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Poll: Franken Two Points Behind In Key Senate Race

Al Franken might be starting to recover politically from a damaging story about his taxes, with a new Rasmussen poll showing him locked in a dead heat with Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) for this top-tier Senate race in a blue state. The new numbers, compared to a month ago:

Coleman (R) 47% (-3)
Franken (D) 45% (+2)

Sample size: 500 likely voters.
Margin of error ±4%

Franken's poll numbers took a serious hit after he agreed to pay over $70,000 in back taxes to all the states where his businesses had been active, after having paid taxes on that income only to states where he was living. While the movement in the latest poll isn't definitely significant, it is nevertheless a potential sign that he's climbing his way back up.


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Franken's best hope is for Obama to be the nominee and Pawlenty not to be the GOP VP.

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Oh, MN is a blue state? I thought it was considered purple.

Purple with a very blue, progressive streak. We are the home of Wellstone and soon to Senator Franken!

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I've lived in Minnesota for most of my life, and I've always thought of it as a fairly reliable blue stated. I moved away right before the Jesse years and was very surprised when I got back and found out that Minnesota had gone red. The giveaway should have been when the NRA started targeting the state.

Part of the problem here is that we have some of the worst state taxes in the nation. That always sends people to the Republican side. Pawlenty has been a huge disappointment, however, and so has Norm Coleman. I think we're about ready to flip back into the blue column.

Obama crushes McCain in MN (whereas Clinton loses) according to recent polls.

Both Obama and Clinton beat Bush according to the latest StarTribune Minnesota Poll, the most respected poll in Minnesota:

http://www.startribune.com/newsgraphics/19057339.html?location_refer=$sectionName

Sorry - I meant they both beat McCain (a Freudian slip).

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I haven't followed it very closely, but I have gotten the impression that Al wasn't really prepared for a campaign. As I said, that's just an impression, but I'm not getting much from him as a candidate -

It's like he decided to do this as a joke.

I'm very disappointed.

Al's been officially running since January 2007, and I think it's clear that he's had a very strong interest in running for several years before that.

While his campaign hasn't gotten much visibility outside of MN (I don't know how much it's gotten inside MN, either), I think he's been quite serious about it.

I think he's doing very well at this point. It's still early, and Coleman is vulnerable.

On the tax issue, I think his explanation makes it clear that he wasn't trying to avoid taxes. He handled it well, IMO.

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Tena, no offense, but you're not very well informed on this. Al was out long before the other candidates and he was holding listening sessions with constituent groups all around the state before the others even got out of the gate. He's very serious about this. There's nothing about the way he's conducted himself or this campaign that would suggest he's not serious about it. And, I guarantee you that he's got a mastery of the facts and issues that'll make Coleman try desperately to avoid debating him.

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Didn't I admit that I wasn't well informed?

Like I said - it doesn't get much reporting except when Al has a problem, like taxes.

And I also said I was glad to find this out.


An not to ferget Al's seekert weppun -- he aint got no fears bout callin out dem LIARS when they be LYIN!

Get ready for another Al Franken Decade! He aint no joke!

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Tena, you're reading him wrong. Al's very political and very serious about this. The Republicans are trying to paint him as a not-serious politician, but nothing could be further from the truth. Politics are weird in this state, but one thing you need to know is that Franken is part of a bloc that wants to see Norm Coleman buried, and John Kerry's PAC is targeting Coleman, so he's in for a tough fight. He's been a terrible Senator, and I think he's going to lose, but one thing Franken's going to need to deal with throughout the race is his past as a comedian. The Republicans are really going to push his sense of humor as a detriment. No doubt Stuart Smalley and Jack Handy quotes will surface during the course of the campaign. I just hope he wins. He's gonna make Washington a helluva lot more fun to watch.

Al will be just fine. He just needs to lay into Coleman on the issues and press him on the fact that Coleman as the Chairman of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations Coleman has NOT done ONE investigation into spending in Iraq, not once. Truman had hearings numbering in the hundreds in WWII when he had the job. Negligence. Wasting our tax money. Coleman is gonna be toast. Al's gonna be on the issues and Coleman and GOP will be trying to smear him with everything they can find.

Al hasn't even kicked into actively campaigning yet. I'm not worried. MN is progressive state and we're as unhappy about the war and the economoy as everyone else. The GOP is dead this year.

Let's hope the rumors of Coleman's wife showing up at several E.R.'s around the Twin Cities metro with a busted face (different ones everyones everytime) don't make it out into the public. (Oops, no I didn't). Yeah, I did. Coleman's a wife-beater.

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Garrison Keillor wants Norm's head because Norm had the temerity to pretend he knew who F. Scott Fitzgerald was during a speech at the Minneapolis Women's Club. Keillor actually wrote an angry piece on the subject, which basically said, "Who the fuck does Norm Coleman think he is, talking about F. Scott Fitzgerald?" If you want to stay on Keillor's side, you don't mess with literary figures.

Like I said, Minnesota politics can get complicated.

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While his campaign hasn't gotten much visibility outside of MN (I don't know how much it's gotten inside MN, either), I think he's been quite serious about it

Like I said -it was an impression and that's because I suspect, like you said, not much is reported outside of Minnesota.

I'm very glad to read your comment. It's been hard from here to tell just how serious he is. I want him to be serious and I'm glad to read this comment.

Al's been very serious and has some great proposals for MN. While he still injects much of his stumping with a little down-to-earth humor he is very approachable. He's very much about the issues and the average working family in MN. He's travelled extensively around the state last fall and I'm sure he will do so again this year. He's listening to everyone who has a story to tell. He's running the campaign very grass roots. He's really focusing on a small approach with ad's featuring his former school teacher, his wife and kids. Much more so than Coleman and his ex-model plastic wife.

Al's very serious about MN, improving the life of the working family here and through out the U.S., and also very concerned about getting this country on the right track.

I love, AL!

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This is great news - right up there next to kicked McConnell out of the senate.

I hope to hell he wins! We need him!

the Mississippi Senate race is a dead heat too

His letters and e-mails in response to donations seem very down to Earth and sincere as well (at least the ones I've received). Goodness knows he's talented and successful enough to not need the aggravation of being a politician. I think his intelligence, passion, and clear thinking will be a great asset in the Senate for MN and the country. It's good to know that that comes through in personal interactions as well.

Al Franken is very serious. He is an excellent campaigner.

I met him at a large event and had an opportunity to ask him a question while he was out working the crowd. He took all the time required to answer my question, and listening to my responses, while reaching out and shaking hands of those passing by. Al is one of those people who, in one-to-one sitiations, is able to make each person feel like the most important person to him at the time.

In his speech he warmed the crowd with his self-deprecating humor and then he had the audience completely quiet and attentive as he listed the issues and solution important to his campaign.

Al is passionate about this campaign and will do just fine against Norm Coleman.

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Garrison Keillor's latest column has a great reference to Coleman, which addresses the point josephcast made about his unwillingness to hold Bush accountable on war profiteering:

"In Minnesota, a man is up for reelection who sat on a Senate committee with oversight responsibility for the rebuilding effort in Iraq and who showed no keen interest in the billions of dollars disappearing down rat holes. He is now starting to recover some memory."

http://www.salon.com/opinion/keillor/2008/05/21/memorial_day/

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Keillor HATES Norm Coleman. I love it when he writes about him.

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See, this is great!

They don't report this shit down here - I love everything I'm reading and I'm really glad this came up - I had no idea it was going this well - I thought Al's campaign was barely creaking along because that's what this lack of information suggests.

Wow!

Thanks!

Slimy Norman Quimby simply has to go. The only reason he's in the Senate at all is that Paul Wellstone's plane crashed. Did anyone else notice how he kept popping up every single day to remind us that he wasn't campaigning during the mourning period? Oily, self-serving little piece of shite...

And I, too, had heard the rumors of Laurie Coleman's facial contusions. And Norman is a skirt-hound of the first order. Someone needs to follow the guy with a camera. Or three. He is truly a festering pustule on the hindquarters of the human race.

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Coleman made a grand show of investigating Kofi Annan a few years ago, because the White House detested the UN and its perceived foot dragging on Iraq. Yet somehow the disappearing "bricks" of U.S. cash escaped his attention. He is an ass.

Al should just air non-stop ads showing those bricks being lifted off the carts and ask, "Why didn't you investigate this when your committee had the chance, Norm?" Realizing that $$ corruption existed with his blind eye would piss off voters during a recession, and it should.

Can somebody dig up those two open letters that Keillor wrote shortly after Coleman took office? Coleman dared to compare himself to Wellstone and Keillor just ripped into him. Keillor in the last 2 election cycles has quietly campaigned for a lot of local Dems. He has often appeared at local rallies and fund raisers for the candidates.

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AHA! There's the piece I was talking about. Garrison was LIVID about this. Just fucking furious. I wasn't at the event, but friends tell me Garrison had to be physically restrained. He was ready to take it to the parking lot.

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Oh no, actually, there's a worse one. Probably ran in the Pioneer Press. Anyway, it gets the point across that Keillor doesn't much care for Coleman. Personally, I'm honored to have had the opportunity to give Norm the finger three times in public: twice at the Minnesota State Fair, where I yelled: "Hey Norm!" and then flipped him off, and once in front of Sidney's on Hennepin Avenue when I gave him the finger from my car. One time at the State Fair, Norm didn't see me, but his wife, who was with him laughed.

These may be what you mean:

Empty victory for a hollow man and Minnesota's Shame (both on Salon).

Here's hoping this goes through...

I've met Franken too and he does seem sincere. I was especially impressed with his down-to-earth wife - not what you'd expect from either Hollywood or NYC.

I know that this race is personal for Franken - sort of payback for the Wellstone tragedy - unfinished business. You'll recall that it was Wellstone vs. Coleman right before the planecrash. Franken was close to Wellstone.

On the one hand the whole GOP campaign has been to attack Franken. They've not talked about Coleman excpet to try to distance him from Bush. On the other hand, it's been working. Campaign coverage has been almost entirely about Franken, and not in terms of policy or how he campaigns, but about his taxes or something he wrote. Every so often the GOP brings up something potentially offensive, and the media treat it like a story. The one time something negative about Coleman came out, recent revelations that he is connected to DCI, the lobbyists for Burma, the Star Tribune article mixed that with Franken having written something adult for Playboy and Christine Hefner having help a fundraiser for Franken. These were treated like equally serious stories, so there's Franken's main problem in a nutshell.

I also noticed that Franken's fundraising messages were humorous enough to be worth reading, but otherwise he's seriously toned down the humor. I wonder if he's carried the attempt to be serious too far. In terms of the Wellstone-like inspiration factor, his intraparty opponent has more of it. Franken is the stronger policy wonk and that comes across in radio, but Jack Nelson-Pallmeyer is the stronger public speaker. Both promised to abide by the party endorsement, and it's close enough that Franken was contacting every state convention delegate after the tax story came out.

Of course, we're talking so far about a campaign to become the DFL (Democratic Farmer Labor Party) candidate, not a general election campaign. It's mostly been blogs and party meetings so far, not commercials aimed at independents.

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Minnesotans are a bit provincial. They remember Norm brought pro-hockey back to Minnesota and don't think Norm won't have the media repeating that about 10 million times during the Republican Convention being held in the hockey arena "that Norm built". I don't think Franken has yet made a case for what he's going to do for Minnesota which he needs to do since he's lived out of state for so long.

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Good on Franken. I'll be sending him some more cash. He NEEDS to sit in Whelstones' seat. In 2006, a number of the new DEM Congress folk got the money they needed from his PAC.

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