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Poll: Nevada A Dead Heat For President
A new Mason-Dixon poll shows a competitive race for Nevada, a swing Western state that went for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, but then for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004.
The numbers: McCain 44%, Obama 42%, within the ±4% margin of error.
The Obama campaign has vowed to fight for Western states, but Nevada appears to be a tougher sell than either Colorado or New Mexico, where polls have put him ahead.
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How is that a tougher sell due to the margin of error in this poll?
June 16, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, I didn't think Obama would be THIS competitive here. Spectacular!
June 16, 2008 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
He'll do it, not a problem. It's gonna be a wipeout in November.
June 16, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Im surprised nevada is in play but Obama won big in the rural areas of Nevada so I guess thats why its a dead heat and by the way I wish that the political pundits would mention the margin of error when talking about these polls too.
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June 16, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
obama has been free to take mccain on w/o negative hrc bashing for barely two weeks...his progess in a mccain friendly state such as nevada is remarkable..keep it up keep it up...dead heat is good news...but lets remember that even if he takes the lead, it is only a poll after all, a poll taken months before the real deal...
lets not get so gungho about polls even though it just boosted morale on my end...heeheh
June 16, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
A new Mason-Dixon poll shows a competitive race for Nevada, a swing Western state that went for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, but then for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004.
Or maybe NV was/is a fundamentally conservative state that "happened" to vote for Clinton due to Perot's share of the vote. Sort of like how Clinton won Montana -- Montana! -- in '92 because of Perot. Or how he came within a couple points of winning Texas that year.
Nevada's traditionally a tough state (though I suspect and hope that is changing), and Obama appearing to do so well there so early is a fantastic result. The barest familiarity with recent electoral history could have given this post some useful -- and desperately needed -- context.
June 16, 2008 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure about Reno and Carson City, but here in Vegas it's a Republican stronghold. Lots of older, conservative folks have moved here over the years for the cheap real estate (though not so cheap lately). Seeing as Obama did well against Clinton in the rural areas, if Obama can maintain his strong rural support and win big in Vegas, I think he'll win the state. Vegas baby, Vegas!
June 16, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink