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Poll: Dems Satisfied With Obama As Nominee -- And Republicans Aren't With McCain

A new number from the latest Hotline/Diageo poll goes a long way toward dispelling the idea that Barack Obama is leading a seriously divided party. On the contrary, the poll suggests that it's John McCain who has a problem in this regard.

The poll, conducted in the wake of Obama's clinching the nomination and including sampling dates from before Hillary Clinton's final concession, found that 68% of Democratic primary voters were satisfied with Obama as the nominee, with 30% preferring someone else.

By contrast, only 52% of Republican primary voters were satisfied with John McCain as their nominee, with 45% preferring someone else. And this is despite the fact that McCain sewed up his nomination months ago, while Democratic emotions were still raw when this poll was conducted.


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I'm going to be interested to see how the evangelical vote/turnout plays out in November. These numbers plus Obama currently leading among independents has to have McCain between a rock and a hard place when it comes to VP choice, too.

... between a rock and a hard place...

Ooooh! Sounds like something I could get into!

Hey! Quit flirting with Mr Hanky while you've got your hand up my butt!!!

All the bloviating and supposed division has nearly evaporated - and it's only been a week.

Let's please remember this for the next time we have a highly contested Dem primary.

It depends upon how we (Dems) are divided. In this instance it wasn't ideological, thank the heavens.

Wow! This is indeed quite interesting, I must say!

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You are either Pro-Obama or Anti-Obama nobody is Pro-Mccain.

So true.

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On one of the Sunday shows I heard a pundit say that there is only one candidate in this race, Barack Obama. If a voter thinks he is acceptable they go for him. A vote for McCain is just a vote against Obama.

On the contrary, the poll suggests that it's John McCain who has a problem in this regard.

This is one of the most underreported stories around.

The media is happy to trumpet the idea that Obama is the standard bearer of a divided party, happily fueled by bitter Hillary supporters, when the reality is the opposite.

McCain, on the other hand, presides over a very weakened rethuglican coalition. Evangelical's may break by as much as 40% to Obama. The knuckle-draggers of the party--those 28% that still think Bush walks on water--can't stand him and think of him as a Rhino, a truth that McCain's own mother likes to point out.

So I find it rather odd that the media plays up Obama's presumed weaknesses with the democrats while McCain--who had three months as presumptive nominee--hasn't sewed up his own base.

We should establish a PAC and a voter drive to ensure that Bob Barr gets on the ballot in as many states as possible. The parallels with the 92 election are just too good to pass up!

Barr could help tip Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia in the south and perhaps Nevada and Colorado in the west. 5-10% is all it takes. Viva Libertarian Party!

Don't forget that 25% of Republicans took the time to come out and vote against McCain in PA, NC, and IN... all AFTER he clinched the nomination.

In Missouri, at least, McCain didn't so much win the primary as the two-headed social conservative movement defeated itself. I looked at those primary results with great amusement - it couldn't have happened to a more deserving bunch of wingnuts.

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After mcbush's performance is anybody shocked by this? I'm not. If I was a republican I would be hoping for a miracle at this point as well. Mcbush is awful. No charisma, no brains, zippo. I still think that obama could break 350 at least and we are just getting warmed up.

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Who are the Republicans now? Bush, Rove, Abramhoff, Gonzales, Rumsfeld, Cheney, etc, have really hurt the Republican brand. It is sunk as it is.

McCain cannot run on the Republican record, but he cannot do without the Republican base either. It seems to me he is sunk. Is the kool-aid in effect or not?

Once McCain really tries to debate Obama in a fair and open forum, it will be all over. Obama will needle him with facts, and McCain will explode or look foolishly ignorant.

BP

That's not change we can believe in.

cue sickly smile...

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I prefer the description 'death rictus'

Obama is going to surprise a lot of folks as this election unfolds. I am not surprised about his strength even this early on.

There is another angle to an Obama victory that hasn't been much discussed, but is worth considering.

"Obama: It's the Name, Stupid"
http://msa4.wordpress.co/

Couple of interesting things-

#1- In almost every single favorability poll, McC does well over all, but people have very soft opinions. No one really hates him but no one really likes him either. He gets the 'somewhat favorable/unfavorable' responses but relatively few 'Verys'. This doesn't bode overly well for McCain with a dynamic opponent like Obama. It is basically Obama's race to win or lose. Conversely- Obama is either loved or hated. He gets a lot of Very favorables but also a lot of Very unfavorables. Some people really just don't like Obama. On the whole he is getting alot more very favorables than anything else and has a higher favorablity than McC so non-Obama people aren't hurting him too much.

#2- Pollster is begining to show some promising trends. With the exception of FL, every state with enough polls to calculate trends - McCain is at best holding steady in the last month. Most of them, particularly swing states, show McCain is declining. Obama is declining in some of those as well, but not to the same extent McC is and in those cases, I think Obama just needs to get people more comfortable with him and the state is his.

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I think that the 30% dems who are not sure should be pointed to yesterday's Supreme Court ruling and reminded of what would happen to the make-up of the court if McSame was elected.

Amen to that.

Lest you forget, the media is controlled ny rich Republicans.

I was reminded of that reality last night while watching MSNBC at the gym. The talking heads -- even on that relatively less conservative network -- have a built-in bias for the Republicans, assuming things that shouldn't be assumed. Last night, for example, their pundits -- with the notable exception of the wonderful Rachel Maddow -- all nodded knowingly at the assertion that violence is now down in Iraq and that the war issue is "working" for McSame. WTF? What planet are these people living on? Iraq is as FUBAR now as it has ever been, a majority of Americans want us out, and this is a winning issue for the Republicans?? But this kind of bias, displayed and repeated night after night, just reinforces a built-in handicap for the Republicans and makes it clear that -- even with a demonstrably more likeable, dynamic and effective candidates -- the Democrats start out with a couple strikes against them.

It seemed that the Republicans were looking for the perfect man: strong, ideologically pure. And none of the clowns seemed quite perfect. One too this, other too that.

Democrats wanted someone who would win and get things done. Clean up the mess. There weren't many ideological differences. It was not 1968. The biggest diff was who was more electable, more experienced, more inspirational. There might be some who think Obama doesn't qualify in that regard, but no one thinks he's going to go against any major planks of the platform.

that poll is garbage showing Obama just up 2%

if you scroll down you will see that they ask who the respondents voted for in 2004.

bush has a 13% lead over Kerry.. yet he only won by 3%.

so they polled way more bush voters than they did Kerry voters for this poll...

the poll is rubbish (not surprising that its Diago which is one of the worst).. i think Obama is really up by 10%, not 3%..

It's important to remember that McSame won the Republican nomination by default after Rudy! imploded, Fred Thompson disintegrated, Mittens disgusted, and Huckleberry frightened. No enthusiasm there; McSame was the least repugnant, the last one standing.

By contrast, Obama, Hillary and Edwards all had enthusiastic supporters; Obama had to do everything right to win. So with the Dems, we've got the best of the best; with the Repugs, they've got the best of a bad lot. I think this poll reflects that dynamic, which should continue throughout the campaign.

Very astute comment.

Thanks, Doof!


The reason Clinton supporters will not vote for Obama is because they are embarrassed of him, his life, his unfair tactics and his beliefs. And they still don't know all about him.

They don't want a candidate that has been in a twenty year relationship with Reverend Wright and the Trinity United Church of Christ.

They don’t’ want a candidate that has a twenty year relationship with Father Pflaeger as his compass in life

They don’t want a candidate that went to a church that supports Louis Farrakhan, an anti Semitic racist.

They don't want to defend Black Liberation theology.

They don’t want a candidate that lies about his relationship with Tony Rezko, the Syrian Criminal that sold his property to Obama and supported his campaign.

They don't want a candidate that could work with a domestic terrorist, William Ayers.

They don’t' want a candidate that didn't stand up for the voters of Michigan and Florida.

They don’t want a candidate that Hamas supports.

They don’t want a candidate that Farrakhan and the Nation of Islam support

They don’t want a candidate that has a wife that has just now realized she was proud of our country.

They don’t want a candidate that denies Florida and Michigan their voices

They don’t want a candidate that mentions 57 states in his speeches. 50 states in the USA and 57 states in the Nation of Islam (IOC website)

They don’t want a candidate that fights unfair and steals Michigan delegate votes from his opponent.

They don’t want a candidate that feels sorry to leave a church that is anti American and that preaches hatred and racial views that are cruel and nasty.

