Hillary's Top Fundraiser Pooh-Poohs Idea That Tuesday Party Signals The End
Hillary's top campaign fundraising chair, Hassan Nemazee, confirms that her top donors and fundraisers have been invited to join Hillary at her Tuesday evening party celebrating the last primary -- but he tells me it doesn't mean she'll drop out that night.
Multiple news organizations are searching for clues that Hillary will drop out of the race within a day or two. One thing people are pointing to as a sign of this is the fact that the donors have been invited to Tuesday night's festivities.
But Nemazee, for one, insists that this isn't necessarily all that significant.
"It would be astonishing to me if I or other donors didn't get an invitation to go to the event," Nemazee tells me.
"Is she going to make a speech that will make the headlines some are expecting? I have absolutely no way of knowing that," Nemazee continued. "But I strongly suspect that you're going to see a wait and see attitude until at least Wednesday."
"The fact that people [top donors] are being invited to participate in an event in New York on the last primary of the year is totally inconsequential," Nemazee concluded.
To be clear, it is perfectly possible that she will drop out Tuesday night. But this invite isn't evidence that it will happen one way or the other. So argues Nemazee, at any rate.















What is with this cat and mouse game?
This is just childish on the part of the Clinton Campaign.
June 2, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Petty, indeed.
An incredible need, on the part of HRC and her campaign, to remain ambiguous in order to feel like they control/decide, if/when the nomination battle is over.
June 2, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember, for the HRC campaign, in the end, there are no goal posts, unless they are conveniently hers. Therefore, HRC will decide when to let all of us know (the media, electorate, SDs, Obama campaign) when this is over. Can anyone, in the Obama campaign, SDs or media stand up to this crazy myth making?
June 2, 2008 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah... really she should have just dropped to her knees after Iowa and declared Obama the new risen saviour....
You Obama supporters make me sick. Zero class.
June 2, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice try, but not exactly what I was on about. Appreciate the attempt though.
June 2, 2008 5:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
It would have saved a lot of money and hard feelings.
There are a lot of things I could say in response, but I won't. I know you're upset and angry, and it's a lot easier to talk about unity when it's your candidate who won.
Just don't judge Obama based on those of us who support him. Give him a chance.
June 2, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
What are you talking about?
Your response makes no sense.
June 3, 2008 12:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's keeping her in the headlines.
Could that be the main point? There's still more news about her than about Obama or McCain in many reports.
June 2, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think we're about to be confronted with a classic Clintonian issue of semantics. She'll probably 'suspend' the campaign this week, but she won't 'drop out' of the race. In the meantime, between now and the convention, there'll doubtless be a good deal of behind-the-scenes effort to chop away at Obama's superdelegate support.
God, but these people are odious.
June 2, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
And she'll spend the Summer of Hillary doing exactly what she is doing now; campaigning for 2012.
And in August, she and her supporters will still be blackmailing the Democratic party by threatening to protest Michigan at the convention.
June 2, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
One thing I don't get about a possible appeal of the RBC decision on Michigan.
My understanding is that the Michigan State Democratic party brought the matter before Rules and Bylaws, and that they're satisfied with the Committee's decision.
So what standing, then, does the Clinton campaign have to appeal it?
Is there an element here I'm not seeing?
June 2, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Her standing is no more than any candidate would have, that is to issue a Minority Report detailing her complaints. The Credentials Committee is charged with the responsibility of determining what is any action is taken in response to the Minority Report.
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/05/convention_chaos_theory_1/
June 2, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, let's consider the Hillary we now know and love so well. Stick with me on this... .
Here's what I think she could do:
She will suspend her campaign. Then she will chat with Obama and see if he can help her dissipate her $20+ million in debts, pledging to help him campaign.
He helps her dissipate that debt. She makes a couple of middling feel-good appearances.
The convention arrives. She reactivates her campaign, and starts utter and all-out warfare on the floor in Denver.
Who knows how that all-out warfare ends, but it wouldn't really matter, because the damage would be done.
And, by all the evidence or our lying eyes, that is all she appears to care about at this moment.
Correct me if I'm wrong about that last observation so far.
June 2, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
a. She wants to see if she wins South Dakota and Montana.
Or,
b. She'll never quit because she believes that since Obama can't beat McCain, it doesn't matter what she does to him.
June 2, 2008 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
No shit it's not the end!
Not even a house on top of her can kill the witch these days!
June 2, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
She'll still be campaigning when Obama is sworn into office.
June 2, 2008 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nope, they'll be dragging her kicking and screaming from the podium.
June 2, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Beat me to it.
June 2, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
While Obama is being sworn in, Hillary will try sneaking a U-Haul full of her stuff into the White House...
June 2, 2008 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, she'll be trying to sneak the furniture OUT again!!!
June 2, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or maybe she'll be trying to sneak in the stuff the clintons swiped the last time they were in the white house.
June 2, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't find it right now, but there was a great cartoon by Fish (not me) showing Obama's swear-in ceremony, and out in the audience you can see Hillary on Bills shoulders shouting, "I do solemnly swear...!"
June 2, 2008 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
May I suggest a bucket of water, then?
June 2, 2008 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
And I meant that as a euphemism, some of you literal people!
June 2, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please please PLEASE no Hillary as Veep.
June 2, 2008 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, hell, Hillary can't be VP. I'll let the boys at red state update explain why.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=26scTKqmXt8&feature=user
June 2, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not exactly any news here.
June 2, 2008 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Is she going to make a speech that will make the headlines some are expecting? I have absolutely no way of knowing that,"
That is what he said. He has no information on what Hillary will do. Neither do I. Will that statement earn me a special dedicated thread. Socks does not know either. Give the Cat a thread to report it.
June 2, 2008 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nemazee went on to say: "She just asked me to arrange an event and invite all of our largest supporters. Don't ask me why, I'm just doing my (soon to be gone) job."
June 2, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give the Cat a thread to report it
I second this!
June 2, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Such a game this all is.
It looks like she is ending it, it smells like she is ending it, it sounds like she is ending it, it tastes like she is ending it, it feels like she is ending it. In my mind I think she is ending it.
But of course her campaign can't tell us she is ending it because that takes away the impact of her speech -- will she or won't she?
So we all have to wait another 30-something hours to find out.
the day before elections really are slow news days...
June 2, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, I am getting worried. Where are the super endorsements? I hope he's not doing this speech tomorrow without the nomination. Also, I hope there isn't this flood after the polls close to give him the nomination. That wouldn't look good. I was expecting a drip, drip of supers today and tomorrow, leaving him just 5 or so shy so that when they call montana it's all over. He's had the least amount today than he's had for the last month or so, which seems doubly odd in light of the saturday pr fiasco, which officially raised the bar, but locked in stone the number needed to nominate.
Anybody have any thoughts?
June 2, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's had 4 so far today, which is pretty good.
June 2, 2008 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but he needs 25 to 30 to lock it up tomorrow night. If he only gets 4 tomorrow, that will be a huge problem.
June 2, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure where the expectation was set that he would clear the delegate threshold tomorrow. Of course it would be great if the actual pledged delegates from SD and MT put him over the top. But what I heard is that there are still many who will wait until the voting is completed or Hillary concedes to endorse, so that may not happen until Wednesday or possibly later in the week.
I'm sure the big O has got it figured out.
June 2, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess, but I would have thought that he would not have kicked off the general election at the site of mcbush's convention unless he had the nomination locked up. Of course I can think of a thousand ways he could say it, but it would carry a heck of alot more weight if the pledged delegates in Montana put him over the top. It would be like a pre-convention. Balloons, streamers, hands held high, etc., etc. Kind of like the clintons' victory parties after the last ten or so contests. By the way, I bet the clintons spent a ton on balloons. He hasn't had one of those kinds of celebrations yet and it would have been nice to see.
June 2, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
As many as 18 tomorrow. As many as another 16 on Wednesday. And that's just from the Hill.
Says Chuck Todd
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, that's better. Thanks.
June 2, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
But why's it always "tomorrow"? Or "next week"?
What's the old saying about "Tomorrow never comes"?!?!
June 2, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah. And Chuck Todd said "better than a 50/50 chance" of that happening. Only slightly better than a coin toss.
June 2, 2008 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Five.
He got another 1/2 Super. This one from Florida.
...DNC member and Florida Democratic Party Secretary Janee Murphy told The Palm Beach Post this afternoon that she would support Barack Obama.
3.5 votes.
June 2, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Josh has just noted on the front page that there's a meeting today of undeclared SDs: http://blog.washingtonpost.com/capitol-briefing/2008/06/undecided_senators_to_huddle_t.html
Let's hope there's some movement as a result...
June 2, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even though from Obama's point of view getting the magic number would be nice before tomorrow, I think a lot of supers are waiting until after tomorrow's primary to avoid the perception they are forcing Hillary out before the primary is over. After the primaries are over, it's open season either way.
Of course they are just endorsements. The actual voting won't take place until Denver. So up until then it is fluid, and that is Clinton's game. She is suspending but she will be working the phones to flip the supers away from Obama, using the same talking points she has been for the past several weeks: electability, white working class folks, Obama's "latino problem," Rev. Wright, you get the drift.
That's my uneducated guess.
June 2, 2008 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
NO WAY she's dropping out (though I pray for it!) - Wednesday is nothing more than a suspension of campaign so she can get her money back, rest up, regroup a leaner/meaner campaign and re-work her strategy for (1) stealing Obama's SD's and (2) her own general election. If that does not work, she may go Independent as revenge on the Dem party for what happened to MI on Saturday.
I sincerely hope I'm dead wrong on all of this!!!!!
June 2, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
As you, I too firmly believe that her ambition is infinite and her hutzpuh(?) is insurmountable. But she will strike back like a snake. McCain/Clinton 08. Excuse me, I must be off to Canada now.
June 2, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's not going to drop out tomorrow night. She's not going to drop out until the convention. But she will suspend her campaign, possibly after Wednesday.
Even she said we'd know who the nominee is by the end of this week. Nothing has changed since that statement. Nothing has changed, truthfully, since NC and Indiana, except for Florida and Michigan being seated.
What are we going to do for drama after tomorrow?
June 2, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Navel gazing.
June 2, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing has changed since Wisconsin.
June 2, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Paranoia proves nothing but right in a world of wrong."
-Oliver Stone
June 2, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just because I am paranoid, doesn't mean they are Not out to get me. Qoute from the sixties.
June 2, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lighten up, people. Of course they're not going to trudge through to the last primary only to announce the day before that they're throwing in the towel. On Wednesday she has a choice to make: either concede or have the superdelegates take it out of her hands. Seppuku is the honorable way.
June 2, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Point taken.
You are making sense.
Others are running around with their hair on fire and I came close to striking the match for my own.
;)
June 2, 2008 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
here, TenaX, borrow my lighter!
June 2, 2008 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep.
All you Chicken Littles on here, head over to The Field immediately and get your anti-Chicken Little vaccine shots from Al Giordano.
June 2, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
It may be the honorable way, but we're talking about Hillary Clinton here.
People keep attributing normal thought processes to this woman. I ask you.
June 2, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Attention shoppers, there are one shopping day remaining to blackmail members of the Democratic Party. One shopping day left...
June 2, 2008 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
She will suspend her campaign, wait for Obama to get crushed on national security, his radicals and the supers will switch at the convention.
She owes the party and Obama nothing.
June 2, 2008 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you should stop posting from under your bed so you can get a good dose of reality. By every objective measure, Senator Obama is running cirles around Mavericky McSame on the issue of foreign policy.
Otherwise, keep your whimpering to a minimum. Rumor has it, Republicans can smell fear (and urine).
June 2, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you should GFY.
It is going to the convention.
Whine on.
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aww...looks like someone is having trouble accepting the fact his candidate is going to lose against Obama in November.
June 2, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you should stop posting from under your bed so you can get a good dose of reality.
You crack me up!
June 2, 2008 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
And if that doesn't unfold, oh prescient one. What then? You just gonna keep spewing your irrelevant rants and sleep like a baby at night knowing that you fought the good fight?
June 2, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course! Everybody owes Hillary everything! She is just a victim.
Poor Hillary, Bill promised her she could be President after the 3,753rd time she caught him with another woman. If she didn't make a scene, he'd let her be President.
Poor little Hillary, nobody likes her. Everyone thinks she is a liar. Don't they understand, it is her turn to be President.
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
She couldn't have said it better herself. But she won't, it's too straightforward. She says "to hell with Democrats who won't vote for me and damn the whole party, too" with a smile. Then says we misheard, she really said she's the most electable!
June 2, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then in the alternate universe where you live, you won't mind when the party drafts Edwards after Obama inexplicably implodes.
June 3, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, Anybody else you can call to get a denial?
Of course all of her supporters, and even the Obama camp, are going to avoid answering direct questions about tomorrow's speech.
I'll be listening to Senator Clinton tomorrow evening though. First time in forever that I've actually wanted to hear what she had to say.
June 2, 2008 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why would BIG DONORS be willing to spend thousands more to see her give a "concession speech"?
June 2, 2008 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Open bar?
June 2, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thread over. This wins. :)
June 2, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm so frickin' confused!
But more than that, I'm all ways tired!
June 2, 2008 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
ALL HER BASE ARE BELONG TO US!!!!
FOR GREAT JUSTICE!!!
June 2, 2008 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
She could have suspended her campaign LONG ago and still had the same effect of waiting to see if anything happened to Obama (supers could then run to her side in Aug) --- but she stayed in to HURT Obama as much as possible. To gain leverage for later.
All about HILLARY - always remember that...not the Party or even her supporters.
June 2, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
And the polling looks terrible in S. Dakota and Montana:
If she wins one and is close on the other or, god forbid, she wins both, it'll be like crack to some of these Clinton supporters and maybe even to Clinton herself. She'll be announcing tomorrow night she's on to Denver....
June 2, 2008 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
ARG polls taken over a weekend without any other polling data to put them into context. If they turn out to be right, it will be coincidence, not science.
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
ARG is the sound Obamites will make should these end up being the numbers of the actual primary.
June 2, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, I'm a bit worried.
What does she want out of all this?
I can only see the obvious: to be
the nominee. What else does she want?
The V.P. slot? Then surely she wouldn't have
tried to undermine the Obama campaign is
such a destructive manner.
I don't think the Democratic Convention is going
to be boring.
She really may be thinking 2012.
June 2, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
More polls for South Dakota:
Here are recent ones from SD sources:
"Madville Times Weighted Avg Obama 53% Clinton 41%
665 total voters in separate polls, based on the following:
Madville Times (5/19-5/24) Obama 71% Clinton 26%
EPP SD Watch (5/23) Obama 69% Clinton 31%
Madville Times (5/19-5/13) Obama 59% Clinton 38%
EPP SD Watch (5/10) Obama 64% Clinton 30%
Maroon Madison HS (5/6) Obama 77% Clinton 20%
McGovern Center DWU (3/24-4/3)Obama 46% Clinton 34%"
June 2, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good God ...the only goalpost left for Mrs. Bill to move is an ARG poll?
DENVER!
DENVER!
June 2, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Al Giordano, from the Field.
"Denver, Denver" is an old indigenous phrase meaning "Barack Obama is our candidate"...
June 2, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think I'll ever grow tired of that. :)
June 2, 2008 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
These seem more like it. Obama's been strong all through the upper midwest and intermountain region. It would make no sense for Clinton to be strong in SD. ARG has been worse than useless.
June 2, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with your assessment. For all the people claiming that South Dakota's demographics favor Hillary because South Dakota is like West Virginia: South Dakota's voters have a lot more in common with North Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, Iowa, and Minnesota than they do with voters in Appalachia. Note that in all the states bordering South Dakota, Obama won, often overwhelmingly. South Dakota's one remaining border state that has not yet voted is Montana, and Obama is favored there.
June 2, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Geez, I hope those are more accurate than the ARG numbers I just (super)linked to. (sorry) Let's home the homegrown folks are better at taking the local pulse.
June 2, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmm. Some polling organization is going to have egg on their face tomorrow.
June 2, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not trying to rain on the parade (I'm an Obama supporter), but I'm from South Dakota, and I wouldn't put much stock in any of those polls. I still think Obama will win, but I honestly have no sense of how close it will be. There haven't been any numbers from any big, reputable polling organizations for a long time.
I appreciate you taking the time and trouble to dig up the information, though. South Dakota is collectively blushing from all the attention. :-D
June 2, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
CNN reports that all Clinton staffers have been directed to turn in final expense reports by the end of the week.
So how much have you and your boy Eric (love-of-my-life) Kleefeld bilked the Clintons for Greg?
June 2, 2008 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
So can we direct all the Hillary Trolls around here to turn in their final flames by the end of the week...
and then be gone?
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing has changed???? Her campaign just this morning stated 2210 was the magic number again, Obama's SD's are not locked in until the convention and therefore fair game for the picking, she's claimed just this morning in SD that she's won more STATES and has the popular lead...
Now you all think she's suddenly going to drop out??? Sorry, I wish I could believe that!
June 2, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing has changed in the sense that Obama is ahead on every metric you can use, and the Clintons know it. And, the Obama people know that the Clinton's know it, as well.
She's not going to drop out. She's going to suspend her campaign. Yes, it would be better if she were to concede, but that's not going to happen so soon after that win in Puerto Rico.
If she announces tomorrow that she intends to actively campaign all the way to the convention, then I suspect on Wednesday we will have many undeclared superdelegates declaring for Obama.
I listened to On Point this morning. He had an Obama supporter (Fowler, I believe was her name) on the RBC, and, a Clinton supporter (someone from Mass) who was also on the RBC.
It was obvious to me that both of them think party unity is critical, and, that Clinton isn't going to get the nomination. The people who called in, on the other hand? They were more like people who post on blogs. Not so "rational", in my opinion.
I really don't think Clinton is going to jeopardize her political chances at this point by standing up tomorrow and saying "Fight on to Denver!"
June 2, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Coonsey,
That's awesome news - do you have a link to these polls??
June 2, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe Tuesday night will be a kinda sorta swan song for Hillary, ending on a high note but also leaving the door ajar a teensy bit.
Bowing out with a grande finale as a send off, would be the smartest thing she could do.
June 2, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not what I would expect.
We're talking Hillary Clinton here. Class is, um, not her best thing.
See how nice I can be when I try? Did I say, class is utterly foreign to Hillary because she is from Planet Rove? Did I? Well, then.
June 2, 2008 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shrillary's claims of this morning are absolute bullshit, but stating them publically in the first place is NOT something someone about to drop out would do! Uh Uh....she's hoping any naive SD's will read into it all and believe her!
June 2, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's hear from person who designed the Clinton Campaign strategy:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0B_UZNtEk4
June 2, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
thanks for that. :)
June 2, 2008 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the way - who finally pried that gun from Chuck's cold, dead hands anyway?
June 2, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Presumably, that will be Obama and the new Democratic majority in both houses of Congress.
June 3, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agri, I agree...but she's doing it in a very embarrassing and obnoxious way, especially with her claims this morning about winning number of states! WTF???
June 2, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just a guess, but I strongly doubt you'll see any formal concession, endorsement, or even suspension Tuesday night. What you're more likely to hear is a valedictory, thanks-for-the-memories tone, with plenty of verbiage about how together-we've-made-history & my-faith-in-Armurca-has-been-strentgthened & what-a-long-strange-trip-it's-been.
Anyway, a concession/endorsement might play better in a morning joint-presser sort of setting -- less chance of booing & "Denver" chants from the crazies.
June 2, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
that's what I'm thinking...
June 2, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton is not stupid. Just today 17 uncommitted Senators are leaking that they're going to support Obama after Tuesday. I'm sure the Clinton people are talking with all the uncommitted superdelegates and they know the score. This is a campaign that's going through the motions. There's a difference between what they say for public consumption and what they know to be true.
In thinking about this I'm of the opinion that the remaining SD's are holding off as a courtesy to Clinton to allow her to campaign up to the last primary if she chooses. You can make a good argument that in a democratic system, that's the preferred way to do it. But after tomorrow there will be no reason to hold off. She knows the score - save face and concede or have the remaining SD's deliver the blow.
June 2, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keep talking - you keep making more and more sense.
What I think will happen is that it will be not a concession, just a kind of statement of winding it up-ness.
And a lot of blah blah blah.
And so Obama is going to be robbed of getting to make a great big announcement - she's not going to let that happen.
But she knows it's over.
June 2, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
That really pisses me off. The way the clintons have conducted themselves, they obvously could give a sh*t about the democratic party. Why give them any courtesy? Screw em.
However, on another note, I bet a bigger calculation is all the people that have supported the clintons. They want to bring them back in the fold and not piss them off and the best way to do it at this point is to not cut her off. That's why they should let the pledged delegates of Montana do it.
June 2, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jeez, you know we lived in fucked-up times when Goofy sounds reasoned and rational.
June 2, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, that's a really good point.
June 2, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, good points. He is going to be in New York on Wednesday as will the clintons. Joint presser is probably the way to go. Then I bet we don't see obama and the clintons near each other again until the convention.
June 2, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Notice HRC keeps trumpeting the popular vote win, albeit a questionable one. She is signalling to SDs that now you've got cover to switch. The SDs that came out today were using the same line as the campaign about how she is the *stronger* candidate. Doesn't sound like someone giving up. She's not making these points just to win an argument. She is pulling strings behind the scene to get the weak SDs to flip.
Why the party for big donors? Well, if I were a poor congressman SD currently supporting Obama, and I see my #1 donor in that party, and I just got a call from Bill to switch on the TV. I guess I got the idea.
Obama can probably claim victory tomorrow, but the fight ain't over behind the scene until Denver.
June 2, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, another thumpin in SD.
June 2, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep. Just like in NC.
June 2, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
That ARG survey is incorrect. It is Obama with the lead. It must have been posted wrong by TPM. Greg, any truth to this?
June 2, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
What in the world are you talking about? You honestly have no clue about South Dakota.
Seriously, Goatlife, you'd have so much more fun over at MyDD or Taylor Marsh--or more likely, FreeRepublic.
June 2, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just up on First Read, under the title "Who's Dropping Out?":
June 2, 2008 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not fucking believe this.
June 2, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
They have to maintain their defiant tone until the polls close tomorrow.
It's just politics.
June 2, 2008 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
She can talk till she's blue in the face but it won't change anything.
The fact that one of her strongest supporters, Tom Vilsack, has said it's over, probably signals that most of the Super Dels have their feet on the ground.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/06/02/tom-vilsack-major-hillary_n_104673.html
June 2, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
If this, "ongoing dialogue" with the committed and undeclared SDs is the HRC game plan going into Denver, the uncertainty alone will chip away at Obama's candidacy, campaign and message.
Sites on 2012 nomination are still very much alive for the HRC campaign. Why is the media not asking this important and relevant question to the HRC campaign?
June 2, 2008 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd been wondering when Baghdad Bob was going to pop up again. Glad to see he's got a prime gig.
June 3, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just because I am paranoid, doesn't mean they are Not out to get me. Qoute from the sixties.
June 2, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
This captures it for me:
Hillary takes the Oath of Office.
http://z.about.com/d/politicalhumor/1/0/0/5/2/obama-inauguration-lk0424d.jpg
June 2, 2008 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
What happened to 'idiotic'? Was he/she thrown under the bus?
June 2, 2008 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I enjoyed this one, back during the Pennsylvania primary.
http://z.about.com/d/politicalhumor/1/0/J/4/2/hillarys-boilermaker.jpg
June 2, 2008 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is not Hillary Clinton's fault, that many of her supporters now say they would not support Barack Obama in the fall. It's become increasingly curious and offensive to some Hillary supporters and even those watching from afar, that the tone from much of what has turned into Obama-land, appears to still be immersed in arrogance and self righteous certitude, so much so, they've basically alienated a tremendous number of crucial voters that the Democratic party desperately needs come November when the new White House occupants are picked. Millions of alienated' Clinton supporters that have been completely turned off by what they see as the sheer nastiness of media coverage and campaign tactics directed towards their candidate. They are turned off by what they see as a dismissive tone in the Obama message, turned off by what they see as the cult like dominance projected by many of his fans. Obama is barely qualified to be in the Senate.
June 2, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Translation: "I always believe every word that someone types into a comments box on a political blog board. I make all my most important decisions solely on the basis of how obnoxious some anonymous person on a comments board has been to me."
June 2, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Such delicate flowers should probably stay out of politics altogether then...for their own good as much as everyone else's. No one likes a whiny titty baby.
June 2, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama is barely qualified to be in the Senate"
And yet, Obama out-campaigned, out-raised, out-hustled, and won more contests than the inevitable candidate. And of the three remaining candidates, Obama is the only one not operating in the red. Not bad for someone barely qualified.
June 2, 2008 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Regurgitate much?
June 2, 2008 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I don't think it's millions; I think it's about 12 of you, and you spend all your friggin' time typing things about how everyone but Hillary, Mark, and the gang are to blame for her blowing a massive head start and losing, and prattling transparently foolish things like "Obama is barely qualified to be in the Senate."
The reason of the 17 million -- less the several hundred thousand actual McCain supporters -- are reasonable human beings.
June 2, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I Poo-Poo the Pooh-Poohs.
June 2, 2008 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see several plays here with Hillary. Stealing thunder from Obama's speech tomorrow night when he announces, putting off the SD's for awwhile longer, I have made history, my options remain open, I'm proud of Bill and Chelsea, publically thanking her supporters and donors and fianlly getting her www.hillary com in prime time again!
She sure is one helleva low-rider to the max!
June 2, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stealing thunder is exactly what I think it is. She will not allow him to have a big announcement, a clear cut moment to celebrate.
It's very low, but that's it.
June 2, 2008 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
By God, if I was Barack and I went over the number tomorrow night, I'd crow about, Hillary and the Harriet Christians of the world be damned!!!
June 2, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Totally. Don't by into her campaign's ambiguous narrative. Stick a fork in it. As Rachel Maddow, said the other day, this isn't going to happen organically, rather the Obama campaign will have to kick her out of the race.
June 2, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are a moron. Have you never participated in an election before? The winner always allows the loser to come out and concede first. That is not "stealing his thunder," that is common curtesy and normal political practise.
This is why Hillary supporters have a hard time with you Obama supporters. You apparently have ZERO idea of how politics work.
June 2, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I know the candidate who goes to the convention with a majority of delegates is the nominee. That's one lesson in "how politics work" that a lot of Clinton supporters evidently need to learn. Anyway, which campaign totally bungled the caucuses? Talk about not understanding how the game is played...
June 2, 2008 10:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's become increasingly curious and offensive to some Hillary supporters and even those watching from afar, that the tone.... blah blah blah...
w00t! wee! wild!
Don't you just love it when someone assumes the smug self-righteous voice of the masses to bloviate against the pseudo self-righteousness of the pretended elite?
Positively sanctimonious stuff.
Very humbling.
I feel so cowed.
June 2, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's my favorite - every time!
Never fails to amuse!
June 2, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's magic number is now 39.5
If Hillary doesn't get out soon, the superdelegates will usher her out.
June 2, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Folks, she's taking this all the way to the convention. Her career is over once she concedes, she knows this, and she can't let go. She's going peck away at Obama for as long as she's able.
Starting Wednesday, we need to start a letter-writing campaign to every undeclared and Clinton SD and tell them it's their job to declare for Obama and unify the party.
June 2, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think she is suspending her campaign this week, but she is also going to let South Dakota finish up. I also am somewhat suspicious that Senator Obama might pull together enough delegates tomorrow night to claim that he has the numbers for the official nomination.
June 2, 2008 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Totally.
And what's with that Ron Paul guy? Doesn't he know that McSame is the über-ultimate-daddy winner, and he's just being a spoiled, rotten, bratty-face potty-pants loser?
June 2, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
One thing to keep in mind: if she expects Obama to help her alleviate that $20,000,000+ debt she's going to have to get out pretty soon. He's not going to take time out from campaigning in the fall to help her. If she fights through the convention she's screwing herself out of a ton of money. And I seriously doubt she'll do that.
June 2, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
new here as I've been reading your posts, I must say I enjoy and agree w/many of them..
I agree w/most that HRC is not letting Obama having his big night tomorrow and will prob have a joint appearance w/him Wednesday?Thursday?? (both campaigns are now talking $ and all, cabinet position
that would be the best case scenario at this point, unfortunately..
re the post about the 17 senators about to come out..it's not sure they will come out right after Wednesday.they are saying they feel Clinton is owed a "grace period" so end of the week???
I feel she is no longer owed anything but I guess they know how to do this
I wish they would all just shut her down!!
June 2, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
new here as I've been reading your posts, I must say I enjoy and agree w/many of them..
I agree w/most that HRC is not letting Obama having his big night tomorrow and will prob have a joint appearance w/him Wednesday?Thursday?? (both campaigns are now talking $ and all, cabinet position
that would be the best case scenario at this point, unfortunately..
re the post about the 17 senators about to come out..it's not sure they will come out right after Wednesday.they are saying they feel Clinton is owed a "grace period" so end of the week???
I feel she is no longer owed anything but I guess they know how to do this
I wish they would all just shut her down!!
June 2, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is no cat and mouse game. This is just normal organization decision processes.
99% of all the things an organization does are routine. What they did yesterday, they will do again today and again tomorrow. The meeting is most likely something that was planned earlier.
We on the outside are not aware of those routine things, because we are watching the process of change from the outside. We watch how they decide to do non-routine things, and it looks to us like everything is a consciously planned decision. But 99% of all organizational decisions are still routine.
The decision process to make a big change goes on outside the routine processes, and does not affect them until someone walks in and says "OK. We end that and start something else." Until that point, the organization members continue to march as before.
We are all looking for a big change, but that simply isn't going to demonstrate itself until Tuesday night at the earliest, more than likely not until Wednesday, and the change deciders don't themselves know what the new order of march is going to be because they are waiting for the primaries tomorrow, then they are waiting for the reactions of the superdelegates after that. Since the change deciders don't yet know which way they are going to jump, they can't give us outsiders a heads-up.
June 2, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
The comment immediately above was supposed to be a reply to the very first comment in this thread by HusseinTenaX. Don't know why it appears at the end. The "reply to" check box was checked.
June 2, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone who has watched Hillary Clinton conduct her campaign should know that conceeding graciously, is NOT in the Clinton's DNA! To her
"conceeding" is the same as "quitting" and according to her, the Clinton's are not quitters.
Anyone remember Bill making this statement?
June 2, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
the SDs can change their vote ANYTIME B4 the convention, just a reminder.
that some SDs have committed to BO is not sealed and delivered until August.
