the Senate seat too? Very tough but I think it can be done and I'll be out there doing what I can.

Let us not get too cocky too early. There is a lot of work to do. We really need a giant Democratic turnout and a lot of coattails all the way down the ticket. I would love to see a giant swing in the house and a ten seat swap in the Senate. Impossible, maybe, but then again, maybe not.

Do u guys think putting Bayh on the ticket would guarantee Indiana? How do you feel about him on the ticket?

no he won't. kentucky is a republican stronghold, regrettably. he won't win here. i'll be shocked if he does. Missouri is aother state that will be hard for him. I know he has Sen. MaCatskill (sp?) supporting him, but I'm ot sure he can win there.

what happens in the primaries is not an indication of what will happen in the general election. For example, ho lost california and ma, but he will win those in the general. he losy MI, but I think he will win MI, and PA

Not to piss on the parade - I luuuuuuuuuuv these numbers too - but, it is early, this is reflective of a post-primary bump, and I predicts things well settle back a bit closer over the next few weeks or months, although Obama may still retain his lead.

Also, while folks are noting this will force McCain's hand in terms of defending traditionally red states, it will also force his hand in attacking Obama's character to a degree which would make even the swiftboater's blush. The 527's and local party bosses will do the dirty work, but it is coming, BIG TIME. Brace yourselves against the barrage that's about to come and don't be surprised if it is at least partially successful - especially in traditionally red states. So, get ready to fight the good fight, because these numbers are making it look easier than it's gonna be.

Time for the repugs to crank up the Stevie Nicks.... "I been 'fraid a changin'..."

And before you accuse a person who was born and raised in Kentucky and forced to learn the seven states that border it by heart in grade school, and again in his Kentucky History classe, of trolling TPM, maybe you might want to first look at a map yourself.

Illinois is that state on the map squished in there between Indiana and Missouri, both of which also border Kentucky. Illinois is bordered on the South by the Ohio River, which forms Kentucky's northern border. Grant was stationed in Cairo, Illinois at the start of the Civil War. His assignment was to camp out there until the South violated Kentucky's self-proclaimed neutrality at which point he was to move into the state himself. And know why they stationed him there? Because it's right across the border from, where? Anybody? Yes, that's right, Kentucky.

And if refreshing your recollection of U.S. geography is too much trouble, you might at least consider taking a look at a person's comment and blogging history history before you accuse them of trolling.

LATimes poll has Obama up 12 POINTS!
49-37. He leads by 15 when you add in Barr and Nader: 48-33.
Maybe the Newsweek one wasn't such an outlier. Still only one poll, 4 months to go...

This year represents a sea change in American politics, and it's not limited to Indiana. People are sick and tired of being lied to by Republicans. People are starting to catch on that the Republicans don't care about the middle class. It's not just the Presidential race, but Republican candidates of all kinds are on the run. When incumbent Republican Senators in states like KY, NC, TX and NC are struggling, that tells you something.

Bush&Co. has screwed the pooch and it will take the R's years to recover from it.

Nahh.. all the Petulant PUMA voters will cancel this out. ;-)

survey usa always overestimates obama's strength. everybody knows that. anderson cooper wants to know if obama crossed the line with his recent race statements.

SUSA nailed the Ohio primary, so I think it varies from state to state.

My wife's parents - conservative Lutherans who've never voted Democratic in their life - are both Obama supporters who live in Indiana. Looks like there are more like them.