They don't want a candidate that is inexperienced.

They don’t want a candidate that considers it a loss to not to be able to attend his anti American, racist Church.

They don’t want a candidate that has a Muslim father.

They don’t’ want a candidate that can’t win a debate

They don’t’ want a candidate that misleads the youth with an ‘Obama girl and her behind in their face”

They don’t want a candidate that says he’s an African American and missed the MLK Remembrance Day and the Louisiana Black Caucus meeting

They don’t want a candidate that has done nothing for humanity except talk about it.

They don’t' want a candidate named; Barack Hussein Obama

He scares them to death.
He is embarrassing.
He is unelectable.

Hey! Back off ObamaGirl!!!

Who's "they"? "They" don't exist except in your dreams or fears.

Please don't feed the trolls.

This is the sort of bad news that could kill an elderly person, such as John McCain, had he lived to see it.

I agree - I personally think, as someone who takes their Christian faith seriously, that the evangelicals will increasingly be a group to be won over by either candidate rather than a "given" for the GOP. Interesting article to that effect at the link below.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2004406277_evangvote11m.html

comment was supposed to be directed to bdh - sorry bout that.

The evangelicals are, I agree, going to play a huge role in this. I note with satisfaction that the newer evangelicals are no longer stuck to the GOP like some kind of expoxy glue. They have wider interests and are more concerned with poverty, decent medical care for everyone, AIDS and food insecurity in Africa than they are with what happens in people's bedrooms.

These evangelicals may go over to Obama if he can show them that he is not some kind of monster and that his values resemble their values. He will never get the older generation of evangelicals, of course. Robertson, Dobson, Hagee and that gang are beyond any arguments. The best thing they could do for the evangelical movement is to retire.

Is that like the paranoid "They?" The imagined "they?" The feared and rejected "they?"

Unless you are ready to identify the "they," I suggest you go back on your meds.

Alecki are you popping the same pills as McBush's wife. Not only is Barack Hussein Obama electable he's going to be the next President...get used to it. The Republicans don't even like McCain. Our best shot at becoming a better America is Barack. You are going to vote for him as well...admit it!

The evangelical vote is up for grabs. While many will follow old habits, others, especially younger voters will be open to reassesment.

This is especially true becuase McCane creates a terrible theological conflict for the truly Christian. He openly admits to have engaged in adultery and is asking evangelical Christians to ignore their faith and to sanctify and reward his behavior with their votes.

This is easy for McCane to do, as he knows he can not undo the sin and as he wants so badly to be president. Unfortunately, true Christians can not do so in good conscience and it takes overlooking the immorality of overlooking their faith to do so. Hence, McCane puts prospective evangelical supporters in a bind by asking them to ignore the consequences of such a sanctification.

Many will conclude it isn't worth risking their souls for a temporary and purely political outcome.

I think that everyone will be surprised at the number of former Republicans who will not vote that way in November. Quite a few Evangelical Christians will dispatch and vote for Obama. Especially in the South, quite a few Evangelicals will dispatch and vote for the Constitution Party. I'm convinced that those two facts will give Obama a win in a least one of the "safe Red" southern states.

In fact, being a South Carolina native, I think that if Obama were to spend a little time campaigning there, combined with quite a few Republicans running off to join up with the Constitution Party or the Libertarian Party, he could easily win that state. He just has to try.

If there are many more Dems this year than every before and if they are now mostly satisfied with Obama, and if half of the Republicans are not satisfied with McCain, how can McCain be in a virtual tie with Obama in the latest Gallup tracking poll? With the huge Dem advantage in numbers, why isn't Obama well ahead in the poll? I ask this as a fervent Obama supporter.


BUMPER STICKERS:

OBAMA - YES WE CAN!

HILLARY - NO YOU CAN'T

MCCAIN - WHERE'S THE CAN!


Don't vote for him then. Just STFU.

It is over. Get over it. He won fair and square.
Take off your Hillary Goggles.

BTW,If Obama loses and it is show that Hillary's followers caused it she will never be president, EVER.
You can take that to the bank.

Above comment for Alecki

once the republicans start smear more and more like the ones here http://sensico.wordpress.com/2008/06/14/we-know-whos-behind-the-smears/ then that matter, but I still think the democrats will win, but it will be closer then most people think.

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