Jesse Jackson went to the convention behind 1200 votes, Ted Kennedy was behind 7 or 800 votes, so Hillary's less that 200 votes is essentially a tie.
Neither has the magic new number until the convention despite the blogosphere claims BO has the nom.He's ahead, but that is all
June 2, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
By that logic, a two touchdown lead as time expires is also "essentially a tie."
June 2, 2008 10:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
She will never concede. She will tear the party asunder, burn down the house, go kamikaze before she would concede. She has Harold Ickes on the phone prolonging her case: "A Clinton donor tells me that on a conference call today with major fundraisers this afternoon, Harold Ickes told them Clinton isn't planning to drop out." (Ben Smith, Politico) They are cirulating memos about this absolutely NOT resolving before AUGUST.
Clinton aides rallying donors, floating convention fight: "August, and no earlier" http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/
She is wholly incapable of looking outside of her Me, Me, Me perceptual lens. Nevermind the party, nevermind the country, nevermind the continuing deaths and unending war she authorized, nevermind the overturning of Roe v. Wade. Its all about Hillary Clinton. She will not accept her loss, she will never admit that her mistakes cost her the nomination. She will never admit that she surrounded herself with miscreants and incompetents. She will "fight, fight, fight" (that approach resulted in such an excellent result the first time she took up the healthcare issue). And we, Democrats, will Lose, Lose, Lose. And we have Hillary to thank.
June 2, 2008 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not a "party", it's the normal primary event. As far as I know.
June 2, 2008 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
My goodness, aren't we all a little hooked on drama? What on earth shall we do with our time when it's time to move on to McSame?
My bets on the immediate future:
* On Tuesday, Obama will acknowledge that he's verging on or just over 2019. No drama, just the normal speech he's giving these days, briefly and graciously conceding to Hillary if she wins SD (which seems unknowable right now), effusively thanking the MT and SD voters, and then launching into McCain.
* On Wednesday, we'll see some high-profile SD endorsements. For the rest of the day, there'll be lumps of SD's declaring in unison.
* Hillary will suspend/end her campaign, probably through a dignified joint announcement with Obama, arms intertwined.
* Later in the week, once Hillary's suspended/ended her campaign, the rest of the scared little SD's will declar for Obama--except for a few from mad-for-Hillary areas who're convinced their constituents will kill them if they declare for Obama.
There will be an absolute minimum of drama from the Obama side. Despite how we all love how he has timed things, he's not about drama. He's a tough politician and he's got a big job ahead of him. Once the spotlight is off the Democratic campaigns, his chance for intense national coverage is gone until late July. He has to grab this week and use it skillfully.
As for suspending vs. ending Hillary's campaign, frankly I think it's better if she suspends it. That way she has time to convince her supporters to 'let her SD's go' so that their constituents don't feel abandoned. Because if they think they've been betrayed by the SD's, they're more likely to split off and abandon the party. Remember, most Hillary supporters aren't anti-Obama, so all she has to do is make it clear that he respects their support of her and welcomes them to the fold. Also, ending the campaign means swallowing the debts. Again, Obama isn't going to stiff her if he doesn't have to, and helping her out will make his good will real.
And there'll be no August surprise.
Can you tell I've been spending time over at The Field (http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/)? I still like the conversations here, but Al Giordano keeps us all in line when we start squawking and pulling our feathers out.
June 2, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Using the same abbreviation for both South Dakota and superdelegate is very confusing!
(You're not the only one who does this, so I didn't mean to single you out.)
June 2, 2008 10:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
According to Ken Vogel over at Politico she had said the following at a stump stop in S.Dakota -
June 2, 2008 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Boy, she's determined to lie and poison the well until the very end. Classy.
June 2, 2008 10:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Newsweek, for one, is not buying Hillary's popular vote metric.
http://www.blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/02/clinton-s-popular-vote-claim-close-but-no-cigar.aspx
June 2, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say 6 am on Wednesday we turn her over to TenaX for three days. If Tena can't straighten her out we can build duplicate White House in Hope and send her there. Then when she walks in with Bill we just lock the door.
June 2, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
how can obama expect hillary to concede? he has yet to apologise for all the hardship he has caused her. the personal financial debt. the bitterness of defeat. the humiliation of lost credibility. the loss of integrity. all because of his high and mighty campaign. who does he think he is. if he wants a concession...HE MUST APOLOGISE!
June 3, 2008 6:57 AM | Reply | Permalink