Obama's Popular Vote Gains Tonight Wipe Out Hillary Gains In Pennsylvania
The Hillary campaign was hoping, at a minimum, that tonight's two contests would more or less cancel each other out, thus keeping it not out of the realm of possibility that she could ultimately close the popular vote gap, including Florida, with a string of future wins.
Those hopes have been dealt a pretty severe blow tonight.
Not only were Indiana and North Carolina not a wash, but Obama's popular vote gains tonight have effectively wiped out her pop vote gains from her resounding win in Pennsylvania.
With 99% reporting in North Carolina, Obama is ahead by about 233,000 votes. Subtract from that the 20,000 that Obama is now trailing by in Indiana, with 92% reporting, and you have roughly a 213,000 gain for Obama.
Hillary won Pennsylvania by 214,000 -- a gain that has now been erased.
This thing is over.
May 7, 2008 12:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
She's been Huckabeed.
May 7, 2008 12:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
We could've told you this would happen, Greg...
If you'd have listened.
May 7, 2008 12:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"could've"...?
WE DID!
We have been telling him that for weeks as he catapulted every nonsensical gold-post juking Wolfson filled up his eardrums with.
But why he listens to nonsense from hack like Wolfson instead of looking at those so mysterious things like BASIC MATH, I can't fathom.
May 7, 2008 1:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
we have been saying it since before Texas for god sakes.
May 7, 2008 1:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
We're going to hear more about Florida and Michigan this week.
May 7, 2008 12:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
A moment of silence for Matthew Weaver, Otto, gotalife.
They may be trolls, but they were OUR trolls.
May 7, 2008 12:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can we sell the on eBay? Please?
May 7, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
They'll be back. They're busy brushing up their boilerplate attacks on Obama by replacing all the "Clinton" and "Hillary" words with "McCain" and "John".
May 7, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps I got caught up in all that reconciliation Obama spoke about tonight. Sorry. It was a moment of weakness.
Fuck those guys!!
May 7, 2008 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's more like it!
May 7, 2008 1:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where's Goatshite?
May 7, 2008 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm gonna have trouble sleeping tonight I'm so f-ing pumped up!!! Who knew 2% made such a difference?
May 7, 2008 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's caught up to 16000 votes, with half of Lake County still to be counted.
May 7, 2008 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know about the proverbial 'Fat Lady' but I did have to endure Chris Matthews singing Gary, Indiana at about 11:15 tonight.
May 7, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe he's the Fat Lady's brother? Who knew?
May 7, 2008 12:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have to admit, I've been humming that tune (but only when in private, thank you very much) since early this evening.
May 7, 2008 12:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, Chris Matthews is THE fat lady.
May 7, 2008 1:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama is our next President!
(May tonight also bury the popular vote in the primary nonsense).
May 7, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
STALEMATES ARE EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
May 7, 2008 12:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I was going to write a reader blog to the same effect as Mr Sargent's post above, but seeing as he has already written this, I will not need to bother. Instead, I will simply ask out loud whither the goal posts will move now? Now that Obama has essentially locked up the popular vote argument (even including MI & FL and excluding IA,NV,ME & WA), what spin can we expect to see advanced in its place? Popular vote from just OH/PA/FL? Who won the most votes from self-identified democrats in the exit polls? Who won the most votes in the last 6 weeks?
May 7, 2008 12:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Trust the SDs, Greg. They'll got our guy to 2025 before June 3. ;-)
May 7, 2008 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
The next move: Packing it in.
May 7, 2008 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think even she must know it's over now. He's an amazing campaigner. In the bleakest weeks of this whole season, he went about his business quietly, talking to people and winning votes. He is absolutely absolutely absolutely amazing. He pulled it off.
May 7, 2008 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Cancelling all public events Wed was telling.
Bubbuh not paying attention at her speech and clapping at the wrong times, looking utterly spent, was telling.
Her letter to fundraisers proclaiming victory in IN but not actually asking for money was telling.
That Bug-Eyed Butch and Tweety have called it is telling. Actually, of all of them, Brokow, had the best argument: money.
This whole thing grinds to a halt within a week.
Pax,
M,
May 7, 2008 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
The next goalpost is so obvious that you overlooked it: What percentage of the people who voted for Hillary did Obama win? Very little, I can tell you that! Which conclusively proves that he's unelectable.
May 7, 2008 4:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can he close the gap!? If he does, it's over.
May 7, 2008 12:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I love that nearly everyone here knew absolutely nothing about Lake County before 9PM tonight. Hell, I drove through it last summer and can't remember anything about it.
Tonight I know several mayors, the place where they count the votes, and the racial makeup of Hammond.
Even if Clinton pulls this out, then at least I'll have that.
May 7, 2008 12:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Beautiful.
May 7, 2008 12:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is anyone keeping tabs of Matthew, gotalife, Billy Glad, etc.? I know we fight sometimes, but I just wanna make sure they're OK...
May 7, 2008 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm worried about those kids in Weaver's avatar....
May 7, 2008 12:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Matthew did say he'd been a lifelong gun owner.
May 7, 2008 12:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're welcome to send out a search party.
I'd try Taylor Marsh first, then maybe Hillary is 44 after that.
MyDD is not such a good bet tonight.
May 7, 2008 1:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Odds are... LGF or FreeRepublic
May 7, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I made a comment to you below... too bad the threading didn't work!
May 7, 2008 2:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hill is tanking on Intrade. Obama is at 86%+
May 7, 2008 12:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
BUAAHAHAHAHA! 86%!
The trolls did not support anyone. Best not to respond to them, because they will have only been gounded for a week without their allowances, and will soon be back.
Attention, beyond all else, is what they crave.
May 7, 2008 12:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
TIME TO MEND FENCES...
we can be magnanimous in victory. we should not stoop to the level of other politicians and supporters of other candidates. that's exactly what we've been working to change. no talking shit. no gloating. we can be decent.
that's the whole point of what we're doing, right?
May 7, 2008 12:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tomorrow we'll mend fences. Tonight we celebrate!! Even if she does win Indiana, it won't be by more than 15.000 votes.
May 7, 2008 1:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Looks like about 20k will be the margin.
May 7, 2008 1:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
If the trolls want to show their avatars and concede, then I'll be only too glad to extend my hand. Can't exactly mend a fence when someone is hiding from you.
Nobody likes a sore loser.
May 7, 2008 1:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Funny, I could have sworn almost the entire community here told you that was going to be the case two weeks ago when Clinton didn't land a big blowout in PA.
May 7, 2008 1:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ach ptooey HRC won Indiana
May 7, 2008 1:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
HRC wins IN
May 7, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
It doesn't matter whether Shrillary won Indiana, because...
It's All O-VER!
May 7, 2008 1:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
CNN just called it for Hillary. She'll net one whole delegate, to Obama's what, 15? from NC? Her popular vote "lead" is erased. This thing is over.
May 7, 2008 1:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama gains more pledge delegates today then Hillary got in PA.
May 7, 2008 1:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Seems Gary, Indiana has gone to bed for the evening. Nothing wrong with that. Keep the "too close to call" story playing well into tomorrow.
In the meantime, Obama cleans HRC's clock in my sister's home state of NC.
Stoked, I say.
May 7, 2008 1:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dang. I retract the lingering story part in Indiana. The rest can't be argued with.
May 7, 2008 1:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
What a squeaker! Damn, I almost thought he had it. But this is so close that it's excellent news for Obama, really.
heheheh
May 7, 2008 1:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy Glad whereabouts:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/05/the-gas-tax-before-the-wind-to.php#comment-2791701
May 7, 2008 2:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some spin I heard on National Petroleum Radio from the Clinton campaign :
Hillary won Pennsylvania and Obama NC, Obama himself said that Indiana would be the tiebreaker. So Hillary wins the series.
(I'm not making that up.)
I'm off to find some good schaudenfraude music.
May 7, 2008 3:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
It was part of the Clinton rhetoric and is basically true in some narrow sense as it basically ignores that Obama had a significant lead before Pennsylvania. And the fact that the margin of victory in Indiana was smaller than the estimated effect of Limbaugh Liberals really undermines any narrative Clinton could build on this narrow victory in Indiana.
May 7, 2008 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Consarn it! I figgered up all the votes from Indiana and North Carolina and Pennsylvania, and Hillary came out ahead.
297 votes AND one more delegate!
It ain't over yet, by crackey
May 7, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink