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Mark Penn: We Should Have Contested Caucuses
Mark Penn has an interesting confession of sorts, buried towards the end of his post-game analysis of why the Clinton campaign lost: The campaign should have done a better job at contesting the caucuses.
"We should have taken on Mr. Obama more directly and much earlier, and we needed a different kind of operation to win caucuses and to retain the support of superdelegates," Penn writes.
Penn adds shortly afterward: "Given her successes in high-turnout primary elections and defeats in low-turnout caucuses, that simple fact may just have had a lot more to do with who won than anyone imagines."
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Than everyone imagines?? Everybody in the freaking universe has known that all along, except for this idiot.
June 8, 2008 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
They ALL are (Penn, McAuliffe, Hillary & Bill, Davis, et al.) in denial. I feel sooooooo sorry for them - NOT!!!
June 9, 2008 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gee... do you think????
Insightful that Penn.
Actually, lots of people (like um, most people) imagine that losing the caucuses lost her the election.
I wish I could make millions making super obvious statements.
No wonder she lost with brain power like this at the helm. I would seriously sue him for political malpractice if I were the Clintons. Not that she doesn't deserve to lose for hiring an idiot like this in the first place...
June 8, 2008 8:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh really? He should talk to the strategist fo the Clinton campaign and really give that person a piece of his min.
Oh; he already did...Never mind.
June 8, 2008 8:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
with insights like these he could get a job as a pundit on TV
June 8, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ha! Exactly my thoughts, Matt. This blockhead is a logical choice for the media punditry. He's as insightful and hip as Joe Scarborough...
June 8, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is he talking about? States with caucuses don't matter.
June 8, 2008 9:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
How many lame excuses can dance inside the skull of a Penn Head?
"That simple fact may just have had a lot more to do with who won than anyone imagines."
Ahem, Mr. Penn Head; Team Obama, imagined it,
from the start; that is why they planned the
Caucus Play, and Played The Caucus Plan.
June 8, 2008 9:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I'm glad he's admitting that there were strategic mistakes and that her defeat wasn't the result of some sort of man-wing conspiracy.
June 8, 2008 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
For a multimillion dollar employee, this guy sure is an underperformer.
Harold Ickes looked like a total loser in the RBC meeting; and Howard Wolfson talks like a moron.
Hillary, her husband and their entire team is a bunch of losers. No wonder they lost. Get this woman out of the public view NOW. Her endorsement and indeed her presence harms the Democratic party far more than it helps.
The uneducated, low-information hicks who helped Hillary win would have voted for anybody running against a black candidate.
June 8, 2008 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still won't admit the strategic vote for the war was the thing that did her in. I'm sure that was his idea (or Bill's), too.
June 8, 2008 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I heard one of her talking head surrogates say that she underestimated the impact of her war vote. Well duh. Underestimated just about everything, didn't they.
June 9, 2008 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
She thought she had this thing nailed down because of Democratic resentment of how Bill was treated in the 90s, so she only had to worry about the general election. She never expected Democrats to expect her to vote Democratic in the Senate.
June 9, 2008 2:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
You simply HAVE to judge the candidate on the folks she/he picks to run the campaign. It is the first indication of the sort of leader, manager, judge of ability, etc. of a would-be POTUS..
Clinton showed very clearly what sort of disorganized mess her White House would have been. The more of her supporters that can see that (and more quickly) the better for the whole Democratic party.
June 8, 2008 9:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
No s**t sherlock !!!
No, She should have run in 2004. That was her year, she would have been stronger than Kerry was and would have one a close election. Barack would not have run until 2012. OR she could have run for Senator from ILL (the state she was born in) and Barack would not have been a Senator from ILL. Politics is about timing, Barack (THANK GOD) had PERFECT timing !
Thank you fellow Obamakins ! Right on TIME !
June 8, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree - I was actually hoping she would run in '04...back when I liked her.
On the other hand if a Dem (Kerry or Clinton) had won in '04 Obama might never have felt the need to run for Pres. Maybe the last 4 years has been the price we paid to get Obama. A steep price to be sure and I hope he is worth it but maybe we needed to go through this hell as a kick in the pants to get this country out of its apathy of the past 30-40 years.
All things being equal, I would prefer to go back 8 years and not go through the hell of Bush but there has to be something positive about this mess - it brought us Obama.
June 8, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agree on all points.
Well-stated!
June 8, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, there are what-ifs a plenty in politics. Such as, what if Bush had not been awarded Florida in 2000. If Gore won again in 04, then we would be looking at an incumbent VP as the favorite to win the Dem nomination in 08. Joe Lieberman.
Shudder.
Now he's shown himself to be what he is: a slimeball, on his way to a very ugly legacy. That may be the ONLY bright spot that resulted from the 2000 election.
June 9, 2008 3:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I too was hoping that Clinton would have run in 04; it was an anybody-but-Bush year, and we ran an anybody; I remain convinced that if Hillary had run, someone who would have been groundbreaking and could have inspired some passion, she would have edged out Bush.
But even if I had a time machine and could go back and convince her of that, I don't know that I would, because I think that the implosion of the Bush administration has revealed the rot at the core of neo-con thinking (exploiting wedge issues, stonewalling the press, siphoning money to lobbyists and corporations, rewriting the constitution, elevation of executive power), and killed it off for good rather than letting it retreat and lick its wounds and recover. I see the Obama candidacy as a direct rebuke to power-in-the-hands-of-the-few model of government that we've seen spiral out of control, and I see that Obama can make his election less about which party is going to have the power and more about returning power to the people, through a government that works for the people. The last 8 years have been a lot to suffer through, or die during, as so many soldiers and their families know about far more than I do, yet I think this suffering may have been worth it if it has created an opportunity to go back the the drawing board, and for the public to accept new, big ideas from a Democrat. We don't have to run a centrist who just barely keeps power on our side of the aisle but works only incrementally toward our ideas, based on favorable polling data. We have an opportunity, because of the Bush years, to ask the public to accept the idea of progressive ideals without hiding them away in our back pocket. Equality, human rights, fairness, honesty, community. There's a hunger for them now, and the internet -- with its ability to raise money and coalesce like-minded people and foster a personal investment -- means that the people now demand to be listened to. We've seen what happens when naked power is left unaccountable, and we want our government back.
June 9, 2008 4:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
My thoughts exactly. What a fucking moron.
Thank God in his continued service as CEO of Burson-Marstellar, he'll be providing his utterly incompetent advice and "strategic counsel" to the bad guys of the world, making it easier to defeat them.
June 9, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
The campaign should have done a better job at contesting the caucuses.
Duh. Anybody with a pulse who has been paying attention at all has known that truth for months. It is amazing that Penn is just catching on.
Something else is happening. The 50 state strategy and internet fundraising are moving power to the people and weakening the hands of top down Washington folk like Mark Penn and the rest of the air warriors. Maybe the smart ones in the Clinton camp will eventually figure it out, but Obama's success is directly attributable to his superior ability to organize a ground game which translated to victory after victory in caucus states. The ability to do well with the ground game also encouraged a lot of supers interested in party building to abandon the Clintons.
Mark Penn and his Clinton campaign were soooooo 90s.
June 8, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, speaking of brainiacs -
The GE can't possibly be this easy.
Who in the hell is running the McCain campaign? Can't they hire an intern to watch 20 years of video and go through McCain's voting record?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPyKpcivQYQ
June 8, 2008 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right? McCain is so screwed! This is going to be, by turns, hilarious and painful to watch.
Poor old guy.
Heh, heh! >;-D
June 8, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
It will not be easy Bro read my post down thread!!!
June 9, 2008 3:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Priceless!
June 9, 2008 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. That may rank as the biggest DUH! moment in the campaign. And that's saying a lot.
June 8, 2008 9:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
We better watch out! According to a random youtube commentor, the USA is more right wing than ever and Mitty Romney will be president by 2012 if Romney wins! We better watch out for that GOP landslide, folks!
(What bubble are these people living in? Honestly.)
June 8, 2008 10:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't stand this guy and it has little to do with his political positions and way more to do with his ineptitude at his trade. More than Obama's insurgent campaign or all the grassroots inspiration the senator engendered, Mark Penn is the single biggest reason Hillary Clinton lost.
She should have fired Mark Penn after the Iowa caucuses, or better yet, never hired him in the first place and hired David Axelrod instead. I think we all know that not seriously contesting the caucuses is the single biggest thing that led to her defeat and I none of us were paid millions of dollars by her campaign.
Believe it or not, I have read many accounts where she strongly considered hiring Axelrod in over Penn in 2006 to run her polling operation.
June 8, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ironically, winning NH may have doomed her campaign. Remember the rumors that Penn would be fired if she lost NH? Well, she won and he stayed with the campaign and then by Super Tuesday she was stuck with a strategy that would put her so far behind that she'd never catch up.
June 8, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is the single biggest reason Hillary lost. Jack_holes are jack_holes . . . BUT HRC sought them out and chose to rely upon their broken opinions.
June 9, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
"...that simple fact may just have had a lot more to do with who won than anyone imagines."
Here we have it in a nutshell. A general lack of imagination throughout the campaign staff is what cost them the nomination. That lack of imagination extended to Hillary herself...she is, after all, the one who signed off on the "50% + 1" strategy that the Democrats have been predictably playing, and losing with, election after election. Which should make us all the more thankful that Obama is our nominee.
June 8, 2008 10:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Low-turnout caucuses? Relative to a primary, yes, but relative to previous years, not at all. The caucus numbers this year were unprecedented, to the extent that people couldn't fit in the buildings.
This is just another attempt to marginalize the caucus states and use the process as a crutch for his failure.
June 8, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who gives a crap what Penn has to say? You lost because you had a worse candidate and a worse campaign team. Simple as that.
June 8, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say this as an Obama supporter; had she matched his strategy of competing in every state it would have completely changed this nomination process.
June 8, 2008 11:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
But that was what Shrub wanted all along. He loathes and envies McCain for the man's one true accomplishment, being a military hero, and he would do ANYTHING to give him a wedgie.
McCain is going to be the last of a long series of frogs with one of W's firecrackers up his asshole.
June 8, 2008 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can I light the fuse? Please? Purrrty please???
June 8, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Other than that, and you screwing up Hillary's campaign to a fare-thee-well, how was the play, Mr. Penn?
June 8, 2008 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sort of related: has anyone noticed that the "Hillary won the popular vote" meme is still very much in evidence (Diane Feinstein said it on one of the shows this morning) and isn't being challanged?
I wonder if her unrestriced use of that mantra was negotiated with Obama as part of her concession package?
June 8, 2008 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just registered over at NYT to read the whole thing ... and now I feel like I need a shower.
They ask how much you fucking earn and what your job title is and like half a ton of other shit just to read their goddamn articles ... geez. I lied of course - but still!
So along with the above quote, a bunch of Clinton kiss-assing and insistence that there were no message problems there wasn't much else but this:
Kind of odd phrasing. $100 million doesn't seem that bad to me.
And then there is the obligatory acknowledge your opponent's success without saying they actually succeeded:
Is it just me, or does that seem sort of passive-aggressive?
What he should have said was: "I totally fucked up from day one and ran her campaign into the ditch! And I made Miiiiiiilllllllllllions!"
don't bother registering at the NYT - it sure as hell wasn't worth the trouble!!!
June 8, 2008 11:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
They ask how much you fucking earn and what your job title is and, like, half a ton of other shit...
Hey, getcher redhots! Getcher free username-password pairs for loggin inta dem nozy bizzybuddy sites what registratin at makes ya feel slimed! Get 'em right here:
http://www.bugmenot.com/
http://www.bugmenot.com/view/nytimes.com
June 8, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I always tell those things I'm 97 years old, have post-grad education and am employed as a truck driver. Either that or have no education and work as a biochemist.
June 9, 2008 7:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Delusion is a hindrance to enlightenment.
June 8, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn, I wanna be in the room when he admits to Hillary he was WRONG, so wrong.
June 8, 2008 10:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW how much of her debt does she "owe" him?
If I was her, I'd tell him sue me, with his admissions of total incompetence like this as exhibit #1
June 8, 2008 11:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Penn = NostraDUMBASS
June 8, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah yes, the, it all came down to money, rational for a campaign gone awry.
What a convenient way for the HRC campaign to not have to look in greater detail at its own campaign in all it's dimensions.
June 8, 2008 11:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
It all came down to shit for brains. They had too many brain farts.
June 8, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
She will get another news cycle on Monday.
Will it FINALLY hush on Tuesday?
June 8, 2008 11:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
"...but I'm still waiting to get paid."
June 8, 2008 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
oh dear oh dear oh dear
You have to love stories with "GOP" and "Worried" in the same headline...
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/06/08/gop-insiders-worry-about_n_105946.html
June 8, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
"We should have taken on Mr. Obama more directly and much earlier, and we needed a different kind of operation to win caucuses and to retain the support of superdelegates," Penn writes.
Penn adds shortly afterward: "Given her successes in high-turnout primary elections and defeats in low-turnout caucuses, that simple fact may just have had a lot more to do with who won than anyone imagines."
Wow. Just...wow.
Despite all of the arguing between Clintonites and Obamanians, it strikes me that I've never really heard anyone defend the wit and wisdom of Mark Penn.
The funny thing is that when you consider how ferociously some of Clinton's supporters held on to her campaign hopes (not so much the Republican trolls), you'd think she'd have been the one cleaning up in the caucus states. Not the relatively unknown guy with the funny name.
June 9, 2008 12:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fox News needs to hire this dolt to balance out their fair and balanced panel. Plus he needs the money (the Clintons probably won't pay him).
June 9, 2008 12:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nah, the guys got a face for radio...a new Rush perhaps?
June 9, 2008 12:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
He needs a suit that fits...He needs to call Goodyear.
June 9, 2008 12:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
(the Clintons probably won't pay him).
Would you at this point?
June 9, 2008 12:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd pay him in bumper stickers, buttons and whatever googaw he ordered.
June 9, 2008 12:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I don't want to beat up more on the guy, it is just too damn painfully easy.
But I will say, admitting in print that the shitbag plan he came up with cost her the election might not be the most razor-sharp legal strategy he could have devised.
June 9, 2008 8:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not only is Penn's observation a "Duh!" but I'm also wondering why so many of our stories in this section are merely excerpted from that obscure source The New York Times or other mass publications. Most of us will have read most of what is being posted many hours before it appears here. (As with the story about Obama's looking at Clinton staffers for his campaign.)
But I got all excited when I saw the headline about "contesting" caucuses. I thought it WAS real news -- that Penn thought they should have contested the results -- as when a person contests a will. When Eric really meant that they should have competed actively in the caucus process itself.
June 9, 2008 1:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
How about read and understand the rules for nomination?
June 9, 2008 1:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
No wonder this guy gets the big bucks.
June 9, 2008 1:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Penn was a perfect fit for the Clinton campaign. They all felt they she had it in the bag and had no real competition. Hillary and Bill lead the campaign and said in November 2007 it would be all over by Feb 5th...someone put it quite exactly. They were a campaign of the ninties.
June 9, 2008 1:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lets just tell it like it is. He's a lousy organizer
June 9, 2008 2:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do give you a WARNING my fellow OBOMA supporters.John McCain will be NO Cake walk and all of you will do well to remember that.Tear him up in Debates?Perhaps!!!All I am saying guys if you underestimate any of my Republican Bretheren you risk going the way of the Clintons,Kerry,Gore
and a few others.Only by coming out as a single man(ie.UNIFIED Democratic Party)can you hope to defeat John McCain.WIN yes attack by all means do and always be prepared for the Rove type attacks that you know will come.This will be a bruising fight guys and we will need all of us to WIN in NOV!!!
June 9, 2008 2:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely! Anyone interested in helping can find great organizational tools, groups, and info to help you register voters or work with the campaign -
http://action.barackobama.com/page/s/volunteer/
June 9, 2008 2:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do intend to help Obama as my work schedule permits and even my money too Lord willing and the creek don`t rise.
June 9, 2008 2:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely - nobody should take this for granted. Assume he's going to be harder to beat than HRC. Remember, she lost because she thought she was inevitable - and hired Penn.
June 9, 2008 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Reagan lovefestes were not debates.
June 9, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eric
The game was over long time back. Your gal lost comprehensively in the end.
All this postmortem is meaningless and is wasting internet GB's.
So give it up already and do some real reporting from now on.
June 9, 2008 2:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously. Talk about a let down. Especially given the Texas threats, I thought this was going to be a story about Penn saying they should have legally contested the caucuses, not just a rehash of the Times piece where he stated they should have competed more vigorously in the caucuses.
I feel played. That is one ding title worthy of the Huffington Post.
June 9, 2008 2:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed.
Contest? What the heck, they meant compete!
June 9, 2008 7:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Penn will go down in history as the stupidest campaign strategist of all time. That bloated, porcine moron thought CA was winner-take-all for Dems and said that "being human is overrated." He was so fixated on microtrends that he overlooked a macrotrend -- Obamamania.
June 9, 2008 2:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dr Zaius, I should think you'd agree that being human is overrated.
June 9, 2008 7:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did you read the headline of the article this piece refers to? The article ends with the complaint that they did not have enough money, they were beaten by someone with more money.
As for thisniss' comment about legally contesting the caucuses, that's exactly what they did in Texas, and I presume, elsewhere. In Texas, last month, LULAC filed suit in federal court alleging the primacaucus violated the Voting Rights Act --- the complaint being that Hispanics were underrepresented in the Texas delegate selection process, a process which rewards counties with higher voter turnout with more delegates. The Hispanic areas in Texas were allotted fewer delegates to the state convention because of declining voter turnout in recent years.
Never mind that many of the persons complaining loudest had themselves sat on committees in the state or national party and had selected delegates based on these same rules in previous elections.
The case was dismissed.
June 9, 2008 7:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Noticeably absent was any mention of the fact that Penn, HRC's strategy genius, concluded that HRC didn't need a strategy for post-Super Tuesday campaigning and so didn't have one at the ready. (Of course, HRC's hubristic acceptance of that thinking was equally fatal to her campaign.) Penn et al. believed she was the inevitable nominee who would become the presumptive nominee once the polls closed.
June 9, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
ENOUGH about the Clinton campaign already! How much longer are these people going to hog the headlines? Hillary lost; Barack won. Let's move on!
After all, Clinton was not the only losing candidate in the nomination battle. The rest accepted their losses and went back to their day jobs. So please move Clinton off the front page, and let's turn our full attention to the next President of the United States!
June 9, 2008 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
So failure to embrace the 50-state strategy bit HRC's campaign in the ass. The only question I have is, did they learn something?
June 9, 2008 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Oh, and we shouldn't have hired me."
June 9, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Penn needs to spend some quality time in Hell.
June 9, 2008 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink