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Obama Gets New Supers, With A Switcher From Hillary

After a relative lull in super-del movement yesterday, Obama has picked up some new momentum this morning with two new endorsements -- including a defection from Hillary Clinton's column.

The two new supporters are Congressmen Jim Costa and Dennis Cardoza, both of California. Cardoza used to be a Hillary backer.

According to the Obama camp's numbers, he only needs 59 more delegates to clinch the nomination, not counting Michigan and Florida.

The score thus far today: Obama +2, Clinton -1. According to DemConWatch, Obama has 1,964 delegates to Clinton's 1,780.


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The switchers are the ones that I bet really piss Clinton off. I can already hear the cries of "Judas!".

Here's Cardoza's statement:

Congressman Cardoza said, "This is the most important election of my lifetime. While I continue to greatly respect and admire Senator Clinton and feel she has made history with her campaign, I believe that Senator Obama will inevitably be our party’s nominee for President. He has proven himself to be a thoughtful, knowledgeable, and inspirational leader and will take America in a new direction, which we desperately need.

"The Bush Administration has been a huge disappointment. Mr. McCain, while certainly an American hero, represents more of the same failed Bush policies.

"I am deeply concerned about the contentious primary campaign and controversy surrounding the seating of delegates from Florida and Michigan – two states Democrats need to win in November. I will not support changing the rules in the fourth quarter of this contest through some convoluted DNC rules committee process. Yet, we must find a resolution to seat the Michigan and Florida delegates so these states’ voters are represented at the Convention. I believe we need to avoid this potentially divisive situation by uniting behind one nominee and bringing the party together immediately. Therefore, I have made the decision to support Senator Obama at the Democratic Convention in my role as a super delegate."

Congressman Costa said, "It’s been a long presidential primary season, and now is time to bring it to a close. I have tremendous respect for Senator Barack Obama, Senator Hillary Clinton, and all the candidates who ran for the nomination. In my opinion, it is clear that Senator Obama will be the strongest presidential nominee for the Democratic Party.

"I did not come to this decision without careful consideration. Our nation is faced with serious challenges here at home and abroad. Because the next Administration and 111th Congress will face such difficult and divisive issues involving our energy needs, greater fiscal responsibility and international security, it is imperative that we have someone who truly has the skill to bring out nation together and close the partisan divide. I believe Senator Obama has the leadership skills to bridge the differences that exist today.

"In my conversations with Senator Obama, I explained to him that our San Joaquin Valley is the number one agricultural region in the country and in the world. Before the election in November, he needs to come to our Valley and understand the water challenges we face, the diversity of our farm crops, and the combination of the wonderful ethnic communities that make up Valley families, which is truly a reflection of our nation."

She will hang him by a noose at the convention.

More BS.

She won Cali.

More Democrats prefer Obama now in California. They have buyers' remorse about Clinton.

Yeah, but see there "Super" Delegates. That means they use their own judgment. In Cardoza's judgment (and Costa), Obama is the better candidate. Cardoza goes further and states that, despite his former support of Clinton, he is very concerned about the current contention that is being raised around the MI/FL issue and feels it is important at this point to publicly support Obama.

See, the writing's on the wall there. Democrats don't like seeing Hillary split the Party. See, because that's not good for the Party. They're telling her that it's time for her to step down and allow the process to move on, so that Obama can take on McCain without further interference or distraction from her.

Good for Cardoza to speak directly in regards to a position on the MI/FL issue. Any other SuperDels out there who are ready to come out of hiding?

I don't know, but Jay Nixon is an undeclared SD from Missouri (running for Governor in Nov.), and today I am canceling my meeting next week with one of his volunteer coordinators. Nixon gets not a minute of my time or a dime of my money until he grows a pair, gets off the fence and puts an end to Hillary's hysterical crusade over MI and FL.

Further evidence that Obama has got it won and doesn't need to cut a deal with Hillary for VP to get the nomination or win in November.

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Listen Obama: NO BILLARY Clinton for VP.

Nailed it!

Just say NO to Shrillary for VP.

Everyone knows its over except Hillary.

Yeah, he is going to PR.

But I thought it was over.

She will win the popular vote and prove this joke of an election is total bs.

She and Gore can cry about their popular vote if she actually wins that (which she doesn't according to NORMAL math).

