after 2 weeks of Rev Wright and the PA loss, teflon BO is bouncing back right in time.

I'm pretty optimistic that Hillary will not be able to maintain her OH/PA margins in IN. If Obama wins IN, I'll be ecstatic. If he can just come within %5, however, it will empirically falsify Hillary's central justification for continuing to keep the focus off of neocon John and "his friend" W(orst).

Apparently, Joe Andrews, the prior DNC Chairman who came out for Obama recently, predicted today Obama would win both states...yikes! Either he's crazy to speak his mind or crazy like a fox...

As much as everyone loves to make of all these polls, the only thing they continue to prove to me is that neither candidate is moving much. (Yes, both Obama nd Hillary gain in states the lag as the vote approaches, why wouldn't they? They're both strong candidates appealing to different voters.)

Sure, there's a point here or there, but for all the fire and brimstone, there have been almost no shocking upsets or surprise defeats. (In terms of expectations.)

And, meanwhile, as McCain should be solidifying a lead that the Dems would have to chip away from, he too, doesn't move, capped at about 45 percent nationally.

The press loves this polls because the press loves instant controversy, doom and gloom, but really, it's only proving to me that each candidate's support is pretty static to the particular strengths and weaknesses of a particular region of the country and that Dems are gonna dominate in November.

I'd find this very encouraging if not for the fact that Zogby polls aren't worth the electrons it takes to burn the numbers onto your monitor's screen. The only thing a Zogby poll is good for is is to counterbalance the the stupid of Insider Advantage's polls on Pollster.com's regression charts.

Zogby is a joke folks.

Charlotte Observer endorses Barack Obama

Louisville Courier-Journal Endorses Obama

Thomas Friedman asks "Who Will Tell the People? in an article pronouncing:

I don't know if Barack Obama can lead that, but the notion that the idealism he has inspired in so many young people doesn't matter is dead wrong. "Of course, hope alone is not enough," says Tim Shriver, chairman of Special Olympics, "but it's not trivial. It's not trivial to inspire people to want to get up and do something with someone else."

[snip]

It is especially not trivial now, because millions of Americans are dying to be enlisted -- enlisted to fix education, enlisted to research renewable energy, enlisted to repair our infrastructure, enlisted to help others. Look at the kids lining up to join Teach for America. They want our country to matter again. They want it to be about building wealth and dignity -- big profits and big purposes. When we just do one, we are less than the sum of our parts. When we do both, said Shriver, "no one can touch us.

Tribune endorses Obama again.

We need a president who can forge consensus and compromise among ideological foes. Barack Obama is that kind of Democrat; Hillary Clinton is not.

In our original endorsement, we noted that "the professional judgment and personal decency with which he has managed himself and his ambition distinguish Barack Obama." His performance in the three months since that editorial have only reinforced that opinion.

Indiana Democrats, your choice should be clear: Barack Obama.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/editorials/chi-0504edit1may04,0,1335140.story

I denounce and reject these liberal, elitist endorsements and call upon - no, I insist - Barack to do the same.

Obama's last victory was Miss.

Time to move on , bring on mcwar, Clinton will be President.

Get over it.

Obama's appeal to working-class whites faltering, polls show

May 4, 12:09 AM (ET)

By ALAN FRAM

WASHINGTON (AP) - Barack Obama's problem winning votes from working-class whites is showing no sign of going away, and their impression of him is getting worse.

Those are ominous signals as he hopes for strong performances in the coming week in Indiana and North Carolina primaries that would derail the candidacy of Hillary Rodham Clinton, his rival for the Democratic presidential nomination. Those contests come as his candidacy has been rocked by renewed attention to his volatile former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, and by his defeat in last month's Pennsylvania primary.

In an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll in April, 53 percent of whites who have not completed college viewed Obama unfavorably, up a dozen percentage points from November. During that period, the numbers viewing Clinton and Republican candidate John McCain negatively have stayed about even.

The April poll - conducted before the Pennsylvania contest - also showed an overwhelming preference for Clinton over Obama among working-class whites. They favored her over him by 39 percentage points, compared to a 10-point Obama lead among white college graduates. Obama also did worse than Clinton among those less-educated voters when matched up against Republican candidate John McCain.

"It's the stuff about his preacher ... and the thing he said about Pennsylvania towns, how they turn to religion," Keith Wolfe, 41, a supermarket food stocker from Parkville, Md., said in a follow-up interview. "I don't think he'd be a really good leader."

Just before the Pennsylvania primary, Obama said many small-town residents are bitter about their lives and turn for solace to religion and guns.

Recent voting patterns underscore Obama's continued poor performance with these voters, who are often pivotal in general election swing states like Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

In Democratic primaries held on or before Super Tuesday, Feb. 5, whites who have not finished college favored the New York senator by a cumulative 59 percent to 32 percent, according to exit polls of voters conducted for The Associated Press and the television networks.

In primaries since Feb. 5, that group has favored Clinton by 64 percent to 34 percent. That includes Ohio and Pennsylvania, in which working-class whites have favored Clinton by 44 and 41 percentage points respectively.

The AP-Yahoo poll shows less educated whites present a problem to Obama in part because of who they are. Besides being poorer, they tend to be older than white college graduates - and Clinton has done strongly with older white voters.

Terry Madonna, a political science professor at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pa., said Obama lost among working-class whites in the state because his message of how this generation's time has come did not address their economic needs.

"While it's incredibly motivating and passionate and compelling, it lacks content," Madonna said. "Hillary would come in and relate to them, talk about the specifics of her policy."

By Big Tent Democrat

Speaking for me only (AND FOR ME)

On the theory, I guess, that one of his darts might possibly hit a target, the charlatan pundit who claims to be a pollster, John Zogby, tells us Pennsylvania is a tie (Let me add that if Zogby were actually a pollster, this finding would not be particularly newsworthy in that the movement from his previous poll (Clinton down 2, Obama up 1) is well within the MOE. It is not a surprising finding. But I know that Zogby is a charlatan and he just makes the numbers up by manipulating his turnout model.)

The race might indeed be a tie but I am sure John Zogby has no idea if it is or if it is not. He is a charlatan. But I do thank him for giving me another chance to call him one. After his disappearance after his humiliating exposure this campaign season, I thought I might not get such a chance again.