More Great News: CLINTON LEADS, OBAMA TANKS!

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that Barack Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, has had a significant impact on the race for the White House. The news is not good for Obama.

In general election polling John McCain now attracts 46% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 43%. Just before Wright had his press conference on Monday, McCain and Obama were even. A week ago, Obama had a two-point edge. McCain is now tied with Hillary Clinton at 44%. A week ago, McCain had a two-point edge over the former First Lady.

Those figures mean that Clinton now outperforms Obama by three points. A week ago, Obama outperformed Clinton by four. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time (see recent daily results). New polling in New Hampshire shows that Clinton has gained ground on McCain in the Granite State while Obama is heading in the opposite direction. That poll also found significant voter concerns about Obama and his former Pastor.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the Wright impact is especially evident. Clinton now has a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama, 46% to 44%. However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Pastor Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (see recent Democratic Nomination results).

In Indiana, Clinton leads Obama by five points. In North Carolina Obama leads. Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama continues to be the favorite for the Democratic nomination, but expectations have slipped significantly in recent days. Currently, the frontrunner is given a 75.9 % chance of winning.

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 45%. (see recent daily favorable ratings). Obama is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 48%. For Clinton, the reviews are 44% favorable, 54% unfavorable. At noon Eastern today, Rasmussen Reports will release the President’s Job Approval ratings for April.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes. The GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 59.8 % chance of winning in November.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.

Late deciding voters (i.e., current undecideds) tend to break for HRC.

This a crisis for the BO campaign and explains why M. Obama has been enlisted (i.e., MV on NBC) in a concerted effort to stop the damage from Rev. Wright and "bitter" remarks.

I'm starting to think Indiana is slipping away, since he's had to deal with Rev. Wright rather than focus on the issues.

More importantly, the undecided number is pretty high, which doesn't bode well for Obama.

Not that I've seen it reported anywhere on this site, but Baron Hill endorsed Obama yesterday giving him a super delegate. I'm sure that's great news for Hillary. You need a subscription to see the article, from the local paper but the headline says what you need to see:

http://www.heraldtimesonline.com/stories/2008/05/01/news.qp-1796040.sto

A poll with a 5 percent margin of error and 19% undecided within a week of a primary is as good as crap shoot. Moreover, Rasmussen methodology leaves much to be desired.

Mason Dixon poll has Obama leading NC by 8 but that his support has eroded.

I have knocked on doors for Obama in five states but I am concerned that his campaign could implode. I really hope he can turn this around.

Indiana will be close with a slight edge to Clinton at this moment.

I tell people to wait to see the full reaction to Obama's denouncing of Wright and his offensive to get past the issue. He is back in IN campaigning hard and getting critical endorsements in areas he is weak like South Indiana.

The poll also further illustrates the degree to which the negative tone of the Democratic race has taken a toll on both candidates:...

On a side note, is anyone doing Guam polls?

Ludmila,

The beliefs you expressed above show clearly that you are a racist. Therefore, nothing you say should be given any serious consideration. The only value your comments have is to provide an interesting snapshot into the 21st century, xenophobic mind.

You are a sad slice of sociological data; a white person reacting badly to the growing numbers and prominence of the non-white world around you. But unfortunately for you, there's nothing you can do about these demographics. You can anonymously express your 'bitterness' about this reality on the blogs. But it doesn't change a thing. Apparently you didn't get the memo (or the message). 'Different does not equal deficient'. You clearly have a low tolerance for difference. That's too bad, cause you're going to have to get used to it, whether Barrack is President in 2009 or not.

Best Wishes,