The Clinton "Popular Vote" argument ignores caucus states and includes Clinton's votes in Michigan (where I live) and Florida, while not counting any of the "uncommitted" votes in Michigan. So, only by ignoring the rules and counting votes from contests that even Clinton agreed wouldn't "count for anything" and not counting votes from valid primaries can this argument be raised.

I wonder --- if what is being said by Bloomberg and CNN is true and there are negotiations going on --- if maybe Hillary has some sense there's about to be a large number of SD declarations for Obama? Of course, if that's the case, Obama surely knows it, too, and should, in the immortal words of Nancy Reagan, "JUST SAY NO!"

You should know all about BS, troll.

The idea of giving the VP slot to Hillary as a "compromise" is disgusting to me. She's already lost; the only thing she offers in the way of a "compromise" is that she'll stop trying to tear the party apart.

I'm selling my Wii and donating the money to Hillary, so that Haim Saban can bribe more Super Delegates into jumping on this sinking ship.

I heard on Boston radio this morning that 2 Edwards delegates from NH were switching their support to Obama today. Have not seen it in print anywhere yet.

Wish there was more SD movement so they can seat the FL/MI delegates. I was glad to see Cardoza put that in his statement.

Excellent statements and good timing. Step right on up Super-d's, and save the party!

"I will not support changing the rules in the fourth quarter..."

While I appreciate the support and the sentiment, it seems odd that matters of integrity and principal are just now coming to the forefront.

James Pindell of the Globe is reporting the NH switch of Edwards delegates to Obama.

Two NH Edwards delegates back Obama
By James W. Pindell

LEBANON -- Two New Hampshire delegates for John Edwards said this morning that when they go to the Democratic National Convention they will be voting for Barack Obama, PolitickerNH.com has learned.
State Sen. Peter Burling (D-Cornish) and Hanover activist Deborah Bacon-Nelson made the announcement this morning at Lebanon High School, where Bacon-Nelson is a teacher.
With his third-place finish in New Hampshire in January, Edwards secured four delegates in the Granite State. Nationwide he has 19 delegates.

Eric

According to the Obama camp's numbers, he only needs 59 more delegates to clinch the nomination, not counting Michigan and Florida.

Don't count on it cos' they ain't gonna count them MI/FL like you wish ( and dream about). It ain't happenin'.

I cannot believe that after having run such an exceptional, thoughtful and for the most part 'pitch perfect' campaign that Obama would make the collosal mistake of being 'blackmailed' into accepting this divisive, self-centered, tone-deaf and (I'm increasingly convinced) not entirely stable person as a VP candidate. It would be the one thing -- the first thing -- that made me seriously question his judgment and backbone.

But I do respect his judgment and backbone so I don't believe that he will give in. And I pray I'm right!

Obama/Biden '08

57!

Anyone notice the Survey USA poll for Ohio just released?

I believe it is accurate (why won't Eric give it its own thread?).

Obama will win Ohio.

Book it!

9pts over McCain in OH!

Why a U.S. Senator from New York (secure in her position until she started demonstrating bunny-boiling potential) would abdicate to become a VP makes no sense...unless she's planning to install a circular saw under the floor of the Oval Office. Exorcise the DLC; once you let them in it would be like bedbugs. This defection is a sign of where things stand, Hil; time to come "home" for another "listening tour", far, far upstate.

It is so obvious there is no way left for Hillary to win, so why does she keep ripping at the heart of the party? If she wants to be VP, she'd play nice. She is still hoping for another Rev Wright to revive her argument that she is the better candidates. Yet poll after poll shows Obama gaining in all of her strong holds, from Hispanics to Ohio. Every day, she runs off more superdelegates. Her negative campaign is forcing them to jump ship.

It is often said that to continue to do the same, ineffective thing and expect a different result is a definition of insanity. The lady lives in a dream world where she thinks she can win blue collar Appalachia, which only went for her because Obama is black, and talk radio is a 24-7 Obama hate fest. In a general election, when they aim all their guns at her for months, she'll do worse than Kerry. But she can't see that. All she sees is that the world is conspiring to steal HER PRESIDENCY from her.

Iceberg is right. She's in Bunny Boiling teritory now. And how DID things end for Glen Close in that movie???

Let's see.. what is the rate of superdels adding to Obama? Two per day? 10/week? At that rate this will continue for another two months. Maybe my numbers are jacked...

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The ratio over the past two weeks has been about 7 Obama supers to Hillary's 1.

To the supers that have voted: Thank you.

More, please....

There are 209 Super Delegates left. He is getting 7 over the week-end

Alaska: 1
Georgia: 2
Wyoming: 1
Hawaii: 3

There are 7 pledge delegates left from Senator Edwards

There are 86 pledge delegates left from the last 3 primaries

And he is 57 away (not including Florida and Michigan)

Let's say he gets 40 from the left primaries: (PR,SD,MT)

He needs another 10 SDs before May 31st. If he does, that would send another pretty strong message to the Clinton campaign...

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"There are 209 Super Delegates left. He is getting 7 over the week-end."

How do you know he's getting 7 over the weekend?

I think your estimate on 40 pledged to Obama from the remaining primaries is a tad high. SD and MT are likely to be 8-8 splits unless one or the other has a really strong showing. I haven't seen much on what will happen in PR, but from what I've heard Clinton is supposed to win there. With 54 Dels, PR might not give Obama enough to hit 40 when adding in his 16 from SD & MT. A safer bet would be about 35.

Also, since all three remaining primaries happen AFTER May 31, getting 10 or even 15 SD's before then won't signify much. After May 31, there will also likely be a new 'magic number' with some sort of compromise made to seat FL and MI. When that happens, the number of delegates Obama will need to secure the nomination will go up a lot; however, he will also receive a large number of delegates from those states and so the net will only be a slight increase in the number of delegates Obama needs to win the nomination.

Ultimately, Obama will probably need an additional 50-100 supers to go his way to lock this thing up, which, while completely doable, probably won't happen until sometime after the final primaries in early June.

susa ohio...how about yesterday's susa VIRGINIA.....the heart of the freakin' confederacy

Don't be too surprised. Until recently, Virginia was the only state in history that had elected an African American as governor, too.

Latest on the SDs front:

Oregon DNC member Jenny Greenleaf has endorsed Obama, there should be more SDs from Oregon since he won by 19%...

She doesn't care about those superdelegates. Her fight is bigger than them or this primary or this race. She's trying to free the slaves!

The 7 Super Delegates coming this week-end are add-ons from Caucus or prmaries he won.

Alaska: 1
Georgia: 2
Wyoming: 1

It also includes some elections in Hawaii,
Obama won the Hawaii Caucuses. Candidates for the Chair position are Annelle Amaral and Brian Schatz. Schatz is a former member of Obama's campaign in Hawaii, and has been endorsed by Obama. Amaral is a Clinton supporter but has committed to voting for Obama at the convention. In addition, Obama has endorsed James Burns, former chief judge of the state Intermediate Court of Appeals, for the add-on position.

Regarding the elections in Puerto Rico, Bill Richardson is campaigning on behalf of Senator Obama. Senator Obama will also in PR next week. The governor of PR has also endorsed Obama (the governor is in touble), so the reason why I am so optimistic about PR is because he has some strong support.

I read somewhere that PR usually always goes the way the governor goes, but since he's under investigation, who knows.

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Latest, Obama got 5 super delegates today. So he only needs 56 more delegates.

Yeah... here's the info on those five delegates he got.

At this rate, Hillary could get all the delegates for Michigan and *still* lose.

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No one has the nomination clinched until the vote is held at the convention.

The problem with Michigan and Florida is that the way the DNC rules were enforced violates the democratic principle of allowing the citizens of all states to vote in choosing the nominee. Yes, Michigan and Florida agreed to a schedule, New Hampshire violated it and got a waiver, Michigan and Florida violated it and did not. It's called selective enforcement.

Obama violated the rules by running ads which appeared in Florida media markets.

First of all you don't even know what you're talking about. New Hampshire asked in advance if they could move their primary up, and they were granted a waiver in advance. Florida and Michigan on the other hand, just unilaterally moved up their primaries without consultation with the DNC. So, it's not "selective enforcement".

Moreover, there was a specific reason why New Hampshire was permitted to move up their primary: This was done to have the first four contests split between 4 different regions of the country, with 2 being primaries and 2 being caucuses.

Finally, Obama wanted to buy into the national ad market, but couldn't do it without including Florida, so the DNC gave him permission to air those ads in Florida. Know your facts before you post.

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